Government
Convergence to Equilibria in Plurality Voting
Meir, Reshef (The Hebrew University of Jerusalem) | Polukarov, Maria (University of Southampton) | Rosenschein, Jeffrey S. (The Hebrew University of Jerusalem) | Jennings, Nicholas R. (University of Southampton)
Multi-agent decision problems, in which independent agents have to agree on a joint plan of action or allocation of resources, are central to AI. In such situations, agents' individual preferences over available alternatives may vary, and they may try to reconcile these differences by voting. Based on the fact that agents may have incentives to vote strategically and misreport their real preferences, a number of recent papers have explored different possibilities for avoiding or eliminating such manipulations. In contrast to most prior work, this paper focuses on convergence of strategic behavior to a decision from which no voter will want to deviate. We consider scenarios where voters cannot coordinate their actions, but are allowed to change their vote after observing the current outcome. We focus on the Plurality voting rule, and study the conditions under which this iterative game is guaranteed to converge to a Nash equilibrium (i.e., to a decision that is stable against further unilateral manipulations). We show for the first time how convergence depends on the exact attributes of the game, such as the tie-breaking scheme, and on assumptions regarding agents' weights and strategies.
A Testbed for Investigating Task Allocation Strategies between Air Traffic Controllers and Automated Agents
Schurr, Nathan (Aptima, Inc.) | Good, Richard (Aptima, Inc.) | Alexander, Amy (Aptima, Inc.) | Picciano, Paul (Aptima, Inc.) | Ganberg, Gabriel (Aptima, Inc.) | Therrien, Michael (Aptima, Inc.) | Beard, Bettina L. (NASA Ames Research Center) | Holbrook, Jon (San Jose State University Research Foundation)
To meet the growing demands of the National Airspace System (NAS) stakeholders and provide the level of service, safety and security needed to sustain future air transport, the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) concept calls for technologies and systems offering increasing support from automated systems that provide decision-aiding and optimization capabilities. This is an exciting application for some core aspects of Artificial Intelligence research since the automation must be designed to enable the human operators to access and process a myriad of information sources, understand heightened system complexity, and maximize capacity, throughput and fuel savings in the NAS.. This paper introduces an emerging application of techniques from mixed initiative (adjustable autonomy), multi-agent systems, and task scheduling techniques to the air traffic control domain. Consequently, we have created a testbed for investigating the critical challenges in supporting the early design of systems that allow for optimal, context-sensitive function (role) allocation between air traffic controller and automated agents. A pilot study has been conducted with the testbed and preliminary results show a marked qualitative improvement in using dynamic function allocation optimization versus static function allocation.
A Sketch Recognition System for Recognizing Free-Hand Course of Action Diagrams
Hammond, Tracy Anne (Texas A&M University) | Logsdon, Drew (Texas A&M University) | Paulson, Brandon (Texas A&M University) | Johnston, Joshua (Texas A&M University) | Peschel, Joshua (Texas A&M University) | Wolin, Aaron (Texas A&M University) | Taele, Paul (Texas A&M University)
Military course-of-action (COA) diagrams are used to depict battle scenarios and include thousands of unique symbols, complete with additional textual and designator modifiers. We have created a real-time sketch recognition interface that recognizes 485 freely-drawn military course-of-action sym- bols. When the variations (not allowable by other systems) are factored in, our system is several orders of magnitude larger than the next biggest system. On 5,900 hand-drawn symbols, the system achieves an accuracy of 90% when con- sidering the top 3 interpretations and requiring every aspect of the shape (variations, text, symbol, location, orientation) to be correct.
Gaudii: An Automated Graphic Design Expert System
Morcilllo, Carlos Gonzalez (University of Castilla-La Mancha) | Martin, Victor Jose (University of Castilla-La Mancha) | Fernandez, David Vallejo (University of Castilla-La Mancha) | Sanchez, Jose Jesus Castro (University of Castilla-La Mancha) | Albusac, Javier Alonso (University of Castilla-La Mancha)
Graphic design is the process of creating graphics to meet specific commercial needs based on knowledge of layout principles and esthetic concepts. This is usually an iterative trial and error process which requires a lot of time even for expert designers. This expert knowledge can be modelled, represented and used by a computer to perform design activities. This paper describes a novel approach named Gaudii (standing for "Intelligent Automated Graphic Design Generator") which utilizes principles and techniques known from the fields of Evolutionary Computation and Fuzzy Logic to automatically obtain design elements. Experimental results that demonstrate the potential of the proposed approach are presented in the area of poster design.
Estimation of Human Internal Temperature from Wearable Physiological Sensors
Buller, Mark J. (Brown University) | Tharion, William J. (U.S. Army Research Institute of Environmental Medicine) | Hoyt, Reed W. (U.S. Army Research Institute of Environmental Medicine) | Jenkins, Odest Chadwicke (Brown University)
Human core body temperature (Tcore) is an important measure of thermal state, e.g., hypo-or hyperthermia, but is difficult to measure using noninvasive wearable sensors. We estimated parameters for a discrete KF model from data collected during several Military training events and from distance runners (n 38). Model performance was evaluated in 25 physically-active subjects who participated in various laboratory and field studies involving exercise of 2-to-8 h duration at ambient temperatures of 20 to 40 C. Overall, the KF model's estimate of Tcore had a root mean square error of 0.30 0.13 ºC from the observed Tcore, and was within 0.5 ºC over 85% of the time. The benefit of the KF approach is that it requires only one input while current state of the art models typically require multiple inputs including individual anthropometrics, metabolic rate, clothing characteristics, and environmental conditions. This state estimation problem in computational physiology illustrates the potential for collaboration between the artificial intelligence and ambulatory physiological monitoring communities. Figure 1: U.S. National Guard Civil Support Team (CST) member engaged in a chemical biological training event.
Practical Language Processing for Virtual Humans
Leuski, Anton (Institute for Creative Technologies) | Traum, David (Institute for Creative Technologies)
NPCEditor is a system for building a natural language processing component for virtual humans capable of engaging a user in spoken dialog on a limited domain. It uses a statistical language classification technology for mapping from user's text input to system responses. NPCEditor provides a user-friendly editor for creating effective virtual humans quickly. It has been deployed as a part of various virtual human systems in several applications.
Surveillance of Parimutuel Wagering Integrity Using Expert Systems and Machine Learning
Freedman, Roy Stuart (Inductive Solutions, Inc.) | Sobkowski, Isidore (Advanced Monitoring Systems, Inc.)
Parimutuel wagering is a significant source of revenue for many state governments. MonitorPlus is a surveillance system for parimutuel operators and regulators. Using industry expertise and best practices, MonitorPlus examines each and every wager and account transaction for evidence of fraud, crime, and money laundering. Alerts are generated in real-time. In forensic discovery mode, MonitorPlus is designed to collaborate with skilled analysts to discover more complex suspicious wagering patterns. MonitorPlus utilizes machine learning, so its risk profiles are current: its knowledge base improves with time. Each alert is accompanied by an automatically generated, rule-based explanation. This is critically important if an event rises to the level where legal action is required. Our development and deployment strategy is based on a new paradigm of a secure surveillance utility, where real-time alerts and dataintensive forensics support multiple regulatory jurisdictions. We believe this surveillance paradigm can be applied to other application domains such as lotteries, casinos, online gaming, and financial services.
Goal-Driven Autonomy in a Navy Strategy Simulation
Molineaux, Matthew (Knexus Research Corporation) | Klenk, Matthew (Naval Research Laboratory) | Aha, David (Naval Research Laboratory)
Modern complex games and simulations pose many challenges for an intelligent agent, including partial observability, continuous time and effects, hostile opponents, and exogenous events. We present ARTUE (Autonomous Response to Unexpected Events), a domain-independent autonomous agent that dynamically reasons about what goals to pursue in response to unexpected circumstances in these types of environments. ARTUE integrates AI research in planning, environment monitoring, explanation, goal generation, and goal management. To explain our conceptualization of the problem ARTUE addresses, we present a new conceptual framework, goal-driven autonomy, for agents that reason about their goals. We evaluate ARTUE on scenarios in the TAO Sandbox, a Navy training simulation, and demonstrate its novel architecture, which includes components for Hierarchical Task Network planning, explanation, and goal management. Our evaluation shows that ARTUE can perform well in a complex environment and that each component is necessary and contributes to the performance of the integrated system.
Supporting Wilderness Search and Rescue with Integrated Intelligence: Autonomy and Information at the Right Time and the Right Place
Lin, Lanny (Brigham Young University) | Roscheck, Michael (Brigham Young University) | Goodrich, Michael A. (Brigham Young University) | Morse, Bryan S. (Brigham Young University)
Current practice in Wilderness Search and Rescue (WiSAR) is analogous to an intelligent system designed to gather and analyze information to find missing persons in remote areas. The system consists of multiple parts - various tools for information management (maps, GPS, etc) distributed across personnel with different skills and responsibilities. Introducing a camera-equipped mini-UAV into this task requires autonomy and information technology that itself is an integrated intelligent system to be used by a sub-team that must be integrated into the overall intelligent system. In this paper, we identify key elements of the integration challenges along two dimensions: (a) attributes of intelligent system and (b) scale, meaning individual or group. We then present component technology that offload or supplement many responsibilities to autonomous systems, and finally describe how autonomy and information are integrated into user interfaces to better support distributed search across time and space. The integrated system was demoed for Utah County Search and Rescue personnel. A real searcher flew the UAV after minimal training and successfully located the simulated missing person in a wilderness area.
Temporal Information Extraction
Ling, Xiao (University of Washington) | Weld, Daniel S. (University of Washington)
Research on information extraction (IE) seeks to distill relational tuples from natural language text, such as the contents of the WWW. Most IE work has focussed on identifying static facts, encoding them as binary relations. This is unfortunate, because the vast majority of facts are fluents, only holding true during an interval of time. It is less helpful to extract PresidentOf(Bill-Clinton, USA) without the temporal scope 1/20/93 — 1/20/01. This paper presents TIE, a novel, information-extraction system, which distills facts from text while inducing as much temporal information as possible. In addition to recognizing temporal relations between times and events, TIE performs global inference, enforcing transitivity to bound the start and ending times for each event. We introduce the notion of temporal entropy as a way to evaluate the performance of temporal IE systems and present experiments showing that TIE outperforms three alternative approaches.