Internal Medicine
Counterfactually Safe Reinforcement Learning
Li, Jingyi, Wu, Peng, Shi, Chengchun
Reinforcement learning algorithms are generally designed to maximize the expected return across a population. However, a policy that is optimal on average may be suboptimal for certain individuals, leading to potential safety concerns. To address this, we first formalize the notion of individual harm from a counterfactual perspective and define harm as the event in which a chosen action results in a strictly worse outcome than a baseline alternative. We then propose a general two-stage procedure for learning policies that maximize the expected return while accounting for individual harm. We further establish the finite-sample properties of the learned policy, derive an upper bound on its sub-optimality gap, and show that the harm rate remains well-controlled. Numerical experiments on both simulated and real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
Supplementary Material Responsibility Statement
Hyponatremia: Predict whether a hyponatremia lab comes back as normal (>=135 mmol/L), mild (>=130 and <135 mmol/L), moderate (>=125 and <130 mmol/L), or severe (<125 mmol/L). We consider all lab results coded as LOINC/LG11363-5, LOINC/2951-2, or LOINC/2947-0. Anemia: Predict whether an anemia lab comes back as normal (>=120 g/L), mild (>=110 and <120 g/L), moderate (>=70 and <110 g/L), or severe (<70 g/L). We consider all lab results coded as LOINC/LP392452-1. Please note that for the results of our baseline experiments in Section 5, we reframe these lab value tasks as binary classification tasks, where a label is "negative" if the result is normal and "positive" otherwise.
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