Industry
Principled Fine-tuning of LLMs from User-Edits: A Medley of Preference, Supervision, and Reward
Misra, Dipendra, Pacchiano, Aldo, Chi, Ta-Chung, Gao, Ge
We study how to fine-tune LLMs using user-edit deployment data consisting of a set of context, an agent's response, and user edits. This deployment data is naturally generated by users in applications such as LLMs-based writing assistants and coding agents. The _natural_ origin of user edits makes it a desired source for adapting and personalizing LLMs. In this setup, there emerges a unification of various feedback types namely preferences, supervised labels, and cost that are typically studied separately in the literature. In this paper, we initiate the theoretical investigation of learning from user edits. We first derive bounds for learning algorithms that learn from each of these feedback types. We prove that these algorithms have different trade-offs depending upon the user, data distribution, and model class. We then propose a simple ensembling procedure to jointly learn from these feedback types. On two domains adapted from Gao et al. 2024, we show our ensembling procedure outperforms these methods that learn from individual feedback. Further, we show that our proposed procedure can robustly adapt to different user-edit distributions at test time.
Recommending Composite Items Using Multi-Level Preference Information: A Joint Interaction Modeling Approach
Bi, Xuan, Wang, Yaqiong, Adomavicius, Gediminas, Curley, Shawn
Recommender systems have become ubiquitous across a wide range of fields, such as ecommerce, media consumption (including movies, books, music, news, etc.), social networks, finance, and many others, due to their effectiveness in identifying relevant items or content among numerous choices [1, 2]. Traditionally, recommender systems, largely based on collaborative filtering techniques, have focused on recommending individual (or "atomic") items, such as movies or books, by understanding users' preferences for these individual items. However, in certain application domains, recommending "composite" items (i.e., combinations of atomic items) represents a very important capability. For illustration, consider a clothing/fashion recommender system, where we want to recommend "outfits" - combinations of tops (t-shirts, shirts, sweaters) and bottoms (pants, skirts, shorts) - to users. In such a case, multiple fashion items in a recommended outfit ideally have to match both functionally and stylistically, which may require domain expertise (e.g., on things like style compatibility) beyond individual preferences. Another key challenge for such recommender systems is that a given user's personal preference for a composite item may not directly translate to the user's personal preferences for the underlying atomic items and vice versa.
Direct Doubly Robust Estimation of Conditional Quantile Contrasts
Givens, Josh, Liu, Song, Reeve, Henry W J, Reluga, Katarzyna
Within heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) analysis, various estimands have been proposed to capture the effect of a treatment conditional on covariates. Recently, the conditional quantile comparator (CQC) has emerged as a promising estimand, offering quantile-level summaries akin to the conditional quantile treatment effect (CQTE) while preserving some interpretability of the conditional average treatment effect (CATE). It achieves this by summarising the treated response conditional on both the covariates and the untreated response. Despite these desirable properties, the CQC's current estimation is limited by the need to first estimate the difference in conditional cumulative distribution functions and then invert it. This inversion obscures the CQC estimate, hampering our ability to both model and interpret it. To address this, we propose the first direct estimator of the CQC, allowing for explicit modelling and parameterisation. This explicit parameterisation enables better interpretation of our estimate while also providing a means to constrain and inform the model. We show, both theoretically and empirically, that our estimation error depends directly on the complexity of the CQC itself, improving upon the existing estimation procedure. Furthermore, it retains the desirable double robustness property with respect to nuisance parameter estimation. We further show our method to outperform existing procedures in estimation accuracy across multiple data scenarios while varying sample size and nuisance error. Finally, we apply it to real-world data from an employment scheme, uncovering a reduced range of potential earnings improvement as participant age increases.
Prediction Markets as Bayesian Inverse Problems: Uncertainty Quantification, Identifiability, and Information Gain from Price-Volume Histories under Latent Types
Madrigal-Cianci, Juan Pablo, Maya, Camilo Monsalve, Breakey, Lachlan
Prediction markets are often described as mechanisms that ``aggregate information'' into prices, yet the mapping from dispersed private information to observed market histories is typically noisy, endogenous, and shaped by heterogeneous and strategic participation. This paper formulates prediction markets as Bayesian inverse problems in which the unknown event outcome \(Y\in\{0,1\}\) is inferred from an observed history of market-implied probabilities and traded volumes. We introduce a mechanism-agnostic observation model in log-odds space in which price increments conditional on volume arise from a latent mixture of trader types. The resulting likelihood class encompasses informed and uninformed trading, heavy-tailed microstructure noise, and adversarial or manipulative flow, while requiring only price and volume as observables. Within this framework we define posterior uncertainty quantification for \(Y\), provide identifiability and well-posedness criteria in terms of Kullback--Leibler separation between outcome-conditional increment laws, and derive posterior concentration statements and finite-sample error bounds under general regularity assumptions. We further study stability of posterior odds to perturbations of the observed price--volume path and define realized and expected information gain via the posterior-vs-prior KL divergence and mutual information. The inverse-problem formulation yields explicit diagnostics for regimes in which market histories are informative and stable versus regimes in which inference is ill-posed due to type-composition confounding or outcome--nuisance symmetries. Extensive experiments on synthetic data validate our theoretical predictions regarding posterior concentration rates and identifiability thresholds.
Revisiting Incremental Stochastic Majorization-Minimization Algorithms with Applications to Mixture of Experts
Tran, TrungKhang, Nguyen, TrungTin, Fort, Gersende, Doan, Tung, Nguyen, Hien Duy, Nguyen, Binh T., Forbes, Florence, Drovandi, Christopher
Processing high-volume, streaming data is increasingly common in modern statistics and machine learning, where batch-mode algorithms are often impractical because they require repeated passes over the full dataset. This has motivated incremental stochastic estimation methods, including the incremental stochastic Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm formulated via stochastic approximation. In this work, we revisit and analyze an incremental stochastic variant of the Majorization-Minimization (MM) algorithm, which generalizes incremental stochastic EM as a special case. Our approach relaxes key EM requirements, such as explicit latent-variable representations, enabling broader applicability and greater algorithmic flexibility. We establish theoretical guarantees for the incremental stochastic MM algorithm, proving consistency in the sense that the iterates converge to a stationary point characterized by a vanishing gradient of the objective. We demonstrate these advantages on a softmax-gated mixture of experts (MoE) regression problem, for which no stochastic EM algorithm is available. Empirically, our method consistently outperforms widely used stochastic optimizers, including stochastic gradient descent, root mean square propagation, adaptive moment estimation, and second-order clipped stochastic optimization. These results support the development of new incremental stochastic algorithms, given the central role of softmax-gated MoE architectures in contemporary deep neural networks for heterogeneous data modeling. Beyond synthetic experiments, we also validate practical effectiveness on two real-world datasets, including a bioinformatics study of dent maize genotypes under drought stress that integrates high-dimensional proteomics with ecophysiological traits, where incremental stochastic MM yields stable gains in predictive performance.
Double Fairness Policy Learning: Integrating Action Fairness and Outcome Fairness in Decision-making
Bian, Zeyu, Wang, Lan, Shi, Chengchun, Qi, Zhengling
Fairness is a central pillar of trustworthy machine learning, especially in domains where accuracy- or profit-driven optimization is insufficient. While most fairness research focuses on supervised learning, fairness in policy learning remains less explored. Because policy learning is interventional, it induces two distinct fairness targets: action fairness (equitable action assignments) and outcome fairness (equitable downstream consequences). Crucially, equalizing actions does not generally equalize outcomes when groups face different constraints or respond differently to the same action. We propose a novel double fairness learning (DFL) framework that explicitly manages the trade-off among three objectives: action fairness, outcome fairness, and value maximization. We integrate fairness directly into a multi-objective optimization problem for policy learning and employ a lexicographic weighted Tchebyshev method that recovers Pareto solutions beyond convex settings, with theoretical guarantees on the regret bounds. Our framework is flexible and accommodates various commonly used fairness notions. Extensive simulations demonstrate improved performance relative to competing methods. In applications to a motor third-party liability insurance dataset and an entrepreneurship training dataset, DFL substantially improves both action and outcome fairness while incurring only a modest reduction in overall value.
XIMP: Cross Graph Inter-Message Passing for Molecular Property Prediction
Ehrlich, Anatol, Kummer, Lorenz, Voracek, Vojtech, Bause, Franka, Kriege, Nils M.
Accurate molecular property prediction is central to drug discovery, yet graph neural networks often underperform in data-scarce regimes and fail to surpass traditional fingerprints. We introduce cross-graph inter-message passing (XIMP), which performs message passing both within and across multiple related graph representations. For small molecules, we combine the molecular graph with scaffold-aware junction trees and pharmacophore-encoding extended reduced graphs, integrating complementary abstractions. While prior work is either limited to a single abstraction or non-iterative communication across graphs, XIMP supports an arbitrary number of abstractions and both direct and indirect communication between them in each layer. Across ten diverse molecular property prediction tasks, XIMP outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in most cases, leveraging interpretable abstractions as an inductive bias that guides learning toward established chemical concepts, enhancing generalization in low-data settings.
FSD-CAP: Fractional Subgraph Diffusion with Class-Aware Propagation for Graph Feature Imputation
Qiao, Xin, Sun, Shijie, Dong, Anqi, Hua, Cong, Zhao, Xia, Zhang, Longfei, Zhu, Guangming, Zhang, Liang
Imputing missing node features in graphs is challenging, particularly under high missing rates. Existing methods based on latent representations or global diffusion often fail to produce reliable estimates, and may propagate errors across the graph. We propose FSD-CAP, a two-stage framework designed to improve imputation quality under extreme sparsity. A fractional diffusion operator adjusts propagation sharpness based on local structure. In the second stage, imputed features are refined using class-aware propagation, which incorporates pseudo-labels and neighborhood entropy to promote consistency. We evaluated FSD-CAP on multiple datasets. With 99 .5% of features missing across five benchmark datasets, FSD-CAP achieves average accuracies of 80 .06% For link prediction under the same setting, it reaches AUC scores of 91. Furthermore, FSD-CAP demonstrates superior performance on both large-scale and heterophily datasets when compared to other models. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are widely used for learning from graph-structured data, with successful applications in social networks (Bian et al., 2020), biology (Li et al., 2022), and recommendation systems (He et al., 2020). GNN architectures(Chen et al., 2023; Chien et al., 2020) always assume nodal features are fully observed, allowing information to be aggregated effectively from neighboring nodes. In practice, this assumption often fails. Node attributes are frequently missing due to privacy constraints, sensor failures, or incomplete data collection. High missing rates disrupt the message-passing process and significantly degrade model performance. A variety of methods have been proposed for imputing missing features, including statistical estimators (Srebro et al., 2004), machine learning models (Chen & Guestrin, 2016), and generative approaches (Vincent et al., 2008). Recent work has shifted toward deep learning techniques that model the distribution of node attributes. These include latent space models that align observed features with learned embeddings (Chen et al., 2020; Y oo et al., 2022), and GNN-based architectures designed to operate on incomplete inputs (Taguchi et al., 2021). These approaches, which rely on correlations in both feature and graph structure, are effective under moderate missing rates but experience significant performance degradation as sparsity increases, ultimately falling below simple baselines like zero-filling or mean imputation in highly incomplete settings(Y ou et al., 2020).
RealStats: A Rigorous Real-Only Statistical Framework for Fake Image Detection
As generative models continue to evolve, detecting AI-generated images remains a critical challenge. While effective detection methods exist, they often lack formal interpretability and may rely on implicit assumptions about fake content, potentially limiting robustness to distributional shifts. In this work, we introduce a rigorous, statistically grounded framework for fake image detection that focuses on producing a probability score interpretable with respect to the real-image population. Our method leverages the strengths of multiple existing detectors by combining training-free statistics. We compute p-values over a range of test statistics and aggregate them using classical statistical ensembling to assess alignment with the unified real-image distribution. This framework is generic, flexible, and training-free, making it well-suited for robust fake image detection across diverse and evolving settings.
A Generalized Adaptive Joint Learning Framework for High-Dimensional Time-Varying Models
In modern biomedical and econometric studies, longitudinal processes are often characterized by complex time-varying associations and abrupt regime shifts that are shared across correlated outcomes. Standard functional data analysis (FDA) methods, which prioritize smoothness, often fail to capture these dynamic structural features, particularly in high-dimensional settings. This article introduces Adaptive Joint Learning (AJL), a hierarchical regularization framework designed to integrate functional variable selection with structural changepoint detection in multivariate time-varying coefficient models. Unlike standard simultaneous estimation approaches, we propose a theoretically grounded two-stage screening-and-refinement procedure. This framework first synergizes adaptive group-wise penalization with sure screening principles to robustly identify active predictors, followed by a refined fused regularization step that effectively borrows strength across multiple outcomes to detect local regime shifts. We provide a rigorous theoretical analysis of the estimator in the ultra-high-dimensional regime (p >> n). Crucially, we establish the sure screening consistency of the first stage, which serves as the foundation for proving that the refined estimator achieves the oracle property-performing as well as if the true active set and changepoint locations were known a priori. A key theoretical contribution is the explicit handling of approximation bias via undersmoothing conditions to ensure valid asymptotic inference. The proposed method is validated through comprehensive simulations and an application to Sleep-EDF data, revealing novel dynamic patterns in physiological states.