Government
How AI Will Impact Both Cybersecurity and Cyber Attacks
Cybersecurity is set to be one of the areas most impacted by artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, with both organizations and cyber criminals deploying AI in their own ways. As AI increases the risk and effectiveness of cyber attacks, organizations must also increase their efforts. The future outcomes of such attacks will greatly depend on who has a better grasp of AI technologies. As we become more of a digital world, the risk of AI-powered cyber attacks also dramatically increases. AI and machine learning are not only used by IT security professionals, but they are deployed by state-sponsored actors, criminal cyber organizations, and individuals.
A Survey on the Explainability of Supervised Machine Learning
Burkart, Nadia (Fraunhofer IOSB) | Huber, Marco F. (Fraunhofer IPA, University of Stuttgart)
Predictions obtained by, e.g., artificial neural networks have a high accuracy but humans often perceive the models as black boxes. Insights about the decision making are mostly opaque for humans. Particularly understanding the decision making in highly sensitive areas such as healthcare or finance, is of paramount importance. The decision-making behind the black boxes requires it to be more transparent, accountable, and understandable for humans. This survey paper provides essential definitions, an overview of the different principles and methodologies of explainable Supervised Machine Learning (SML). We conduct a state-of-the-art survey that reviews past and recent explainable SML approaches and classifies them according to the introduced definitions. Finally, we illustrate principles by means of an explanatory case study and discuss important future directions.
Obsolete Personal Information Update System for the Prevention of Falls among Elderly Patients
Chaieb, Salma, Hnich, Brahim, Mrad, Ali Ben
Falls are a common problem affecting the older adults and a major public health issue. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and World Health Organization report that one in three adults over the age of 65 and half of the adults over 80 fall each year. In recent years, an ever-increasing range of applications have been developed to help deliver more effective falls prevention interventions. All these applications rely on a huge elderly personal database collected from hospitals, mutual health, and other organizations in caring for elderly. The information describing an elderly is continually evolving and may become obsolete at a given moment and contradict what we already know on the same person. So, it needs to be continuously checked and updated in order to restore the database consistency and then provide better service. This paper provides an outline of an Obsolete personal Information Update System (OIUS) designed in the context of the elderly-fall prevention project. Our OIUS aims to control and update in real-time the information acquired about each older adult, provide on-demand consistent information and supply tailored interventions to caregivers and fall-risk patients. The approach outlined for this purpose is based on a polynomial-time algorithm build on top of a causal Bayesian network representing the elderly data. The result is given as a recommendation tree with some accuracy level. We conduct a thorough empirical study for such a model on an elderly personal information base. Experiments confirm the viability and effectiveness of our OIUS.
Personalized Education in the AI Era: What to Expect Next?
Maghsudi, Setareh, Lan, Andrew, Xu, Jie, van der Schaar, Mihaela
The objective of personalized learning is to design an effective knowledge acquisition track that matches the learner's strengths and bypasses her weaknesses to ultimately meet her desired goal. This concept emerged several years ago and is being adopted by a rapidly-growing number of educational institutions around the globe. In recent years, the boost of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), together with the advances in big data analysis, has unfolded novel perspectives to enhance personalized education in numerous dimensions. By taking advantage of AI/ML methods, the educational platform precisely acquires the student's characteristics. This is done, in part, by observing the past experiences as well as analyzing the available big data through exploring the learners' features and similarities. It can, for example, recommend the most appropriate content among numerous accessible ones, advise a well-designed long-term curriculum, connect appropriate learners by suggestion, accurate performance evaluation, and the like. Still, several aspects of AI-based personalized education remain unexplored. These include, among others, compensating for the adverse effects of the absence of peers, creating and maintaining motivations for learning, increasing diversity, removing the biases induced by the data and algorithms, and the like. In this paper, while providing a brief review of state-of-the-art research, we investigate the challenges of AI/ML-based personalized education and discuss potential solutions.
Internet of Predictable Things (IoPT) Framework to Increase Cyber-Physical System Resiliency
Cali, Umit, Kuzlu, Murat, Sharma, Vinayak, Pipattanasomporn, Manisa, Catak, Ferhat Ozgur
During the last two decades, distributed energy systems, especially renewable energy sources (RES), have become more economically viable with increasing market share and penetration levels on power systems. In addition to decarbonization and decentralization of energy systems, digitalization has also become very important. The use of artificial intelligence (AI), advanced optimization algorithms, Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), and other digitalization frameworks makes modern power system assets more intelligent, while vulnerable to cybersecurity risks. This paper proposes the concept of the Internet of Predictable Things (IoPT) that incorporates advanced data analytics and machine learning methods to increase the resiliency of cyber-physical systems against cybersecurity risks. The proposed concept is demonstrated using a cyber-physical system testbed under a variety of cyber attack scenarios as a proof of concept (PoC).
A System for Automated Open-Source Threat Intelligence Gathering and Management
Gao, Peng, Liu, Xiaoyuan, Choi, Edward, Soman, Bhavna, Mishra, Chinmaya, Farris, Kate, Song, Dawn
Sophisticated cyber attacks have plagued many high-profile businesses. To remain aware of the fast-evolving threat landscape, open-source Cyber Threat Intelligence (OSCTI) has received growing attention from the community. Commonly, knowledge about threats is presented in a vast number of OSCTI reports. Despite the pressing need for high-quality OSCTI, existing OSCTI gathering and management platforms, however, have primarily focused on isolated, low-level Indicators of Compromise. On the other hand, higher-level concepts (e.g., adversary tactics, techniques, and procedures) and their relationships have been overlooked, which contain essential knowledge about threat behaviors that is critical to uncovering the complete threat scenario. To bridge the gap, we propose SecurityKG, a system for automated OSCTI gathering and management. SecurityKG collects OSCTI reports from various sources, uses a combination of AI and NLP techniques to extract high-fidelity knowledge about threat behaviors, and constructs a security knowledge graph. SecurityKG also provides a UI that supports various types of interactivity to facilitate knowledge graph exploration.
The fiscal response to revenue shocks
Berset, Simon, Huber, Martin, Schelker, Mark
We study the impact of fiscal revenue shocks on local fiscal policy. We focus on the very volatile revenues from the immovable property gains tax in the canton of Zurich, Switzerland, and analyze fiscal behavior following large and rare positive and negative revenue shocks. We apply causal machine learning strategies and implement the post-double-selection LASSO estimator to identify the causal effect of revenue shocks on public finances. We show that local policymakers overall predominantly smooth fiscal shocks. However, we also find some patterns consistent with fiscal conservatism, where positive shocks are smoothed, while negative ones are mitigated by spending cuts.
Bumble dating app unblocks politics filter after complaints from users
Fox News Flash top headlines are here. Check out what's clicking on Foxnews.com. Dating is about to get political again. After briefly disabling the feature, Bumble is reportedly allowing users to once again filter matches based on their political stance. This option was temporarily disabled following the riot at the U.S. Capitol "to prevent misuse," Bumble previously said.
Can a Fruit Fly Learn Word Embeddings?
Liang, Yuchen, Ryali, Chaitanya K., Hoover, Benjamin, Grinberg, Leopold, Navlakha, Saket, Zaki, Mohammed J., Krotov, Dmitry
The mushroom body of the fruit fly brain is one of the best studied systems in neuroscience. At its core it consists of a population of Kenyon cells, which receive inputs from multiple sensory modalities. These cells are inhibited by the anterior paired lateral neuron, thus creating a sparse high dimensional representation of the inputs. In this work we study a mathematical formalization of this network motif and apply it to learning the correlational structure between words and their context in a corpus of unstructured text, a common natural language processing (NLP) task. We show that this network can learn semantic representations of words and can generate both static and context-dependent word embeddings. The quality of the learned representations is evaluated on word similarity analysis, word-sense disambiguation, and document classification. It is shown that not only can the fruit fly network motif achieve performance comparable to existing methods in NLP, but, additionally, it uses only a fraction of the computational resources (shorter training time and smaller memory footprint). Deep learning has made tremendous advances in computer vision, natural language processing and many other areas. While taking high-level inspiration from biology, the current generation of deep learning methods are not necessarily biologically realistic. This raises the question whether biological systems can further inform the development of new network architectures and learning algorithms that can lead to competitive performance on machine learning tasks or offer additional insights into intelligent behavior. Our work is inspired by this motivation.
On the Generalizability of Motion Models for Road Users in Heterogeneous Shared Traffic Spaces
Johora, Fatema T., Yang, Dongfang, Müller, Jörg P., Özgüner, Ümit
Modeling mixed-traffic motion and interactions is crucial to assess safety, efficiency, and feasibility of future urban areas. The lack of traffic regulations, diverse transport modes, and the dynamic nature of mixed-traffic zones like shared spaces make realistic modeling of such environments challenging. This paper focuses on the generalizability of the motion model, i.e., its ability to generate realistic behavior in different environmental settings, an aspect which is lacking in existing works. Specifically, our first contribution is a novel and systematic process of formulating general motion models and application of this process is to extend our Game-Theoretic Social Force Model (GSFM) towards a general model for generating a large variety of motion behaviors of pedestrians and cars from different shared spaces. Our second contribution is to consider different motion patterns of pedestrians by calibrating motion-related features of individual pedestrian and clustering them into groups. We analyze two clustering approaches. The calibration and evaluation of our model are performed on three different shared space data sets. The results indicate that our model can realistically simulate a wide range of motion behaviors and interaction scenarios, and that adding different motion patterns of pedestrians into our model improves its performance.