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DINGO: an ontology for projects and grants linked data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Services and resources built around Semantic Web, semantically-enabled applications and linked (open) data technologies have been increasingly impacting research and research-related activities in the last years. Development has been intense along several directions, for instance in "semantic publishing" [36], but also in the aspects directed toward the reproducibility and attribution of research and scholarly outputs, leading also to the interest in having Open Science Graphs interconnected at the global level [21]. All this has become more and more essential to research practices, also in light of the so-called reproducibility crisis affecting a number of research fields (see, for instance, the huge list of latest studies at https://reproduciblescience.org/2019). In fact, the demand of easily and automatically parsable, interoperable and processable data goes beyond the purely academic sphere. The research landscape comprises a vast number and type of activities, with multiple and diverse stakeholders, actors and with impact on several aspects and sectors of society.


Combinatorial Pure Exploration of Dueling Bandit

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we study combinatorial pure exploration for dueling bandits (CPE-DB): we have multiple candidates for multiple positions as modeled by a bipartite graph, and in each round we sample a duel of two candidates on one position and observe who wins in the duel, with the goal of finding the best candidate-position matching with high probability after multiple rounds of samples. CPE-DB is an adaptation of the original combinatorial pure exploration for multi-armed bandit (CPE-MAB) problem to the dueling bandit setting. We consider both the Borda winner and the Condorcet winner cases. For Borda winner, we establish a reduction of the problem to the original CPE-MAB setting and design PAC and exact algorithms that achieve both the sample complexity similar to that in the CPE-MAB setting (which is nearly optimal for a subclass of problems) and polynomial running time per round. For Condorcet winner, we first design a fully polynomial time approximation scheme (FPTAS) for the offline problem of finding the Condorcet winner with known winning probabilities, and then use the FPTAS as an oracle to design a novel pure exploration algorithm ${\sf CAR}$-${\sf Cond}$ with sample complexity analysis. ${\sf CAR}$-${\sf Cond}$ is the first algorithm with polynomial running time per round for identifying the Condorcet winner in CPE-DB.


Befriending The Byzantines Through Reputation Scores

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose two novel stochastic gradient descent algorithms, ByGARS and ByGARS++, for distributed machine learning in the presence of Byzantine adversaries. In these algorithms, reputation score of workers are computed using an auxiliary dataset with a larger stepsize. This reputation score is then used for aggregating the gradients for stochastic gradient descent with a smaller stepsize. We show that using these reputation scores for gradient aggregation is robust to any number of Byzantine adversaries. In contrast to prior works targeting any number of adversaries, we improve the generalization performance by making use of some adversarial workers along with the benign ones. The computational complexity of ByGARS++ is the same as the usual stochastic gradient descent method with only an additional inner product computation. We establish its convergence for strongly convex loss functions and demonstrate the effectiveness of the algorithms for non-convex learning problems using MNIST and CIFAR-10 datasets.


Iterative Effect-Size Bias in Ridehailing: Measuring Social Bias in Dynamic Pricing of 100 Million Rides

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Algorithmic bias is the systematic preferential or discriminatory treatment of a group of people by an artificial intelligence system. In this work we develop a random-effects based metric for the analysis of social bias in supervised machine learning prediction models where model outputs depend on U.S. locations. We define a methodology for using U.S. Census data to measure social bias on user attributes legally protected against discrimination, such as ethnicity, sex, and religion, also known as protected attributes. We evaluate our method on the Strategic Subject List (SSL) gun-violence prediction dataset, where we have access to both U.S. Census data as well as ground truth protected attributes for 224,235 individuals in Chicago being assessed for participation in future gun-violence incidents. Our results indicate that quantifying social bias using U.S. Census data provides a valid approach to auditing a supervised algorithmic decision-making system. Using our methodology, we then quantify the potential social biases of 100 million ridehailing samples in the city of Chicago. This work is the first large-scale fairness analysis of the dynamic pricing algorithms used by ridehailing applications. An analysis of Chicago ridehailing samples in conjunction with American Community Survey data indicates possible disparate impact due to social bias based on age, house pricing, education, and ethnicity in the dynamic fare pricing models used by ridehailing applications, with effect-sizes of 0.74, 0.70, 0.34, and -0.31 (using Cohen's d) for each demographic respectively. Further, our methodology provides a principled approach to quantifying algorithmic bias on datasets where protected attributes are unavailable, given that U.S. geolocations and algorithmic decisions are provided.


Fanoos: Multi-Resolution, Multi-Strength, Interactive Explanations for Learned Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning becomes increasingly important to tune or even synthesize the behavior of safety-critical components in highly non-trivial environments, where the inability to understand learned components in general, and neural nets in particular, poses serious obstacles to their adoption. Explainability and interpretability methods for learned systems have gained considerable academic attention, but the focus of current approaches on only one aspect of explanation, at a fixed level of abstraction, and limited if any formal guarantees, prevents those explanations from being digestible by the relevant stakeholders (e.g., end users, certification authorities, engineers) with their diverse backgrounds and situation-specific needs. We introduce Fanoos, a flexible framework for combining formal verification techniques, heuristic search, and user interaction to explore explanations at the desired level of granularity and fidelity. We demonstrate the ability of Fanoos to produce and adjust the abstractness of explanations in response to user requests on a learned controller for an inverted double pendulum and on a learned CPU usage model.


Artificial intelligence in space

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the next coming years, space activities are expected to undergo a radical transformation with the emergence of new satellite systems or new services which will incorporate the contributions of artificial intelligence and machine learning defined as covering a wide range of innovations from autonomous objects with their own decision-making power to increasingly sophisticated services exploiting very large volumes of information from space. This chapter identifies some of the legal and ethical challenges linked to its use. These legal and ethical challenges call for solutions which the international treaties in force are not sufficient to determine and implement. For this reason, a legal methodology must be developed that makes it possible to link intelligent systems and services to a system of rules applicable thereto. It discusses existing legal AI-based tools amenable for making space law actionable, interoperable and machine readable for future compliance tools.


Spectral Evolution with Approximated Eigenvalue Trajectories for Link Prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The spectral evolution model aims to characterize the growth of large networks (i.e., how they evolve as new edges are established) in terms of the eigenvalue decomposition of the adjacency matrices. It assumes that, while eigenvectors remain constant, eigenvalues evolve in a predictable manner over time. This paper extends the original formulation of the model twofold. First, it presents a method to compute an approximation of the spectral evolution of eigenvalues based on the Rayleigh quotient. Second, it proposes an algorithm to estimate the evolution of eigenvalues by extrapolating only a fraction of their approximated values. The proposed model is used to characterize mention networks of users who posted tweets that include the most popular political hashtags in Colombia from August 2017 to August 2018 (the period which concludes the disarmament of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia). To evaluate the extent to which the spectral evolution model resembles these networks, link prediction methods based on learning algorithms (i.e., extrapolation and regression) and graph kernels are implemented. Experimental results show that the learning algorithms deployed on the approximated trajectories outperform the usual kernel and extrapolation methods at predicting the formation of new edges.


A Neural Network for Determination of Latent Dimensionality in Nonnegative Matrix Factorization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF) has proven to be a powerful unsupervised learning method for uncovering hidden features in complex and noisy data sets with applications in data mining, text recognition, dimension reduction, face recognition, anomaly detection, blind source separation, and many other fields. An important input for NMF is the latent dimensionality of the data, that is, the number of hidden features, K, present in the explored data set. Unfortunately, this quantity is rarely known a priori. We utilize a supervised machine learning approach in combination with a recent method for model determination, called NMFk, to determine the number of hidden features automatically. NMFk performs a set of NMF simulations on an ensemble of matrices, obtained by bootstrapping the initial data set, and determines which K produces stable groups of latent features that reconstruct the initial data set well. We then train a Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) classifier network to determine the correct number of latent features utilizing the statistics and characteristics of the NMF solutions, obtained from NMFk. In order to train the MLP classifier, a training set of 58,660 matrices with predetermined latent features were factorized with NMFk. The MLP classifier in conjunction with NMFk maintains a greater than 95% success rate when applied to a held out test set. Additionally, when applied to two well-known benchmark data sets, the swimmer and MIT face data, NMFk/MLP correctly recovered the established number of hidden features. Finally, we compared the accuracy of our method to the ARD, AIC and Stability-based methods.


Stacking for Non-mixing Bayesian Computations: The Curse and Blessing of Multimodal Posteriors

arXiv.org Machine Learning

When working with multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms can have difficulty moving between modes, and default variational or mode-based approximate inferences will understate posterior uncertainty. And, even if the most important modes can be found, it is difficult to evaluate their relative weights in the posterior. Here we propose an alternative approach, using parallel runs of MCMC, variational, or mode-based inference to hit as many modes or separated regions as possible, and then combining these using importance sampling based Bayesian stacking, a scalable method for constructing a weighted average of distributions so as to maximize cross-validated prediction utility. The result from stacking is not necessarily equivalent, even asymptotically, to fully Bayesian inference, but it serves many of the same goals. Under misspecified models, stacking can give better predictive performance than full Bayesian inference, hence the multimodality can be considered a blessing rather than a curse. We explore with an example where the stacked inference approximates the true data generating process from the misspecified model, an example of inconsistent inference, and non-mixing samplers. We elaborate the practical implantation in the context of latent Dirichlet allocation, Gaussian process regression, hierarchical model, variational inference in horseshoe regression, and neural networks.


Bayesian Neural Networks: An Introduction and Survey

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Neural Networks (NNs) have provided state-of-the-art results for many challenging machine learning tasks such as detection, regression and classification across the domains of computer vision, speech recognition and natural language processing. Despite their success, they are often implemented in a frequentist scheme, meaning they are unable to reason about uncertainty in their predictions. This article introduces Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) and the seminal research regarding their implementation. Different approximate inference methods are compared, and used to highlight where future research can improve on current methods.