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How close are we to creating artificial intelligence? – David Deutsch Aeon Essays

#artificialintelligence

It is uncontroversial that the human brain has capabilities that are, in some respects, far superior to those of all other known objects in the cosmos. It is the only kind of object capable of understanding that the cosmos is even there, or why there are infinitely many prime numbers, or that apples fall because of the curvature of space-time, or that obeying its own inborn instincts can be morally wrong, or that it itself exists. Nor are its unique abilities confined to such cerebral matters. The cold, physical fact is that it is the only kind of object that can propel itself into space and back without harm, or predict and prevent a meteor strike on itself, or cool objects to a billionth of a degree above absolute zero, or detect others of its kind across galactic distances. But no brain on Earth is yet close to knowing what brains do in order to achieve any of that functionality. The enterprise of achieving it artificially -- the field of'artificial general intelligence' or AGI -- has made no progress whatever during the entire six decades of its existence. Why? Because, as an unknown sage once remarked, 'it ain't what we don't know that causes trouble, it's what we know for sure that just ain't so' (and if you know that sage was Mark Twain, then what you know ain't so either). I cannot think of any other significant field of knowledge in which the prevailing wisdom, not only in society at large but also among experts, is so beset with entrenched, overlapping, fundamental errors. Yet it has also been one of the most self-confident fields in prophesying that it will soon achieve the ultimate breakthrough. Despite this long record of failure, AGI must be possible. And that is because of a deep property of the laws of physics, namely the universality of computation.


Elon Musk says details on Tesla's Autopilot improvements coming Sunday

Los Angeles Times

Apologizing for delays and an "unusually difficult couple of weeks," Elon Musk tweeted Saturday that he finally will provide more details about promised updates to Tesla's Autopilot program. The Tesla CEO said he will do an hourlong Q&A with reporters, then publish information about Autopilot on Sunday to the company's blog. Musk had said on Aug. 31 that "major improvements" to Autopilot were coming and would be announced that day. But the next morning, a SpaceX rocket exploded in a fireball on the launch pad, putting the announcement on hold. Musk is the chief executive of both Tesla and SpaceX.


Google DeepMind's AI can mimic realistic human speech

Engadget

It's still pretty easy to tell whether it's a real person who's talking or a text-to-speech program. But there might come a time when a robot could dupe you into thinking that you're speaking with a real person, thanks to a new AI called WaveNet developed by Google's DeepMind team. They have a pretty good track record when it comes to building neural networks -- you probably know them as the folks who created AlphaGo, the AI that defeated one of the world's best Go players. Currently, developers use one of two methods to create speech programs. One involves using a large collection of words and speech fragments spoken by a single person, which makes sounds and intonations hard to manipulate.


Microsoft designs a smart fridge that reminds you what food you need

#artificialintelligence

You get home from the supermarket only to find that you've forgotten a vital ingredient for your dinner. But there is good news that could make sure you never forget key ingredients again. Microsoft has teamed up with refrigerator company, Liebherr, to create a new'SmartDeviceBox' which reminds people which foods they need to stock up on. We've all been there - you get home from the supermarket only to find that you've forgotten a vital ingredient (stock image left). But Microsoft has teamed up with Liebherr, to create a new'SmartDeviceBox' (pictured right) which reminds people which foods they need The SmartDeviceBox is an internet-connected device that uses cameras and object recognition technology to track what is in a refrigerator.


Machine Learning of the Next Decade: The Promises and the Pitfalls - DATAVERSITY

#artificialintelligence

Machine Learning (ML) technology has gained rapid strides in the current enterprise software ecosystem, as it perfectly balances the ease of adoption, deployment, and market maturity with strong business benefits. On the flip side, Machine Learning technology also threatens some core elements of the human experience such as natural processes, human labor, or traditional workflows. This article explores both the positive and negative impacts of such an all-pervading movement that is rapidly engulfing the Digital Age. Although ML is helping to tackle some of the most difficult Data Management issues like explosive data volumes, the Cloud, and Big Data, it cannot and will not be able to stand on its own without suitable intervention of human decisions makers. Many experimental ML projects such as Google Car have proven such an assertion beyond any doubt.


IBM's Machine-Learning Technologies Improve Tennis' US Open Experience

#artificialintelligence

Machine-learning technologies are proving their mettle in new applications seemingly every day. According to Fast Company, IBM's Watson will debut at the U.S. Open by using its own unique perspective on the action to enhance video quality for both the IBM-powered U.S. Open website and smartphone apps with the same streamed content. This will include detailed analytics from scoring "hot-spots" on the court to the distance each player has traveled during the match. In addition, these machine-learning technologies are being continually trained to understand and transcribe human commentary. IBM's Watson doesn't just cater to the analytical cravings of some 15 million online U.S. Open viewers, either; it also provides useful insight into the athletes themselves.


Can Deep Learning Take Cybersecurity To The Next Level? This Startup Says Yes.

#artificialintelligence

A cybersecurity startup is applying the same "deep learning" techniques that are used in modern image and voice recognition to detect malware. Deep Instinct launched late last year with a system that it says can go beyond typical antivirus programs by not only detecting known malware but also flagging dangerous software it's never encountered before. The company doesn't need to have security experts create digital rules specifying what kind of characteristics should trigger alerts, says Maya Schirmann, Deep Instinct's chief marketing officer. Instead, the system essentially trains itself by studying enormous numbers of applications, documents, images, and other common types of files, labeled simply for whether they contain malware or not. "The training phase happens on our own premises, at Deep Instinct," Schirmann says.


Setting the threshold of a binary learning model in Azure ML

#artificialintelligence

This is the last of three articles about performance measures and graphs for binary learning models in Azure ML. Binary learning models are models which just predict one of two outcomes: positive or negative. These models are very well suited to drive decisions, such as whether to administer a patient a certain drug or to include a lead in a targeted marketing campaign. This final article will cover the threshold setting, and how to find the optimal value for it. As you will learn, this requires a good understanding of error cost, that is, the cost of inaccurate predictions.


Brave New World Of Education: Your school does not use Adaptive Learning technologies?

#artificialintelligence

As parents or educators, we share a common concern: how to deal with the various speeds at which students, arbitrarily put in the same classroom, study. It is inevitable that some will be slowed down while others will be left behind. Confronted with this situation, my wife and I decided to homeschool our 4 boys. It is a very heavy investment in time and presents a significant opportunity cost that not all families can afford. Artificial intelligence and a number of technology companies promise to personalize education through Adaptive Learning.


Machine Learning Applied to the Contact Center

#artificialintelligence

Predictive analysis: Predictive analytics is the branch of the advanced analytics which is used to make predictions about unknown future events. Predictive analytics uses many techniques from data mining, statistics, modeling, machine learning, and artificial intelligence to analyze current data to make predictions about future. I am pretty sure I know what you are thinking: the above sounds somewhat Orwellian. However, what those of us adhering to the principles of data analysis are really striving for is simple: information that will assist management in increasing employee satisfaction. Use Case: Based on reports from the nGAGEMENT contact center solution - or for that matter IBM/Watson for customer service - a contact center manager finds out when specific members of his team are performing at their best.