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 Decision Tree Learning


Automated fault tree learning from continuous-valued sensor data: a case study on domestic heaters

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Many industrial sectors have been collecting big sensor data. With recent technologies for processing big data, companies can exploit this for automatic failure detection and prevention. We propose the first completely automated method for failure analysis, machine-learning fault trees from raw observational data with continuous variables. Our method scales well and is tested on a real-world, five-year dataset of domestic heater operations in The Netherlands, with 31 million unique heater-day readings, each containing 27 sensor and 11 failure variables. Our method builds on two previous procedures: the C4.5 decision-tree learning algorithm, and the LIFT fault tree learning algorithm from Boolean data. C4.5 pre-processes each continuous variable: it learns an optimal numerical threshold which distinguishes between faulty and normal operation of the top-level system. These thresholds discretise the variables, thus allowing LIFT to learn fault trees which model the root failure mechanisms of the system and are explainable. We obtain fault trees for the 11 failure variables, and evaluate them in two ways: quantitatively, with a significance score, and qualitatively, with domain specialists. Some of the fault trees learnt have almost maximum significance (above 0.95), while others have medium-to-low significance (around 0.30), reflecting the difficulty of learning from big, noisy, real-world sensor data. The domain specialists confirm that the fault trees model meaningful relationships among the variables.


Machine Learning Pipelines

#artificialintelligence

In this use case, we will be using the Titanic dataset. In this dataset, we will apply some common Transformers on certain columns and then we will use a Decision Tree Estimator to classify whether the passenger will live or die. Here is the plan outline for our use case. To make our use case easy to understand, let us see the diagram below. This will give you a fairly good understanding of the pipeline visually.


Accelerated and interpretable oblique random survival forests

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The oblique random survival forest (RSF) is an ensemble supervised learning method for right-censored outcomes. Trees in the oblique RSF are grown using linear combinations of predictors to create branches, whereas in the standard RSF, a single predictor is used. Oblique RSF ensembles often have higher prediction accuracy than standard RSF ensembles. However, assessing all possible linear combinations of predictors induces significant computational overhead that limits applications to large-scale data sets. In addition, few methods have been developed for interpretation of oblique RSF ensembles, and they remain more difficult to interpret compared to their axis-based counterparts. We introduce a method to increase computational efficiency of the oblique RSF and a method to estimate importance of individual predictor variables with the oblique RSF. Our strategy to reduce computational overhead makes use of Newton-Raphson scoring, a classical optimization technique that we apply to the Cox partial likelihood function within each non-leaf node of decision trees. We estimate the importance of individual predictors for the oblique RSF by negating each coefficient used for the given predictor in linear combinations, and then computing the reduction in out-of-bag accuracy. In general benchmarking experiments, we find that our implementation of the oblique RSF is approximately 450 times faster with equivalent discrimination and superior Brier score compared to existing software for oblique RSFs. We find in simulation studies that 'negation importance' discriminates between relevant and irrelevant predictors more reliably than permutation importance, Shapley additive explanations, and a previously introduced technique to measure variable importance with oblique RSFs based on analysis of variance. Methods introduced in the current study are available in the aorsf R package.


Estimating a Book's Publication Date with Artificial Intelligence

#artificialintelligence

You're probably aware of AI's increasing ability to analyze and synthesize human language, such as the recent controversy over whether a Google chatbot is, in fact, sentient (Google claims -- and I'm inclined to believe -- that the chatbot is just very, very good at recognizing and replicating speech patterns). Since AI is so skilled at analyzing language, I wondered whether it could detect changes in language over time. Could it differentiate between texts written in, say, the 12th century and the 18th century? As it turns out, it can! To build this model, I used natural language processing, the branch of machine learning dedicated to (you guessed it!)


ANOVA-based Automatic Attribute Selection and a Predictive Model for Heart Disease Prognosis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Studies show that Studies that cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are malignant for human health. Thus, it is important to have an efficient way of CVD prognosis. In response to this, the healthcare industry has adopted machine learning-based smart solutions to alleviate the manual process of CVD prognosis. Thus, this work proposes an information fusion technique that combines key attributes of a person through analysis of variance (ANOVA) and domain experts' knowledge. It also introduces a new collection of CVD data samples for emerging research. There are thirty-eight experiments conducted exhaustively to verify the performance of the proposed framework on four publicly available benchmark datasets and the newly created dataset in this work. The ablation study shows that the proposed approach can achieve a competitive mean average accuracy (mAA) of 99.2% and a mean average AUC of 97.9%.


SHAP for additively modeled features in a boosted trees model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

An important technique to explore a black-box machine learning (ML) model is called SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanation). SHAP values decompose predictions into contributions of the features in a fair way. We will show that for a boosted trees model with some or all features being additively modeled, the SHAP dependence plot of such a feature corresponds to its partial dependence plot up to a vertical shift. We illustrate the result with XGBoost.


Classification of FIB/SEM-tomography images for highly porous multiphase materials using random forest classifiers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

FIB/SEM tomography represents an indispensable tool for the characterization of three-dimensional nanostructures in battery research and many other fields. However, contrast and 3D classification/reconstruction problems occur in many cases, which strongly limits the applicability of the technique especially on porous materials, like those used for electrode materials in batteries or fuel cells. Distinguishing the different components like active Li storage particles and carbon/binder materials is difficult and often prevents a reliable quantitative analysis of image data, or may even lead to wrong conclusions about structure-property relationships. In this contribution, we present a novel approach for data classification in three-dimensional image data obtained by FIB/SEM tomography and its applications to NMC battery electrode materials. We use two different image signals, namely the signal of the angled SE2 chamber detector and the Inlens detector signal, combine both signals and train a random forest, i.e. a particular machine learning algorithm. We demonstrate that this approach can overcome current limitations of existing techniques suitable for multi-phase measurements and that it allows for quantitative data reconstruction even where current state-of the art techniques fail, or demand for large training sets. This approach may yield as guideline for future research using FIB/SEM tomography.


Bayesian Optimization-Based Beam Alignment for MmWave MIMO Communication Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Due to the very narrow beam used in millimeter wave communication (mmWave), beam alignment (BA) is a critical issue. In this work, we investigate the issue of mmWave BA and present a novel beam alignment scheme on the basis of a machine learning strategy, Bayesian optimization (BO). In this context, we consider the beam alignment issue to be a black box function and then use BO to find the possible optimal beam pair. During the BA procedure, this strategy exploits information from the measured beam pairs to predict the best beam pair. In addition, we suggest a novel BO algorithm based on the gradient boosting regression tree model. The simulation results demonstrate the spectral efficiency performance of our proposed schemes for BA using three different surrogate models. They also demonstrate that the proposed schemes can achieve spectral efficiency with a small overhead when compared to the orthogonal match pursuit (OMP) algorithm and the Thompson sampling-based multi-armed bandit (TS-MAB) method.


Single MCMC Chain Parallelisation on Decision Trees

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Decision trees are highly famous in machine learning and usually acquire state-of-the-art performance. Despite that, well-known variants like CART, ID3, random forest, and boosted trees miss a probabilistic version that encodes prior assumptions about tree structures and shares statistical strength between node parameters. Existing work on Bayesian decision trees depend on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), which can be computationally slow, especially on high dimensional data and expensive proposals. In this study, we propose a method to parallelise a single MCMC decision tree chain on an average laptop or personal computer that enables us to reduce its run-time through multi-core processing while the results are statistically identical to conventional sequential implementation. We also calculate the theoretical and practical reduction in run time, which can be obtained utilising our method on multi-processor architectures. Experiments showed that we could achieve 18 times faster running time provided that the serial and the parallel implementation are statistically identical.


Introducing random forests in R

#artificialintelligence

In this post, I will present how to use random forests in classification, a prediction technique consisting in generating a set of trees (hence, a forest) bootstrapping the features used in each tree. We do this to obtain trees that are not necessarily using the strongest predictors at the beginning. I will test this technique in a LoanDefaults dataset to predict which customers will default the paying of a loan in a specific month. This dataset has two interesting features: the number of positive cases is much smaller than the negatives and requires some preprocessing of the existing features. I will be using the ranger (RANdom forest GEneRator) package, skimr to get a summary of data, rpart and rpart.plot to generate an alternative decision tree model, BAdatasets to access the dataset, tidymodels for prediction workflow facilities and forcats for the variable importance plot.