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AI Special: Artificial Intelligence Will Affect Everyone. Here's What You Need To Know

#artificialintelligence

Illustration: Chaitanya Dinesh Surpur Artificial intelligence (AI) is fast becoming a topic that is relevant to everyone today and, therefore, a subject that everyone ought to learn at least the rudiments of, say experts. From the humble milkman delivering packets of milk to households in the morning to the highest lawmakers and biggest industrialists, AI will increasingly touch everyone. "A lot of people look at AI as a vertical that calls for experts to develop," says Amit Anand, founding partner at Jungle Ventures, a VC firm in Singapore that has invested in several tech startups in India. However, both in his own mind and as an advisor to the Singapore government on the ethical use of AI, "We have taken a view that AI is going to affect everybody, and hence everyone should be knowledgeable and have a certain level of understanding of AI." Click here to see Forbes India's comprehensive coverage on the Covid-19 situation and its impact on life, business and the economy You can buy our tablet version from Magzter.com. To visit our Archives, click here.)


Keeping old computers going costs government £2.3bn a year, says report

BBC News

Some government digital services "fail to meet even the minimum cyber-security standards," it adds, and data can not be properly extracted from them, making them "one of the greatest barriers" to civil service innovation.


Russia: Our Killer Robots Don't Need Any Pesky International Laws

#artificialintelligence

United Nations delegates are currently meeting to debate possible regulations controlling autonomous killer robots -- but Russia is having none of it. The Russian delegate, representing a country that has already developed and deployed military robots in real-world conflicts, remained steadfast that the global community doesn't need any new rules or regulations to govern the use of killer robots, The Telegraph reports. That pits Russia against much of the rest of the international community, who are calling for rules to keep humans in charge of the decision to open fire, highlighting on the main anxieties and ethical conundrums surrounding autonomous weaponry. The argument from Russia is that the AI algorithms driving these killer robots are already advanced enough to differentiate friend from foe from civilian, and that therefore there's no need to burden the autonomous death machines with unnecessary regulations. "The high level of autonomy of these weapons allows [them] to operate within a dynamic conflict situation and in various environments while maintaining an appropriate level of selectivity and precision," the delegate said, according to The Telegraph.


Robust CUR Decomposition: Theory and Imaging Applications

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper considers the use of Robust PCA in a CUR decomposition framework and applications thereof. Our main algorithms produce a robust version of column-row factorizations of matrices $\mathbf{D}=\mathbf{L}+\mathbf{S}$ where $\mathbf{L}$ is low-rank and $\mathbf{S}$ contains sparse outliers. These methods yield interpretable factorizations at low computational cost, and provide new CUR decompositions that are robust to sparse outliers, in contrast to previous methods. We consider two key imaging applications of Robust PCA: video foreground-background separation and face modeling. This paper examines the qualitative behavior of our Robust CUR decompositions on the benchmark videos and face datasets, and find that our method works as well as standard Robust PCA while being significantly faster. Additionally, we consider hybrid randomized and deterministic sampling methods which produce a compact CUR decomposition of a given matrix, and apply this to video sequences to produce canonical frames thereof.


Interpolation can hurt robust generalization even when there is no noise

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Conventional statistical wisdom cautions the user that trains a model by minimizing a loss L(θ): if a global minimizer achieves zero or near-zero training loss (i.e., it interpolates), we run the risk of overfitting (i.e., high variance) and thus sub-optimal prediction performance. Instead, regularization is commonly used to reduce the effect of noise and to obtain an estimator with better generalization. Specifically, regularization limits model complexity and induces worse data fit, for example via an explicit penalty term R(θ). The resulting penalized loss L(θ) λR(θ) explicitly imposes certain structural properties on the minimizer. This classical rationale, however, does seemingly not apply to overparameterized models: in practice, large neural networks, for example, exhibit good generalization performance on i.i.d.


Determining Sentencing Recommendations and Patentability Using a Machine Learning Trained Expert System

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents two studies that use a machine learning expert system (MLES). One focuses on a system to advise to United States federal judges for regarding consistent federal criminal sentencing, based on both the federal sentencing guidelines and offender characteristics. The other study aims to develop a system that could prospectively assist the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office automate their patentability assessment process. Both studies use a machine learning-trained rule-fact expert system network to accept input variables for training and presentation and output a scaled variable that represents the system recommendation (e.g., the sentence length or the patentability assessment). This paper presents and compares the rule-fact networks that have been developed for these projects. It explains the decision-making process underlying the structures used for both networks and the pre-processing of data that was needed and performed. It also, through comparing the two systems, discusses how different methods can be used with the MLES system.


Responding to Illegal Activities Along the Canadian Coastlines Using Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This article elaborates on how machine learning (ML) can leverage the solution of a contemporary problem related to the security of maritime domains. The worldwide ``Illegal, Unreported, and Unregulated'' (IUU) fishing incidents have led to serious environmental and economic consequences which involve drastic changes in our ecosystems in addition to financial losses caused by the depletion of natural resources. The Fisheries and Aquatic Department (FAD) of the United Nation's Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) issued a report which indicated that the annual losses due to IUU fishing reached $25 Billion. This imposes negative impacts on the future-biodiversity of the marine ecosystem and domestic Gross National Product (GNP). Hence, robust interception mechanisms are increasingly needed for detecting and pursuing the unrelenting illegal fishing incidents in maritime territories. This article addresses the problem of coordinating the motion of a fleet of marine vessels (pursuers) to catch an IUU vessel while still in local waters. The problem is formulated as a pursuer-evader problem that is tackled within an ML framework. One or more pursuers, such as law enforcement vessels, intercept an evader (i.e., the illegal fishing ship) using an online reinforcement learning mechanism that is based on a value iteration process. It employs real-time navigation measurements of the evader ship as well as those of the pursuing vessels and returns back model-free interception strategies.


Building a Foundation for Data-Driven, Interpretable, and Robust Policy Design using the AI Economist

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Optimizing economic and public policy is critical to address socioeconomic issues and trade-offs, e.g., improving equality, productivity, or wellness, and poses a complex mechanism design problem. A policy designer needs to consider multiple objectives, policy levers, and behavioral responses from strategic actors who optimize for their individual objectives. Moreover, real-world policies should be explainable and robust to simulation-to-reality gaps, e.g., due to calibration issues. Existing approaches are often limited to a narrow set of policy levers or objectives that are hard to measure, do not yield explicit optimal policies, or do not consider strategic behavior, for example. Hence, it remains challenging to optimize policy in real-world scenarios. Here we show that the AI Economist framework enables effective, flexible, and interpretable policy design using two-level reinforcement learning (RL) and data-driven simulations. We validate our framework on optimizing the stringency of US state policies and Federal subsidies during a pandemic, e.g., COVID-19, using a simulation fitted to real data. We find that log-linear policies trained using RL significantly improve social welfare, based on both public health and economic outcomes, compared to past outcomes. Their behavior can be explained, e.g., well-performing policies respond strongly to changes in recovery and vaccination rates. They are also robust to calibration errors, e.g., infection rates that are over or underestimated. As of yet, real-world policymaking has not seen adoption of machine learning methods at large, including RL and AI-driven simulations. Our results show the potential of AI to guide policy design and improve social welfare amidst the complexity of the real world.


Using a Collated Cybersecurity Dataset for Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) algorithms can support the span of indicator-level, e.g. anomaly detection, to behavioral level cyber security modeling and inference. This contribution is based on a dataset named BRON which is amalgamated from public threat and vulnerability behavioral sources. We demonstrate how BRON can support prediction of related threat techniques and attack patterns. We also discuss other AI and ML uses of BRON to exploit its behavioral knowledge.


Cybonto: Towards Human Cognitive Digital Twins for Cybersecurity

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cyber defense is reactive and slow. On average, the time-to-remedy is hundreds of times larger than the time-to-compromise. In response to the expanding ever-more-complex threat landscape, Digital Twins (DTs) and particularly Human Digital Twins (HDTs) offer the capability of running massive simulations across multiple knowledge domains. Simulated results may offer insights into adversaries' behaviors and tactics, resulting in better proactive cyber-defense strategies. For the first time, this paper solidifies the vision of DTs and HDTs for cybersecurity via the Cybonto conceptual framework proposal. The paper also contributes the Cybonto ontology, formally documenting 108 constructs and thousands of cognitive-related paths based on 20 time-tested psychology theories. Finally, the paper applied 20 network centrality algorithms in analyzing the 108 constructs. The identified top 10 constructs call for extensions of current digital cognitive architectures in preparation for the DT future.