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Who will win the World Cup? Mathematician's 11 models predict four possible champions (but NOT England!)

Daily Mail - Science & tech

Embattled Gavin Newsom's stunning confession to Justin Trudeau caught on camera at World Cup when he thought no one was watching Secret list of celebrities attending billionaire Peter Thiel's invite-only society where elites learn about sex, cults and the next world war Malia and Sasha Obama steal the show during rare family outing for grand opening of dad Barack's library Haunting final video of beloved Bay Area coffee shop owner, 52, who vanished without a trace: Investigator reveals'unnerving' new clues found inside her home Watch horrifying drone video that follows woman's plunge to death after bungee team threw her from bridge without rope Tragic final moments of Hollywood legend's daughter and her husband revealed before being mysteriously found dead in their running SUV Ivanka Trump's youngest son, 8, spotted in middle of Knicks victory parade Scientists create first-ever'map' of female pleasure center that's confused men for centuries All my friends are suddenly getting divorced. Mid-life wives share taboo sex confessions about why they really leave... including common position that made one hate her husband: JANA HOCKING Taylor Swift's bottomless thirst for attention, her greed and sheer tackiness are now truly unbearable... this latest stunt has shown her true colors: MAUREEN CALLAHAN Mystery surrounds JD Vance's dash to Switzerland as world holds breath for Iranians to confirm peace deal Male Israeli hostage sexually assaulted by Hamas captor describes multiple attacks he suffered - blindfolded and stripped naked at knifepoint... and'brutal' 20-minute ordeal Boy, three, is thrown into crocodile enclosure at zoo: Man, 30, 'not known to him' arrested on suspicion of attempted murder Infection found in wildlife evolved to spread between humans, experts fear... after two clusters are identified Florida man hailed as a hero for jumping off of his bike to wrangle a dangerous 8-foot python... only to then be slapped with a $180 FINE Sensational REAL reason Jelly Roll is divorcing Bunnie XO: Insiders reveal'preacher's wife' bombshell that's the talk of Nashville... truth about legendary rocker cuckolding rumor... and G-string mishap Who will win the World Cup? Mathematician's 11 models predict four possible champions (but NOT England!) READ MORE: Supercomputer predicts England's World Cup journey England's World Cup journey begins tonight, but a mathematician warns that fans shouldn't get their hopes up. Dr Ari Joury, a particle physicist and founder of AI firm Wangari, created 11 different models to predict who will win this year's tournament. These digital tipsters crowned four different champions between them, but not a single one picked England. Seven models backed Spain, two singled out Argentina as the likeliest winner, while France and the Netherlands were each the favourite of one prediction system.


Thief uses Waymo as a getaway car

FOX News

This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Market data provided by Factset . Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions . Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by LSEG . McDonald's AI drive-thru may take your next order The Father's Day gift that protects your dad from scammers Grandparents are identity theft's biggest payday Do not click fake'account recovery' Amazon email Americans need protection against'warrantless surveillance': Rep Chip Roy Spencer Pratt's use of AI to boost campaign sparks debate China approves world's first commercial brain chip Atlanta residents captured alarming video of dozens of Waymo driverless cars continually circling their quiet neighborhood for hours.


Interactive. Violent. Gross. Inside Fishtank, the Unhinged Future of Reality TV

WIRED

WIRED goes on location--and on camera--with the cult hit. On March 16, 2026, at 5:45 pm in a leafy suburb of Atlanta called Sandy Springs, police pound on the door of a neglected French Country-style mansion, rifles at the ready, bodycams rolling. Minutes earlier, a distress call came from someone claiming to be hiding from a gunman in the mansion's downstairs bathroom. The dispatcher heard a gunshot ring out in the distance, then the line disconnected. "Open the door!" an officer yells. A calm young man with a mullet and woolly eyebrows steps out, hands raised. The police ask him who else is in the house. "Just my friends," he replies, as seven other young people, men and women, silently file out behind him, less evidently relaxed. They remain outside while two officers search the house. Inside the mansion there are no immediate signs of a massacre, but the decor alone arouses suspicion. All of the windows are frosted over, so only a chilly light leaks in. The place is a mess, and the walls are adorned with lurid, seemingly AI-generated art: a frowning baby holding an assault rifle, a rubber ducky bobbing in a mug of what looks like black coffee, a lidless and levitating eyeball crying into a martini glass. The rooms are painted primary colors, grass green and cherry red, like a kindergarten class. A vape dangles from a doorframe by a chain, suspended at mouth level. The pantry is practically empty. The bedroom is a dormitory featuring seven identical twin beds. No one is hiding in the bathroom. The call, it seems, was a prank. The police return to the driveway and ask, "What is it that you guys are doing here?" "We're just livestreaming," says a man in a camo hat named Matt. "You guys don't have any firearms or anything inside the house?" There are guns in the house, Matt says, for self-defense. Fans of their livestream can be obsessive, he explains, and tend to have perverse ideas about jokes. The officer asks to see their weapons, and they go downstairs. The room is cluttered with ergonomic swivel chairs, desks strewn with takeout containers and energy drinks, two flatscreen TVs, and a dozen computer monitors.


Preference Optimization by Estimating the Ratio of the Data Distribution

Neural Information Processing Systems

Direct preference optimization (DPO) is widely used as a simple and stable method for aligning large language models (LLMs) with human preferences. This paper investigates a generalized DPO loss that enables a policy model to match the target policy from a likelihood ratio estimation perspective. The ratio of the target policy provides a unique identification of the policy distribution without relying on reward models or partition functions. This allows the generalized loss to retain both simplicity and theoretical guarantees, which prior work such as f-PO fails to achieve simultaneously. We propose Bregman preference optimization (BPO), a generalized framework for ratio matching that provides a family of objective functions achieving target policy optimality.


Appendix

Neural Information Processing Systems

The DeceptionBench is designed as a research benchmark to systematically study deception behaviors in LLMs, fostering a deeper understanding of their decision-making processes in real-world scenarios. Our primary intent is to provide a standardized, transparent tool for the research community to evaluate and improve LLMs' ethical alignment, not to enable or encourage deceptive practices. To prevent potential misuse by malicious actors, we commit to publicly releasing all evaluation data under an open license. This transparency ensures that DeceptionBench's methodology and outcomes are subject to scrutiny, replication, and improvement by the research community, reducing the risk of hidden exploitation. By prioritizing openness, we aim to advance responsible AI development while safeguarding against misuse in harmful contexts. The field of Large Language Models (LLMs) has undergone remarkable evolution in recent years, reshaping the landscape of natural language processing.


Benchmark

Neural Information Processing Systems

Despite the remarkable advances of Large Language Models (LLMs) across diverse cognitive tasks, the rapid enhancement of these capabilities also introduces emergent deception behaviors that may induce severe risks in high-stakes deployments. More critically, the characterization of deception across realistic real-world scenarios remains underexplored. To bridge this gap, we establish DeceptionBench, the first benchmark that systematically evaluates how deceptive tendencies manifest across different societal domains, what their intrinsic behavioral patterns are, and how extrinsic factors affect them. Specifically, on the static count, the benchmark encompasses 150 meticulously designed scenarios in five domains, i.e., Economy, Healthcare, Education, Social Interaction, and Entertainment, with over 1,000 samples, providing sufficient empirical foundations for deception analysis. On the intrinsic dimension, we explore whether models exhibit self-interested egoistic tendencies or sycophantic behaviors that prioritize user appeasement. On the extrinsic dimension, we investigate how contextual factors modulate deceptive outputs under neutral conditions, reward-based incentivization, and coercive pressures. Moreover, we incorporate sustained multi-turn interaction loops to construct a more realistic simulation of real-world feedback dynamics. Extensive experiments across LLMs and Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) reveal critical vulnerabilities, particularly amplified deception under reinforcement dynamics, demonstrating that current models lack robust resistance to manipulative contextual cues and the urgent need for advanced safeguards against various deception behaviors.


Spot the Fake: Large Multimodal Model-Based Synthetic Image Detection with Artifact Explanation

Neural Information Processing Systems

With the rapid advancement of Artificial Intelligence Generated Content (AIGC) technologies, synthetic images have become increasingly prevalent in everyday life, posing new challenges for authenticity assessment and detection. Despite the effectiveness of existing methods in evaluating image authenticity and locating forgeries, these approaches often lack human interpretability and do not fully address the growing complexity of synthetic data. To tackle these challenges, we introduce FakeVLM, a specialized large multimodal model designed for both general synthetic image and DeepFake detection tasks. FakeVLM not only excels in distinguishing real from fake images but also provides clear, natural language explanations for image artifacts, enhancing interpretability.



545f4b500fc99ccc4424b50efa959b30-Paper-Conference.pdf

Neural Information Processing Systems

Reinforcement learning (RL) has shown great effectiveness for fine-tuning large language models (LLMs) using tasks that are challenging yet easily verifiable, such as math reasoning or code generation. However, extending this success to visual perception in vision-language models (VLMs) has been impeded by the scarcity of vision-centric tasks that are simultaneously challenging and unambiguously verifiable. To this end, we introduce ViCrit (Visual Caption Hallucination Critic), an RL proxy task that trains VLMs to localize a subtle, synthetic visual hallucination injected into paragraphs of human-written image captions. Starting from a 200-word captions, we inject a single, subtle visual description error--altering a few words on objects, attributes, counts, or spatial relations--and task the model to pinpoint the corrupted span given the image and the modified caption. This formulation preserves the full perceptual difficulty while providing a binary, exactmatch reward that is easy to compute and unambiguous. Models trained with the ViCrit Task exhibit substantial gains across a variety of VL benchmarks. Crucially, the improvements transfer beyond natural-image training data to abstract image reasoning and visual math, showing promises of learning to perceive rather than barely memorizing seen objects. To facilitate evaluation, we further introduce ViCrit-Bench, a category-balanced diagnostic benchmark that systematically probes perception errors across diverse image domains and error types. Together, our results demonstrate that fine-grained hallucination criticism is an effective and generalizable objective for enhancing visual perception in VLMs.


SYMPHONY: Synergistic Multi-agent Planning with Heterogeneous Language Model Assembly

Neural Information Processing Systems

Recent advancements have increasingly focused on leveraging large language models (LLMs) to construct autonomous agents for complex problem-solving tasks. However, existing approaches predominantly employ a single-agent framework to generate search branches and estimate rewards during Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) planning. This single-agent paradigm inherently limits exploration capabilities, often resulting in insufficient diversity among generated branches and suboptimal planning performance. To overcome these limitations, we propose SYnergistic Multi-agent Planning with HeterOgeneous laNgauge model assemblY (SYMPHONY 2), a novel multi-agent planning framework that integrates a pool of heterogeneous language model-based agents. By leveraging diverse reasoning patterns across agents, SYMPHONY enhances rollout diversity and facilitates more effective exploration. Empirical results across multiple benchmark tasks show that SYMPHONY achieves strong performance even when instantiated with open-source LLMs deployable on consumer-grade hardware. When enhanced with cloud-based LLMs accessible via API, SYMPHONY demonstrates further improvements, outperforming existing state-of-the-art baselines and underscoring the effectiveness of heterogeneous multi-agent coordination in planning tasks.