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Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 483

Al Jazeera

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Ukraine's forces were destroying Russian forces in the two main areas of the conflict in the east and south of Ukraine. Russia launched a major drone assault on Kyiv and other cities, Ukrainian officials said, with air defence systems shooting down 28 out of 30 Iranian-made Shahed drones. Ukraine's Environment Minister Ruslan Strilets said last week's collapse of the Nova Kakhovka hydroelectric dam caused 1.2 billion euros ($1.3bn) of damage and warned that mines unearthed by flooding could wash onto other European countries' shores. Andriy Yermak, head of the office of the Ukrainian president, said Russian forces shelled rescue workers clearing mud in the flood-affected regions of Kherson, killing one and injuring eight. Russian-appointed authorities in the occupied town of Nova Kakhovka said one woman was killed and four injured in a Ukrainian drone attack.


Design and analysis of tweet-based election models for the 2021 Mexican legislative election

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Modelling and forecasting real-life human behaviour using online social media is an active endeavour of interest in politics, government, academia, and industry. Since its creation in 2006, Twitter has been proposed as a potential laboratory that could be used to gauge and predict social behaviour. During the last decade, the user base of Twitter has been growing and becoming more representative of the general population. Here we analyse this user base in the context of the 2021 Mexican Legislative Election. To do so, we use a dataset of 15 million election-related tweets in the six months preceding election day. We explore different election models that assign political preference to either the ruling parties or the opposition. We find that models using data with geographical attributes determine the results of the election with better precision and accuracy than conventional polling methods. These results demonstrate that analysis of public online data can outperform conventional polling methods, and that political analysis and general forecasting would likely benefit from incorporating such data in the immediate future. Moreover, the same Twitter dataset with geographical attributes is positively correlated with results from official census data on population and internet usage in Mexico. These findings suggest that we have reached a period in time when online activity, appropriately curated, can provide an accurate representation of offline behaviour.


Novelty Accommodating Multi-Agent Planning in High Fidelity Simulated Open World

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Autonomous agents acting in real-world environments often need to reason with unknown novelties interfering with their plan execution. Novelty is an unexpected phenomenon that can alter the core characteristics, composition, and dynamics of the environment. Novelty can occur at any time in any sufficiently complex environment without any prior notice or explanation. Previous studies show that novelty has catastrophic impact on agent performance. Intelligent agents reason with an internal model of the world to understand the intricacies of their environment and to successfully execute their plans. The introduction of novelty into the environment usually renders their internal model inaccurate and the generated plans no longer applicable. Novelty is particularly prevalent in the real world where domain-specific and even predicted novelty-specific approaches are used to mitigate the novelty's impact. In this work, we demonstrate that a domain-independent AI agent designed to detect, characterize, and accommodate novelty in smaller-scope physics-based games such as Angry Birds and Cartpole can be adapted to successfully perform and reason with novelty in realistic high-fidelity simulator of the military domain.


Swarm of One: Bottom-up Emergence of Stable Robot Bodies from Identical Cells

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Unlike most human-engineered systems, biological systems are emergent from low-level interactions, allowing much broader diversity and superior adaptation to the complex environments. Inspired by the process of morphogenesis in nature, a bottom-up design approach for robot morphology is proposed to treat a robot's body as an emergent response to underlying processes rather than a predefined shape. This paper presents Loopy, a "Swarm-of-One" polymorphic robot testbed that can be viewed simultaneously as a robotic swarm and a single robot. Loopy's shape is determined jointly by self-organization and morphological computing using physically linked homogeneous cells. Experimental results show that Loopy can form symmetric shapes consisting of lobes. Using the the same set of parameters, even small amounts of initial noise can change the number of lobes formed. However, once in a stable configuration, Loopy has an "inertia" to transfiguring in response to dynamic parameters. By making the connections among self-organization, morphological computing, and robot design, this paper lays the foundation for more adaptable robot designs in the future.


Towards Regulatable AI Systems: Technical Gaps and Policy Opportunities

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

There is increasing attention being given to how to regulate AI systems. As governing bodies grapple with what values to encapsulate into regulation, we consider the technical half of the question: To what extent can AI experts vet an AI system for adherence to regulatory requirements? We investigate this question through two public sector procurement checklists, identifying what we can do now, what we should be able to do with technical innovation in AI, and what requirements necessitate a more interdisciplinary approach.


Hierarchical Neural Simulation-Based Inference Over Event Ensembles

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

When analyzing real-world data it is common to work with event ensembles, which comprise sets of observations that collectively constrain the parameters of an underlying model of interest. Such models often have a hierarchical structure, where "local" parameters impact individual events and "global" parameters influence the entire dataset. We introduce practical approaches for optimal dataset-wide probabilistic inference in cases where the likelihood is intractable, but simulations can be realized via forward modeling. We construct neural estimators for the likelihood(-ratio) or posterior and show that explicitly accounting for the model's hierarchical structure can lead to tighter parameter constraints. We ground our discussion using case studies from the physical sciences, focusing on examples from particle physics (particle collider data) and astrophysics (strong gravitational lensing observations).


On Evaluation of Document Classification using RVL-CDIP

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The RVL-CDIP benchmark is widely used for measuring performance on the task of document classification. Despite its widespread use, we reveal several undesirable characteristics of the RVL-CDIP benchmark. These include (1) substantial amounts of label noise, which we estimate to be 8.1% (ranging between 1.6% to 16.9% per document category); (2) presence of many ambiguous or multi-label documents; (3) a large overlap between test and train splits, which can inflate model performance metrics; and (4) presence of sensitive personally-identifiable information like US Social Security numbers (SSNs). We argue that there is a risk in using RVL-CDIP for benchmarking document classifiers, as its limited scope, presence of errors (state-of-the-art models now achieve accuracy error rates that are within our estimated label error rate), and lack of diversity make it less than ideal for benchmarking. We further advocate for the creation of a new document classification benchmark, and provide recommendations for what characteristics such a resource should include.


Introspective Action Advising for Interpretable Transfer Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Transfer learning can be applied in deep reinforcement learning to accelerate the training of a policy in a target task by transferring knowledge from a policy learned in a related source task. This is commonly achieved by copying pretrained weights from the source policy to the target policy prior to training, under the constraint that they use the same model architecture. However, not only does this require a robust representation learned over a wide distribution of states -- often failing to transfer between specialist models trained over single tasks -- but it is largely uninterpretable and provides little indication of what knowledge is transferred. In this work, we propose an alternative approach to transfer learning between tasks based on action advising, in which a teacher trained in a source task actively guides a student's exploration in a target task. Through introspection, the teacher is capable of identifying when advice is beneficial to the student and should be given, and when it is not. Our approach allows knowledge transfer between policies agnostic of the underlying representations, and we empirically show that this leads to improved convergence rates in Gridworld and Atari environments while providing insight into what knowledge is transferred.


From structure mining to unsupervised exploration of atomic octahedral networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Networks of atom-centered coordination octahedra commonly occur in inorganic and hybrid solid-state materials. Characterizing their spatial arrangements and characteristics is crucial for relating structures to properties for many materials families. The traditional method using case-by-case inspection becomes prohibitive for discovering trends and similarities in large datasets. Here, we operationalize chemical intuition to automate the geometric parsing, quantification, and classification of coordination octahedral networks. We find axis-resolved tilting trends in ABO$_{3}$ perovskite polymorphs, which assist in detecting oxidation state changes. Moreover, we develop a scale-invariant encoding scheme to represent these networks, which, combined with human-assisted unsupervised machine learning, allows us to taxonomize the inorganic framework polytypes in hybrid iodoplumbates (A$_x$Pb$_y$I$_z$). Consequently, we uncover a violation of Pauling's third rule and the design principles underpinning their topological diversity. Our results offer a glimpse into the vast design space of atomic octahedral networks and inform high-throughput, targeted screening of specific structure types.


Adversarial Attacks Neutralization via Data Set Randomization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Adversarial attacks on deep-learning models pose a serious threat to their reliability and security. Existing defense mechanisms are narrow addressing a specific type of attack or being vulnerable to sophisticated attacks. We propose a new defense mechanism that, while being focused on image-based classifiers, is general with respect to the cited category. It is rooted on hyperspace projection. In particular, our solution provides a pseudo-random projection of the original dataset into a new dataset. The proposed defense mechanism creates a set of diverse projected datasets, where each projected dataset is used to train a specific classifier, resulting in different trained classifiers with different decision boundaries. During testing, it randomly selects a classifier to test the input. Our approach does not sacrifice accuracy over legitimate input. Other than detailing and providing a thorough characterization of our defense mechanism, we also provide a proof of concept of using four optimization-based adversarial attacks (PGD, FGSM, IGSM, and C\&W) and a generative adversarial attack testing them on the MNIST dataset. Our experimental results show that our solution increases the robustness of deep learning models against adversarial attacks and significantly reduces the attack success rate by at least 89% for optimization attacks and 78% for generative attacks. We also analyze the relationship between the number of used hyperspaces and the efficacy of the defense mechanism. As expected, the two are positively correlated, offering an easy-to-tune parameter to enforce the desired level of security. The generality and scalability of our solution and adaptability to different attack scenarios, combined with the excellent achieved results, other than providing a robust defense against adversarial attacks on deep learning networks, also lay the groundwork for future research in the field.