Privacy-preserving learning of gradient boosting decision trees (GBDT) has the potential for strong utility-privacy tradeoffs for tabular data, such as census data or medical meta data: classical GBDT learners can extract non-linear patterns from small sized datasets. The state-of-the-art notion for provable privacy-properties is differential privacy, which requires that the impact of single data points is limited and deniable. We introduce a novel differentially private GBDT learner and utilize four main techniques to improve the utility-privacy tradeoff. (1) We use an improved noise scaling approach with tighter accounting of privacy leakage of a decision tree leaf compared to prior work, resulting in noise that in expectation scales with $O(1/n)$, for $n$ data points. (2) We integrate individual R\'enyi filters to our method to learn from data points that have been underutilized during an iterative training process, which -- potentially of independent interest -- results in a natural yet effective insight to learning streams of non-i.i.d. data. (3) We incorporate the concept of random decision tree splits to concentrate privacy budget on learning leaves. (4) We deploy subsampling for privacy amplification. Our evaluation shows for the Abalone dataset ($<4k$ training data points) a $R^2$-score of $0.39$ for $\varepsilon=0.15$, which the closest prior work only achieved for $\varepsilon=10.0$. On the Adult dataset ($50k$ training data points) we achieve test error of $18.7\,\%$ for $\varepsilon=0.07$ which the closest prior work only achieved for $\varepsilon=1.0$. For the Abalone dataset for $\varepsilon=0.54$ we achieve $R^2$-score of $0.47$ which is very close to the $R^2$-score of $0.54$ for the nonprivate version of GBDT. For the Adult dataset for $\varepsilon=0.54$ we achieve test error $17.1\,\%$ which is very close to the test error $13.7\,\%$ of the nonprivate version of GBDT.

In the field of object classification, identification based on object variations is a challenge in itself. Variations include shape, size, color, and texture, these can cause problems in recognizing and distinguishing objects accurately. The purpose of this research is to develop a classification method so that objects can be accurately identified. The proposed classification model uses Voting and Combined Classifier, with Random Forest, K-NN, Decision Tree, SVM, and Naive Bayes classification methods. The test results show that the voting method and Combined Classifier obtain quite good results with each of them, ensemble voting with an accuracy value of 92.4%, 78.6% precision, 95.2% recall, and 86.1% F1-score. While the combined classifier with an accuracy value of 99.3%, a precision of 97.6%, a recall of 100%, and a 98.8% F1-score. Based on the test results, it can be concluded that the use of the Combined Classifier and voting methods is proven to increase the accuracy value. The contribution of this research increases the effectiveness of the Ensemble Learning method, especially the voting ensemble method and the Combined Classifier in increasing the accuracy of object classification in image processing.

Decision trees are widely used in machine learning due to their simplicity in construction and interpretability. However, as data sizes grow, traditional methods for constructing and retraining decision trees become increasingly slow, scaling polynomially with the number of training examples. In this work, we introduce a novel quantum algorithm, named Des-q, for constructing and retraining decision trees in regression and binary classification tasks. Assuming the data stream produces small increments of new training examples, we demonstrate that our Des-q algorithm significantly reduces the time required for tree retraining, achieving a poly-logarithmic time complexity in the number of training examples, even accounting for the time needed to load the new examples into quantum-accessible memory. Our approach involves building a decision tree algorithm to perform k-piecewise linear tree splits at each internal node. These splits simultaneously generate multiple hyperplanes, dividing the feature space into k distinct regions. To determine the k suitable anchor points for these splits, we develop an efficient quantum-supervised clustering method, building upon the q-means algorithm of Kerenidis et al. Des-q first efficiently estimates each feature weight using a novel quantum technique to estimate the Pearson correlation. Subsequently, we employ weighted distance estimation to cluster the training examples in k disjoint regions and then proceed to expand the tree using the same procedure. We benchmark the performance of the simulated version of our algorithm against the state-of-the-art classical decision tree for regression and binary classification on multiple data sets with numerical features. Further, we showcase that the proposed algorithm exhibits similar performance to the state-of-the-art decision tree while significantly speeding up the periodic tree retraining.

In explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) research, the predominant focus has been on interpreting models for experts and practitioners. Model agnostic and local explanation approaches are deemed interpretable and sufficient in many applications. However, in domains like healthcare, where end users are patients without AI or domain expertise, there is an urgent need for model explanations that are more comprehensible and instil trust in the model's operations. We hypothesise that generating model explanations that are narrative, patient-specific and global(holistic of the model) would enable better understandability and enable decision-making. We test this using a decision tree model to generate both local and global explanations for patients identified as having a high risk of coronary heart disease. These explanations are presented to non-expert users. We find a strong individual preference for a specific type of explanation. The majority of participants prefer global explanations, while a smaller group prefers local explanations. A task based evaluation of mental models of these participants provide valuable feedback to enhance narrative global explanations. This, in turn, guides the design of health informatics systems that are both trustworthy and actionable.

The Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) model is an ensemble method extensively and successfully used in regression tasks due to its consistently strong predictive performance and its ability to quantify uncertainty. BART combines "weak" tree models through a set of shrinkage priors, whereby each tree explains a small portion of the variability in the data. However, the lack of smoothness and the absence of an explicit covariance structure over the observations in standard BART can yield poor performance in cases where such assumptions would be necessary. The Gaussian processes Bayesian additive regression trees (GP-BART) model is an extension of BART which addresses this limitation by assuming Gaussian process (GP) priors for the predictions of each terminal node among all trees. The model's effectiveness is demonstrated through applications to simulated and real-world data, surpassing the performance of traditional modeling approaches in various scenarios.

Random forests (RFs) are well suited for prediction modeling and variable selection in high-dimensional omics studies. The effect of hyperparameters of the RF algorithm on prediction performance and variable importance estimation have previously been investigated. However, how hyperparameters impact RF-based variable selection remains unclear. We evaluate the effects on the Vita and the Boruta variable selection procedures based on two simulation studies utilizing theoretical distributions and empirical gene expression data. We assess the ability of the procedures to select important variables (sensitivity) while controlling the false discovery rate (FDR). Our results show that the proportion of splitting candidate variables (mtry.prop) and the sample fraction (sample.fraction) for the training dataset influence the selection procedures more than the drawing strategy of the training datasets and the minimal terminal node size. A suitable setting of the RF hyperparameters depends on the correlation structure in the data. For weakly correlated predictor variables, the default value of mtry is optimal, but smaller values of sample.fraction result in larger sensitivity. In contrast, the difference in sensitivity of the optimal compared to the default value of sample.fraction is negligible for strongly correlated predictor variables, whereas smaller values than the default are better in the other settings. In conclusion, the default values of the hyperparameters will not always be suitable for identifying important variables. Thus, adequate values differ depending on whether the aim of the study is optimizing prediction performance or variable selection.

Power grids are moving towards 100% renewable energy source bulk power grids, and the overall dynamics of power system operations and electricity markets are changing. The electricity markets are not only dispatching resources economically but also taking into account various controllable actions like renewable curtailment, transmission congestion mitigation, and energy storage optimization to ensure grid reliability. As a result, price formations in electricity markets have become quite complex. Traditional root cause analysis and statistical approaches are rendered inapplicable to analyze and infer the main drivers behind price formation in the modern grid and markets with variable renewable energy (VRE). In this paper, we propose a machine learning-based analysis framework to deconstruct the primary drivers for price spike events in modern electricity markets with high renewable energy. The outcomes can be utilized for various critical aspects of market design, renewable dispatch and curtailment, operations, and cyber-security applications. The framework can be applied to any ISO or market data; however, in this paper, it is applied to open-source publicly available datasets from California Independent System Operator (CAISO) and ISO New England (ISO-NE).

Universität Innsbruck Abstract Growth curve models are popular tools for studying the development of a response variable within subjects over time. Heterogeneity between subjects is common in such models, and researchers are typically interested in explaining or predicting this heterogeneity. We show how generalized linear mixed effects model (GLMM) trees can be used to identify subgroups with differently shaped trajectories in linear growth curve models. Originally developed for clustered cross-sectional data, GLMM trees are extended here to longitudinal data. The resulting extended GLMM trees are directly applicable to growth curve models as an important special case. In simulated and real-world data, we assess the performance of the extensions and compare against other partitioning methods for growth curve models. Extended GLMM trees perform more accurately than the original algorithm and LongCART, and similarly accurate as structural equation model (SEM) trees. In addition, GLMM trees allow for modeling both discrete and continuous time series, are less sensitive to (mis-)specification of the random-effects structure and are much faster to compute. Introduction Development over time is of prime interest in psychological research. For example, in educational studies researchers may want to model student's academic development over time; in clinical studies researchers may want to model patients' symptoms over time. Mixed-effects or latent-variable models can be used to model such trajectories and allow for explaining heterogeneity with covariates of a-priori known relevance (e.g., McNeish However, when these covariates are not known in advance, methods for identifying them are needed.

Cloud Computing (CC) is revolutionizing the way IT resources are delivered to users, allowing them to access and manage their systems with increased cost-effectiveness and simplified infrastructure. However, with the growth of CC comes a host of security risks, including threats to availability, integrity, and confidentiality. To address these challenges, Machine Learning (ML) is increasingly being used by Cloud Service Providers (CSPs) to reduce the need for human intervention in identifying and resolving security issues. With the ability to analyze vast amounts of data, and make high-accuracy predictions, ML can transform the way CSPs approach security. In this paper, we will explore some of the most recent research in the field of ML-based security in Cloud Computing. We will examine the features and effectiveness of a range of ML algorithms, highlighting their unique strengths and potential limitations. Our goal is to provide a comprehensive overview of the current state of ML in cloud security and to shed light on the exciting possibilities that this emerging field has to offer.

When dealing with tabular data, models based on decision trees are a popular choice due to their high accuracy on these data types, their ease of application, and explainability properties. However, when it comes to graph-structured data, it is not clear how to apply them effectively, in a way that incorporates the topological information with the tabular data available on the vertices of the graph. To address this challenge, we introduce TREE-G. TREE-G modifies standard decision trees, by introducing a novel split function that is specialized for graph data. Not only does this split function incorporate the node features and the topological information, but it also uses a novel pointer mechanism that allows split nodes to use information computed in previous splits. Therefore, the split function adapts to the predictive task and the graph at hand. We analyze the theoretical properties of TREE-G and demonstrate its benefits empirically on multiple graph and vertex prediction benchmarks. In these experiments, TREE-G consistently outperforms other tree-based models and often outperforms other graph-learning algorithms such as Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and Graph Kernels, sometimes by large margins. Moreover, TREE-Gs models and their predictions can be explained and visualized