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Amanuensis: The Programmer's Apprentice

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Suppose you could merely imagine a computation, and a digital prostheses, an extension of your biological brain, would turn it into code that instantly realizes what you had in mind. Imagine looking at an image, dataset or set of equations and wanting to analyze and explore its meaning as an artistic whim or part of a scientific investigation. I don't mean you would use an existing software suite to produce a standard visualization, but rather you would make use of an extensive repository of existing code to assemble a new program analogous to how a composer draws upon a repertoire of musical motifs, themes and styles to construct new works, and tantamount to having a talented musical amanuensis who, in addition to copying your scores, takes liberties with your prior work, making small alterations here and there and occasionally adding new works of its own invention, novel but consistent with your taste and sensibilities. Perhaps the interaction would be wordless and you would express your objective by simply focusing your attention and guiding your imagination, the prostheses operating directly on patterns of activation arising in your primary sensory, proprioceptive and associative cortex that have become part of an extensive vocabulary that you now share with your personal digital amanuensis. Or perhaps it would involve a conversation conducted in subvocal, unarticulated speech in which you specify what it is you want to compute and your assistant asks questions to clarify your intention and the two of you share examples of input and output to ground your internal conversation in concrete terms. More than thirty years ago, Charles Rich and Richard Waters published an MIT AI Lab technical report [68] entitled The Programmer's Apprentice: A Research Overview. Whether they intended it or not, it would have been easy in those days for someone to misremember the title and inadvertently refer to it as "The Sorcerer's Apprentice" since computer programmers at the time were often characterized as wizards and most children were familiar with the Walt Disney movie Fantasia, featuring music written by Paul Dukas inspired by Goethe's poem of the same name


Discovering Signals from Web Sources to Predict Cyber Attacks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Cyber attacks are growing in frequency and severity. Over the past year alone we have witnessed massive data breaches that stole personal information of millions of people and wide-scale ransomware attacks that paralyzed critical infrastructure of several countries. Combating the rising cyber threat calls for a multi-pronged strategy, which includes predicting when these attacks will occur. The intuition driving our approach is this: during the planning and preparation stages, hackers leave digital traces of their activities on both the surface web and dark web in the form of discussions on platforms like hacker forums, social media, blogs and the like. These data provide predictive signals that allow anticipating cyber attacks. In this paper, we describe machine learning techniques based on deep neural networks and autoregressive time series models that leverage external signals from publicly available Web sources to forecast cyber attacks. Performance of our framework across ground truth data over real-world forecasting tasks shows that our methods yield a significant lift or increase of F1 for the top signals on predicted cyber attacks. Our results suggest that, when deployed, our system will be able to provide an effective line of defense against various types of targeted cyber attacks.


Assessing the impact of machine intelligence on human behaviour: an interdisciplinary endeavour

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This document contains the outcome of the first Human behaviour and machine intelligence (HUMAINT) workshop that took place 5-6 March 2018 in Barcelona, Spain. The workshop was organized in the context of a new research programme at the Centre for Advanced Studies, Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, which focuses on studying the potential impact of artificial intelligence on human behaviour. The workshop gathered an interdisciplinary group of experts to establish the state of the art research in the field and a list of future research challenges to be addressed on the topic of human and machine intelligence, algorithm's potential impact on human cognitive capabilities and decision making, and evaluation and regulation needs. The document is made of short position statements and identification of challenges provided by each expert, and incorporates the result of the discussions carried out during the workshop. In the conclusion section, we provide a list of emerging research topics and strategies to be addressed in the near future.


Statistical Reasoning for Public Health 2: Regression Methods Coursera

@machinelearnbot

Structure: Good structure and went through all the basic principles of statistics in detail. Appreciated how it did not have to go through the methodology of each method, but taught us how to appreciate it and understand the data as it was presented in the literature. I liked how John went through the examples in the literature so it was good to see how it was utilised in practice. I wish there was a separate course to teach us how to use these methods with sample data, perhaps a taster of this would have been good to include? but I do understand that would be challenging for some. I think some in-video questions would have been good to check-up on the progress of learning.


Regression Models Coursera

@machinelearnbot

Linear models, as their name implies, relates an outcome to a set of predictors of interest using linear assumptions. Regression models, a subset of linear models, are the most important statistical analysis tool in a data scientist's toolkit. This course covers regression analysis, least squares and inference using regression models. Special cases of the regression model, ANOVA and ANCOVA will be covered as well. Analysis of residuals and variability will be investigated.


China Car Owners Use AI-Powered App to File Damage Claims

#artificialintelligence

Assessing damage caused to their rides has just gotten a lot easier for car owners in China, with the rollout of a video-based, artificial-intelligence app from Ant Financial. The Alibaba affiliate last week launched version 2.0 of its Dingsunbao (Loss Assessment Master) app, giving drivers the same power in their hands to provide detailed car-damage information to insurers and claim vehicle insurance in real time as Ant Financial gave professional insurance adjusters just under a year ago. The first version of Dingsunbao has already helped insurers, including China Taiping, China Continent Insurance, Sunshine Insurance Group and AXA Tianping process claims tens of millions of times at a rate of speed much faster than human adjusters alone could handle. "Dingsunbao has already helped the insurance industry to save over RMB 1 billion on claims handling, while saving claims adjusters around 750,000 hours of effort," said Yin Ming, president of Ant Financial's Insurance Business Unit. The AI also ensures a high degree of accuracy in damage assessment, Ant Financial said when it launched Dingsunbao last June.


Statistics & Data Analysis: Linear Regression Models in SPSS

@machinelearnbot

Linear regression is one of the essential tools in statistical analysis. In this course, we'll walk through step-by-step how to conduct many important analyses using SPSS. Although you will learn the basics of what these statistics are, we'll avoid complicated mathematical discussions and go right to what you need to know to conduct these analyses. Linear regression is basically a tool that allows you to test relationships between many variables at the same time, control for variables' effects, and create simple statistical models that allow you to make predictions. In this course, we'll cover the following key topics: You'll not only learn how to conduct these analyses, we'll also go over how to interpret the statistical results and how to graph the results using SPSS and a special Excel template I've created for you.


Regression Models Coursera

@machinelearnbot

Linear models, as their name implies, relates an outcome to a set of predictors of interest using linear assumptions. Regression models, a subset of linear models, are the most important statistical analysis tool in a data scientist's toolkit. This course covers regression analysis, least squares and inference using regression models. Special cases of the regression model, ANOVA and ANCOVA will be covered as well. Analysis of residuals and variability will be investigated.


Linear Regression and Modeling Coursera

@machinelearnbot

About this course: This course introduces simple and multiple linear regression models. These models allow you to assess the relationship between variables in a data set and a continuous response variable. Is there a relationship between the physical attractiveness of a professor and their student evaluation scores? Can we predict the test score for a child based on certain characteristics of his or her mother? In this course, you will learn the fundamental theory behind linear regression and, through data examples, learn to fit, examine, and utilize regression models to examine relationships between multiple variables, using the free statistical software R and RStudio.


5 Uses of Artificial Intelligence in Recruitment

#artificialintelligence

If you are already familiar with our Essential Recruitment Planning Guide, launched in 2017, then you will know that we provided a bonus chapter at the end of the free guide, namely the '2018 Hiring Trends.' This chapter outlined our forecasts for the hiring landscape this year. Although we weren't able to make any specific predictions for 2018 hiring trends, we did highlight the likelihood of AI technology taking off in recruitment come 2018, following the enormous success it has had in customer experience for online customer services. So, as the first quarter of the year draws to a close, let's see how the theme of AI assisted recruitment has taken shape so far in 2018. In 2017, AI was already being used in recruitment to automate certain tasks such as sourcing, screening and interview scheduling.