Industry
A Temporal Logic of Strategic Knowledge
Huang, Xiaowei (The University of New South Wales) | Meyden, Ron van der (The University of New South Wales)
The paper presents an extension of temporal epistemic logic that adds "strategic" agents in a way that allows standard epistemic operators to capture what agents could deduce from knowledge of the strategies of some subset of the set of agents. A number of examples are presented to demonstrate the broad applicability of the framework, including reasoning about implementations of knowledge-based programs, game theoretic solution concepts and notions from computer security. It is shown that notions from several variants of alternating temporal epistemic logic can be expressed. The framework is shown to have a decidable model checking problem.
Qualitative Spatial Representation and Reasoning in Angry Birds: The Extended Rectangle Algebra
Zhang, Peng (The Australian National University) | Renz, Jochen (The Australian National University)
Angry Birds is a popular video game where the task is to kill pigs protected by a structure composed of different building blocks that observe the laws of physics. The structure can be destroyed by shooting the angrybirds at it. The fewer birds we use and the more blocks we destroy, the higher the score. One approach to solve the game is by analysing the structure and identifying its strength and weaknesses. This can then be used to decide where to hit the structure with the birds. In this paper we use a qualitative spatial reasoning approach for this task. We develop a novel qualitative spatial calculus for representing and analysing the structure. Our calculus allows us to express and evaluate structural properties and rules, and to infer for each building block which of these properties and rules are satisfied. We use this to compute a heuristic value for each block that corresponds to how useful it is to hit that block. We evaluate our approach by comparing the suggested shot with other possible shots.
Classification-based Approximate Policy Iteration: Experiments and Extended Discussions
Farahmand, Amir-massoud, Precup, Doina, Barreto, Andrรฉ M. S., Ghavamzadeh, Mohammad
Tackling large approximate dynamic programming or reinforcement learning problems requires methods that can exploit regularities, or intrinsic structure, of the problem in hand. Most current methods are geared towards exploiting the regularities of either the value function or the policy. We introduce a general classification-based approximate policy iteration (CAPI) framework, which encompasses a large class of algorithms that can exploit regularities of both the value function and the policy space, depending on what is advantageous. This framework has two main components: a generic value function estimator and a classifier that learns a policy based on the estimated value function. We establish theoretical guarantees for the sample complexity of CAPI-style algorithms, which allow the policy evaluation step to be performed by a wide variety of algorithms (including temporal-difference-style methods), and can handle nonparametric representations of policies. Our bounds on the estimation error of the performance loss are tighter than existing results. We also illustrate this approach empirically on several problems, including a large HIV control task.
Monotone Temporal Planning: Tractability, Extensions and Applications
Cooper, M., Maris, F., Rรฉgnier, P.
This paper describes a polynomially-solvable class of temporal planning problems. Polynomiality follows from two assumptions. Firstly, by supposing that each sub-goal fluent can be established by at most one action, we can quickly determine which actions are necessary in any plan. Secondly, the monotonicity of sub-goal fluents allows us to express planning as an instance of STPโ (Simple Temporal Problem with difference constraints). This class includes temporally-expressive problems requiring the concurrent execution of actions, with potential applications in the chemical, pharmaceutical and construction industries. We also show that any (temporal) planning problem has a monotone relaxation which can lead to the polynomial-time detection of its unsolvability in certain cases. Indeed we show that our relaxation is orthogonal to relaxations based on the ignore-deletes approach used in classical planning since it preserves deletes and can also exploit temporal information.
Personalized Medical Treatments Using Novel Reinforcement Learning Algorithms
In both the fields of computer science and medicine there is very strong interest in developing personalized treatment policies for patients who have variable responses to treatments. In particular, I aim to find an optimal personalized treatment policy which is a non-deterministic function of the patient specific covariate data that maximizes the expected survival time or clinical outcome. I developed an algorithmic framework to solve multistage decision problem with a varying number of stages that are subject to censoring in which the "rewards" are expected survival times. In specific, I developed a novel Q-learning algorithm that dynamically adjusts for these parameters. Furthermore, I found finite upper bounds on the generalized error of the treatment paths constructed by this algorithm. I have also shown that when the optimal Q-function is an element of the approximation space, the anticipated survival times for the treatment regime constructed by the algorithm will converge to the optimal treatment path. I demonstrated the performance of the proposed algorithmic framework via simulation studies and through the analysis of chronic depression data and a hypothetical clinical trial. The censored Q-learning algorithm I developed is more effective than the state of the art clinical decision support systems and is able to operate in environments when many covariate parameters may be unobtainable or censored.
Infinite Structured Hidden Semi-Markov Models
Huggins, Jonathan H., Wood, Frank
This paper reviews recent advances in Bayesian nonparametric techniques for constructing and performing inference in infinite hidden Markov models. We focus on variants of Bayesian nonparametric hidden Markov models that enhance a posteriori state-persistence in particular. This paper also introduces a new Bayesian nonparametric framework for generating left-to- right and other structured, explicit-duration infinite hidden Markov models that we call the infinite structured hidden semi-Markov model .
Data Requirement for Phylogenetic Inference from Multiple Loci: A New Distance Method
Dasarathy, Gautam, Nowak, Robert, Roch, Sebastien
We consider the problem of estimating the evolutionary history of a set of species (phylogeny or species tree) from several genes. It is known that the evolutionary history of individual genes (gene trees) might be topologically distinct from each other and from the underlying species tree, possibly confounding phylogenetic analysis. A further complication in practice is that one has to estimate gene trees from molecular sequences of finite length. We provide the first full data-requirement analysis of a species tree reconstruction method that takes into account estimation errors at the gene level. Under that criterion, we also devise a novel reconstruction algorithm that provably improves over all previous methods in a regime of interest.
Set Constraint Model and Automated Encoding into SAT: Application to the Social Golfer Problem
Lardeux, Frรฉdรฉric, Monfroy, Eric, Crawford, Broderick, Soto, Ricardo
A CSP is defined by some variables (generally over finite domains) and constraints between these variables. Solving a CSP consists in finding assignments of the variables that satisfy the constraints. One of the main strength of CSP is declarativity: variables can be of various types (finite domains, floating point numbers, intervals, sets,...) and constraints as well (linear arithmetic constraints, set constraints, non linear constraints, Boolean constraints, symbolic constraints,...). Moreover, the so-called global constraints not only improve solving efficiency but also declarativity: they propose new constructs and relations such as alldifferent (to enforce that all the variables of a list have different values), cumulative (to schedule tasks sharing resources),... On the other hand, the propositional satisfiability problem (SAT) [12] is restricted (in terms of declarativity) to Boolean variables and propositional formulae. However, SAT solvers can now handle huge SAT instances (millions of variables).
An Efficient Hybrid CS and K-Means Algorithm for the Capacitated PMedian Problem
Mazinan, Hassan Gholami, Ahmadi, Gholam Reza, Khaji, Erfan
The capacitated P-median problem (CPMP) is an NPcomplete problem which investigates the problem of partitioning a set of N nodes into M different disjoint clusters, each represented by a certain node that is designed as concentrator. The NM nodes that are not chosen as concentrators are referred as terminals. The partitioning of the initial N nodes must be performed in such a way that a measure of total distance between the terminals and their corresponding concentrators is minimized. In addition, a capacity constraint imposed on the concentrators must be met, in order to obtain feasible solutions to the problem [1-4]. A direct application of the CPMP is in the context of communication networks deployment, where a set of terminals in the network must be assigned to the corresponding concentrator in order to compose access networks that satisfy the rate requirements of such terminals [5]. In this context, most of the efforts so far has focused on the topological design of communication networks (e.g. Wireless Sensor Networks (WSN), backbone networks or mobile networks [6-8]) since many of the processes involved in such networks can be approached as a CPMP problem, e.g.
Learning Nonlinear Functions Using Regularized Greedy Forest
We consider the problem of learning a forest of nonlinear decision rules with general loss functions. The standard methods employ boosted decision trees such as Adaboost for exponential loss and Friedman's gradient boosting for general loss. In contrast to these traditional boosting algorithms that treat a tree learner as a black box, the method we propose directly learns decision forests via fully-corrective regularized greedy search using the underlying forest structure. Our method achieves higher accuracy and smaller models than gradient boosting (and Adaboost with exponential loss) on many datasets.