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Partially Performative Prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Performative prediction studies feedback loops that arise when predictive models are deployed in consequential domains. In these settings, deploying a model can change the population whose patterns the model aims to predict, inducing a distribution shift that is endogenous to the learning system. This perspective departs from classical treatments of distribution shift, where shifts are typically modeled as exogenous changes in the data-generating process. Yet, in practice, distribution shift is rarely one or the other. Predictive models may influence future data through the decisions they support, while the world itself continues to drift for reasons beyond the learner's control. We study partially performative prediction, a framework that captures both endogenous and exogenous sources of distribution shift. The framework generalizes performative prediction by allowing the data distribution to evolve both in response to the deployed model and according to an external, time-varying process. We extend the central notions of performative stability and performative optimality to this setting by defining their online analogues that track the evolving partially performative environment. We analyze practical learning heuristics, including repeated retraining, and characterize when they successfully adapt to partially performative environments.


SpaceX's stock market blast-off could be Musk's biggest gamble yet

BBC News

SpaceX's stock market blast-off could be Musk's biggest gamble yet It's 07:25 am, 13 October 2024, at Starbase, near Boca Chica on the Texas side of the US/Mexico border, and on the launch pad stands the biggest rocket ever made. Its engines fire and it climbs into the skies over the Gulf of Mexico to cheers and screams in the SpaceX control room. But the launch is not the main event. What goes up must come down - and how it comes down will become a milestone in space exploration. Seven minutes later, the massive rocket booster that blasted the craft towards space starts falling back to Earth - until its engines reignite as planned.


Could humanoid robots be heading for the battlefield?

BBC News

Could humanoid robots be heading for the battlefield? I've come to an industrial space in a tech-heavy area of San Francisco expecting to see a menacing humanoid robot solider doing something combat-like: the future of land-based warfare, perhaps. Instead, the black shiny faceless Phantom robot is engaged in free play, manipulating a bunch of coloured kids blocks. We need data from it just interacting with its environment [and] this is today's menu, explains Sankaet Pathak, co-founder and CEO of two-year-old start-up Foundation Robotics, which is developing Phantom for military and civilian applications. Later he pushes its 80kg steel-covered body around the room to demonstrate its stability and shows me how it walks.


Major earthquake in the Gulf of America sends shockwaves to Florida

Daily Mail - Science & tech

Caitlyn Jenner biographer and Robin Riker's ex William Hasley found dead on hiking trail at 78 Karmelo Anthony's mother sobs with shock as son is found guilty of murdering Austin Metcalf, 17, in stabbing that horrified America: Live updates Disgraceful texts'hot' teacher sent boy, 17, who she had illegal sex with where she moaned about her HUSBAND Everyone always said I cleared my throat a lot. But then I developed shoulder pain and doctors discovered the sinister cause... the world's deadliest cancer. Don't leave it too late like I did Moment Real Housewives star Lenny Hochstein's sexual assault accuser'dances' as she leaves Star Island mansion - before filing $100k civil lawsuit Leaked transcript of UNAIRED 60 Minutes interview exposes REAL reason'callous' CBS star Scott Pelley'deserved to be fired' Urgent recall for 1.1m vehicles over fears they could spontaneously CATCH FIRE even when parked Disturbing new death scene photos show tech whistleblower's haunting final moments... as forensic report casts doubt on suicide claims: 'Execution angle' 'Great' mom, 32, tried to gas herself and her three young kids to death after inviting them to'popcorn sleepover' in car, prosecutors allege The porn-fuelled fantasy middle-class husbands are desperate to try with their wives... and it almost always ends in divorce: JANA HOCKING The historic steel mill that helped build America was written off for dead. John Oliver's private panic: Late-night curse spreads and host prepares for worst as insiders reveal his desperate'plan B'... and the industry whispers swirling about his fate Woke Vegas school compared boy to racist cross burner over pro-ICE stickers and expelled him... but did not punish pro-migrant students for class walkout, lawsuit alleges Medical student, 24, died by suicide in his white coat a day after he was suspended for alleged'inappropriate' behavior towards female patient, lawsuit alleges, as his heartbreaking goodbye note to parents is revealed Mother's final words before she was shot dead'by new husband' in front of her two young children All the backstage gossip from Miami Swim Week: Insider exposes'catty' VIP's diva demands... STEALING... and'morbidly embarrassing' celeb moment everyone is whispering about A strong earthquake that struck the Gulf of America on Monday, sending shockwaves hundreds of miles away into Florida. A 6.1 magnitude was detected west-northwest of Mantua, Cuba, with shaking reported as far north as Tallahassee.


Meta quietly removes face-recognition code from its smart glasses app

Engadget

The'disappearing into the bushes like Homer Simpson' strategy is a bold choice. Only a day after a dormant bit of code that seemed to be a facial recognition algorithm was discovered in a companion app for its smart glasses, Meta released an update which removed that code, Wired reported. The publication had first uncovered the suspicious code, internally dubbed Name Tag within Meta, while reviewing code for a Meta AI app which handles some core features of the glasses. In other words, the same app necessary for pairing Meta smart glasses to a user's phone over Bluetooth was also ready to start harvesting every face a user passed by while wearing them. It contained algorithms which would have converted photos of faces into biometric identifiers stored on-device and cross referenced with each new facial scan.


OpenAI files SEC paperwork to go public

Engadget

We expect it to leak so we're just announcing it. Exactly a week after Anthropic announced its plan to go public, OpenAI has followed suit. The company said on Monday that it confidentially submitted a S-1 form with the Securities and Exchange Commission. No date or offer price has been set by OpenAI yet for the initial public offering. We recently submitted a confidential S-1. We expect it to leak so we're just announcing it.


Flesh-eating parasite spreads to second US state as officials confirm thousands of people infected worldwide

Daily Mail - Science & tech

Caitlyn Jenner biographer and Robin Riker's ex William Hasley found dead on hiking trail at 78 Karmelo Anthony's mother sobs with shock as son is found guilty of murdering Austin Metcalf, 17, in stabbing that horrified America: Live updates Disgraceful texts'hot' teacher sent boy, 17, who she had illegal sex with where she moaned about her HUSBAND Everyone always said I cleared my throat a lot. But then I developed shoulder pain and doctors discovered the sinister cause... the world's deadliest cancer. Don't leave it too late like I did Moment Real Housewives star Lenny Hochstein's sexual assault accuser'dances' as she leaves Star Island mansion - before filing $100k civil lawsuit Leaked transcript of UNAIRED 60 Minutes interview exposes REAL reason'callous' CBS star Scott Pelley'deserved to be fired' Urgent recall for 1.1m vehicles over fears they could spontaneously CATCH FIRE even when parked Disturbing new death scene photos show tech whistleblower's haunting final moments... as forensic report casts doubt on suicide claims: 'Execution angle' 'Great' mom, 32, tried to gas herself and her three young kids to death after inviting them to'popcorn sleepover' in car, prosecutors allege The porn-fuelled fantasy middle-class husbands are desperate to try with their wives... and it almost always ends in divorce: JANA HOCKING The historic steel mill that helped build America was written off for dead. John Oliver's private panic: Late-night curse spreads and host prepares for worst as insiders reveal his desperate'plan B'... and the industry whispers swirling about his fate Woke Vegas school compared boy to racist cross burner over pro-ICE stickers and expelled him... but did not punish pro-migrant students for class walkout, lawsuit alleges Medical student, 24, died by suicide in his white coat a day after he was suspended for alleged'inappropriate' behavior towards female patient, lawsuit alleges, as his heartbreaking goodbye note to parents is revealed Mother's final words before she was shot dead'by new husband' in front of her two young children All the backstage gossip from Miami Swim Week: Insider exposes'catty' VIP's diva demands... STEALING... and'morbidly embarrassing' celeb moment everyone is whispering about MORE: Outrage as scientists push to create ticks that spread red-meat allergies: 'Isn't this biological terrorism?' The flesh-eating parasites that burrow into the living tissue of their victims have spread beyond Texas and are now moving through a second US state.


Google cuts the price of its AI Plus plan and doubles the storage

Engadget

The subscription now starts at $5 per month. Google is lowering the cost of its cheapest AI subscription to make Gemini models even easier to access. The Google AI Plus plan will now cost $5 per month, according to a post from Vikas Kansal, the company's Product Lead focused on Gemini AI subscriptions, down from its original $8 per month price. It now also comes with double the storage, 400GB instead of 200GB. The subscription plan became available in January 2026 as a cheaper way to access Google's Gemini 3 Pro model, Nano Banana Pro and Deep Research.


Apple's new Siri just works. Why can't Copilot?

PCWorld

PCWorld examines Apple's revamped Siri, which integrates AI across macOS with a focus on productivity and seamless ecosystem functionality. Apple's approach prioritizes local, private AI processing and practical user benefits, contrasting sharply with Microsoft's fragmented Copilot solutions. The unified Siri experience demonstrates how Apple's strategic AI integration creates a more holistic user experience than Windows' various disconnected tools. Apple's secret is that, like the Queen of England, it is never early, and never late. It is always on time.


You don't need to worry about recursive-self-improving AI – yet

New Scientist

You don't need to worry about recursive-self-improving AI - yet One of the world's leading artificial intelligence companies has implored the industry to pause development on AI, because the latest models could be reaching a tipping point where they become capable of redesigning themselves, growing ever more powerful and finally escaping our control. At least, that's what the headlines said. In truth, Anthropic's co-founder Jack Clark and the boss of spin-out think-tank The Anthropic Institute, Marina Favaro, have published a long blog post bigging up the capabilities of their Claude model, shortly before the company floats on the stock exchange in an initial public offering (IPO) for a rumoured $1 trillion. Let's, for a moment, ignore the vast financial elephant in the room and look at the technological claims. An AI that becomes capable of designing a more powerful version of itself, which is in turn able to pull off the same feat, is an obvious gamechanger, but it is also not a new idea.