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Opinion: The Rise of the Robots Just Cannot Be Stopped

#artificialintelligence

Automation of the labor force was feared for a long time. In 2017, a website sprung up to answer a question long on the minds of many: Will robots take my job? The creators based it on Bureau of Labor Statistics data and a 2013 research paper from Oxford University about "the susceptibility of jobs to computerization." Things have moved quickly since; even the term "computerization" now sounds desperately out of date. If you plug "journalist" into the site's search bar, for example, the site reveals an "automation risk score" of 9 percent.


News Details

#artificialintelligence

The European Commission has proposed new rules to assist people who have been harmed by artificial intelligence (AI) and digital devices such as drones. People suing over incidents involving such items would face a lower burden of proof under the AI Liability Directive. Justice Commissioner Didier Reynders stated that it would create a digital-age legal framework. The directive's scope could include self-driving cars, voice assistants, and search engines. If passed, the Commission's rules could coexist with the EU's proposed Artificial Intelligence Act, which would be the first of its kind to limit how and when AI systems can be used.


A case study of spatiotemporal forecasting techniques for weather forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The majority of real-world processes are spatiotemporal, and the data generated by them exhibits both spatial and temporal evolution. Weather is one of the most important processes that fall under this domain, and forecasting it has become a crucial part of our daily routine. Weather data analysis is considered the most complex and challenging task. Although numerical weather prediction models are currently state-of-the-art, they are resource intensive and time-consuming. Numerous studies have proposed time-series-based models as a viable alternative to numerical forecasts. Recent research has primarily focused on forecasting weather at a specific location. Therefore, models can only capture temporal correlations. This self-contained paper explores various methods for regional data-driven weather forecasting, i.e., forecasting over multiple latitude-longitude points to capture spatiotemporal correlations. The results showed that spatiotemporal prediction models reduced computational cost while improving accuracy; in particular, the proposed tensor train dynamic mode decomposition-based forecasting model has comparable accuracy to ConvLSTM without the need for training. We use the NASA POWER meteorological dataset to evaluate the models and compare them with the current state of the art.


Modeling driver's evasive behavior during safety-critical lane changes:Two-dimensional time-to-collision and deep reinforcement learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Lane changes are complex driving behaviors and frequently involve safety-critical situations. This study aims to develop a lane-change-related evasive behavior model, which can facilitate the development of safety-aware traffic simulations and predictive collision avoidance systems. Large-scale connected vehicle data from the Safety Pilot Model Deployment (SPMD) program were used for this study. A new surrogate safety measure, two-dimensional time-to-collision (2D-TTC), was proposed to identify the safety-critical situations during lane changes. The validity of 2D-TTC was confirmed by showing a high correlation between the detected conflict risks and the archived crashes. A deep deterministic policy gradient (DDPG) algorithm, which could learn the sequential decision-making process over continuous action spaces, was used to model the evasive behaviors in the identified safety-critical situations. The results showed the superiority of the proposed model in replicating both the longitudinal and lateral evasive behaviors.


OAK4XAI: Model towards Out-Of-Box eXplainable Artificial Intelligence for Digital Agriculture

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent machine learning approaches have been effective in Artificial Intelligence (AI) applications. They produce robust results with a high level of accuracy. However, most of these techniques do not provide human-understandable explanations for supporting their results and decisions. They usually act as black boxes, and it is not easy to understand how decisions have been made. Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI), which has received much interest recently, tries to provide human-understandable explanations for decision-making and trained AI models. For instance, in digital agriculture, related domains often present peculiar or input features with no link to background knowledge. The application of the data mining process on agricultural data leads to results (knowledge), which are difficult to explain. In this paper, we propose a knowledge map model and an ontology design as an XAI framework (OAK4XAI) to deal with this issue. The framework does not only consider the data analysis part of the process, but it takes into account the semantics aspect of the domain knowledge via an ontology and a knowledge map model, provided as modules of the framework. Many ongoing XAI studies aim to provide accurate and verbalizable accounts for how given feature values contribute to model decisions. The proposed approach, however, focuses on providing consistent information and definitions of concepts, algorithms, and values involved in the data mining models. We built an Agriculture Computing Ontology (AgriComO) to explain the knowledge mined in agriculture. AgriComO has a well-designed structure and includes a wide range of concepts and transformations suitable for agriculture and computing domains.


Accurate, reliable and interpretable solubility prediction of druglike molecules with attention pooling and Bayesian learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In drug discovery, aqueous solubility is an important pharmacokinetic property which affects absorption and assay availability of drug. Thus, in silico prediction of solubility has been studied for its utility in virtual screening and lead optimization. Recently, machine learning (ML) methods using experimental data has been popular because physics-based methods like quantum mechanics and molecular dynamics are not suitable for high-throughput tasks due to its computational costs. However, ML method can exhibit over-fitting problem in a data-deficient condition, and this is the case for most chemical property datasets. In addition, ML methods are regarded as a black box function in that it is difficult to interpret contribution of hidden features to outputs, hindering analysis and modification of structure-activity relationship. To deal with mentioned issues, we developed Bayesian graph neural networks (GNNs) with the self-attention readout layer. Unlike most GNNs using self-attention in node updates, self-attention applied at readout layer enabled a model to improve prediction performance as well as to identify atom-wise importance, which can help lead optimization as exemplified for three FDA-approved drugs. Also, Bayesian inference enables us to separate more or less accurate results according to uncertainty in solubility prediction task We expect that our accurate, reliable and interpretable model can be used for more careful decision-making and various applications in the development of drugs.


From Theories on Styles to their Transfer in Text: Bridging the Gap with a Hierarchical Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Humans are naturally endowed with the ability to write in a particular style. They can, for instance, re-phrase a formal letter in an informal way, convey a literal message with the use of figures of speech or edit a novel by mimicking the style of some well-known authors. Automating this form of creativity constitutes the goal of style transfer. As a natural language generation task, style transfer aims at rewriting existing texts, and specifically, it creates paraphrases that exhibit some desired stylistic attributes. From a practical perspective, it envisions beneficial applications, like chatbots that modulate their communicative style to appear empathetic, or systems that automatically simplify technical articles for a non-expert audience. Several style-aware paraphrasing methods have attempted to tackle style transfer. A handful of surveys give a methodological overview of the field, but they do not support researchers to focus on specific styles. With this paper, we aim at providing a comprehensive discussion of the styles that have received attention in the transfer task. We organize them in a hierarchy, highlighting the challenges for the definition of each of them, and pointing out gaps in the current research landscape. The hierarchy comprises two main groups. One encompasses styles that people modulate arbitrarily, along the lines of registers and genres. The other group corresponds to unintentionally expressed styles, due to an author's personal characteristics. Hence, our review shows how these groups relate to one another, and where specific styles, including some that have not yet been explored, belong in the hierarchy. Moreover, we summarize the methods employed for different stylistic families, hinting researchers towards those that would be the most fitting for future research.


Few-Shot Object Detection with Fully Cross-Transformer

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Few-shot object detection (FSOD), with the aim to detect novel objects using very few training examples, has recently attracted great research interest in the community. Metric-learning based methods have been demonstrated to be effective for this task using a two-branch based siamese network, and calculate the similarity between image regions and few-shot examples for detection. However, in previous works, the interaction between the two branches is only restricted in the detection head, while leaving the remaining hundreds of layers for separate feature extraction. Inspired by the recent work on vision transformers and vision-language transformers, we propose a novel Fully Cross-Transformer based model (FCT) for FSOD by incorporating cross-transformer into both the feature backbone and detection head. The asymmetric-batched cross-attention is proposed to aggregate the key information from the two branches with different batch sizes. Our model can improve the few-shot similarity learning between the two branches by introducing the multi-level interactions. Comprehensive experiments on both PASCAL VOC and MSCOCO FSOD benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of our model.


Accurate Long-term Air Temperature Prediction with a Fusion of Artificial Intelligence and Data Reduction Techniques

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper three customised Artificial Intelligence (AI) frameworks, considering Deep Learning (convolutional neural networks), Machine Learning algorithms and data reduction techniques are proposed, for a problem of long-term summer air temperature prediction. Specifically, the prediction of average air temperature in the first and second August fortnights, using input data from previous months, at two different locations, Paris (France) and C\'ordoba (Spain), is considered. The target variable, mainly in the first August fortnight, can contain signals of extreme events such as heatwaves, like the mega-heatwave of 2003, which affected France and the Iberian Peninsula. Thus, an accurate prediction of long-term air temperature may be valuable also for different problems related to climate change, such as attribution of extreme events, and in other problems related to renewable energy. The analysis carried out this work is based on Reanalysis data, which are first processed by a correlation analysis among different prediction variables and the target (average air temperature in August first and second fortnights). An area with the largest correlation is located, and the variables within, after a feature selection process, are the input of different deep learning and ML algorithms. The experiments carried out show a very good prediction skill in the three proposed AI frameworks, both in Paris and C\'ordoba regions.


FLOWGEN: Fast and slow graph generation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning systems typically apply the same model to both easy and tough cases. This is in stark contrast with humans, who tend to evoke either fast (instinctive) or slow (analytical) thinking depending on the problem difficulty, a property called the dual-process theory of mind. We present FLOWGEN, a graph-generation model inspired by the dual-process theory of mind that generates large graphs incrementally. Depending on the difficulty of completing the graph at the current step, graph generation is routed to either a fast (weaker) or a slow (stronger) model. These modules have identical architectures, but vary in the number of parameters and consequently differ in generative power. Experiments on real-world graphs show that ours can successfully generate graphs similar to those generated by a single large model, while being up to 2x faster.