Our main contribution in this work is an empirical finding that random General Value Functions (GVFs), i.e., deep action-conditional predictions--random both in what feature of observations they predict as well as in the sequence of actions the predictions are conditioned upon--form good auxiliary tasks for reinforcement learning (RL) problems. In particular, we show that random deep action-conditional predictions when used as auxiliary tasks yield state representations that produce control performance competitive with state-of-the-art hand-crafted auxiliary tasks like value prediction, pixel control, and CURL in both Atari and DeepMind Lab tasks. In another set of experiments we stop the gradients from the RL part of the network to the state representation learning part of the network and show, perhaps surprisingly, that the auxiliary tasks alone are sufficient to learn state representations good enough to outperform an end-to-end trained actor-critic baseline.

This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Market data provided by Factset . Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions . Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by LSEG .

As large language models (LLMs) transition from chat interfaces to integral components of stochastic pipelines and systems approaching general intelligence, the ability to faithfully sample from specified probability distributions has become a functional requirement rather than a theoretical curiosity. We present the first large-scale, statistically powered audit of native probabilistic sampling in frontier LLMs, benchmarking 11 models across 15 distributions. To disentangle failure modes, we employ a dual-protocol design: Batch Generation, where a model produces $N{=}1000$ samples within one response, and Independent Requests, comprising $N{=}1000$ stateless calls. We observe a sharp protocol asymmetry: batch generation achieves only modest statistical validity, with a 7% median pass rate, while independent requests collapse almost entirely, with 10 of 11 models passing none of the distributions. Beyond this asymmetry, we reveal that sampling fidelity degrades monotonically with distributional complexity and aggravates as the sampling horizon $N$ increases. Finally, we demonstrate how the propagation of these failures into downstream real-world application tasks introduces systematic biases: models fail to enforce uniform answer-position constraints in Multiple Choice Question generation and systematically violate demographic targets in attribute-constrained text-to-image prompt synthesis. These findings indicate that current LLMs lack a functional internal sampler, necessitating external tools for applications requiring statistical guarantees.

Network meta-analysis (NMA) combines direct and indirect comparisons across a connected treatment network to estimate relative treatment effects. However, there is a lack of exact contribution decompositions that reproduce NMA estimates, particularly in the presence of multi-arm trials that induce within-study correlations. We address this reproducibility gap by developing a contrast-space projection formulation of NMA. Working in the space of all estimable pairwise treatment contrasts, we express the NMA estimator as an explicit linear mapping of the observed contrasts onto the consistency-constrained contrast space induced by orthogonal projection. Building on this representation, we introduce a rigorous study-based definition of direct and indirect evidence through a canonical within-study reduction that removes algebraic redundancy and yields a unique, invariant decomposition. This leads to exact covariance-aware decompositions of the NMA estimator into study-level direct and indirect contributions, with indirect evidence further resolved into path-level components. The resulting weights are directly analogous to inverse-variance weights in pairwise meta-analysis and enable, to our knowledge, the first forest-plot representation that exactly reconstructs the NMA estimator. The framework also yields projection-based diagnostic and graphical tools, including forest plots, tension plots, and path-based visualizations. Applications to empirical datasets demonstrate how the proposed approach provides a reproducible and interpretable framework for understanding evidence contributions in network meta-analysis, supporting transparent interpretation and reporting.

In many longitudinal studies, a large number of variables are measured repeatedly over time, with substantial missing data. Existing methods, such as probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA), are ill-equipped to handle such incomplete, high-dimensional longitudinal data, as they fail to account for the nested sources of variation and temporal dependency inherent in repeated measures. We introduce hierarchical probabilistic principal component analysis (HPPCA), a two-level probabilistic factor model that explicitly separates between-subject variance from time-varying within-subject dynamics. The within-subject latent factors are modeled by a Gaussian process. We develop an EM algorithm to handle missing data and flexible covariance kernels, accelerated by computationally efficient initializers. Simulation studies demonstrated that HPPCA robustly recovers model parameters subspaces and substantially outperforms both standard PPCA and multivariate functional PCA in imputation accuracy, even under heavy missingness and model misspecification. An application to the long COVID symptoms in the Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery adult cohort revealed that HPPCA effectively captured the data's hierarchical structure and its learned features significantly improved the prediction of clinical outcomes and the recovery of masked clinical records compared to exisiting methods.

The Gaussian mixture model is widely used in unsupervised learning, owing to its simplicity and interpretability. However, a fundamental limitation of the classical Gaussian mixture model is that it forces each observation to belong to exactly one component. In many practical applications, such as genetics, social network analysis, and text mining, an observation may naturally belong to multiple components or exhibit partial membership in several latent components. To overcome this limitation, we propose the mixed membership sub-Gaussian model, which extends the classical Gaussian mixture framework by allowing each observation to belong to multiple components. This model inherits the interpretability of the classical Gaussian mixture model while offering greater flexibility for capturing complex overlapping structures. We develop an efficient spectral algorithm to estimate the mixed membership of each individual observation, and under mild separation conditions on the component centres, we prove that the estimation error of the per-individual membership vector can be made arbitrarily small with high probability. To our knowledge, this is the first work to provide a computationally efficient estimator with such a vanishing-error guarantee for a mixed-membership extension of the Gaussian mixture model. Extensive experimental studies demonstrate that our method outperforms existing approaches that ignore mixed memberships.

Canada's Carney has enjoyed a long political honeymoon. Mark Carney arrived on Canada's political scene last year as an Ivy League and Oxford educated economist and a former central banker for two countries. He had an impressive resume and ambitions to be prime minister but had never run for public office until replacing Justin Trudeau as Liberal leader. There was concern his lack of political experience would be a liability, but under his leadership, the Liberals won a minority government, which in a year had solidified into a narrow majority following the defection of five opposition members of parliament to his party. Carney tore up the rulebook, jumping from political neophyte to leading a G7 nation, and he is enjoying a lengthy honeymoon both in Canada and around the world as a globetrotting prime minister.

Understanding the neural basis of behavior is a fundamental goal in neuroscience. Current research in large-scale neuro-behavioral data analysis often relies on decoding models, which quantify behavioral information in neural data but lack details on behavior encoding. This raises an intriguing scientific question: how can we enable in-depth exploration of neural representations in behavioral tasks, revealing interpretable neural dynamics associated with behaviors. However, addressing this issue is challenging due to the varied behavioral encoding across different brain regions and mixed selectivity at the population level. To tackle this limitation, our approach, named (BeNeDiff), first identifies a fine-grained and disentangled neural subspace using a behavior-informed latent variable model. It then employs state-of-the-art generative diffusion models to synthesize behavior videos that interpret the neural dynamics of each latent factor.

Kevin Durant is expected to sit out Game 4 with a sprained left ankle and bone bruise, as the Rockets face elimination against the Lakers on Sunday night.

China's economy was just starting to open up in the late 1980s when a determined high school dropout made his way to Beijing with 600 pairs of shoes. Ding Shizhong had them made in a relative's factory and now he was going to sell them. The money he earned paid for his first workshop where he began making footwear for other companies. The 17-year-old was one of China's many newly minted entrepreneurs as capitalism took off under the watchful eye of its Communist Party rulers. But, as it turns out, Ding had much bigger plans.