Industry
Falcons help keep bird poop off your delicious cherries
They might be the smallest falcon, but American kestrels still intimidate other birds. Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent every weekday. No one wants poop on their cherries . Farmers in northern Michigan could get some help on this fecal matter from some feathered allies. Small falcons called the American kestrel help deter smaller birds that like to snack on the fruit when it is growing.
Japan town retracts bear sighting warning sparked by AI image
A bear warning sign is displayed in Shirakawa-go, a popular tourist spot in Gifu Prefecture. A town in Miyagi Prefecture has retracted its social media post warning of a bear sighting after discovering an image submitted to it had been generated using artificial intelligence. A Japanese town has deleted a social media post warning of a bear sighting after discovering that a picture it had received showing the fearsome creature was generated using artificial intelligence. Similar fake images have been circulating online as fear of bears runs high in the country, where the animals have killed a record 13 people this year. "The town prioritized informing residents to avoid danger, but we apologize for causing any anxiety or confusion," the town of Onagawa, Miyagi Prefecture, said on its official X social media account on Wednesday.
Australia clamps downs on 'nudify' sites used for AI-generated child abuse
Australia clamps downs on'nudify' sites used for AI-generated child abuse Internet users in Australia have been blocked from accessing several websites that used artificial intelligence to create child sexual exploitation material, the country's internet regulator has announced. The three "nudify" sites withdrew from Australia following an official warning, eSafety Commissioner Julie Inman Grant said on Thursday. Grant said such "nudify" services, which allow users to make images of real people appear naked using AI, have had a "devastating" effect in Australian schools. "We took enforcement action in September because this provider failed to put in safeguards to prevent its services being used to create child sexual exploitation material and were even marketing features like undressing'any girl,' and with options for'schoolgirl' image generation and features such as'sex mode,'" Grand said in a statement. The development comes after Grant's office issued a formal warning to the United Kingdom-based company behind the sites in September, threatening civil penalties of up to 49.5 million Australian dollars ($32.2m) if it did not introduce safeguards to prevent image-based abuse.
How does 3D printing work?
Technology Engineering How does 3D printing work? Rapid prototyping is a relatively simple process that can be scaled up or down. Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent every weekday. Since 3D printers debuted in the 1980s, the devices have been used to build meat, chocolate, human organs, clothing, cars, and houses . It's more mainstream than ever, and you can buy a machine for less than $200.
Amazon is blowing out Snow Joe electric snow blowers for as low as 149 during Black Friday
If you're still using a gas-powered snow blower, it's time to upgrade. Save up to 43% on Snow Joe snow blowers for Black Friday. We may earn revenue from the products available on this page and participate in affiliate programs. If you're still using a gas-powered snow blower to clear your driveways and walkways in the winter, it's time to go electric. For Black Friday, Amazon has dropped the prices on some of our favorite electric snow blowers to year-lows.
On Evolution-Based Models for Experimentation Under Interference
Shirani, Sadegh, Bayati, Mohsen
Causal effect estimation in networked systems is central to data-driven decision making. In such settings, interventions on one unit can spill over to others, and in complex physical or social systems, the interaction pathways driving these interference structures remain largely unobserved. We argue that for identifying population-level causal effects, it is not necessary to recover the exact network structure; instead, it suffices to characterize how those interactions contribute to the evolution of outcomes. Building on this principle, we study an evolution-based approach that investigates how outcomes change across observation rounds in response to interventions, hence compensating for missing network information. Using an exposure-mapping perspective, we give an axiomatic characterization of when the empirical distribution of outcomes follows a low-dimensional recursive equation, and identify minimal structural conditions under which such evolution mappings exist. We frame this as a distributional counterpart to difference-in-differences. Rather than assuming parallel paths for individual units, it exploits parallel evolution patterns across treatment scenarios to estimate counterfactual trajectories. A key insight is that treatment randomization plays a role beyond eliminating latent confounding; it induces an implicit sampling from hidden interference channels, enabling consistent learning about heterogeneous spillover effects. We highlight causal message passing as an instantiation of this method in dense networks while extending to more general interference structures, including influencer networks where a small set of units drives most spillovers. Finally, we discuss the limits of this approach, showing that strong temporal trends or endogenous interference can undermine identification.
Bridging the Unavoidable A Priori: A Framework for Comparative Causal Modeling
Hovmand, Peter S., O'Donnell, Kari, Ogland-Hand, Callie, Biroscak, Brian, Gunzler, Douglas D.
AI/ML models have rapidly gained prominence as innovations for solving previously unsolved problems and their unintended consequences from amplifying human biases. Advocates for responsible AI/ML have sought ways to draw on the richer causal models of system dynamics to better inform the development of responsible AI/ML. However, a major barrier to advancing this work is the difficulty of bringing together methods rooted in different underlying assumptions (i.e., Dana Meadow's "the unavoidable a priori"). This paper brings system dynamics and structural equation modeling together into a common mathematical framework that can be used to generate systems from distributions, develop methods, and compare results to inform the underlying epistemology of system dynamics for data science and AI/ML applications.
Some aspects of robustness in modern Markov Chain Monte Carlo
Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a flexible approach to approximate sampling from intractable probability distributions, with a rich theoretical foundation and comprising a wealth of exemplar algorithms. While the qualitative correctness of MCMC algorithms is often easy to ensure, their practical efficiency is contingent on the `target' distribution being reasonably well-behaved. In this work, we concern ourself with the scenario in which this good behaviour is called into question, reviewing an emerging line of work on `robust' MCMC algorithms which can perform acceptably even in the face of certain pathologies. We focus on two particular pathologies which, while simple, can already have dramatic effects on standard `local' algorithms. The first is roughness, whereby the target distribution varies so rapidly that the numerical stability of the algorithm is tenuous. The second is flatness, whereby the landscape of the target distribution is instead so barren and uninformative that one becomes lost in uninteresting parts of the state space. In each case, we formulate the pathology in concrete terms, review a range of proposed algorithmic remedies to the pathology, and outline promising directions for future research.
Estimation in high-dimensional linear regression: Post-Double-Autometrics as an alternative to Post-Double-Lasso
Hué, Sullivan, Laurent, Sébastien, Aiounou, Ulrich, Flachaire, Emmanuel
Post-Double-Lasso is becoming the most popular method for estimating linear regression models with many covariates when the purpose is to obtain an accurate estimate of a parameter of interest, such as an average treatment effect. However, this method can suffer from substantial omitted variable bias in finite sample. We propose a new method called Post-Double-Autometrics, which is based on Autometrics, and show that this method outperforms Post-Double-Lasso.
Nonconvex Penalized LAD Estimation in Partial Linear Models with DNNs: Asymptotic Analysis and Proximal Algorithms
Feng, Lechen, Li, Haoran, Li, Lucky, Zhao, Xingqiu
This paper investigates the partial linear model by Least Absolute Deviation (LAD) regression. We parameterize the nonparametric term using Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) and formulate a penalized LAD problem for estimation. Specifically, our model exhibits the following challenges. First, the regularization term can be nonconvex and nonsmooth, necessitating the introduction of infinite dimensional variational analysis and nonsmooth analysis into the asymptotic normality discussion. Second, our network must expand (in width, sparsity level and depth) as more samples are observed, thereby introducing additional difficulties for theoretical analysis. Third, the oracle of the proposed estimator is itself defined through a ultra high-dimensional, nonconvex, and discontinuous optimization problem, which already entails substantial computational and theoretical challenges. Under such the challenges, we establish the consistency, convergence rate, and asymptotic normality of the estimator. Furthermore, we analyze the oracle problem itself and its continuous relaxation. We study the convergence of a proximal subgradient method for both formulations, highlighting their structural differences lead to distinct computational subproblems along the iterations. In particular, the relaxed formulation admits significantly cheaper proximal updates, reflecting an inherent trade-off between statistical accuracy and computational tractability.