Government
Opinions within Media, Power and Gossip
Quattrociocchi, Walter, Conte, Rosaria, Lodi, Elena
Despite the increasing diffusion of the Internet technology, TV remains the principal medium of communication. People's perceptions, knowledge, beliefs and opinions about matter of facts get (in)formed through the information reported on by the mass-media. However, a single source of information (and consensus) could be a potential cause of anomalies in the structure and evolution of a society. Hence, as the information available (and the way it is reported) is fundamental for our perceptions and opinions, the definition of conditions allowing for a good information to be disseminated is a pressing challenge. In this paper starting from a report on the last Italian political campaign in 2008, we derive a socio-cognitive computational model of opinion dynamics where agents get informed by different sources of information. Then, a what-if analysis, performed trough simulations on the model's parameters space, is shown. In particular, the scenario implemented includes three main streams of information acquisition, differing in both the contents and the perceived reliability of the messages spread. Agents' internal opinion is updated either by accessing one of the information sources, namely media and experts, or by exchanging information with one another. They are also endowed with cognitive mechanisms to accept, reject or partially consider the acquired information.
Predictors of short-term decay of cell phone contacts in a large scale communication network
Raeder, Troy, Lizardo, Omar, Hachen, David, Chawla, Nitesh V.
Under what conditions is an edge present in a social network at time t likely to decay or persist by some future time t + Delta(t)? Previous research addressing this issue suggests that the network range of the people involved in the edge, the extent to which the edge is embedded in a surrounding structure, and the age of the edge all play a role in edge decay. This paper uses weighted data from a large-scale social network built from cell-phone calls in an 8-week period to determine the importance of edge weight for the decay/persistence process. In particular, we study the relative predictive power of directed weight, embeddedness, newness, and range (measured as outdegree) with respect to edge decay and assess the effectiveness with which a simple decision tree and logistic regression classifier can accurately predict whether an edge that was active in one time period continues to be so in a future time period. We find that directed edge weight, weighted reciprocity and time-dependent measures of edge longevity are highly predictive of whether we classify an edge as persistent or decayed, relative to the other types of factors at the dyad and neighborhood level.
Multimode Control Attacks on Elections
Faliszewski, P., Hemaspaandra, E., Hemaspaandra, L. A.
In 1992, Bartholdi, Tovey, and Trick opened the study of control attacks on elections---attempts to improve the election outcome by such actions as adding/deleting candidates or voters. That work has led to many results on how algorithms can be used to find attacks on elections and how complexity-theoretic hardness results can be used as shields against attacks. However, all the work in this line has assumed that the attacker employs just a single type of attack. In this paper, we model and study the case in which the attacker launches a multipronged (i.e., multimode) attack. We do so to more realistically capture the richness of real-life settings. For example, an attacker might simultaneously try to suppress some voters, attract new voters into the election, and introduce a spoiler candidate. Our model provides a unified framework for such varied attacks. By constructing polynomial-time multiprong attack algorithms we prove that for various election systems even such concerted, flexible attacks can be perfectly planned in deterministic polynomial time.
Reproducing Kernel Banach Spaces with the l1 Norm II: Error Analysis for Regularized Least Square Regression
A typical approach in estimating the learning rate of a regularized learning scheme is to bound the approximation error by the sum of the sampling error, the hypothesis error and the regularization error. Using a reproducing kernel space that satisfies the linear representer theorem brings the advantage of discarding the hypothesis error from the sum automatically. Following this direction, we illustrate how reproducing kernel Banach spaces with the l1 norm can be applied to improve the learning rate estimate of l1-regularization in machine learning.
False-Name Manipulations in Weighted Voting Games
Aziz, H., Bachrach, Y., Elkind, E., Paterson, M.
Weighted voting is a classic model of cooperation among agents in decision-making domains. In such games, each player has a weight, and a coalition of players wins the game if its total weight meets or exceeds a given quota. A player's power in such games is usually not directly proportional to his weight, and is measured by a power index, the most prominent among which are the Shapley-Shubik index and the Banzhaf index.In this paper, we investigate by how much a player can change his power, as measured by the Shapley-Shubik index or the Banzhaf index, by means of a false-name manipulation, i.e., splitting his weight among two or more identities. For both indices, we provide upper and lower bounds on the effect of weight-splitting. We then show that checking whether a beneficial split exists is NP-hard, and discuss efficient algorithms for restricted cases of this problem, as well as randomized algorithms for the general case. We also provide an experimental evaluation of these algorithms. Finally, we examine related forms of manipulative behavior, such as annexation, where a player subsumes other players, or merging, where several players unite into one. We characterize the computational complexity of such manipulations and provide limits on their effects. For the Banzhaf index, we describe a new paradox, which we term the Annexation Non-monotonicity Paradox.
Using Mechanism Design to Prevent False-Name Manipulations
Conitzer, Vincent (Duke University) | Yokoo, Makoto (Kyushu University)
The basic notion of false-name-proofness allows for useful mechanisms under certain circumstances, but in general there are impossibility results that show that false-name-proof mechanisms have severe limitations. One may react to these impossibility results by saying that, since false-name-proof mechanisms are unsatisfactory, we should not run any important mechanisms in highly anonymous settings—unless, perhaps, we can find some methodology that directly prevents false-name manipulation even in such settings, so that we are back in a more typical mechanism design context. However, it seems unlikely that the phenomenon of false-name manipulation will disappear anytime soon. Because the Internet is so attractive as a platform for running certain types of mechanisms, it seems unlikely that the organizations running these mechanisms will take them offline. Moreover, because a goal of these organizations is often to get as many users to participate as possible, they will be reluctant to use high-overhead solutions that discourage users from participating. As a result, perhaps the most promising approaches at this point are those that combine techniques from mechanism design with other techniques discussed in this article. It appears that this is a rich domain for new, creative approaches that can have significant practical impact.
Reports of the AAAI 2010 Conference Workshops
Aha, David W. (Naval Research Laboratory) | Boddy, Mark (Adventium Labs) | Bulitko, Vadim (University of Alberta) | Garcez, Artur S. d' (City University London) | Avila (University of Georgia) | Doshi, Prashant (TZI, Bremen University) | Edelkamp, Stefan (University of Edinburgh) | Geib, Christopher (University of Illinois, Chicago) | Gmytrasiewicz, Piotr (Smart Information Flow Technologies) | Goldman, Robert P. (Wright State University) | Hitzler, Pascal (Georgia Institute of Technology) | Isbell, Charles (University of Maryland, College Park) | Josyula, Darsana (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) | Kaelbling, Leslie Pack (University of Bonn) | Kersting, Kristian (Georgia Institute of Technology) | Kunda, Maithilee (Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)) | Lamb, Luis C. (Willow Garage) | Marthi, Bhaskara (Georgia Institute of Technology) | McGreggor, Keith (EML Research gGmbH) | Nastase, Vivi (University College Cork) | Provan, Gregory (University of North Carolina, Charlotte) | Raja, Anita (Georgia Institute of Technology) | Ram, Ashwin (Georgia Institute of Technology) | Riedl, Mark (University of California, Berkeley) | Russell, Stuart (Cornell University) | Sabharwal, Ashish (University of Freiburg) | Smaus, Jan-Georg (University of Central Florida) | Sukthankar, Gita (Maastricht University) | Tuyls, Karl (University of New South Wales) | Meyden, Ron van der (Google, Inc.) | Halevy, Alon (University of Maryland) | Mihalkova, Lilyana (University of Wisconsin) | Natarajan, Sriraam
The AAAI-10 Workshop program was held Sunday and Monday, July 11–12, 2010 at the Westin Peachtree Plaza in Atlanta, Georgia. The AAAI-10 workshop program included 13 workshops covering a wide range of topics in artificial intelligence. The titles of the workshops were AI and Fun, Bridging the Gap between Task and Motion Planning, Collaboratively-Built Knowledge Sources and Artificial Intelligence, Goal-Directed Autonomy, Intelligent Security, Interactive Decision Theory and Game Theory, Metacognition for Robust Social Systems, Model Checking and Artificial Intelligence, Neural-Symbolic Learning and Reasoning, Plan, Activity, and Intent Recognition, Statistical Relational AI, Visual Representations and Reasoning, and Abstraction, Reformulation, and Approximation. This article presents short summaries of those events.
The 2008 Classic Paper Award: Summary and Significance
We at the NASA laboratory believed that our best work came when we simultaneously advanced AI theory and provided immediately usable solutions for current NASA problems. “Solving Large-Scale Constraint Satisfaction and Scheduling Problems Using a Heuristic Repair Method,” by Steve Minton, Mark Johnston, Andy Phillips, and Phil Laird clearly achieved both. It proved that local search and repair was applicable to a wide class of constraint satisfaction problems and clearly explicated the theory behind that proof.
Learning Hidden Markov Models using Non-Negative Matrix Factorization
Cybenko, George, Crespi, Valentino
The Baum-Welsh algorithm together with its derivatives and variations has been the main technique for learning Hidden Markov Models (HMM) from observational data. We present an HMM learning algorithm based on the non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) of higher order Markovian statistics that is structurally different from the Baum-Welsh and its associated approaches. The described algorithm supports estimation of the number of recurrent states of an HMM and iterates the non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) algorithm to improve the learned HMM parameters. Numerical examples are provided as well.