Decision Tree Learning
A Projection Pursuit Forest Algorithm for Supervised Classification
da Silva, Natalia, Cook, Dianne, Lee, Eun-Kyung
This paper presents a new ensemble learning method for classification problems called projection pursuit random forest (PPF). PPF uses the PPtree algorithm introduced in Lee et al. (2013). In PPF, trees are constructed by splitting on linear combinations of randomly chosen variables. Projection pursuit is used to choose a projection of the variables that best separates the classes. Utilizing linear combinations of variables to separate classes takes the correlation between variables into account which allows PPF to outperform a traditional random forest when separations between groups occurs in combinations of variables. The method presented here can be used in multi-class problems and is implemented into an R (R Core Team, 2018) package, PPforest, which is available on CRAN.
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The Random Forest Algorithm – Towards Data Science
Random Forest is a flexible, easy to use machine learning algorithm that produces, even without hyper-parameter tuning, a great result most of the time. It is also one of the most used algorithms, because it's simplicity and the fact that it can be used for both classification and regression tasks. In this post, you are going to learn, how the random forest algorithm works and several other important things about it. Random Forest is a supervised learning algorithm. Like you can already see from it's name, it creates a forest and makes it somehow random.
Random Forest Tutorials - The Bagging Algorithm - Tutorial 2 statinfer
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Rule Induction Partitioning Estimator
Margot, Vincent, Baudry, Jean-Patrick, Guilloux, Frederic, Wintenberger, Olivier
To find an easy way to describe a complex model with a high accuracy is an important objective for machine learning. Many research fields such as medicine, marketing, or finance need algorithms able to give a reason for each prediction made. Until now, a common solution to achieve this goal has been to use induction rule to describe cells of a partition of the features space X. A rule is an If-Then statement which is understood by everyone and easily interpreted by experts (medical doctors, asset managers, etc.). We focus on rules with a If condition defined as a hyperrectangle of X. Sets of such rules have always been seen as decision trees, which means that there is a one-to-one correspondence between a rule and a generated partition cell.
Orthogonal Random Forest for Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation
Oprescu, Miruna, Syrgkanis, Vasilis, Wu, Zhiwei Steven
We study the problem of estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data, where the treatment policy on the collected data was determined by potentially many confounding observable variables. We propose orthogonal random forest, an algorithm that combines orthogonalization, a technique that effectively removes the confounding effect in two-stage estimation, with generalized random forests [Athey et al., 2017], a flexible method for estimating treatment effect heterogeneity. We prove a consistency rate result of our estimator in the partially linear regression model, and en route we provide a consistency analysis for a general framework of performing generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation. We also provide a comprehensive empirical evaluation of our algorithms, and show that they consistently outperform baseline approaches.
Optimization over Continuous and Multi-dimensional Decisions with Observational Data
Bertsimas, Dimitris, McCord, Christopher
We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous and multi-dimensional decision spaces in problems in which we are only provided with observational data. We propose a novel algorithmic framework that is tractable, asymptotically consistent, and superior to comparable methods on example problems. Our approach leverages predictive machine learning methods and incorporates information on the uncertainty of the predicted outcomes for the purpose of prescribing decisions. We demonstrate the efficacy of our method on examples involving both synthetic and real data sets.
ANZ is using machine learning to improve the accuracy of data forecasting
ANZ Bank has turned to machine learning to improve existing forecasting techniques. Economists Jack Chambers and David Plank applied the technique to monthly retail sales data, and compared it to the standard error found in consensus surveys compiled by Bloomberg. The machine learning process used by the pair was called "random forest". Think of a standard decision tree model, which maps out decisions or actions and their possible consequences. It follows that the "forest" is comprised of multiple decision trees, which are calculated and averaged to find correlations with retail sales.
Jointly learning relevant subgraph patterns and nonlinear models of their indicators
Shirakawa, Ryo, Yokoyama, Yusei, Okazaki, Fumiya, Takigawa, Ichigaku
Classification and regression in which the inputs are graphs of arbitrary size and shape have been paid attention in various fields such as computational chemistry and bioinformatics. Subgraph indicators are often used as the most fundamental features, but the number of possible subgraph patterns are intractably large due to the combinatorial explosion. We propose a novel efficient algorithm to jointly learn relevant subgraph patterns and nonlinear models of their indicators. Previous methods for such joint learning of subgraph features and models are based on search for single best subgraph features with specific pruning and boosting procedures of adding their indicators one by one, which result in linear models of subgraph indicators. In contrast, the proposed approach is based on directly learning regression trees for graph inputs using a newly derived bound of the total sum of squares for data partitions by a given subgraph feature, and thus can learn nonlinear models through standard gradient boosting. An illustrative example we call the Graph-XOR problem to consider nonlinearity, numerical experiments with real datasets, and scalability comparisons to naive approaches using explicit pattern enumeration are also presented.
4 Steps to Machine Learning with Pentaho
At this stage, the practitioner might be satisfied with the analysis and be ready to build a final production-ready model. Clearly decision trees are performing best, but is there a (statistically) significant difference between the different implementations? Is it possible to improve performance further? There might be more than one dataset (from different stores/sites) that needs to be considered. In such situations, it is a good idea to perform a more principled experiment to answer these questions.