Problem Solving
Fully Automated Correlated Time Series Forecasting in Minutes
Wu, Xinle, Wu, Xingjian, Zhang, Dalin, Zhang, Miao, Guo, Chenjuan, Yang, Bin, Jensen, Christian S.
Societal and industrial infrastructures and systems increasingly leverage sensors that emit correlated time series. Forecasting of future values of such time series based on recorded historical values has important benefits. Automatically designed models achieve higher accuracy than manually designed models. Given a forecasting task, which includes a dataset and a forecasting horizon, automated design methods automatically search for an optimal forecasting model for the task in a manually designed search space, and then train the identified model using the dataset to enable the forecasting. Existing automated methods face three challenges. First, the search space is constructed by human experts, rending the methods only semi-automated and yielding search spaces prone to subjective biases. Second, it is time consuming to search for an optimal model. Third, training the identified model for a new task is also costly. These challenges limit the practicability of automated methods in real-world settings. To contend with the challenges, we propose a fully automated and highly efficient correlated time series forecasting framework where the search and training can be done in minutes. The framework includes a data-driven, iterative strategy to automatically prune a large search space to obtain a high-quality search space for a new forecasting task. It includes a zero-shot search strategy to efficiently identify the optimal model in the customized search space. And it includes a fast parameter adaptation strategy to accelerate the training of the identified model. Experiments on seven benchmark datasets offer evidence that the framework is capable of state-of-the-art accuracy and is much more efficient than existing methods.
Bridging the Gap: Representation Spaces in Neuro-Symbolic AI
However, although the cooperation between these two seems natural, the difference in their representation is obviously not negligible. Prof. Henry Kautz proposed a taxonomy of Neuro-Symbolic Systems in the AAAI 2020. In addition, many researchers have conducted relevant reviews of the recent neuro-symbolic AI from different perspectives. As Fig.1 shows, Acharya et al. [1] proposed a new classification method, which classified and discussed the application of existing neuro-symbolic AI by the role of neural and symbolic parts: learning for reasoning, reasoning for Learning, and learning-reasoning. Garcez et al. [73] proposed a taxonomy that includes sequential, nested, cooperative, and compiled neuro-symbolic AI based on the six types introduced by Henry Kautz. In addition, some reviews focus on cross-field integration and applications. For example, Berlot-Attwell [27] reviewed neuro-symbolic VQA (visual question answering) from the perspectives of AGI (artificial general intelligence) desiderata. Marra [128] conducted a comprehensive review on integrating neuro-symbolic and statistical relational artificial intelligence based on seven dimensions.
Neuro-Symbolic AI: Explainability, Challenges, and Future Trends
Explainability is an essential reason limiting the application of neural networks in many vital fields. Although neuro-symbolic AI hopes to enhance the overall explainability by leveraging the transparency of symbolic learning, the results are less evident than imagined. This article proposes a classification for explainability by considering both model design and behavior of 191 studies from 2013, focusing on neuro-symbolic AI, hoping to inspire scholars who want to understand the explainability of neuro-symbolic AI. Precisely, we classify them into five categories by considering whether the form of bridging the representation differences is readable as their design factor, if there are representation differences between neural networks and symbolic logic learning, and whether a model decision or prediction process is understandable as their behavior factor: implicit intermediate representations and implicit prediction, partially explicit intermediate representations and partially explicit prediction, explicit intermediate representations or explicit prediction, explicit intermediate representation and explicit prediction, unified representation and explicit prediction. We also analyzed the research trends and three significant challenges: unified representations, explainability and transparency, and sufficient cooperation from neural networks and symbolic learning. Finally, we put forward suggestions for future research in three aspects: unified representations, enhancing model explainability, ethical considerations, and social impact.
Software Design Pattern Model and Data Structure Algorithm Abilities on Microservices Architecture Design in High-tech Enterprises
This study investigates the impact of software design model capabilities and data structure algorithm abilities on microservices architecture design within enterprises. Utilizing a qualitative methodology, the research involved in-depth interviews with software architects and developers who possess extensive experience in microservices implementation. The findings reveal that organizations emphasizing robust design models and efficient algorithms achieve superior scalability, performance, and flexibility in their microservices architecture. Notably, participants highlighted that a strong foundation in these areas facilitates better service decomposition, optimizes data processing, and enhances system responsiveness. Despite these insights, gaps remain regarding the integration of emerging technologies and the evolving nature of software design practices. This paper contributes to the existing literature by underscoring the critical role of these competencies in fostering effective microservices architectures and suggests avenues for future research to address identified gaps
Exploring the Interplay Between Video Generation and World Models in Autonomous Driving: A Survey
Fu, Ao, Zhou, Yi, Zhou, Tao, Yang, Yi, Gao, Bojun, Li, Qun, Wu, Guobin, Shao, Ling
World models and video generation are pivotal technologies in the domain of autonomous driving, each playing a critical role in enhancing the robustness and reliability of autonomous systems. World models, which simulate the dynamics of real-world environments, and video generation models, which produce realistic video sequences, are increasingly being integrated to improve situational awareness and decision-making capabilities in autonomous vehicles. This paper investigates the relationship between these two technologies, focusing on how their structural parallels, particularly in diffusion-based models, contribute to more accurate and coherent simulations of driving scenarios. We examine leading works such as JEPA, Genie, and Sora, which exemplify different approaches to world model design, thereby highlighting the lack of a universally accepted definition of world models. These diverse interpretations underscore the field's evolving understanding of how world models can be optimized for various autonomous driving tasks. Furthermore, this paper discusses the key evaluation metrics employed in this domain, such as Chamfer distance for 3D scene reconstruction and Fr\'echet Inception Distance (FID) for assessing the quality of generated video content. By analyzing the interplay between video generation and world models, this survey identifies critical challenges and future research directions, emphasizing the potential of these technologies to jointly advance the performance of autonomous driving systems. The findings presented in this paper aim to provide a comprehensive understanding of how the integration of video generation and world models can drive innovation in the development of safer and more reliable autonomous vehicles.
International Scientific Report on the Safety of Advanced AI (Interim Report)
Bengio, Yoshua, Mindermann, Sรถren, Privitera, Daniel, Besiroglu, Tamay, Bommasani, Rishi, Casper, Stephen, Choi, Yejin, Goldfarb, Danielle, Heidari, Hoda, Khalatbari, Leila, Longpre, Shayne, Mavroudis, Vasilios, Mazeika, Mantas, Ng, Kwan Yee, Okolo, Chinasa T., Raji, Deborah, Skeadas, Theodora, Tramรจr, Florian, Adekanmbi, Bayo, Christiano, Paul, Dalrymple, David, Dietterich, Thomas G., Felten, Edward, Fung, Pascale, Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier, Jennings, Nick, Krause, Andreas, Liang, Percy, Ludermir, Teresa, Marda, Vidushi, Margetts, Helen, McDermid, John A., Narayanan, Arvind, Nelson, Alondra, Oh, Alice, Ramchurn, Gopal, Russell, Stuart, Schaake, Marietje, Song, Dawn, Soto, Alvaro, Tiedrich, Lee, Varoquaux, Gaรซl, Yao, Andrew, Zhang, Ya-Qin
I am honoured to be chairing the delivery of the inaugural International Scientific Report on Advanced AI Safety. I am proud to publish this interim report which is the culmination of huge efforts by many experts over the six months since the work was commissioned at the Bletchley Park AI Safety Summit in November 2023. We know that advanced AI is developing very rapidly, and that there is considerable uncertainty over how these advanced AI systems might affect how we live and work in the future. AI has tremendous potential to change our lives for the better, but it also poses risks of harm. That is why having this thorough analysis of the available scientific literature and expert opinion is essential. The more we know, the better equipped we are to shape our collective destiny.
Toward Robust Incomplete Multimodal Sentiment Analysis via Hierarchical Representation Learning
Li, Mingcheng, Yang, Dingkang, Liu, Yang, Wang, Shunli, Chen, Jiawei, Wang, Shuaibing, Wei, Jinjie, Jiang, Yue, Xu, Qingyao, Hou, Xiaolu, Sun, Mingyang, Qian, Ziyun, Kou, Dongliang, Zhang, Lihua
Multimodal Sentiment Analysis (MSA) is an important research area that aims to understand and recognize human sentiment through multiple modalities. The complementary information provided by multimodal fusion promotes better sentiment analysis compared to utilizing only a single modality. Nevertheless, in real-world applications, many unavoidable factors may lead to situations of uncertain modality missing, thus hindering the effectiveness of multimodal modeling and degrading the model's performance. To this end, we propose a Hierarchical Representation Learning Framework (HRLF) for the MSA task under uncertain missing modalities. Specifically, we propose a fine-grained representation factorization module that sufficiently extracts valuable sentiment information by factorizing modality into sentiment-relevant and modality-specific representations through crossmodal translation and sentiment semantic reconstruction. Moreover, a hierarchical mutual information maximization mechanism is introduced to incrementally maximize the mutual information between multi-scale representations to align and reconstruct the high-level semantics in the representations. Ultimately, we propose a hierarchical adversarial learning mechanism that further aligns and adapts the latent distribution of sentiment-relevant representations to produce robust joint multimodal representations. Comprehensive experiments on three datasets demonstrate that HRLF significantly improves MSA performance under uncertain modality missing cases.
Seq-VCR: Preventing Collapse in Intermediate Transformer Representations for Enhanced Reasoning
Arefin, Md Rifat, Subbaraj, Gopeshh, Gontier, Nicolas, LeCun, Yann, Rish, Irina, Shwartz-Ziv, Ravid, Pal, Christopher
Decoder-only Transformers often struggle with complex reasoning tasks, particularly arithmetic reasoning requiring multiple sequential operations. In this work, we identify representation collapse in the model's intermediate layers as a key factor limiting their reasoning capabilities. To address this, we propose Sequential Variance-Covariance Regularization (Seq-VCR), which enhances the entropy of intermediate representations and prevents collapse. Combined with dummy pause tokens as substitutes for chain-of-thought (CoT) tokens, our method significantly improves performance in arithmetic reasoning problems. In the challenging $5 \times 5$ integer multiplication task, our approach achieves $99.5\%$ exact match accuracy, outperforming models of the same size (which yield $0\%$ accuracy) and GPT-4 with five-shot CoT prompting ($44\%$). We also demonstrate superior results on arithmetic expression and longest increasing subsequence (LIS) datasets. Our findings highlight the importance of preventing intermediate layer representation collapse to enhance the reasoning capabilities of Transformers and show that Seq-VCR offers an effective solution without requiring explicit CoT supervision.
How Far is Video Generation from World Model: A Physical Law Perspective
Kang, Bingyi, Yue, Yang, Lu, Rui, Lin, Zhijie, Zhao, Yang, Wang, Kaixin, Huang, Gao, Feng, Jiashi
OpenAI's Sora highlights the potential of video generation for developing world models that adhere to fundamental physical laws. However, the ability of video generation models to discover such laws purely from visual data without human priors can be questioned. A world model learning the true law should give predictions robust to nuances and correctly extrapolate on unseen scenarios. In this work, we evaluate across three key scenarios: in-distribution, out-of-distribution, and combinatorial generalization. We developed a 2D simulation testbed for object movement and collisions to generate videos deterministically governed by one or more classical mechanics laws. This provides an unlimited supply of data for large-scale experimentation and enables quantitative evaluation of whether the generated videos adhere to physical laws. We trained diffusion-based video generation models to predict object movements based on initial frames. Our scaling experiments show perfect generalization within the distribution, measurable scaling behavior for combinatorial generalization, but failure in out-of-distribution scenarios. Further experiments reveal two key insights about the generalization mechanisms of these models: (1) the models fail to abstract general physical rules and instead exhibit "case-based" generalization behavior, i.e., mimicking the closest training example; (2) when generalizing to new cases, models are observed to prioritize different factors when referencing training data: color > size > velocity > shape. Our study suggests that scaling alone is insufficient for video generation models to uncover fundamental physical laws, despite its role in Sora's broader success. See our project page at https://phyworld.github.io
Can Language Models Learn to Skip Steps?
Liu, Tengxiao, Guo, Qipeng, Hu, Xiangkun, Jiayang, Cheng, Zhang, Yue, Qiu, Xipeng, Zhang, Zheng
Trained on vast corpora of human language, language models demonstrate emergent human-like reasoning abilities. Yet they are still far from true intelligence, which opens up intriguing opportunities to explore the parallels of humans and model behaviors. In this work, we study the ability to skip steps in reasoning - a hallmark of human expertise developed through practice. Unlike humans, who may skip steps to enhance efficiency or to reduce cognitive load, models do not inherently possess such motivations to minimize reasoning steps. To address this, we introduce a controlled framework that stimulates step-skipping behavior by iteratively refining models to generate shorter and accurate reasoning paths. Empirical results indicate that models can develop the step skipping ability under our guidance. Moreover, after fine-tuning on expanded datasets that include both complete and skipped reasoning sequences, the models can not only resolve tasks with increased efficiency without sacrificing accuracy, but also exhibit comparable and even enhanced generalization capabilities in out-of-domain scenarios. Our work presents the first exploration into human-like step-skipping ability and provides fresh perspectives on how such cognitive abilities can benefit AI models.