Predictive maintenance is a well studied collection of techniques that aims to prolong the life of a mechanical system by using artificial intelligence and machine learning to predict the optimal time to perform maintenance. The methods allow maintainers of systems and hardware to reduce financial and time costs of upkeep. As these methods are adopted for more serious and potentially life-threatening applications, the human operators need trust the predictive system. This attracts the field of Explainable AI (XAI) to introduce explainability and interpretability into the predictive system. XAI brings methods to the field of predictive maintenance that can amplify trust in the users while maintaining well-performing systems. This survey on explainable predictive maintenance (XPM) discusses and presents the current methods of XAI as applied to predictive maintenance while following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) 2020 guidelines. We categorize the different XPM methods into groups that follow the XAI literature. Additionally, we include current challenges and a discussion on future research directions in XPM.

This study investigated the use of forearm EMG data for distinguishing eight hand gestures, employing the Neural Network and Random Forest algorithms on data from ten participants. The Neural Network achieved 97 percent accuracy with 1000-millisecond windows, while the Random Forest achieved 85 percent accuracy with 200-millisecond windows. Larger window sizes improved gesture classification due to increased temporal resolution. The Random Forest exhibited faster processing at 92 milliseconds, compared to the Neural Network's 124 milliseconds. In conclusion, the study identified a Neural Network with a 1000-millisecond stream as the most accurate (97 percent), and a Random Forest with a 200-millisecond stream as the most efficient (85 percent). Future research should focus on increasing sample size, incorporating more hand gestures, and exploring different feature extraction methods and modeling algorithms to enhance system accuracy and efficiency.

Global optimization of decision trees has shown to be promising in terms of accuracy, size, and consequently human comprehensibility. However, many of the methods used rely on general-purpose solvers for which scalability remains an issue. Dynamic programming methods have been shown to scale much better because they exploit the tree structure by solving subtrees as independent subproblems. However, this only works when an objective can be optimized separately for subtrees. We explore this relationship in detail and show the necessary and sufficient conditions for such separability and generalize previous dynamic programming approaches into a framework that can optimize any combination of separable objectives and constraints. Experiments on five application domains show the general applicability of this framework, while outperforming the scalability of general-purpose solvers by a large margin.

Despite the impressive capabilities of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) agents in many challenging scenarios, their black-box decision-making process significantly limits their deployment in safety-sensitive domains. Several previous self-interpretable works focus on revealing the critical states of the agent's decision. However, they cannot pinpoint the error-prone states. To address this issue, we propose a novel self-interpretable structure, named Backbone Extract Tree (BET), to better explain the agent's behavior by identify the error-prone states. At a high level, BET hypothesizes that states in which the agent consistently executes uniform decisions exhibit a reduced propensity for errors. To effectively model this phenomenon, BET expresses these states within neighborhoods, each defined by a curated set of representative states. Therefore, states positioned at a greater distance from these representative benchmarks are more prone to error. We evaluate BET in various popular RL environments and show its superiority over existing self-interpretable models in terms of explanation fidelity. Furthermore, we demonstrate a use case for providing explanations for the agents in StarCraft II, a sophisticated multi-agent cooperative game. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to explain such a complex scenarios using a fully transparent structure.

This paper introduces the Trinary decision tree, an algorithm designed to improve the handling of missing data in decision tree regressors and classifiers. Unlike other approaches, the Trinary decision tree does not assume that missing values contain any information about the response. Both theoretical calculations on estimator bias and numerical illustrations using real data sets are presented to compare its performance with established algorithms in different missing data scenarios (Missing Completely at Random (MCAR), and Informative Missingness (IM)). Notably, the Trinary tree outperforms its peers in MCAR settings, especially when data is only missing out-of-sample, while lacking behind in IM settings. A hybrid model, the TrinaryMIA tree, which combines the Trinary tree and the Missing In Attributes (MIA) approach, shows robust performance in all types of missingness. Despite the potential drawback of slower training speed, the Trinary tree offers a promising and more accurate method of handling missing data in decision tree algorithms.

Compartmentalization effectively prevents initial corruption from turning into a successful attack. This paper presents O2C, a pioneering system designed to enforce OS kernel compartmentalization on the fly. It not only provides immediate remediation for sudden threats but also maintains consistent system availability through the enforcement process. O2C is empowered by the newest advancements of the eBPF ecosystem which allows to instrument eBPF programs that perform enforcement actions into the kernel at runtime. O2C takes the lead in embedding a machine learning model into eBPF programs, addressing unique challenges in on-the-fly compartmentalization. Our comprehensive evaluation shows that O2C effectively confines damage within the compartment. Further, we validate that decision tree is optimally suited for O2C owing to its advantages in processing tabular data, its explainable nature, and its compliance with the eBPF ecosystem. Last but not least, O2C is lightweight, showing negligible overhead and excellent sacalability system-wide.

The continued growth in the deployment of Internet-of-Things (IoT) devices has been fueled by the increased connectivity demand, particularly in industrial environments. However, this has led to an increase in the number of network related attacks due to the increased number of potential attack surfaces. Industrial IoT (IIoT) devices are prone to various network related attacks that can have severe consequences on the manufacturing process as well as on the safety of the workers in the manufacturing plant. One promising solution that has emerged in recent years for attack detection is Machine learning (ML). More specifically, ensemble learning models have shown great promise in improving the performance of the underlying ML models. Accordingly, this paper proposes a framework based on the combined use of Bayesian Optimization-Gaussian Process (BO-GP) with an ensemble tree-based learning model to improve the performance of intrusion and attack detection in IIoT environments. The proposed framework's performance is evaluated using the Windows 10 dataset collected by the Cyber Range and IoT labs at University of New South Wales. Experimental results illustrate the improvement in detection accuracy, precision, and F-score when compared to standard tree and ensemble tree models.

Urban mobility is on the cusp of transformation with the emergence of shared, connected, and cooperative automated vehicles. Yet, for them to be accepted by customers, trust in their punctuality is vital. Many pilot initiatives operate without a fixed schedule, thus enhancing the importance of reliable arrival time (AT) predictions. This study presents an AT prediction system for autonomous shuttles, utilizing separate models for dwell and running time predictions, validated on real-world data from five cities. Alongside established methods such as XGBoost, we explore the benefits of integrating spatial data using graph neural networks (GNN). To accurately handle the case of a shuttle bypassing a stop, we propose a hierarchical model combining a random forest classifier and a GNN. The results for the final AT prediction are promising, showing low errors even when predicting several stops ahead. Yet, no single model emerges as universally superior, and we provide insights into the characteristics of pilot sites that influence the model selection process. Finally, we identify dwell time prediction as the key determinant in overall AT prediction accuracy when autonomous shuttles are deployed in low-traffic areas or under regulatory speed limits. This research provides insights into the current state of autonomous public transport prediction models and paves the way for more data-informed decision-making as the field advances.

Decades after their inception, random forests continue to provide state-of-the-art accuracy in a variety of learning problems, outperforming in this respect alternative machine learning algorithms such as decision trees or even neural networks. However, being an ensemble method, the one aspect where random forests tend to severely underperform decision trees is interpretability. In the present work, we propose a post-hoc approach that aims to have the best of both worlds: the accuracy of random forests and the interpretability of decision trees. To this end, we present two forest-pruning methods to find an optimal sub-forest within a given random forest, and then, when applicable, combine the selected trees into one. Our first method relies on constrained exhaustive search, while our second method is based on an adaptation of the LASSO methodology. Extensive experiments over synthetic and real world datasets show that, in the majority of scenarios, at least one of the two methods proposed is more accurate than the original random forest, while just using a small fraction of the trees, aiding result interpretability. Compared to current state-of-the-art forestpruning methods, namely sequential forward selection and (a variation of) sequential backward selection, our methods tend to outperform both of them, whether in terms of accuracy, number of trees employed, or both.

Domain generalization is a popular machine learning technique that enables models to perform well on the unseen target domain, by learning from multiple source domains. Domain generalization is useful in cases where data is limited, difficult, or expensive to collect, such as in object recognition and biomedicine. In this paper, we propose a novel domain generalization algorithm called "meta-forests", which builds upon the basic random forests model by incorporating the meta-learning strategy and maximum mean discrepancy measure. The aim of meta-forests is to enhance the generalization ability of classifiers by reducing the correlation among trees and increasing their strength. More specifically, meta-forests conducts meta-learning optimization during each meta-task, while also utilizing the maximum mean discrepancy as a regularization term to penalize poor generalization performance in the meta-test process. To evaluate the effectiveness of our algorithm, we test it on two publicly object recognition datasets and a glucose monitoring dataset that we have used in a previous study. Our results show that meta-forests outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in terms of generalization performance on both object recognition and glucose monitoring datasets.