Understanding the patterns of correlations between the components of complex systems is a fundamental issue in various scientific fields, ranging from neurobiology to genomic, from finance to sociology,... A recurrent problem is to distinguish between direct correlations, produced by physiological or functional interactions between the components, and network correlations, which are mediated by other, third-party components. Various approaches have been proposed to infer interactions from correlations, exploiting concepts related to statistical dimensional reduction [1], causality [2], the maximum entropy principle [3], Markov random fields [4]... A major practical and theoretical difficulty in doing so is the paucity and the quality of data: reliable analysis should be able to unveil real patterns of interactions, even if measures are affected by under-or noisy sampling. The size of the interaction network can be comparable to or larger than the number of data, a situation referred to as highdimensional inference. The purpose of the present work is to establish a quantitative correspondence between two of those approaches, namely the inference of Boltzmann Machines (also called Ising model in statistical physics and undirected graphical models for discrete variables in statistical inference [4]) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) [1]. Inverse Boltzmann Machines (BM) are a mathematically well-founded but computationally challenging approach to infer interactions from correlations.

The article proposes an expert system for detection, and subsequent investigation, of groups of collaborating automobile insurance fraudsters. The system is described and examined in great detail, several technical difficulties in detecting fraud are also considered, for it to be applicable in practice. Opposed to many other approaches, the system uses networks for representation of data. Networks are the most natural representation of such a relational domain, allowing formulation and analysis of complex relations between entities. Fraudulent entities are found by employing a novel assessment algorithm, Iterative Assessment Algorithm (IAA), also presented in the article. Besides intrinsic attributes of entities, the algorithm explores also the relations between entities. The prototype was evaluated and rigorously analyzed on real world data. Results show that automobile insurance fraud can be efficiently detected with the proposed system and that appropriate data representation is vital. Key words: Fraud detection, Automobile insurance, Social network analysis, Link analysis, Assessment propagation 1. Introduction Fraud is encountered in a variety of domains. It comes in all different shapes and sizes, from traditional fraud, e.g. Such groups can be found in the automobile insurance domain. Here fraudsters stage traffic accidents and issue fake insurance claims to gain (unjustified) funds from their general or vehicle insurance. There are also cases where an accident has never occurred, and the vehicles have only been placed onto the road. Still, the majority of such fraud is not planned (opportunistic fraud) - an individual only seizes the opportunity arising from the accident and issues exaggerated insurance claims or claims for past damages. Staged accidents have several common characteristics. They occur in late hours and non-urban areas in order to reduce the probability of witnesses. Drivers are usually younger males, there are many passengers in the vehicles, but never children or elders. The police is always called to the scene to make the subsequent acquisition of means easier. It is also not uncommon that all of the participants have multiple (serious) injuries, when there is almost no damage on the vehicles. Many other suspicious characteristics exist, not mentioned here.

The Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence was pleased to present the 2010 Fall Symposium Series, held Thursday through Saturday, November 11-13, at the Westin Arlington Gateway in Arlington, Virginia. The titles of the eight symposia are as follows: (1) Cognitive and Metacognitive Educational Systems; (2) Commonsense Knowledge; (3) Complex Adaptive Systems: Resilience, Robustness, and Evolvability; (4) Computational Models of Narrative; (5) Dialog with Robots; (6) Manifold Learning and Its Applications; (7) Proactive Assistant Agents; and (8) Quantum Informatics for Cognitive, Social, and Semantic Processes. The highlights of each symposium are presented in this report.

There is a Transfer Learning Toolkit for Matlab available on the web. Transfer learning has developed techniques for classification, regression, and clustering (as summarized in Pan and Yang's 2009 survey) and for complex interactive tasks that are often best addressed by reinforcement learning techniques. And transfer learning has been applied to domains as diverse as named entity recognition, image clustering, information retrieval, link prediction, AP physics, and others. As with many human-level AI goals, transfer learning is still a long way from the ability for agents to take advantage of relevant previous learned knowledge and experience to perform (at least) competently and effectively on new tasks the first time they are encountered. However, there is a more practical and more feasible goal for transfer learning against which progress is being made.

IEA / AIE-11 will be held June 28-July 4, 2011, in Syracuse, This page includes forthcoming AAAI sponsored conferences, conferences presented New York USA. by AAAI Affiliates, and conferences held in cooperation with AAAI. IE'11 will be held July 5-8, 2011 at Nottingham The Twenty-Fourth International Florida 2011 Robotics: Science and Systems AAAI Spring Symposium Series will be AI Research Society Conference. RSS 2011 will be held held March 21-23, 2011 in Stanford, Flairs-2011 will be held May 18-20, June 27-30, 2011, at the University of California. ICAPS 2011 will be held June 11-16, Artificial Intelligence. UAI 2011 will ICWSM-11 will be held in July 17-21 in 2011 in Freiburg, Germany.

Sequential decision tasks present many opportunities for the study of transfer learning. A principal one among them is the existence of multiple domains that share the same underlying causal structure for actions. We describe an approach that exploits this shared causal structure to discover a hierarchical task structure in a source domain, which in turn speeds up learning of task execution knowledge in a new target domain. Our approach is theoretically justified and compares favorably to manually designed task hierarchies in learning efficiency in the target domain. We demonstrate that causally motivated task hierarchies transfer more robustly than other kinds of detailed knowledge that depend on the idiosyncrasies of the source domain and are hence less transferable.

This project describes the electricity demand and energy consumption management system and its application to Southern Peru smelter. It is composed of an hourly demand-forecasting module and of a simulation component for a plant electrical system. The first module was done using dynamic neural networks with backpropagation training algorithm; it is used to predict the electric power demanded every hour, with an error percentage below of 1%. This information allows efficient management of energy peak demands before this happen, distributing the raise of electric load to other hours or improving those equipments that increase the demand. The simulation module is based in advanced estimation techniques, such as: parametric estimation, neural network modeling, statistic regression and previously developed models, which simulates the electric behavior of the smelter plant. These modules facilitate electricity demand and consumption proper planning, because they allow knowing the behavior of the hourly demand and the consumption patterns of the plant, including the bill components, but also energy deficiencies and opportunities for improvement, based on analysis of information about equipments, processes and production plans, as well as maintenance programs. Finally the results of its application in Southern Peru smelter are presented.

New this year: Attendance at the tutorials is May 20, 2011.

The Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence was pleased to present the 2010 Fall Symposium Series, held Thursday through Saturday, November 11-13, at the Westin Arlington Gateway in Arlington, Virginia. The titles of the eight symposia are as follows: (1) Cognitive and Metacognitive Educational Systems; (2) Commonsense Knowledge; (3) Complex Adaptive Systems: Resilience, Robustness, and Evolvability; (4) Computational Models of Narrative; (5) Dialog with Robots; (6) Manifold Learning and Its Applications; (7) Proactive Assistant Agents ; and (8) Quantum Informatics for Cognitive, Social, and Semantic Processes. The highlights of each symposium are presented in this report.

EAAI encourages the sharing of innovative educational approaches that convey or leverage AI and its many subfields, including robotics, machine learning, natural language, and computer vision. EAAI follows the successful 2008 Spring Symposium on "Using AI to Motivate Greater Participation in Computer Science" and the 2008 AAAI AI Education Colloquium. Fifty-five attendees formally registered for the event, but many other AAAI attendees also visited one or more EAAI events. EAAI is planned to become an annual event; EAAI-11 will be held in San Francisco on August 9-10, 2011, collocated with AAAI-11. The 2010 symposium included an invited talk, paper presentations, model AI assignments, a teaching and mentoring workshop, a best educational video award, and a robotics track.