Government
A semi-supervised methodology for fishing activity detection using the geometry behind the trajectory of multiple vessels
Ferreira, Martha Dais, Spadon, Gabriel, Soares, Amilcar, Matwin, Stan
Automatic Identification System (AIS) messages are useful for tracking vessel activity across oceans worldwide using radio links and satellite transceivers. Such data plays a significant role in tracking vessel activity and mapping mobility patterns such as those found in fishing. Accordingly, this paper proposes a geometric-driven semi-supervised approach for fishing activity detection from AIS data. Through the proposed methodology we show how to explore the information included in the messages to extract features describing the geometry of the vessel route. To this end, we leverage the unsupervised nature of cluster analysis to label the trajectory geometry highlighting the changes in the vessel's moving pattern which tends to indicate fishing activity. The labels obtained by the proposed unsupervised approach are used to detect fishing activities, which we approach as a time-series classification task. In this context, we propose a solution using recurrent neural networks on AIS data streams with roughly 87% of the overall $F$-score on the whole trajectories of 50 different unseen fishing vessels. Such results are accompanied by a broad benchmark study assessing the performance of different Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) architectures. In conclusion, this work contributes by proposing a thorough process that includes data preparation, labeling, data modeling, and model validation. Therefore, we present a novel solution for mobility pattern detection that relies upon unfolding the trajectory in time and observing their inherent geometry.
CAPER: Coarsen, Align, Project, Refine - A General Multilevel Framework for Network Alignment
Zhu, Jing, Koutra, Danai, Heimann, Mark
Network alignment, or the task of finding corresponding nodes in different networks, is an important problem formulation in many application domains. We propose CAPER, a multilevel alignment framework that Coarsens the input graphs, Aligns the coarsened graphs, Projects the alignment solution to finer levels and Refines the alignment solution. We show that CAPER can improve upon many different existing network alignment algorithms by enforcing alignment consistency across multiple graph resolutions: nodes matched at finer levels should also be matched at coarser levels. CAPER also accelerates the use of slower network alignment methods, at the modest cost of linear-time coarsening and refinement steps, by allowing them to be run on smaller coarsened versions of the input graphs. Experiments show that CAPER can improve upon diverse network alignment methods by an average of 33% in accuracy and/or an order of magnitude faster in runtime.
Cardinality-Regularized Hawkes-Granger Model
Idรฉ, Tsuyoshi, Kollias, Georgios, Phan, Dzung T., Abe, Naoki
We propose a new sparse Granger-causal learning framework for temporal event data. We focus on a specific class of point processes called the Hawkes process. We begin by pointing out that most of the existing sparse causal learning algorithms for the Hawkes process suffer from a singularity in maximum likelihood estimation. As a result, their sparse solutions can appear only as numerical artifacts. In this paper, we propose a mathematically well-defined sparse causal learning framework based on a cardinality-regularized Hawkes process, which remedies the pathological issues of existing approaches. We leverage the proposed algorithm for the task of instance-wise causal event analysis, where sparsity plays a critical role. We validate the proposed framework with two real use-cases, one from the power grid and the other from the cloud data center management domain.
Locate Then Ask: Interpretable Stepwise Reasoning for Multi-hop Question Answering
Wang, Siyuan, Wei, Zhongyu, Fan, Zhihao, Zhang, Qi, Huang, Xuanjing
Multi-hop reasoning requires aggregating multiple documents to answer a complex question. Existing methods usually decompose the multi-hop question into simpler single-hop questions to solve the problem for illustrating the explainable reasoning process. However, they ignore grounding on the supporting facts of each reasoning step, which tends to generate inaccurate decompositions. In this paper, we propose an interpretable stepwise reasoning framework to incorporate both single-hop supporting sentence identification and single-hop question generation at each intermediate step, and utilize the inference of the current hop for the next until reasoning out the final result. We employ a unified reader model for both intermediate hop reasoning and final hop inference and adopt joint optimization for more accurate and robust multi-hop reasoning. We conduct experiments on two benchmark datasets HotpotQA and 2WikiMultiHopQA. The results show that our method can effectively boost performance and also yields a better interpretable reasoning process without decomposition supervision.
The Value of AI Guidance in Human Examination of Synthetically-Generated Faces
Boyd, Aidan, Tinsley, Patrick, Bowyer, Kevin, Czajka, Adam
Face image synthesis has progressed beyond the point at which humans can effectively distinguish authentic faces from synthetically generated ones. Recently developed synthetic face image detectors boast "better-than-human" discriminative ability, especially those guided by human perceptual intelligence during the model's training process. In this paper, we investigate whether these human-guided synthetic face detectors can assist non-expert human operators in the task of synthetic image detection when compared to models trained without human-guidance. We conducted a large-scale experiment with more than 1,560 subjects classifying whether an image shows an authentic or synthetically-generated face, and annotate regions that supported their decisions. In total, 56,015 annotations across 3,780 unique face images were collected. All subjects first examined samples without any AI support, followed by samples given (a) the AI's decision ("synthetic" or "authentic"), (b) class activation maps illustrating where the model deems salient for its decision, or (c) both the AI's decision and AI's saliency map. Synthetic faces were generated with six modern Generative Adversarial Networks. Interesting observations from this experiment include: (1) models trained with human-guidance offer better support to human examination of face images when compared to models trained traditionally using cross-entropy loss, (2) binary decisions presented to humans offers better support than saliency maps, (3) understanding the AI's accuracy helps humans to increase trust in a given model and thus increase their overall accuracy. This work demonstrates that although humans supported by machines achieve better-than-random accuracy of synthetic face detection, the ways of supplying humans with AI support and of building trust are key factors determining high effectiveness of the human-AI tandem.
Shapelet-Based Counterfactual Explanations for Multivariate Time Series
Bahri, Omar, Boubrahimi, Soukaina Filali, Hamdi, Shah Muhammad
As machine learning and deep learning models have become highly prevalent in a multitude of domains, the main reservation in their adoption for decision-making processes is their black-box nature. The Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) paradigm has gained a lot of momentum lately due to its ability to reduce models opacity. XAI methods have not only increased stakeholders' trust in the decision process but also helped developers ensure its fairness. Recent efforts have been invested in creating transparent models and post-hoc explanations. However, fewer methods have been developed for time series data, and even less when it comes to multivariate datasets. In this work, we take advantage of the inherent interpretability of shapelets to develop a model agnostic multivariate time series (MTS) counterfactual explanation algorithm. Counterfactuals can have a tremendous impact on making black-box models explainable by indicating what changes have to be performed on the input to change the final decision. We test our approach on a real-life solar flare prediction dataset and prove that our approach produces high-quality counterfactuals. Moreover, a comparison to the only MTS counterfactual generation algorithm shows that, in addition to being visually interpretable, our explanations are superior in terms of proximity, sparsity, and plausibility.
Detect Hate Speech in Unseen Domains using Multi-Task Learning: A Case Study of Political Public Figures
Yuan, Lanqin, Rizoiu, Marian-Andrei
Automatic identification of hateful and abusive content is vital in combating the spread of harmful online content and its damaging effects. Most existing works evaluate models by examining the generalization error on train-test splits on hate speech datasets. These datasets often differ in their definitions and labeling criteria, leading to poor model performance when predicting across new domains and datasets. In this work, we propose a new Multi-task Learning (MTL) pipeline that utilizes MTL to train simultaneously across multiple hate speech datasets to construct a more encompassing classification model. We simulate evaluation on new previously unseen datasets by adopting a leave-one-out scheme in which we omit a target dataset from training and jointly train on the other datasets. Our results consistently outperform a large sample of existing work. We show strong results when examining generalization error in train-test splits and substantial improvements when predicting on previously unseen datasets. Furthermore, we assemble a novel dataset, dubbed PubFigs, focusing on the problematic speech of American Public Political Figures. We automatically detect problematic speech in the $305,235$ tweets in PubFigs, and we uncover insights into the posting behaviors of public figures.
Different Spectral Representations in Optimized Artificial Neural Networks and Brains
Gerum, Richard C., Pirlot, Cassidy, Fyshe, Alona, Zylberberg, Joel
Recent studies suggest that artificial neural networks (ANNs) that match the spectral properties of the mammalian visual cortex -- namely, the $\sim 1/n$ eigenspectrum of the covariance matrix of neural activities -- achieve higher object recognition performance and robustness to adversarial attacks than those that do not. To our knowledge, however, no previous work systematically explored how modifying the ANN's spectral properties affects performance. To fill this gap, we performed a systematic search over spectral regularizers, forcing the ANN's eigenspectrum to follow $1/n^\alpha$ power laws with different exponents $\alpha$. We found that larger powers (around 2--3) lead to better validation accuracy and more robustness to adversarial attacks on dense networks. This surprising finding applied to both shallow and deep networks and it overturns the notion that the brain-like spectrum (corresponding to $\alpha \sim 1$) always optimizes ANN performance and/or robustness. For convolutional networks, the best $\alpha$ values depend on the task complexity and evaluation metric: lower $\alpha$ values optimized validation accuracy and robustness to adversarial attack for networks performing a simple object recognition task (categorizing MNIST images of handwritten digits); for a more complex task (categorizing CIFAR-10 natural images), we found that lower $\alpha$ values optimized validation accuracy whereas higher $\alpha$ values optimized adversarial robustness. These results have two main implications. First, they cast doubt on the notion that brain-like spectral properties ($\alpha \sim 1$) \emph{always} optimize ANN performance. Second, they demonstrate the potential for fine-tuned spectral regularizers to optimize a chosen design metric, i.e., accuracy and/or robustness.
Differentially Private Condorcet Voting
Li, Zhechen, Liu, Ao, Xia, Lirong, Cao, Yongzhi, Wang, Hanpin
Designing private voting rules is an important and pressing problem for trustworthy democracy. In this paper, under the framework of differential privacy, we propose a novel famliy of randomized voting rules based on the well-known Condorcet method, and focus on three classes of voting rules in this family: Laplacian Condorcet method ($\CMLAP_\lambda$), exponential Condorcet method ($\CMEXP_\lambda$), and randomized response Condorcet method ($\CMRR_\lambda$), where $\lambda$ represents the level of noise. We prove that all of our rules satisfy absolute monotonicity, lexi-participation, probabilistic Pareto efficiency, approximate probabilistic Condorcet criterion, and approximate SD-strategyproofness. In addition, $\CMRR_\lambda$ satisfies (non-approximate) probabilistic Condorcet criterion, while $\CMLAP_\lambda$ and $\CMEXP_\lambda$ satisfy strong lexi-participation. Finally, we regard differential privacy as a voting axiom, and discuss its relations to other axioms.
Reimagine Healthcare: "Smart" Tech
Having served on the board of directors of a university hospital for eight years while serving as mayor of a US community of nearly ninety-thousand, I have a unique perspective on the importance of making healthcare more accessible, efficient, reliable, and affordable. As an educator, I have also had the privilege of teaching on the topic of emerging technologies. Now, as a technologist and "futurist" (titled so by IBM), I work with leading technology companies to share my insights. This post is sponsored by AT&T Business but the opinions are my own and don't necessarily represent AT&T Business's positions or strategies. The challenge for public and private healthcare is making medical care more accessible, efficient, reliable, and affordable.