Government
Modernizing Threat Management for the Evolving Attack Surfaces of OT, IoT and IoMT
The traditional threat landscape comprised of conventional IT assets is difficult enough to protect, detect and respond to, but the landscape seems to be quickly expanding beyond traditional IT. Those new domains are operational technology (OT), the internet of things (IoT) and the internet of medical things (IoMT). Devices from non-traditional IT environments are finding their way onto corporate intranets, which can create a shadow IT environment. These devices are unmanaged and some managers don't have a full understanding of the risks associated with these devices. More visibility into these devices could help a chief information security officer (CISO) to understand whether they are acting appropriately.
Will Real-Life Blade Runners be Tax Collectors? Fast Future Publishing
In 1979, an innovative two-minute TV commercial gave Britain a glimpse of the future. Choreographed to music from Rossini's Barber of Seville, hi-tech machines built the Fiat Strada. The tagline was "Handbuilt by Robots." Humans were nowhere to be seen in the Turin factory where the ad was shot, but the film crew knew where the people were: outside, on picket lines protesting the loss of their jobs. Fast forward nearly 40 years and "the robots are coming, they want to replace us, and there's nothing we can do to stop them" isn't the plot of the next season of Westworld, it's a real-world warning that's becoming louder with each new leap in the fields of artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics. Both the technoprogressive enthusiasts and the head-in-the-sand reactionaries believe doomsayers are overstating the threat.
Has an AI Cyber Attack Happened Yet?
It is a truth in the IT sector that digital developments are rarely as impressive or dramatic as what sci-fi movies and books imagine them to be. Take AI cyber attacks as an example. There haven't been any robot or AI uprisings, obviously (at least not yet). But if you were to ask a random person if an AI cyber attack has happened yet, odds are good they will respond in the negative. But the reality is that AI cyber attacks have happened and are happening, with increasing regularity to boot.
A guide to healthy skepticism of artificial intelligence and coronavirus
The COVID-19 outbreak has spurred considerable news coverage about the ways artificial intelligence (AI) can combat the pandemic's spread. Unfortunately, much of it has failed to be appropriately skeptical about the claims of AI's value. Like many tools, AI has a role to play, but its effect on the outbreak is probably small. While this may change in the future, technologies like data reporting, telemedicine, and conventional diagnostic tools are currently far more impactful than AI. Still, various news articles have dramatized the role AI is playing in the pandemic by overstating what tasks it can perform, inflating its effectiveness and scale, neglecting the level of human involvement, and being careless in consideration of related risks. In fact, the COVID-19 AI-hype has been diverse enough to cover the greatest hits of exaggerated claims around AI. And so, framed around examples from the COVID-19 outbreak, here are eight considerations for a skeptic's approach to AI claims.
Motif-Based Spectral Clustering of Weighted Directed Networks
Underwood, William George, Elliott, Andrew, Cucuringu, Mihai
Clustering is an essential technique for network analysis, with applications in a diverse range of fields. Although spectral clustering is a popular and effective method, it fails to consider higher-order structure and can perform poorly on directed networks. One approach is to capture and cluster higher-order structures using motif adjacency matrices. However, current formulations fail to take edge weights into account, and thus are somewhat limited when weight is a key component of the network under study. We address these shortcomings by exploring motif-based weighted spectral clustering methods. We present new and computationally useful matrix formulae for motif adjacency matrices on weighted networks, which can be used to construct efficient algorithms for any anchored or non-anchored motif on three nodes. In a very sparse regime, our proposed method can handle graphs with five million nodes and tens of millions of edges in under ten minutes. We further use our framework to construct a motif-based approach for clustering bipartite networks. We provide comprehensive experimental results, demonstrating (i) the scalability of our approach, (ii) advantages of higher-order clustering on synthetic examples, and (iii) the effectiveness of our techniques on a variety of real world data sets. We conclude that motif-based spectral clustering is a valuable tool for analysis of directed and bipartite weighted networks, which is also scalable and easy to implement.
Predicting Injectable Medication Adherence via a Smart Sharps Bin and Machine Learning
Gu, Yingqi, Zalkikar, Akshay, Kelly, Lara, Daly, Kieran, Ward, Tomas E.
Medication non-adherence is a widespread problem affecting over 50% of people who have chronic illness and need chronic treatment. Non-adherence exacerbates health risks and drives significant increases in treatment costs. In order to address these challenges, the importance of predicting patients' adherence has been recognised. In other words, it is important to improve the efficiency of interventions of the current healthcare system by prioritizing resources to the patients who are most likely to be non-adherent. Our objective in this work is to make predictions regarding individual patients' behaviour in terms of taking their medication on time during their next scheduled medication opportunity. We do this by leveraging a number of machine learning models. In particular, we demonstrate the use of a connected IoT device; a "Smart Sharps Bin", invented by HealthBeacon Ltd.; to monitor and track injection disposal of patients in their home environment. Using extensive data collected from these devices, five machine learning models, namely Extra Trees Classifier, Random Forest, XGBoost, Gradient Boosting and Multilayer Perception were trained and evaluated on a large dataset comprising 165,223 historic injection disposal records collected from 5,915 HealthBeacon units over the course of 3 years. The testing work was conducted on real-time data generated by the smart device over a time period after the model training was complete, i.e. true future data. The proposed machine learning approach demonstrated very good predictive performance exhibiting an Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC AUC) of 0.86.
General Identification of Dynamic Treatment Regimes Under Interference
Sherman, Eli, Arbour, David, Shpitser, Ilya
In many applied fields, researchers are often interested in tailoring treatments to unit-level characteristics in order to optimize an outcome of interest. Methods for identifying and estimating treatment policies are the subject of the dynamic treatment regime literature. Separately, in many settings the assumption that data are independent and identically distributed does not hold due to inter-subject dependence. The phenomenon where a subject's outcome is dependent on his neighbor's exposure is known as interference. These areas intersect in myriad real-world settings. In this paper we consider the problem of identifying optimal treatment policies in the presence of interference. Using a general representation of interference, via Lauritzen-Wermuth-Freydenburg chain graphs (Lauritzen and Richardson, 2002), we formalize a variety of policy interventions under interference and extend existing identification theory (Tian, 2008; Sherman and Shpitser, 2018). Finally, we illustrate the efficacy of policy maximization under interference in a simulation study.
Improving the Utility of Knowledge Graph Embeddings with Calibration
Safavi, Tara, Koutra, Danai, Meij, Edgar
This paper addresses machine learning models that embed knowledge graph entities and relationships toward the goal of predicting unseen triples, which is an important task because most knowledge graphs are by nature incomplete. We posit that while offline link prediction accuracy using embeddings has been steadily improving on benchmark datasets, such embedding models have limited practical utility in real-world knowledge graph completion tasks because it is not clear when their predictions should be accepted or trusted. To this end, we propose to calibrate knowledge graph embedding models to output reliable confidence estimates for predicted triples. In crowdsourcing experiments, we demonstrate that calibrated confidence scores can make knowledge graph embeddings more useful to practitioners and data annotators in knowledge graph completion tasks. We also release two resources from our evaluation tasks: An enriched version of the FB15K benchmark and a new knowledge graph dataset extracted from Wikidata.
Sum-product networks: A survey
París, Iago, Sánchez-Cauce, Raquel, Díez, Francisco Javier
A sum-product network (SPN) is a probabilistic model, based on a rooted acyclic directed graph, in which terminal nodes represent univariate probability distributions and non-terminal nodes represent convex combinations (weighted sums) and products of probability functions. They are closely related to probabilistic graphical models, in particular to Bayesian networks with multiple context-specific independencies. Their main advantage is the possibility of building tractable models from data, i.e., models that can perform several inference tasks in time proportional to the number of links in the graph. They are somewhat similar to neural networks and can address the same kinds of problems, such as image processing and natural language understanding. This paper offers a survey of SPNs, including their definition, the main algorithms for inference and learning from data, the main applications, a brief review of software libraries, and a comparison with related models
Combating The Machine Ethics Crisis: An Educational Approach
In recent years, the availability of massive data sets and improved computing power have driven the advent of cutting-edge machine learning algorithms. However, this trend has triggered growing concerns associated with its ethical issues. In response to such a phenomenon, this study proposes a feasible solution that combines ethics and computer science materials in artificial intelligent classrooms. In addition, the paper presents several arguments and evidence in favor of the necessity and effectiveness of this integrated approach.