Government
PAC Prediction Sets for Meta-Learning
Park, Sangdon, Dobriban, Edgar, Lee, Insup, Bastani, Osbert
Uncertainty quantification is a key component of machine learning models targeted at safety-critical systems such as in healthcare or autonomous vehicles. We study this problem in the context of meta learning, where the goal is to quickly adapt a predictor to new tasks. In particular, we propose a novel algorithm to construct \emph{PAC prediction sets}, which capture uncertainty via sets of labels, that can be adapted to new tasks with only a few training examples. These prediction sets satisfy an extension of the typical PAC guarantee to the meta learning setting; in particular, the PAC guarantee holds with high probability over future tasks. We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach on four datasets across three application domains: mini-ImageNet and CIFAR10-C in the visual domain, FewRel in the language domain, and the CDC Heart Dataset in the medical domain. In particular, our prediction sets satisfy the PAC guarantee while having smaller size compared to other baselines that also satisfy this guarantee.
Reinforcement learning for automatic quadrilateral mesh generation: a soft actor-critic approach
Pan, Jie, Huang, Jingwei, Cheng, Gengdong, Zeng, Yong
This paper proposes, implements, and evaluates a reinforcement learning (RL)-based computational framework for automatic mesh generation. Mesh generation plays a fundamental role in numerical simulations in the area of computer aided design and engineering (CAD/E). It is identified as one of the critical issues in the NASA CFD Vision 2030 Study. Existing mesh generation methods suffer from high computational complexity, low mesh quality in complex geometries, and speed limitations. These methods and tools, including commercial software packages, are typically semiautomatic and they need inputs or help from human experts. By formulating the mesh generation as a Markov decision process (MDP) problem, we are able to use a state-of-the-art reinforcement learning (RL) algorithm called "soft actor-critic" to automatically learn from trials the policy of actions for mesh generation. The implementation of this RL algorithm for mesh generation allows us to build a fully automatic mesh generation system without human intervention and any extra clean-up operations, which fills the gap in the existing mesh generation tools. In the experiments to compare with two representative commercial software packages, our system demonstrates promising performance with respect to scalability, generalizability, and effectiveness.
Scalable Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis for Causal-Effect Estimates of Continuous-Valued Interventions
Jesson, Andrew, Douglas, Alyson, Manshausen, Peter, Solal, Maëlys, Meinshausen, Nicolai, Stier, Philip, Gal, Yarin, Shalit, Uri
Estimating the effects of continuous-valued interventions from observational data is a critically important task for climate science, healthcare, and economics. Recent work focuses on designing neural network architectures and regularization functions to allow for scalable estimation of average and individual-level dose-response curves from high-dimensional, large-sample data. Such methodologies assume ignorability (observation of all confounding variables) and positivity (observation of all treatment levels for every covariate value describing a set of units), assumptions problematic in the continuous treatment regime. Scalable sensitivity and uncertainty analyses to understand the ignorance induced in causal estimates when these assumptions are relaxed are less studied. Here, we develop a continuous treatment-effect marginal sensitivity model (CMSM) and derive bounds that agree with the observed data and a researcher-defined level of hidden confounding. We introduce a scalable algorithm and uncertainty-aware deep models to derive and estimate these bounds for high-dimensional, large-sample observational data. We work in concert with climate scientists interested in the climatological impacts of human emissions on cloud properties using satellite observations from the past 15 years. This problem is known to be complicated by many unobserved confounders.
Anomaly Detection via Federated Learning
Vucovich, Marc, Tarcar, Amogh, Rebelo, Penjo, Gade, Narendra, Porwal, Ruchi, Rahman, Abdul, Redino, Christopher, Choi, Kevin, Nandakumar, Dhruv, Schiller, Robert, Bowen, Edward, West, Alex, Bhattacharya, Sanmitra, Veeramani, Balaji
Machine learning has helped advance the field of anomaly detection by incorporating classifiers and autoencoders to decipher between normal and anomalous behavior. Additionally, federated learning has provided a way for a global model to be trained with multiple clients' data without requiring the client to directly share their data. This paper proposes a novel anomaly detector via federated learning to detect malicious network activity on a client's server. In our experiments, we use an autoencoder with a classifier in a federated learning framework to determine if the network activity is benign or malicious. By using our novel min-max scalar and sampling technique, called FedSam, we determined federated learning allows the global model to learn from each client's data and, in turn, provide a means for each client to improve their intrusion detection system's defense against cyber-attacks.
SECOE: Alleviating Sensors Failure in Machine Learning-Coupled IoT Systems
AlShehri, Yousef, Ramaswamy, Lakshmish
Machine learning (ML) applications continue to revolutionize many domains. In recent years, there has been considerable research interest in building novel ML applications for a variety of Internet of Things (IoT) domains, such as precision agriculture, smart cities, and smart manufacturing. IoT domains are characterized by continuous streams of data originating from diverse, geographically distributed sensors, and they often require a real-time or semi-real-time response. IoT characteristics pose several fundamental challenges to designing and implementing effective ML applications. Sensor/network failures that result in data stream interruptions is one such challenge. Unfortunately, the performance of many ML applications quickly degrades when faced with data incompleteness. Current techniques to handle data incompleteness are based upon data imputation ( i.e., they try to fill-in missing data). Unfortunately, these techniques may fail, especially when multiple sensors' data streams become concurrently unavailable (due to simultaneous sensor failures). With the aim of building robust IoT-coupled ML applications, this paper proposes SECOE, a unique, proactive approach for alleviating potentially simultaneous sensor failures. The fundamental idea behind SECOE is to create a carefully chosen ensemble of ML models in which each model is trained assuming a set of failed sensors (i.e., the training set omits corresponding values). SECOE includes a novel technique to minimize the number of models in the ensemble by harnessing the correlations among sensors. We demonstrate the efficacy of the SECOE approach through a series of experiments involving three distinct datasets. The experimental findings reveal that SECOE effectively preserves prediction accuracy in the presence of sensor failures.
CIKQA: Learning Commonsense Inference with a Unified Knowledge-in-the-loop QA Paradigm
Zhang, Hongming, Huo, Yintong, Elazar, Yanai, Song, Yangqiu, Goldberg, Yoav, Roth, Dan
Recently, the community has achieved substantial progress on many commonsense reasoning benchmarks. However, it is still unclear what is learned from the training process: the knowledge, inference capability, or both? We argue that due to the large scale of commonsense knowledge, it is infeasible to annotate a large enough training set for each task to cover all commonsense for learning. Thus we should separate the commonsense knowledge acquisition and inference over commonsense knowledge as two separate tasks. In this work, we focus on investigating models' commonsense inference capabilities from two perspectives: (1) Whether models can know if the knowledge they have is enough to solve the task; (2) Whether models can develop commonsense inference capabilities that generalize across commonsense tasks. We first align commonsense tasks with relevant knowledge from commonsense knowledge bases and ask humans to annotate whether the knowledge is enough or not. Then, we convert different commonsense tasks into a unified question answering format to evaluate models' generalization capabilities. We name the benchmark as Commonsense Inference with Knowledge-in-the-loop Question Answering (CIKQA).
Efficient Adversarial Training without Attacking: Worst-Case-Aware Robust Reinforcement Learning
Liang, Yongyuan, Sun, Yanchao, Zheng, Ruijie, Huang, Furong
Recent studies reveal that a well-trained deep reinforcement learning (RL) policy can be particularly vulnerable to adversarial perturbations on input observations. Therefore, it is crucial to train RL agents that are robust against any attacks with a bounded budget. Existing robust training methods in deep RL either treat correlated steps separately, ignoring the robustness of long-term rewards, or train the agents and RL-based attacker together, doubling the computational burden and sample complexity of the training process. In this work, we propose a strong and efficient robust training framework for RL, named Worst-case-aware Robust RL (WocaR-RL) that directly estimates and optimizes the worst-case reward of a policy under bounded l_p attacks without requiring extra samples for learning an attacker. Experiments on multiple environments show that WocaR-RL achieves state-of-the-art performance under various strong attacks, and obtains significantly higher training efficiency than prior state-of-the-art robust training methods. The code of this work is available at https://github.com/umd-huang-lab/WocaR-RL.
Graph Neural Network Surrogate for seismic reliability analysis of highway bridge system
Rapid reliability assessment of transportation networks can enhance preparedness, risk mitigation and response management procedures related to these systems. Network reliability approaches commonly consider network-level responses, and due to computational cost do not consider the more detailed node-level responses. In this paper, we propose a rapid seismic reliability assessment approach for bridge networks based on graph neural networks, where node-level connectivities, between points of interest and other nodes, are quantified under probabilistic bridge conditions and earthquake events. Via numerical experiments on transportation systems in California, we demonstrate the accuracy, computational efficiency and robustness of the proposed approach compared to the Monte Carlo approach.
Microscopy is All You Need
Kalinin, Sergei V., Vasudevan, Rama, Liu, Yongtao, Ghosh, Ayana, Roccapriore, Kevin, Ziatdinov, Maxim
We pose that microscopy offers an ideal real-world experimental environment for the development and deployment of active Bayesian and reinforcement learning methods. Indeed, the tremendous progress achieved by machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence over the last decade has been largely achieved via the utilization of static data sets, from the paradigmatic MNIST to the bespoke corpora of text and image data used to train large models such as GPT3, DALLE and others. However, it is now recognized that continuous, minute improvements to state-of-the-art do not necessarily translate to advances in real-world applications. We argue that a promising pathway for the development of ML methods is via the route of domain-specific deployable algorithms in areas such as electron and scanning probe microscopy and chemical imaging. This will benefit both fundamental physical studies and serve as a test bed for more complex autonomous systems such as robotics and manufacturing. Favorable environment characteristics of scanning and electron microscopy include low risk, extensive availability of domain-specific priors and rewards, relatively small effects of exogeneous variables, and often the presence of both upstream first principles as well as downstream learnable physical models for both statics and dynamics. Recent developments in programmable interfaces, edge computing, and access to APIs facilitating microscope control, all render the deployment of ML codes on operational microscopes straightforward. We discuss these considerations and hope that these arguments will lead to creating a novel set of development targets for the ML community by accelerating both real-world ML applications and scientific progress.
Knowledge acquisition via interactive Distributed Cognitive skill Modules
The human's cognitive capacity for problem solving is always limited to his/her educational background, skills, experiences, etc. Hence, it is often insufficient to bring solution to extraordinary problems especially when there is a time restriction. Nowadays this sort of personal cognitive limitations are overcome at some extend by the computational utilities (e.g. program packages, internet, etc.) where each one provides a specific background skill to the individual to solve a particular problem. Nevertheless these models are all based on already available conventional tools or knowledge and unable to solve spontaneous unique problems, except human's procedural cognitive skills. But unfortunately such low-level skills can not be modelled and stored in a conventional way like classical models and knowledge. This work aims to introduce an early stage of a modular approach to procedural skill acquisition and storage via distributed cognitive skill modules which provide unique opportunity to extend the limits of its exploitation.