A society's single emergent, increasing intelligence arises partly from the thermodynamic advantages of networking the innate intelligence of different individuals, and partly from the accumulation of solved problems. Economic growth is proportional to the square of the network entropy of a society's population times the network entropy of the number of the society's solved problems.

We offer a novel view of AdaBoost in a statistical setting. We propose a Bayesian model for binary classification in which label noise is modeled hierarchically. Using variational inference to optimize a dynamic evidence lower bound, we derive a new boosting-like algorithm called VIBoost. We show its close connections to AdaBoost and give experimental results from four datasets.

Supply chain management is a very dynamic operation research problem where one has to quickly adapt according to the changes perceived in environment in order to maximize the benefit or minimize the loss. Therefore we require a system which changes as per the changing requirements. Multi agent system technology in recent times has emerged as a possible way of efficient solution implementation for many such complex problems. Our research here focuses on building a Multi Agent System (MAS), which implements a modified version of Gravitational Search swarm intelligence Algorithm (GSA) to find out an optimal strategy in managing the demand supply chain. We target the grains distribution system among various centers of Food Corporation of India (FCI) as application domain. We assume centers with larger stocks as objects of greater mass and vice versa. Applying Newtonian law of gravity as suggested in GSA, larger objects attract objects of smaller mass towards itself, creating a virtual grain supply source. As heavier object sheds its mass by supplying some to the one in demand, it loses its gravitational pull and thus keeps the whole system of supply chain per-fectly in balance. The multi agent system helps in continuous updation of the whole system with the help of autonomous agents which react to the change in environment and act accordingly. This model also reduces the communication bottleneck to greater extents.

We present a multi-task learning approach to jointly estimate the means of multiple independent data sets. The proposed multi-task averaging (MTA) algorithm results in a convex combination of the single-task maximum likelihood estimates. We derive the optimal minimum risk estimator and the minimax estimator, and show that these estimators can be efficiently estimated. Simulations and real data experiments demonstrate that MTA estimators often outperform both single-task and James-Stein estimators.

A vast amount of textual web streams is influenced by events or phenomena emerging in the real world. The social web forms an excellent modern paradigm, where unstructured user generated content is published on a regular basis and in most occasions is freely distributed. The present Ph.D. Thesis deals with the problem of inferring information - or patterns in general - about events emerging in real life based on the contents of this textual stream. We show that it is possible to extract valuable information about social phenomena, such as an epidemic or even rainfall rates, by automatic analysis of the content published in Social Media, and in particular Twitter, using Statistical Machine Learning methods. An important intermediate task regards the formation and identification of features which characterise a target event; we select and use those textual features in several linear, non-linear and hybrid inference approaches achieving a significantly good performance in terms of the applied loss function. By examining further this rich data set, we also propose methods for extracting various types of mood signals revealing how affective norms - at least within the social web's population - evolve during the day and how significant events emerging in the real world are influencing them. Lastly, we present some preliminary findings showing several spatiotemporal characteristics of this textual information as well as the potential of using it to tackle tasks such as the prediction of voting intentions.

Distributions over rankings are used to model data in a multitude of real world settings such as preference analysis and political elections. Modeling such distributions presents several computational challenges, however, due to the factorial size of the set of rankings over an item set. Some of these challenges are quite familiar to the artificial intelligence community, such as how to compactly represent a distribution over a combinatorially large space, and how to efficiently perform probabilistic inference with these representations. With respect to ranking, however, there is the additional challenge of what we refer to as human task complexity -- users are rarely willing to provide a full ranking over a long list of candidates, instead often preferring to provide partial ranking information. Simultaneously addressing all of these challenges -- i.e., designing a compactly representable model which is amenable to efficient inference and can be learned using partial ranking data -- is a difficult task, but is necessary if we would like to scale to problems with nontrivial size. In this paper, we show that the recently proposed riffled independence assumptions cleanly and efficiently address each of the above challenges. In particular, we establish a tight mathematical connection between the concepts of riffled independence and of partial rankings. This correspondence not only allows us to then develop efficient and exact algorithms for performing inference tasks using riffled independence based representations with partial rankings, but somewhat surprisingly, also shows that efficient inference is not possible for riffle independent models (in a certain sense) with observations which do not take the form of partial rankings. Finally, using our inference algorithm, we introduce the first method for learning riffled independence based models from partially ranked data.

The recent developments of basis pursuit and compressed sensing seek to extract information from as few samples as possible. In such applications, since the number of samples is restricted, one should deploy the sampling points wisely. We are motivated to study the optimal distribution of finite sampling points. Formulation under the framework of optimal reconstruction yields a minimization problem. In the discrete case, we estimate the distance between the optimal subspace resulting from a general Karhunen-Loeve transform and the kernel space to obtain another algorithm that is computationally favorable. Numerical experiments are then presented to illustrate the performance of the algorithms for the searching of optimal sampling points.

NASA and the international community are investing in the development of a commercial transportation infrastructure that includes the increased use of rotorcraft, specifically heli- copters and civil tilt rotors. However, there is significant con- cern over the impact of noise on the communities surrounding the transportation facilities. One way to address the rotorcraft noise problem is by exploiting powerful search techniques coming from artificial intelligence coupled with simulation and field tests to design low-noise flight profiles which can be tested in simulation or through field tests. This paper in- vestigates the use of simulation based on predictive physical models to facilitate the search for low-noise trajectories using local search combined with a robust noise simulator.

This article describes a new automatic transcription system in the Japanese Parliament which deploys our automatic speech recognition (ASR) technology. To achieve high recognition performance in spontaneous meeting speech, we have investigated an efficient training scheme with minimal supervision which can exploit a huge amount of real data. Specifically, we have proposed a lightly-supervised training scheme based on statistical language model transformation, which fills the gap between faithful transcripts of spoken utterances and final texts for documentation. Once this mapping is trained, we no longer need faithful transcripts for training both acoustic and language models. Instead, we can fully exploit the speech and text data available in Parliament as they are. This scheme also realizes a sustainable ASR system which evolves, i.e. update/re-train the models, only with speech and text generated during the system operation. The ASR system has been deployed in the Japanese Parliament since 2010, and consistently achieved character accuracy of nearly 90\%, which is useful for streamlining the transcription process.

The Next-Generation Transportation program coordinates the evolution and transformation of the current air-traffic management (ATM) system for the National Airspace System (NAS). Currently the NAS has a limited capacity and cannot handle the increasing future air traffic demands. However, before newly proposed ATM concepts are deployed they must be rigorously evaluated under realistic conditions. This paper presents AGENTFLY, an emerging NAS-wide highfidelity multi-agent ATM simulator with precise emulation of the human controller operation workload model and human-system interaction. The simulator is validated using a flight scenario developed by the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration that is based on real data. We present preliminary results focusing on the accuracy of the simulated controllers within AGENTFLY.