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Modelling Seasonality and Trends in Daily Rainfall Data

Neural Information Processing Systems

This paper presents a new approach to the problem of modelling daily rainfall using neural networks. We first model the conditional distributions of rainfall amounts, in such a way that the model itself determines the order of the process, and the time-dependent shape and scale of the conditional distributions. After integrating over particular weather patterns, we are able to extract seasonal variations and long-term trends. 1 Introduction Analysis of rainfall data is important for many agricultural, ecological and engineering activities. Design of irrigation and drainage systems, for instance, needs to take account not only of mean expected rainfall, but also of rainfall volatility. Estimates of crop yields also depend on the distribution of rainfall during the growing season, as well as on the overall amount.


Receptive Field Formation in Natural Scene Environments: Comparison of Single Cell Learning Rules

Neural Information Processing Systems

We study several statistically and biologically motivated learning rules using the same visual environment, one made up of natural scenes, and the same single cell neuronal architecture. This allows us to concentrate on the feature extraction and neuronal coding properties of these rules. Included in these rules are kurtosis and skewness maximization, the quadratic form of the BCM learning rule, and single cell ICA. Using a structure removal method, we demonstrate that receptive fields developed using these rules depend on a small portion of the distribution. We find that the quadratic form of the BCM rule behaves in a manner similar to a kurtosis maximization rule when the distribution contains kurtotic directions, although the BCM modification equations are computationally simpler.


Automated Aircraft Recovery via Reinforcement Learning: Initial Experiments

Neural Information Processing Systems

An emerging use of reinforcement learning (RL) is to approximate optimal policies for large-scale control problems through extensive simulated control experience. Described here are initial experiments directed toward the development of an automated recovery system (ARS) for high-agility aircraft. An ARS is an outer-loop flight control system designed to bring the aircraft from a range of initial states to straight, level, and non-inverted flight in minimum time while satisfying constraints such as maintaining altitude and accelerations within acceptable limits. Here we describe the problem and present initial results involving only single-axis (pitch) recoveries. Through extensive simulated control experience using a medium-fidelity simulation of an F-16, the RL system approximated an optimal policy for longitudinal-stick inputs to produce near-minimum-time transitions to straight and level flight in unconstrained cases, as well as while meeting a pilot-station acceleration constraint. 2 AIRCRAFT MODEL


Agnostic Classification of Markovian Sequences

Neural Information Processing Systems

Classification of finite sequences without explicit knowledge of their statistical nature is a fundamental problem with many important applications. We propose a new information theoretic approach to this problem which is based on the following ingredients: (i) sequences are similar when they are likely to be generated by the same source; (ii) cross entropies can be estimated via "universal compression"; (iii) Markovian sequences can be asymptotically-optimally merged. With these ingredients we design a method for the classification of discrete sequences whenever they can be compressed. We introduce the method and illustrate its application for hierarchical clustering of languages and for estimating similarities of protein sequences.


Synchronized Auditory and Cognitive 40 Hz Attentional Streams, and the Impact of Rhythmic Expectation on Auditory Scene Analysis

Neural Information Processing Systems

We have developed a neural network architecture that implements a theory of attention, learning, and trans-cortical communication based on adaptive synchronization of 5-15 Hz and 30-80 Hz oscillations between cortical areas.


Dynamic Stochastic Synapses as Computational Units

Neural Information Processing Systems

In most neural network models, synapses are treated as static weights that change only on the slow time scales of learning. In fact, however, synapses are highly dynamic, and show use-dependent plasticity over a wide range of time scales. Moreover, synaptic transmission is an inherently stochastic process: a spike arriving at a presynaptic terminal triggers release of a vesicle of neurotransmitter from a release site with a probability that can be much less than one. Changes in release probability represent one of the main mechanisms by which synaptic efficacy is modulated in neural circuits. We propose and investigate a simple model for dynamic stochastic synapses that can easily be integrated into common models for neural computation. We show through computer simulations and rigorous theoretical analysis that this model for a dynamic stochastic synapse increases computational power in a nontrivial way. Our results may have implications for the processing of time-varying signals by both biological and artificial neural networks. A synapse 8 carries out computations on spike trains, more precisely on trains of spikes from the presynaptic neuron. Each spike from the presynaptic neuron mayor may not trigger the release of a neurotransmitter-filled vesicle at the synapse.


MELONET I: Neural Nets for Inventing Baroque-Style Chorale Variations

Neural Information Processing Systems

The investigation of neural information structures in music is a rather new, exciting research area bringing together different disciplines such as computer science, mathematics, musicology and cognitive science. One of its aims is to find out what determines the personal style of a composer. It has been shown that neural network models - better than other AI approaches - are able to learn and reproduce styledependent features from given examples, e.g., chorale harmonizations in the style of Johann Sebastian Bach (Hild et al., 1992). However when dealing with melodic sequences, e.g., folksong style melodies, all of these models have considerable difficulties to learn even simple structures. The reason is that they are unable to capture high-order structure such as harmonies, motifs and phrases simultaneously occurring at multiple time scales.


Dynamic Stochastic Synapses as Computational Units

Neural Information Processing Systems

In most neural network models, synapses are treated as static weights that change only on the slow time scales of learning. In fact, however, synapses are highly dynamic, and show use-dependent plasticity over a wide range of time scales. Moreover, synaptic transmission is an inherently stochastic process: a spike arriving at a presynaptic terminal triggers release of a vesicle of neurotransmitter from a release site with a probability that can be much less than one. Changes in release probability represent one of the main mechanisms by which synaptic efficacy is modulated in neural circuits. We propose and investigate a simple model for dynamic stochastic synapses that can easily be integrated into common models for neural computation. We show through computer simulations and rigorous theoretical analysis that this model for a dynamic stochastic synapse increases computational power in a nontrivial way. Our results may have implications for the processing of time-varying signals by both biological and artificial neural networks. A synapse 8 carries out computations on spike trains, more precisely on trains of spikes from the presynaptic neuron. Each spike from the presynaptic neuron mayor may not trigger the release of a neurotransmitter-filled vesicle at the synapse.


Extended ICA Removes Artifacts from Electroencephalographic Recordings

Neural Information Processing Systems

Severe contamination of electroencephalographic (EEG) activity by eye movements, blinks, muscle, heart and line noise is a serious problem for EEG interpretation and analysis. Rejecting contaminated EEG segments results in a considerable loss of information and may be impractical for clinical data. Many methods have been proposed to remove eye movement and blink artifacts from EEG recordings. Often regression in the time or frequency domain is performed on simultaneous EEG and electrooculographic (EOG) recordings to derive parameters characterizing the appearance and spread of EOG artifacts in the EEG channels. However, EOG records also contain brain signals [1, 2], so regressing out EOG activity inevitably involves subtracting a portion of the relevant EEG signal from each recording as well. Regression cannot be used to remove muscle noise or line noise, since these have no reference channels. Here, we propose a new and generally applicable method for removing a wide variety of artifacts from EEG records. The method is based on an extended version of a previous Independent Component Analysis (lCA) algorithm [3, 4] for performing blind source separation on linear mixtures of independent source signals with either sub-Gaussian or super-Gaussian distributions. Our results show that ICA can effectively detect, separate and remove activity in EEG records from a wide variety of artifactual sources, with results comparing favorably to those obtained using regression-based methods.