Government
Stick-Breaking Policy Learning in Dec-POMDPs
Liu, Miao (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) | Amato, Christopher (University of New Hampshire) | Liao, Xuejun (Duke University) | Carin, Lawrence (Duke University) | How, Jonathan P. (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Expectation maximization (EM) has recently been shown to be an efficient algorithm for learning finite-state controllers (FSCs) in large decentralized POMDPs (Dec-POMDPs). However, current methods use fixed-size FSCs and often converge to maxima that are far from the optimal value. This paper considers a variable-size FSC to represent the local policy of each agent. These variable-size FSCs are constructed using a stick-breaking prior, leading to a new framework called decentralized stick-breaking policy representation (Dec-SBPR). This approach learns the controller parameters with a variational Bayesian algorithm without having to assume that the Dec-POMDP model is available. The performance of Dec-SBPR is demonstrated on several benchmark problems, showing that the algorithm scales to large problems while outperforming other state-of-the-art methods.
Convergence to Equilibria in Strategic Candidacy
Polukarov, Maria (University of Southampton) | Obraztsova, Svetlana (Tel Aviv University) | Rabinovich, Zinovi (Mobileye Vision Technologies Ltd.) | Kruglyi, Alexander (St.Petersburg State Polytechnical University) | Jennings, Nicholas R. (University of Southampton)
We study equilibrium dynamics in candidacy games, in which candidates may strategically decide to enter the election or withdraw their candidacy, following their own preferences over possible outcomes. Focusing on games under Plurality, we extend the standard model to allow for situations where voters may refuse to return their votes to those candidates who had previously left the election, should they decide to run again. We show that if at the time when a candidate withdraws his candidacy, with some positive probability each voter takes this candidate out of his future consideration, the process converges with probability 1. This is in sharp contrast with the original model where the very existence of a Nash equilibrium is not guaranteed. We then consider the two extreme cases of this setting, where voters may block a withdrawn candidate with probabilities 0 or 1. In these scenarios, we study the complexity of reaching equilibria from a given initial point, converging to an equilibrium with a predermined winner or to an equilibrium with a given set of running candidates. Except for one easy case, we show that these problems are NP-complete, even when the initial point is fixed to a natural---truthful---state where all potential candidates stand for election.
Activity-based Scheduling of Science Campaigns for the Rosetta Orbiter
Chien, Steve (Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology) | Rabideau, Gregg (Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology) | Tran, Daniel (Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology) | Troesch, Martina (Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology) | Doubleday, Joshua (Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology) | Nespoli, Federico (European Space Astronomy Center, European Space Agency) | Ayucar, Miguel Perez (European Space Astronomy Center, European Space Agency) | Sitja, Marc Costa (European Space Astronomy Center, European Space Agency) | Vallat, Claire (European Space Astronomy Center, European Space Agency) | Geiger, Bernhard (European Space Astronomy Center, European Space Agency) | Altobelli, Nico (European Space Astronomy Center, European Space Agency) | Fernandez, Manuel (European Space Astronomy Center, European Space Agency) | Vallejo, Fran (European Space Astronomy Center, European Space Agency) | Andres, Rafael (European Space Astronomy Center, European Space Agency) | Kueppers, Michael (European Space Astronomy Center, European Space Agency)
Rosetta is a European Space Agency (ESA) cornerstone mission that entered orbit around the comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko in August 2014 and will escort the comet for a 1.5 year nominal mission offering the most detailed study of a comet ever undertaken by humankind. The Rosetta orbiter has 11 scientific instruments (4 remote sensing) and the Philae lander to make complementary measurements of the comet nucleus, coma (gas and dust), and surrounding environment. The ESA Rosetta Science Ground Segment has developed a science scheduling system that includes an automated scheduling capability to assist in developing science plans for the Rosetta Orbiter. While automated scheduling is a small portion of the overall Science Ground Segment (SGS) as well as the overall scheduling system, this paper focuses on the automated and semi-automated scheduling software (called ASPEN-RSSC) and how this software is used.
Using Social Media to Enhance Emergency Situation Awareness: Extended Abstract
Yin, Jie (CSIRO) | Karimi, Sarvnaz (CSIRO) | Lampert, Andrew (Palantir Technologies) | Cameron, Mark (CSIRO) | Robinson, Bella (CSIRO) | Power, Robert (CSIRO)
Social media platforms, such as Twitter, offer a rich source of real-time information about real-world events, particularly during mass emergencies. Sifting valuable information from social media provides useful insight into time-critical situations for emergency officers to understand the impact of hazards and act on emergency responses in a timely manner. This work focuses on analyzing Twitter messages generated during natural disasters, and shows how natural language processing and data mining techniques can be utilized to extract situation awareness information from Twitter. We present key relevant approaches that we have investigated including burst detection, tweet filtering and classification, online clustering, and geotagging.
Norms as a Basis for Governing Sociotechnical Systems: Extended Abstract
Singh, Munindar P. (North Carolina State University)
We understand a sociotechnical system as a microsociety in which autonomous parties interact with and about technical objects. We define governance as the administration of such a system by its participants. We develop an approach for governance based on a computational representation of norms. Our approach has the benefit of capturing stakeholder needs precisely while yielding adaptive resource allocation in the face of changes both in stakeholder needs and the environment. We are currently extending this approach to address the problem of secure collaboration and to contribute to the emerging science of cybersecurity.
The Complexity of Manipulative Attacks in Nearly Single-Peaked Electorates (Extended Abstract)
Faliszewski, Piotr (AGH Univesity of Science and Technology) | Hemaspaandra, Edith (Rochester Institute of Technology) | Hemaspaandra, Lane A. (University of Rochester)
Many electoral control and manipulation problems — which we will refer to in general as manipulative actions problems — are NP-hard in the general case. Many of these problems fall into polynomial time if the electorate is single-peaked, i.e., is polarized along some axis/issue. However, real-world electorates are not truly single-peaked — for example, there may be some maverick voters — and to take this into account, we study the complexity of manipulative-action algorithms for the case of nearly single-peaked electorates.
Developing Corpora for Sentiment Analysis: The Case of Irony and Senti-TUT (Extended Abstract)
Bosco, Cristina (Dipartimento di Informatica, Università di Torino) | Patti, Viviana (Dipartimento di Informatica, Università di Torino) | Bolioli, Andrea (CELI srl)
This paper focusses on the main issues related to the development of a corpus for opinion and sentiment analysis, with a special attention to irony, and presents as a case study Senti-TUT, a project for Italian aimed at investigating sentiment and irony in social media. We present the Senti-TUT corpus, a collection of texts from Twitter annotated with sentiment polarity. We describe the dataset, the annotation, the methodologies applied and our investigations on two important features of irony: polarity reversing and emotion expressions.
Ice-Breaking: Mitigating Cold-Start Recommendation Problem by Rating Comparison
Xu, Jingwei (Nanjing University) | Yao, Yuan (Nanjing University) | Tong, Hanghang (Arizona State University) | Tao, Xianping (Nanjing University) | Lu, Jian (Nanjing University)
Recommender system has become an indispensable component in many e-commerce sites. One major challenge that largely remains open is the cold-start problem, which can be viewed as an ice barrier that keeps the cold-start users/items from the warm ones. In this paper, we propose a novel rating comparison strategy (RaPare) to break this ice barrier. The center-piece of our RaPare is to provide a fine-grained calibration on the latent profiles of cold-start users/items by exploring the differences between cold-start and warm users/items. We instantiate our RaPare strategy on the prevalent method in recommender system, i.e., the matrix factorization based collaborative filtering. Experimental evaluations on two real data sets validate the superiority of our approach over the existing methods in cold-start scenarios.
Sketch the Storyline with CHARCOAL: A Non-Parametric Approach
Tang, Siliang (Zhejiang University) | Wu, Fei (Zhejiang University) | Li, Si (Zhejiang University) | Lu, Weiming (Zhejiang University) | Zhang, Zhongfei (Zhejiang University) | Zhuang, Yueting (Zhejiang University)
Generating a coherent synopsis and revealing the development threads for news stories from the increasing amounts of news content remains aformidable challenge. In this paper, we proposed a hddCRP (hybird distant-dependent ChineseRestaurant Process) based HierARChical tOpic model for news Article cLustering, abbreviated as CHARCOAL. Given a bunch of news articles, the outcome of CHARCOAL is threefold: 1) it aggregates relevant new articles into clusters (i.e., stories); 2) it disentangles the chain links (i.e., storyline) between articles in their describing story; 3) it discerns the topics that each story is assigned (e.g., Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 story belongs to the aircraft accident topic and U.S presidential election stories belong to the politics topic). CHARCOAL completes this task by utilizing a hddCRP as prior, and the entities (e.g., names of persons, organizations, or locations) that appear in news articles as clues. Moveover, the adaptation of nonparametric nature in CHARCOAL makes our model can adaptively learn the appropriate number of stories and topics from news corpus. The experimental analysis and results demonstrate both interpretability and superiority of the proposed approach.
Nonparametric Independence Testing for Small Sample Sizes
Ramdas, Aaditya (Carnegie Mellon University) | Wehbe, Leila (Carnegie Mellon University)
It is also useful for scientific discovery like in neuroscience, like correlation of X, Y only test for (univariate) to see if a stimulus X (say an image) is independent linear independence, natural alternatives like of the brain activity Y (say fMRI) in a relevant part of mutual information of X, Y are hard to estimate the brain. Since detecting nonlinear correlations is much easier due to a serious curse of dimensionality. A recent than estimating a nonparametric regression function (of approach, avoiding both issues, estimates norms of Y onto X), it can be done at smaller sample sizes, with further an operator in Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces samples collected for estimation only if an effect is detected (RKHSs). Our main contribution is strong empirical by the hypothesis test. For such situations, correlation evidence that by employing shrunk operators only tests for univariate linear independence, while other when the sample size is small, one can attain an improvement statistics like mutual information that do characterize multivariate in power at low false positive rates. We independence are hard to estimate from data, suffering analyze the effects of Stein shrinkage on a popular from a serious curse of dimensionality. A recent popular test statistic called HSIC (Hilbert-Schmidt Independence approach for this problem (and a related two-sample testing Criterion). Our observations provide insights problem) involve the use of quantities defined in reproducing into two recently proposed shrinkage estimators, kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs) - see [Gretton et al., 2006; SCOSE and FCOSE - we prove that SCOSE Harchaoui et al., 2007; Gretton et al., 2005b; 2005a].