Computational Learning Theory
On the Learning Curves of Revenue Maximization
Hanneke, Steve, Kalavasis, Alkis, Moran, Shay, Velegkas, Grigoris
Learning curves are a fundamental primitive in supervised learning, describing how an algorithm's performance improves with more data and providing a quantitative measure of its generalization ability. Formally, a learning curve plots the decay of an algorithm's error for a fixed underlying distribution as a function of the number of training samples. Prior work on revenue-maximizing learning algorithms, starting with the seminal work of Cole and Roughgarden [STOC, 2014], adopts a distribution-free perspective, which parallels the PAC learning framework in learning theory. This approach evaluates performance against the hardest possible sequence of valuation distributions, one for each sample size, effectively defining the upper envelope of learning curves over all possible distributions, thus leading to error bounds that do not capture the shape of the learning curves. In this work we initiate the study of learning curves for revenue maximization and provide a near-complete characterization of their rate of decay in the basic setting of a single item and a single buyer. In the absence of any restriction on the valuation distribution, we show that there exists a Bayes-consistent algorithm, meaning that its learning curve converges to zero for any arbitrary valuation distribution as the number of samples $n \to \infty$. However, this convergence must be arbitrarily slow, even if the optimal revenue is finite. In contrast, if the optimal revenue is achieved by a finite price, then the optimal rate of decay is roughly $1/\sqrt{n}$. Finally, for distributions supported on discrete sets of values, we show that learning curves decay almost exponentially fast, a rate unattainable under the PAC framework.
Private Everlasting Prediction
A private learner is trained on a sample of labeled points and generates1 a hypothesis that can be used for predicting the labels of newly sampled2 points while protecting the privacy of the training set [Kasiviswannathan3 et al., FOCS 2008]. Research uncovered that private learners may need to4 exhibit significantly higher sample complexity than non-private learners5 as is the case with, e.g., learning of one-dimensional threshold functions6 [Bun et al., FOCS 2015, Alon et al., STOC 2019].7 We explore prediction as an alternative to learning. Instead of putting8 forward a hypothesis, a predictor answers a stream of classification queries.9 Earlier work has considered a private prediction model with just a single10 classification query [Dwork and Feldman, COLT 2018]. We observe that11 when answering a stream of queries, a predictor must modify the hypothesis12 it uses over time, and, furthermore, that it must use the queries for this13 modification, hence introducing potential privacy risks with respect to the14 queries themselves.15 We introduce private everlasting prediction taking into account the privacy16 of both the training set and the (adaptively chosen) queries made to the17 predictor. We then present a generic construction of private everlasting18 predictors in the PAC model. The sample complexity of the initial training19 sample in our construction is quadratic (up to polylog factors) in the VC20 dimension of the concept class. Our construction allows prediction for21 all concept classes with finite VC dimension, and in particular threshold22 functions with constant size initial training sample, even when considered23 over infinite domains, whereas it is known that the sample complexity24 of privately learning threshold functions must grow as a function of the25 domain size and hence is impossible for infinite domains.26
Null Measurability at the Symmetrization Interface in VC Learning
Recent work revisiting measurability in the fundamental theorem of statistical learning imposes Borel measurability of ghost-gap suprema. We show that, at the one-sided ghost-gap interface actually used by the standard symmetrization proof, this requirement is stronger than necessary. For any Borel-parameterized concept class on a Polish domain, the bad event "there exists a hypothesis whose ghost empirical error exceeds its training empirical error by at least ฮต/2" is analytic. By Choquet capacitability, it is therefore measurable in the completion of every finite Borel measure. We then construct a concept class whose bad event is null-measurable but not Borel, giving a strict separation from the Borel supremum condition. Finally, we prove closure under patching, fixed and countable interpolation, and fiber-product amalgamation, showing that the weaker regularity level is stable under natural concept-class constructors. In the realizable setting, where targets belong to the class and are measurable, these results weaken the measurability hypothesis needed by the symmetrization route from finite VC dimension to PAC learnability. The main results and the descriptive-set-theoretic infrastructure used by them are formalized in Lean 4.
Learning to Think from Multiple Thinkers
Joshi, Nirmit, Magen, Roey, Srebro, Nathan, Tsilivis, Nikolaos, Vardi, Gal
We study learning with Chain-of-Thought (CoT) supervision from multiple thinkers, all of whom provide correct but possibly systematically different solutions, e.g., step-by-step solutions to math problems written by different thinkers, or step-by-step execution traces of different programs solving the same problem. We consider classes that are computationally easy to learn using CoT supervision from a single thinker, but hard to learn with only end-result supervision, i.e., without CoT (Joshi et al. 2025). We establish that, under cryptographic assumptions, learning can be hard from CoT supervision provided by two or a few different thinkers, in passive data-collection settings. On the other hand, we provide a generic computationally efficient active learning algorithm that learns with a small amount of CoT data per thinker that is completely independent of the target accuracy $\varepsilon$, a moderate number of thinkers that scales as $\log \frac{1}{\varepsilon}\log \log \frac{1}{\varepsilon}$, and sufficient passive end-result data that scales as $\frac{1}{\varepsilon}\cdot poly\log\frac{1}{\varepsilon}$.
The Optimal Sample Complexity of Multiclass and List Learning
While the optimal sample complexity of binary classification in terms of the VC dimension is well-established, determining the optimal sample complexity of multiclass classification has remained open. The appropriate complexity parameter for multiclass classification is the DS dimension, and despite significant efforts, a gap of $\sqrt{\text{DS}}$ has persisted between the upper and lower bounds on sample complexity. Recent work by Hanneke et al. (2026) shows a novel algebraic characterization of multiclass hypothesis classes in terms of their DS dimension. Building up on this, we show that the maximum hypergraph density of any multiclass hypothesis class is upper-bounded by its DS dimension. This proves a longstanding conjecture of Daniely and Shalev-Shwartz (2014). As a consequence, we determine the optimal dependence of the sample complexity on the DS dimension for multiclass as well as list learning.
Pareto-Optimal Learning-Augmented Algorithms for Online Conversion Problems
This paper leverages machine-learned predictions to design competitive algorithms for online conversion problems with the goal of improving the competitive ratio when predictions are accurate (i.e., consistency), while also guaranteeing a worstcase competitive ratio regardless of the prediction quality (i.e., robustness). We unify the algorithmic design of both integral and fractional conversion problems, which are also known as the 1-max-search and one-way trading problems, into a class of online threshold-based algorithms (OTA). By incorporating predictions into design of OTA, we achieve the Pareto-optimal trade-off of consistency and robustness, i.e., no online algorithm can achieve a better consistency guarantee given for a robustness guarantee. We demonstrate the performance of OTA using numerical experiments on Bitcoin conversion.
Calibration and Consistency of Adversarial Surrogate Losses
Adversarial robustness is an increasingly critical property of classifiers in applications. The design of robust algorithms relies on surrogate losses since the optimization of the adversarial loss with most hypothesis sets is NP-hard. But, which surrogate losses should be used and when do they benefit from theoretical guarantees? We present an extensive study of this question, including a detailed analysis of the H-calibration and H-consistency of adversarial surrogate losses. We show that convex loss functions, or the supremum-based convex losses often used in applications, are not H-calibrated for common hypothesis sets used in machine learning.