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The Nonparanormal: Semiparametric Estimation of High Dimensional Undirected Graphs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recent methods for estimating sparse undirected graphs for real-valued data in high dimensional problems rely heavily on the assumption of normality. We show how to use a semiparametric Gaussian copula--or "nonparanormal"--for high dimensional inference. Just as additive models extend linear models by replacing linear functions with a set of one-dimensional smooth functions, the nonparanormal extends the normal by transforming the variables by smooth functions. We derive a method for estimating the nonparanormal, study the method's theoretical properties, and show that it works well in many examples.


Impact of Cognitive Radio on Future Management of Spectrum

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cognitive radio is a breakthrough technology which is expected to have a profound impact on the way radio spectrum will be accessed, managed and shared in the future. In this paper I examine some of the implications of cognitive radio for future management of spectrum. Both a near-term view involving the opportunistic spectrum access model and a longer-term view involving a self-regulating dynamic spectrum access model within a society of cognitive radios are discussed.


Policy Iteration for Decentralized Control of Markov Decision Processes

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Coordination of distributed agents is required for problems arising in many areas, including multi-robot systems, networking and e-commerce. As a formal framework for such problems, we use the decentralized partially observable Markov decision process (DEC-POMDP). Though much work has been done on optimal dynamic programming algorithms for the single-agent version of the problem, optimal algorithms for the multiagent case have been elusive. The main contribution of this paper is an optimal policy iteration algorithm for solving DEC-POMDPs. The algorithm uses stochastic finite-state controllers to represent policies. The solution can include a correlation device, which allows agents to correlate their actions without communicating. This approach alternates between expanding the controller and performing value-preserving transformations, which modify the controller without sacrificing value. We present two efficient value-preserving transformations: one can reduce the size of the controller and the other can improve its value while keeping the size fixed. Empirical results demonstrate the usefulness of value-preserving transformations in increasing value while keeping controller size to a minimum. To broaden the applicability of the approach, we also present a heuristic version of the policy iteration algorithm, which sacrifices convergence to optimality. This algorithm further reduces the size of the controllers at each step by assuming that probability distributions over the other agents' actions are known. While this assumption may not hold in general, it helps produce higher quality solutions in our test problems.


Faith in the Algorithm, Part 1: Beyond the Turing Test

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Since the Turing test was first proposed by Alan Turing in 1950, the primary goal of artificial intelligence has been predicated on the ability for computers to imitate human behavior. However, the majority of uses for the computer can be said to fall outside the domain of human abilities and it is exactly outside of this domain where computers have demonstrated their greatest contribution to intelligence. Another goal for artificial intelligence is one that is not predicated on human mimicry, but instead, on human amplification. This article surveys various systems that contribute to the advancement of human and social intelligence. The alleged shortcut to knowledge, which is faith, is only a short-circuit destroying the mind.


Asynchronous Forward Bounding for Distributed COPs

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

A new search algorithm for solving distributed constraint optimization problems (DisCOPs) is presented. Agents assign variables sequentially and compute bounds on partial assignments asynchronously. The asynchronous bounds computation is based on the propagation of partial assignments. The asynchronous forward-bounding algorithm (AFB) is a distributed optimization search algorithm that keeps one consistent partial assignment at all times. The algorithm is described in detail and its correctness proven. Experimental evaluation shows that AFB outperforms synchronous branch and bound by many orders of magnitude, and produces a phase transition as the tightness of the problem increases. This is an analogous effect to the phase transition that has been observed when local consistency maintenance is applied to MaxCSPs. The AFB algorithm is further enhanced by the addition of a backjumping mechanism, resulting in the AFB-BJ algorithm. Distributed backjumping is based on accumulated information on bounds of all values and on processing concurrently a queue of candidate goals for the next move back. The AFB-BJ algorithm is compared experimentally to other DisCOP algorithms (ADOPT, DPOP, OptAPO) and is shown to be a very efficient algorithm for DisCOPs.


Back analysis of microplane model parameters using soft computing methods

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Concrete is one of the most frequently used materials in Civil Engineering. Nevertheless, as a highly heterogeneous material, it shows very complex nonlinear behavior, which is extremely difficult to describe by a sound constitutive law. As a consequence, numerical simulation of response of complex concrete structures still remains a very challenging and demanding topic in engineering computational modeling. One of the most promising approaches to modeling of concrete behavior is based on the microplane concept, see, e.g., [7, Chapter 25] for general exposition and [1] for the most recent version of this family of models. It leads a fully three-dimensional material law that incorporates tensional and compressive softening, damage of the material, supports different combinations of loading, unloading and cyclic loading along with the development of damage-induced anisotropy of the material.


A competitive comparison of different types of evolutionary algorithms

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents comparison of several stochastic optimization algorithms developed by authors in their previous works for the solution of some problems arising in Civil Engineering. The introduced optimization methods are: the integer augmented simulated annealing (IASA), the real-coded augmented simulated annealing (RASA) [10], the differential evolution (DE) in its original fashion developed by R. Storn and K. Price[15] and simplified real-coded differential genetic algorithm (SADE) [6]. Each of these methods was developed for some specific optimization problem; namely the Chebychev trial polynomial problem, the so called type 0 function and two engineering problems - the reinforced concrete beam layout and the periodic unit cell problem respectively. Detailed and extensive numerical tests were performed to examine the stability and efficiency of proposed algorithms. The results of our experiments suggest that the performance and robustness of RASA, IASA and SADE methods are comparable, while the DE algorithm performs slightly worse. This fact together with a small number of internal parameters promotes the SADE method as the most robust for practical use.


Sparse partial least squares for on-line variable selection in multivariate data streams

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper we propose a computationally efficient algorithm for on-line variable selection in multivariate regression problems involving high dimensional data streams. The algorithm recursively extracts all the latent factors of a partial least squares solution and selects the most important variables for each factor. This is achieved by means of only one sparse singular value decomposition which can be efficiently updated on-line and in an adaptive fashion. Simulation results based on artificial data streams demonstrate that the algorithm is able to select important variables in dynamic settings where the correlation structure among the observed streams is governed by a few hidden components and the importance of each variable changes over time. We also report on an application of our algorithm to a multivariate version of the "enhanced index tracking" problem using financial data streams. The application consists of performing on-line asset allocation with the objective of overperforming two benchmark indices simultaneously.


A Model for Managing Collections of Patterns

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Data mining algorithms are now able to efficiently deal with huge amount of data. Various kinds of patterns may be discovered and may have some great impact on the general development of knowledge. In many domains, end users may want to have their data mined by data mining tools in order to extract patterns that could impact their business. Nevertheless, those users are often overwhelmed by the large quantity of patterns extracted in such a situation. Moreover, some privacy issues, or some commercial one may lead the users not to be able to mine the data by themselves. Thus, the users may not have the possibility to perform many experiments integrating various constraints in order to focus on specific patterns they would like to extract. Post processing of patterns may be an answer to that drawback. Thus, in this paper we present a framework that could allow end users to manage collections of patterns. We propose to use an efficient data structure on which some algebraic operators may be used in order to retrieve or access patterns in pattern bases.


Alleviating Media Bias Through Intelligent Agent Blogging

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Consumers of mass media must have a comprehensive, balanced and plural selection of news to get an unbiased perspective; but achieving this goal can be very challenging, laborious and time consuming. News stories development over time, its (in)consistency, and different level of coverage across the media outlets are challenges that a conscientious reader has to overcome in order to alleviate bias. In this paper we present an intelligent agent framework currently facilitating analysis of the main sources of on-line news in El Salvador. We show how prior tools of text analysis and Web 2.0 technologies can be combined with minimal manual intervention to help individuals on their rational decision process, while holding media outlets accountable for their work.