Goto

Collaborating Authors

 Government


Time Series Analysis of Electricity Price and Demand to Find Cyber-attacks using Stationary Analysis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

With developing of computation tools in the last years, data analysis methods to find insightful information are becoming more common among industries and researchers. This paper is the first part of the times series analysis of New England electricity price and demand to find anomaly in the data. In this paper time-series stationary criteria to prepare data for further times-series related analysis is investigated. Three main analysis are conducted in this paper, including moving average, moving standard deviation and augmented Dickey-Fuller test. The data used in this paper is New England big data from 9 different operational zones. For each zone, 4 different variables including day-ahead (DA) electricity demand, price and real-time (RT) electricity demand price are considered.


Center for Data Innovation: U.S. leads AI race, with China closing fast and EU lagging

#artificialintelligence

While the United States currently has an edge in the race to develop artificial intelligence, China is rapidly gaining ground as Europe falls behind, according to a report released today by the Center for Data Innovation. The study arrives amid a wide-ranging debate about which region has gained AI leadership, and the implications that holds for dominating cutting-edge technologies such as autonomous vehicles and other forms of automation. The winners of an AI arms race could hold a significant economic advantage in the decades to come. There has been growing concern among U.S. tech companies and policymakers that China's initiative to make it dominant in AI by 2030 is allowing it to dictate this critical field. The ability of its central government to allow sweeping data gathering and determine official champions to lead this charge seems to have given its efforts significant momentum.


Trump economic adviser dismisses fears of looming recession

The Japan Times

BERKELEY HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY โ€“ President Donald Trump's top economic adviser is playing down fears of a looming recession after last week's sharp drop in the financial markets and predicting the economy will perform well in the second half of 2019. Larry Kudlow said in Sunday television interviews that consumers are seeing higher wages and are able to spend and save more. "No, I don't see a recession," Kudlow said. Let's not be afraid of optimism." A strong economy is key to Trump's reelection prospects.


How Digital Transformations Are Changing the Face of Operations

#artificialintelligence

Imagine you are an IT operations manager at a government agency. At a critical period when almost the entire country is trying to access your IT systems, a manhole fire brings your server connections down. You get a call: The system seems to have backed on to a backup connection that is much lower than the regular 10 GB connection to the data center. The help-desk team starts receiving frantic requests from citizens trying to submit their last-minute paperwork. The fallback is slowing down the responses, which in turn is leading to connection timeouts.


How Cities Should Prepare for Artificial Intelligence

#artificialintelligence

It's time for city administrations and local employers to close AI-related skills gaps. This article is part of an MIT SMR initiative exploring how technology is reshaping the practice of management. While there is much discussion of how artificial intelligence will continue to transform industries and organizations, a key driver of AI's role in the global economy will be cities. How cities deal with coming changes will determine which ones will thrive in the future. Many cities have plans to become "smart cities" armed with AI-driven processes and services, like AI-based traffic control systems, to improve residents' lives.


How AI is helping track endangered species Microsoft On The Issues

#artificialintelligence

The Hawaiian poสปo-uli, a small bird from the honeycreeper family, was first discovered in 1973. Less than half a century later, it disappeared from the planet. Declared extinct in 2018, it is one of almost 700 vertebrate species that have been driven to extinction in the last 500 years. According to a United Nations report issued earlier this year to policymakers, one million species are at risk of extinction: Human actions threaten more plants and animals than ever before. Although the precise number of species on the planet is difficult to calculate, recent estimates put it at around 8.7 million.


AI could solve the healthcare staffing crisis and become our radiologists of the future

#artificialintelligence

It is almost 40 years since a full-body magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) machine was used for the first time to scan a patient and generate diagnostic-quality images. The scanner and signal processing methods needed to produce an image were devised by a team of medical physicists including John Mallard, Jim Hutchinson, Bill Edelstein and Tom Redpath at the University of Aberdeen, leading to the widespread use of the MRI scanner, now a ubiquitous tool in radiology departments across the world. MRI was a game-changer in medical diagnostics because it didn't require exposure to ionising radiation (such as X-rays), and could generate images on multiple cross-sections of the body with superb definition of soft tissues. This allowed, for example, the direct visualisation of the spinal cord for the first time. Most people today will have undergone an MRI or know somebody who has.


Alliances and Conflict, or Conflict and Alliances? Appraising the Causal Effect of Alliances on Conflict

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The deterrent effect of military alliances is well documented and widely accepted. However, such work has typically assumed that alliances are exogenous. This is problematic as alliances may simultaneously influence the probability of conflict and be influenced by the probability of conflict. Failing to account for such endogeneity produces overly simplistic theories of alliance politics and barriers to identifying the causal effect of alliances on conflict. In this manuscript, I propose a solution to this theoretical and empirical modeling challenge. Synthesizing theories of alliance formation and the alliance-conflict relationship, I innovate an endogenous theory of alliances and conflict. I then test this theory using innovative generalized joint regression models that allow me to endogenize alliance formation on the causal path to conflict. Once doing so, I ultimately find that alliances neither deter nor provoke aggression. This has significant implications for our understanding of interstate conflict and alliance politics.


Twitter Sentiment on Affordable Care Act using Score Embedding

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Mohsen Farhadloo, PhD John Molson Scool of Business, Concordia University mohsen.farhadloo@concordia.ca August 21, 2019 Abstract In this paper we introduce score embedding, a neural network based model to learn interpretable vector representations for words. Score embedding is a supervised method that takes advantage of the labeled training data and the neural network architecture to learn interpretable representations for words. Health care has been a controversial issue between political parties in the United States. In this paper we use the discussions on Twitter regarding different issues of affordable care act to identify the public opinion about the existing health care plans using the proposed score embedding. Our results indicate our approach effectively incorporates the sentiment information and outperforms or is at least comparable to the state-of-the-art methods and the negative sentiment towards "TrumpCare" was consistently greater than neutral and positive sentiment over time. 1 Introduction Sentiment analysis as a type of text categorization is the task of identifying the sentiment orientation of documents written in natural language which assigns one of the predefined sentiment categories into a whole document or pieces of the document such as phrases or sentences [23, 8]. Many studies used binary classification and reported high performance [18, 29, 24] and some studies have observed that the performance of the categorization reduces as the number of sentiment categories increases [2, 16, 3, 11]. Bag-Of-Words (BOW), a standard approach for text categorization, represents a document by a vector that indicates the words that appear in the document.


Transfer Learning-Based Label Proportions Method with Data of Uncertainty

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Learning with label proportions(LLP), which seeks an instance-level classifier merely based on bag-level label proportions, is a new paradigm in machine learning that addresses the classification of instances [1, 2, 3]. In LLP, we only know the proportions of examples belonging to different classes in each bag; however the labels of the instances are unknown. From the binary classification perspective, the task of LLP is to learn a classifier to classify the unknown label instance as either positive class or negative class. The formulation that learning with label proportions has been first proposed by Kuck et al. in [1], which can be used for political elections analysis. In the case of politician polls, each candidate may have a group of loyal voters and some swing voters. They may know the vague proportion of votes cast in each district; however, they usually do not know the vote of each person. Since the candidates have limited resources, they have to analyze political elections and consider which kind of voters they should focus on so as to maximize their interests. To date, LLP has been applied to forecasting revenue [4], image classification [5, 6], video event detection [7], demographics mining [8] and privacy protection [9]. Figure 1 illustrates the binary classification problem in LLP.