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Predictions for AI in 2021 - InformationWeek
Artificial intelligence has expanded its grip on our lives throughout the past year. Even as a global pandemic forced many data scientists to work from their homes, AI-driven innovations continued to pour from the smartest minds everywhere. AI is a centerpiece of the coming "new normal" in all our lives. Going forward, AI will be the intelligent nucleus of automated, robotic, and contactless processes that will protect us all from future outbreaks. As we turn the corner into 2021, we'll also have a new administration in place at the White House, a fact that will shape these AI-industry trends that we can't yet fully foresee.
Unpacking the UK's Newly Announced Centre on Artificial Intelligence
Few details about the planned UK defence centre on artificial intelligence (AI) have emerged since 19 November when the prime minister announced its intended formation. Nor is it clear whether it was the Cabinet Office and Downing Street or the Ministry of Defence itself that was the driving force behind the proposal, and it is not known whether the centre will reside within the defence organisational structure or be co-located with another department. As a result, all we can do at this stage is offer some suggestions about the functions the centre could perform and raise questions about its organisation and structure. A few introductory lines about AI are needed. At its heart, it involves the use of computers for processing information to improve decision-making (namely suggesting choices that have a better chance of success and to do so more rapidly). There are four elements in AI development.
'Comet chasing spacecraft' to be built in the UK
British engineers are set to build a spacecraft that will track down and'ambush' comets in order to study them in unprecedented detail. The mission, dubbed the'comet chaser', will feature three main components, a mothership built by a company called Thales Alenia Space based in the UK, and two robotic probes which will be manufactured by the Japanese Space Agency (JAXA). Astronomers hope the highly-detailed 3D-scans of the space rock's surface will reveal secrets about the formation of comets and the early universe. British engineers are set to build a spacecraft that will track down and ambush comets in order to scan them in unprecedented detail. Comets are chunks of icy rock spewed out from fierce explosions following the universe's inception.
Developing Future Human-Centered Smart Cities: Critical Analysis of Smart City Security, Interpretability, and Ethical Challenges
Ahmad, Kashif, Maabreh, Majdi, Ghaly, Mohamed, Khan, Khalil, Qadir, Junaid, Al-Fuqaha, Ala
As we make tremendous advances in machine learning and artificial intelligence technosciences, there is a renewed understanding in the AI community that we must ensure that humans being are at the center of our deliberations so that we don't end in technology-induced dystopias. As strongly argued by Green in his book Smart Enough City, the incorporation of technology in city environs does not automatically translate into prosperity, wellbeing, urban livability, or social justice. There is a great need to deliberate on the future of the cities worth living and designing. There are philosophical and ethical questions involved along with various challenges that relate to the security, safety, and interpretability of AI algorithms that will form the technological bedrock of future cities. Several research institutes on human centered AI have been established at top international universities. Globally there are calls for technology to be made more humane and human-compatible. For example, Stuart Russell has a book called Human Compatible AI. The Center for Humane Technology advocates for regulators and technology companies to avoid business models and product features that contribute to social problems such as extremism, polarization, misinformation, and Internet addiction. In this paper, we analyze and explore key challenges including security, robustness, interpretability, and ethical challenges to a successful deployment of AI or ML in human-centric applications, with a particular emphasis on the convergence of these challenges. We provide a detailed review of existing literature on these key challenges and analyze how one of these challenges may lead to others or help in solving other challenges. The paper also advises on the current limitations, pitfalls, and future directions of research in these domains, and how it can fill the current gaps and lead to better solutions.
Learning Parameters for Balanced Index Influence Maximization
Ma, Manqing, Korniss, Gyorgy, Szymanski, Boleslaw K.
Influence maximization is the task of finding the smallest set of nodes whose activation in a social network can trigger an activation cascade that reaches the targeted network coverage, where threshold rules determine the outcome of influence. This problem is NP-hard and it has generated a significant amount of recent research on finding efficient heuristics. We focus on a {\it Balance Index} algorithm that relies on three parameters to tune its performance to the given network structure. We propose using a supervised machine-learning approach for such tuning. We select the most influential graph features for the parameter tuning. Then, using random-walk-based graph-sampling, we create small snapshots from the given synthetic and large-scale real-world networks. Using exhaustive search, we find for these snapshots the high accuracy values of BI parameters to use as a ground truth. Then, we train our machine-learning model on the snapshots and apply this model to the real-word network to find the best BI parameters. We apply these parameters to the sampled real-world network to measure the quality of the sets of initiators found this way. We use various real-world networks to validate our approach against other heuristic.
Classification of Smoking and Calling using Deep Learning
Wang, Miaowei, Mohacey, Alexander William, Wang, Hongyu, Apfel, James
Since 2014, very deep convolutional neural networks have been proposed and become the must-have weapon for champions in all kinds of competition. In this report, a pipeline is introduced to perform the classification of smoking and calling by modifying the pretrained inception V3. Brightness enhancing based on deep learning is implemented to improve the classification of this classification task along with other useful training tricks. Based on the quality and quantity results, it can be concluded that this pipeline with small biased samples is practical and useful with high accuracy.
The Emerging Threats of Deepfake Attacks and Countermeasures
Deepfake technology (DT) has taken a new level of sophistication. Cybercriminals now can manipulate sounds, images, and videos to defraud and misinform individuals and businesses. This represents a growing threat to international institutions and individuals which needs to be addressed. This paper provides an overview of deepfakes, their benefits to society, and how DT works. Highlights the threats that are presented by deepfakes to businesses, politics, and judicial systems worldwide. Additionally, the paper will explore potential solutions to deepfakes and conclude with future research direction.
Perceptron Theory for Predicting the Accuracy of Neural Networks
Kleyko, Denis, Rosato, Antonello, Frady, E. Paxon, Panella, Massimo, Sommer, Friedrich T.
Many neural network models have been successful at classification problems, but their operation is still treated as a black box. Here, we developed a theory for one-layer perceptrons that can predict performance on classification tasks. This theory is a generalization of an existing theory for predicting the performance of Echo State Networks and connectionist models for symbolic reasoning known as Vector Symbolic Architectures. In this paper, we first show that the proposed perceptron theory can predict the performance of Echo State Networks, which could not be described by the previous theory. Second, we apply our perceptron theory to the last layers of shallow randomly connected and deep multi-layer networks. The full theory is based on Gaussian statistics, but it is analytically intractable. We explore numerical methods to predict network performance for problems with a small number of classes. For problems with a large number of classes, we investigate stochastic sampling methods and a tractable approximation to the full theory. The quality of predictions is assessed in three experimental settings, using reservoir computing networks on a memorization task, shallow randomly connected networks on a collection of classification datasets, and deep convolutional networks with the ImageNet dataset. This study offers a simple, bipartite approach to understand deep neural networks: the input is encoded by the last-but-one layers into a high-dimensional representation. This representation is mapped through the weights of the last layer into the postsynaptic sums of the output neurons. Specifically, the proposed perceptron theory uses the mean vector and covariance matrix of the postsynaptic sums to compute classification accuracies for the different classes. The first two moments of the distribution of the postsynaptic sums can predict the overall network performance quite accurately.
"Thought I'd Share First": An Analysis of COVID-19 Conspiracy Theories and Misinformation Spread on Twitter
Gerts, Dax, Shelley, Courtney D., Parikh, Nidhi, Pitts, Travis, Ross, Chrysm Watson, Fairchild, Geoffrey, Chavez, Nidia Yadria Vaquera, Daughton, Ashlynn R.
Background: Misinformation spread through social media is a growing problem, and the emergence of COVID-19 has caused an explosion in new activity and renewed focus on the resulting threat to public health. Given this increased visibility, in-depth analysis of COVID-19 misinformation spread is critical to understanding the evolution of ideas with potential negative public health impact. Methods: Using a curated data set of COVID-19 tweets (N ~120 million tweets) spanning late January to early May 2020, we applied methods including regular expression filtering, supervised machine learning, sentiment analysis, geospatial analysis, and dynamic topic modeling to trace the spread of misinformation and to characterize novel features of COVID-19 conspiracy theories. Results: Random forest models for four major misinformation topics provided mixed results, with narrowly-defined conspiracy theories achieving F1 scores of 0.804 and 0.857, while more broad theories performed measurably worse, with scores of 0.654 and 0.347. Despite this, analysis using model-labeled data was beneficial for increasing the proportion of data matching misinformation indicators. We were able to identify distinct increases in negative sentiment, theory-specific trends in geospatial spread, and the evolution of conspiracy theory topics and subtopics over time. Conclusions: COVID-19 related conspiracy theories show that history frequently repeats itself, with the same conspiracy theories being recycled for new situations. We use a combination of supervised learning, unsupervised learning, and natural language processing techniques to look at the evolution of theories over the first four months of the COVID-19 outbreak, how these theories intertwine, and to hypothesize on more effective public health messaging to combat misinformation in online spaces.
Biomechanical modelling of brain atrophy through deep learning
da Silva, Mariana, Garcia, Kara, Sudre, Carole H., Bass, Cher, Cardoso, M. Jorge, Robinson, Emma
We present a proof-of-concept, deep learning (DL) based, differentiable biomechanical model of realistic brain deformations. Using prescribed maps of local atrophy and growth as input, the network learns to deform images according to a Neo-Hookean model of tissue deformation. The tool is validated using longitudinal brain atrophy data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) dataset, and we demonstrate that the trained model is capable of rapidly simulating new brain deformations with minimal residuals. This method has the potential to be used in data augmentation or for the exploration of different causal hypotheses reflecting brain growth and atrophy.