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Scalable Bayesian Modelling of Paired Symbols

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present a novel, scalable and Bayesian approach to modelling the occurrence of pairs of symbols (i, j) drawn from a large vocabulary. Observed pairs are assumed to be generated by a simple popularity based selection process followed by censoring using a preference function. By basing inference on the well-founded principle of variational bounding, and using new site-independent bounds, we show how a scalable inference procedure can be obtained for large data sets. State of the art results are presented on real-world movie viewing data.


Arbitration and Stability in Cooperative Games with Overlapping Coalitions

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Overlapping Coalition Formation (OCF) games, introduced by Chalkiadakis, Elkind, Markakis, Polukarov and Jennings in 2010, are cooperative games where players can simultaneously participate in several coalitions. Capturing the notion of stability in OCF games is a difficult task:deviating players may continue to contribute resources to joint projects with non-deviators, and the crucial question is what payoffs the deviators expect to receive from such projects. Chalkiadakis et al. introduce three stability concepts for OCF games---the conservative core, the refined core, and the optimistic core---that are based on different answers to this question. In this paper, we propose a unified framework for the study of stability in the OCF setting, which encompasses the stability concepts considered by Chalkiadakis et al. as well as a wide variety of alternative stability concepts. Our approach is based on the notion of arbitration functions, which determine the payoff obtained by the deviators, given their deviation and the current allocation of resources. We provide a characterization of stable outcomes under arbitration. We then conduct an in-depth study of four types of arbitration functions, which correspond to four notions of the core; these include the three notions of the core considered by Chalkiadakis et al. Our results complement those of Chalkiadakis et al. and answer questions left open by their work. In particular, we show that OCF games with the conservative arbitration function are essentially equivalent to non-OCF games, by relating the conservative core of an OCF game to the core of a non-overlapping cooperative game, and use this result to obtain a strictly weaker sufficient condition for conservative core non-emptiness than the one given by Chalkiadakis et al.


Robot Team Exploration with Communication Restrictions

AAAI Conferences

In the event of an earthquake or fire, search and rescue efforts may be delayed until it is safe for a human team to enter the area. A team of robots could enter in advance to provide maps, images and locations of interest to the human team, allowing them to prepare their approach when they can enter. In a disaster area, communication may also be limited. We have developed a set of distributed algorithms that make use of a small number of robots to fully explore an unknown environment even with restrictions on communication, team size, and available sensors. We show, through proofs and experiments, that the algorithm will allow the team of robots to fully explore the environment and maintain the necessary communication to return the information to the search and rescue team waiting outside.


Scalable Complex Contract Negotiation with Structured Search and Agenda Management

AAAI Conferences

A large number of interdependent issues in complex contract negotiation poses a significant challenge for current approaches, which becomes even more apparent when negotiation problems scale up. To address this challenge, we present a structured anytime search process with an agenda management mechanism using a hierarchical negotiation model, where agents search at various levels during the negotiation with the guidance of a mediator. This structured negotiation process increases computational efficiency, making negotiations scalable for large number of interdependent issues. To validate the contributions of our approach, 1) we developed our proposed negotiation model using a hierarchical problem structure and a constraint-based preference model for real-world applications; 2) we defined a scenario matrix to capture various characteristics of negotiation scenarios and developed a scenario generator that produces test cases according to this matrix; and 3) we performed an extensive set of experiments to study the performance of this structured negotiation protocol and the influence of different scenario parameters, and investigated the Pareto efficiency and social welfare optimality of the negotiation outcomes. The experimental result supports the hypothesis that this hierarchical negotiation approach greatly improves scalability with the complexity of the negotiation scenarios.


ICAIL 2013: The Fourteenth International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Law

AI Magazine

In order to emphasize the importance of implemented systems for the field, we also called for system demonstrations; 7 were accepted for the conference, 1 of them associated with a research abstract and 6 of them described in a demonstration extended abstract. At this edition of ICAIL, the Donald H. Berman best student paper award was won by Tran Thi Oanh (Japan Advanced Institute of Science and Technology; JAIST) for the paper entitled "Reference Resolution in Legal Texts" that she wrote with Minh Le Nguyen and Akira Shimazu. Traditionally, ICAIL hosts a lively and varied program of tutorials and workshops. At this conference, there were tutorials covering an introduction to artificial intelligence and law, web ontology and data design, LegalRuleML, and textual information extraction. There were workshops on argumentation, coherence, open and smart data, evidence, e-discovery, e-justice, and network analysis. Also, the international workshop series, Computational Models of Natural Argument, joined ICAIL for its 13th edition (CMNA XIII). The conference was held under the auspices of the Senate of the Italian Republic with as hosting institution the Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (National Research Council of Italy), central unit in Rome. Both AAAI and ACM SIGART were in cooperation. Conference officials were Bart Verheij (program chair), Enrico Francesconi (conference chair), and Anne Gardner (secretary/treasurer).


Personalized Medical Treatments Using Novel Reinforcement Learning Algorithms

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In both the fields of computer science and medicine there is very strong interest in developing personalized treatment policies for patients who have variable responses to treatments. In particular, I aim to find an optimal personalized treatment policy which is a non-deterministic function of the patient specific covariate data that maximizes the expected survival time or clinical outcome. I developed an algorithmic framework to solve multistage decision problem with a varying number of stages that are subject to censoring in which the "rewards" are expected survival times. In specific, I developed a novel Q-learning algorithm that dynamically adjusts for these parameters. Furthermore, I found finite upper bounds on the generalized error of the treatment paths constructed by this algorithm. I have also shown that when the optimal Q-function is an element of the approximation space, the anticipated survival times for the treatment regime constructed by the algorithm will converge to the optimal treatment path. I demonstrated the performance of the proposed algorithmic framework via simulation studies and through the analysis of chronic depression data and a hypothetical clinical trial. The censored Q-learning algorithm I developed is more effective than the state of the art clinical decision support systems and is able to operate in environments when many covariate parameters may be unobtainable or censored.


Bayesian calibration for forensic evidence reporting

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce a Bayesian solution for the problem in forensic speaker recognition, where there may be very little background material for estimating score calibration parameters. We work within the Bayesian paradigm of evidence reporting and develop a principled probabilistic treatment of the problem, which results in a Bayesian likelihood-ratio as the vehicle for reporting weight of evidence. We show in contrast, that reporting a likelihood-ratio distribution does not solve this problem. Our solution is experimentally exercised on a simulated forensic scenario, using NIST SRE'12 scores, which demonstrates a clear advantage for the proposed method compared to the traditional plugin calibration recipe.


Bridging the gap between Legal Practitioners and Knowledge Engineers using semi-formal KR

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The use of Structured English as a computation independent knowledge representation format for non-technical users in business rules representation has been proposed in OMGs Semantics and Business Vocabulary Representation (SBVR). In the legal domain we face a similar problem. Formal representation languages, such as OASIS LegalRuleML and legal ontologies (LKIF, legal OWL2 ontologies etc.) support the technical knowledge engineer and the automated reasoning. But, they can be hardly used directly by the legal domain experts who do not have a computer science background. In this paper we adapt the SBVR Structured English approach for the legal domain and implement a proof-of-concept, called KR4IPLaw, which enables legal domain experts to represent their knowledge in Structured English in a computational independent and hence, for them, more usable way. The benefit of this approach is that the underlying pre-defined semantics of the Structured English approach makes transformations into formal languages such as OASIS LegalRuleML and OWL2 ontologies possible. We exemplify our approach in the domain of patent law.


Strategy Mining

AAAI Conferences

Strategy mining is a new area of research about discovering strategies for decision-making. It is motivated by how similarity is assessed in retrospect in law. In the legal domain, when both case facts and court decisions are present, it is often useful to assess similarity by accounting for both case facts and case outcomes. In this paper, we formulate the strategy mining problem as a clustering problem with the goal of finding clusters that represent disparate conditional dependency of decision labels on other features. Existing clustering algorithms are inappropriate to cluster dependency because they either assume feature independence, such as K-means, or only consider the co-occurrence of features without explicitly modeling the special dependency of the decision label on other features, such as Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA). We propose an Expectation Maximization (EM) style unsupervised learning algorithm for dependency clustering. Like EM, our algorithm is grounded in statistical learning theory. It minimizes the empirical risk of decision tree learning. Unlike other clustering algorithms, our algorithm is irrelevant-feature resistant, and its learned clusters modeled by decision trees are strongly interpretable and predictive. We systematically evaluate both the convergence property and solution quality of our algorithm using a common law dataset comprised of actual cases. Experimental results show that our algorithm significantly outperforms K-means and LDA on clustering dependency


SMART Electronic Legal Discovery Via Topic Modeling

AAAI Conferences

Electronic discovery is an interesting subproblem of information retrieval in which one identifies documents that are potentially relevant to issues and facts of a legal case from an electronically stored document collection (a corpus). In this paper, we consider representing documents in a topic space using the well-known topic models such as latent Dirichlet allocation and latent semantic indexing, and solving the information retrieval problem via finding document similarities in the topic space rather doing it in the corpus vocabulary space. We also develop an iterative SMART ranking and categorization framework including human-in-the-loop to label a set of seed (training) documents and using them to build a semi-supervised binary document classification model based on Support Vector Machines. To improve this model, we propose a method for choosing seed documents from the whole population via an active learning strategy. We report the results of our experiments on a real dataset in the electronic discovery domain.