The Distributional Alignment Game framework provides a powerful variational perspective on Answer-Level Fine-Tuning (ALFT). However, standard algorithms for these games rely on estimating logarithmic rewards from small batches, introducing a systematic bias due to Jensen's inequality that can destabilize training. In this paper, we systematically resolve this structural estimation bias. First, we generalize the alignment game to arbitrary Bregman divergences, showing that for a family of geometries inducing polynomial rewards, we can construct provably exact and unbiased estimators using U-statistics. Second, for the canonical KL divergence game where an exact solution is impossible, we derive a globally robust minimax polynomial estimator that is provably optimal, achieving the fundamental statistical error limit of $Θ(1/K^2)$, which we establish via the Ditzian-Totik theorem. Finally, we synthesize these two approaches to propose a novel Variance-Optimal Augmented Polynomial Optimization Program (AQP) Estimator, proving that by systematically reducing variance, our method achieves not only optimal bias but also provably accelerated game convergence, leading to more efficient and stable training with zero online computational overhead.

Middle-mile logistics describes the problem of routing parcels through a network of hubs, which are linked by a fixed set of trucks. The main challenge comes from the finite capacity of the trucks. The decision to allocate a parcel to a specific truck might block another parcel from using the same truck. It is thus necessary to solve for all parcel routes simultaneously. Exact solution methods scale poorly with the problem size and real-world instances are intractable.

We study the problem of black-box optimization of a function f of any dimension, given function evaluations perturbed by noise. The function is assumed to be locally smooth around one of its global optima, but this smoothness is unknown. Our contribution is an adaptive optimization algorithm, POO or parallel optimistic optimization, that is able to deal with this setting. POO performs almost as well as the best known algorithms requiring the knowledge of the smoothness. Furthermore, POO works for a larger class of functions than what was previously considered, especially for functions that are difficult to optimize, in a very precise sense. We provide a finite-time analysis of POO's performance, which shows that its error after n evaluations is at most a factor of sqrt(ln n) away from the error of the best known optimization algorithms using the knowledge of the smoothness.

Despite being confined within the interior darkness of the skull, the human brain possesses a remarkable ability to interpret, understand and analyse the world out there, plan for unseen futures, and make decisions that can alter the course of events. This extraordinary capability is conjectured to come from the brain's function as a predictive machine, constantly inferring the hidden causes of its sensory inputs to maintain a coherent model of its environment. This view, which dates back to Helmholtz's idea of "perception as unconscious inference" (von Helmholtz, 1866)--evolving into the "Bayesian brain" hypothesis (Doya et al., 2007)--suggests that the brain operates as a constructive statistical organ. It updates its beliefs about the external world based on incoming sensory data under a generative model (GM). The GM furnishes the brain with a structured representation that supports probabilistic beliefs over both the latent dynamical states of the external world, corresponding to the generative process (GP), as well as the observation mappings through which these states give rise to sensory signals. Essentially, the brain continually refines its probabilistic beliefs about both the latent states and the causal mechanisms of the world through a process of online triple estimation, jointly optimising beliefs over: hidden states, model parameters, and their associated uncertainties in accordance with the principles of Bayesian inference (Eells, 2004; Parr et al., 2022). More technically, given a sensory observation yt at time t, perception can be formulated as an online triple estimation scheme, whose three components are: 1) online hidden state inference, 2) online parameter learning, and 3) online uncertainty estimation, all three of which are the core components of our proposed online generalised PC scheme and are elaborated in Section.

Across many scientific disciplines, multiple observations are collected from the same experimental units, and in modern datasets these observations often arise as non-Euclidean random objects. In such settings, the incorporation of random effects is a critical modeling step for efficient estimation and personalized prediction. Although mixed-effects models are well established for scalar outcomes and, more recently, for functional data in Hilbert spaces, general random-effects frameworks for objects in metric spaces remain underdeveloped. In this paper, we propose a nonlinear Fréchet-based algorithm for random-effects modeling of arbitrary random objects defined on a metric space. Using M-estimation theory, we establish conditions under which the proposed metric-space prediction target is consistently estimated under a working random-effects formulation. We then evaluate the empirical performance of the proposed method using both synthetic data and digital health datasets that require practical tools for analyzing random objects in metric spaces, such as multivariate probability distributions and random graphs. We show that, although our method is developed beyond Hilbert spaces, it can outperform existing Hilbert space-based methods.

This chapter introduces the Bayesian reflex -- an analogy with the autonomic nervous system -- as a unifying framework for online learning in AI. Bayesian online algorithms automatically maintain equilibrium in dynamic environments via three mechanisms: belief maintenance through probabilistic representations, sequential updating via Bayes' theorem, and uncertainty-driven action balancing exploration and exploitation. We survey online Bayesian methods, highlighting two computational principles: the look-up table principle for sequential inference in function space, and the ellipsoidal decomposition framework for nearly exact i.i.d. sampling from arbitrary posteriors. These principles are generalized across dynamic emulation, nonparametric state-space models, circular time series, inverse regression for climate model evaluation, and deep architectures via Recursive Gaussian Processes. Decision-making is explored via Thompson sampling and restless bandits. We extend the framework to assess infinite series convergence (applied to climate dynamics and the Riemann Hypothesis), model prime number distributions leading to the discovery of 184 strong Mersenne prime candidates, detect stationarity, and characterize point processes. The Bayesian reflex provides a foundational infrastructure for adaptive AI that continuously learns in a complex world.

The dust at this busy recycling plant is pervasive and the steady noise of hoppers and conveyor belts makes this a challenging environment to work in. The facility in Rainham, east London is owned by Sharp Group, a family-run skip and waste management firm. Along the conveyor belts runs everything you could imagine, from shoes, to old VHS cassettes and blocks of concrete. The team here processes up to 280,000 tonnes of mixed recycling every year with 24 agency workers on its rapid conveyor belts. This is a hazardous industry.

Gear Fitness Gear Callaway's new golf driver face combines titanium, carbon fiber, and a military-grade polymer found in an unlikely way Callaway's new Quantum drivers use the Tri-Force Face, a three-layer design bonding titanium and carbon fiber with a polymer the R&D team found in military research. More information Adding us as a Preferred Source in Google by using this link indicates that you would like to see more of our content in Google News results. The three-layered construction allows both carbon and titanium to shine. We may earn revenue from the products available on this page and participate in affiliate programs. Golf driver faces have been almost exclusively titanium for more than three decades, with some detours into carbon fiber .

OpenAI's cofounder and president revealed in federal court on Monday that he's one of the largest individual stakeholders in the AI lab. Two days before the Musk v. Altman trial began, Elon Musk asked OpenAI cofounder and president Greg Brockman about reaching a settlement. When Brockman suggested both sides drop their claims, Musk responded, "By the end of this week, you and Sam [Altman] will be the most hated men in America. If you insist, so be it." The message --which OpenAI's lawyers made public on Sunday, and which Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers subsequently refused to let the jury hear about--underscores what may be Musk's larger goal in this trial.

Things have not been looking good for Spirit Airlines for years now. The budget airline known for its bare-bones approach to the sky filed for bankruptcy in 2024 and then again in 2025. And yet, its demise on Saturday felt sudden and shocking: Spirit said it would go out of business, canceling flights, shuttering its customer service lines, and laying off workers without warning. What does it mean for flyers, and for the busy summer travel season? WIRED spoke to experts to find out.