Government
OpenFWI: Large-Scale Multi-Structural Benchmark Datasets for Seismic Full Waveform Inversion
Deng, Chengyuan, Feng, Shihang, Wang, Hanchen, Zhang, Xitong, Jin, Peng, Feng, Yinan, Zeng, Qili, Chen, Yinpeng, Lin, Youzuo
Full waveform inversion (FWI) is widely used in geophysics to reconstruct high-resolution velocity maps from seismic data. The recent success of data-driven FWI methods results in a rapidly increasing demand for open datasets to serve the geophysics community. We present OpenFWI, a collection of large-scale multi-structural benchmark datasets, to facilitate diversified, rigorous, and reproducible research on FWI. In particular, OpenFWI consists of 12 datasets (2.1TB in total) synthesized from multiple sources. It encompasses diverse domains in geophysics (interface, fault, CO2 reservoir, etc.), covers different geological subsurface structures (flat, curve, etc.), and contains various amounts of data samples (2K - 67K). It also includes a dataset for 3D FWI. Moreover, we use OpenFWI to perform benchmarking over four deep learning methods, covering both supervised and unsupervised learning regimes. Along with the benchmarks, we implement additional experiments, including physics-driven methods, complexity analysis, generalization study, uncertainty quantification, and so on, to sharpen our understanding of datasets and methods. The studies either provide valuable insights into the datasets and the performance, or uncover their current limitations. We hope OpenFWI supports prospective research on FWI and inspires future open-source efforts on AI for science. All datasets and related information can be accessed through our website at https://openfwi-lanl.github.io/
Comparing Deep Learning Models for the Task of Volatility Prediction Using Multivariate Data
Ge, Wenbo, Lalbakhsh, Pooia, Isai, Leigh, Lensky, Artem, Suominen, Hanna
This study aims to compare multiple deep learning-based forecasters for the task of predicting volatility using multivariate data. The paper evaluates a range of models, starting from simpler and shallower ones and progressing to deeper and more complex architectures. Additionally, the performance of these models is compared against naive predictions and variations of classical GARCH models. The prediction of volatility for five assets, namely S&P500, NASDAQ100, gold, silver, and oil, is specifically addressed using GARCH models, Multi-Layer Perceptrons, Recurrent Neural Networks, Temporal Convolutional Networks, and the Temporal Fusion Transformer. In the majority of cases, the Temporal Fusion Transformer, followed by variants of the Temporal Convolutional Network, outperformed classical approaches and shallow networks. These experiments were repeated, and the differences observed between the competing models were found to be statistically significant, thus providing strong encouragement for their practical application.
Social AI and the Challenges of the Human-AI Ecosystem
Pedreschi, Dino, Pappalardo, Luca, Baeza-Yates, Ricardo, Barabasi, Albert-Laszlo, Dignum, Frank, Dignum, Virginia, Eliassi-Rad, Tina, Giannotti, Fosca, Kertesz, Janos, Knott, Alistair, Ioannidis, Yannis, Lukowicz, Paul, Passarella, Andrea, Pentland, Alex Sandy, Shawe-Taylor, John, Vespignani, Alessandro
The rise of large-scale socio-technical systems in which humans interact with artificial intelligence (AI) systems (including assistants and recommenders, in short AIs) multiplies the opportunity for the emergence of collective phenomena and tipping points, with unexpected, possibly unintended, consequences. For example, navigation systems' suggestions may create chaos if too many drivers are directed on the same route, and personalised recommendations on social media may amplify polarisation, filter bubbles, and radicalisation. On the other hand, we may learn how to foster the "wisdom of crowds" and collective action effects to face social and environmental challenges. In order to understand the impact of AI on socio-technical systems and design next-generation AIs that team with humans to help overcome societal problems rather than exacerbate them, we propose to build the foundations of Social AI at the intersection of Complex Systems, Network Science and AI. In this perspective paper, we discuss the main open questions in Social AI, outlining possible technical and scientific challenges and suggesting research avenues.
An Intelligent Mechanism for Monitoring and Detecting Intrusions in IoT Devices
Holubenko, Vitalina, Silva, Paulo, Bento, Carlos
The current amount of IoT devices and their limitations has come to serve as a motivation for malicious entities to take advantage of such devices and use them for their own gain. To protect against cyberattacks in IoT devices, Machine Learning techniques can be applied to Intrusion Detection Systems. Moreover, privacy related issues associated with centralized approaches can be mitigated through Federated Learning. This work proposes a Host-based Intrusion Detection Systems that leverages Federated Learning and Multi-Layer Perceptron neural networks to detected cyberattacks on IoT devices with high accuracy and enhancing data privacy protection.
LLM-Assisted Content Analysis: Using Large Language Models to Support Deductive Coding
Chew, Robert, Bollenbacher, John, Wenger, Michael, Speer, Jessica, Kim, Annice
Deductive coding is a widely used qualitative research method for determining the prevalence of themes across documents. While useful, deductive coding is often burdensome and time consuming since it requires researchers to read, interpret, and reliably categorize a large body of unstructured text documents. Large language models (LLMs), like ChatGPT, are a class of quickly evolving AI tools that can perform a range of natural language processing and reasoning tasks. In this study, we explore the use of LLMs to reduce the time it takes for deductive coding while retaining the flexibility of a traditional content analysis. We outline the proposed approach, called LLM-assisted content analysis (LACA), along with an in-depth case study using GPT-3.5 for LACA on a publicly available deductive coding data set. Additionally, we conduct an empirical benchmark using LACA on 4 publicly available data sets to assess the broader question of how well GPT-3.5 performs across a range of deductive coding tasks. Overall, we find that GPT-3.5 can often perform deductive coding at levels of agreement comparable to human coders. Additionally, we demonstrate that LACA can help refine prompts for deductive coding, identify codes for which an LLM is randomly guessing, and help assess when to use LLMs vs. human coders for deductive coding. We conclude with several implications for future practice of deductive coding and related research methods.
Use case cards: a use case reporting framework inspired by the European AI Act
Hupont, Isabelle, Fernรกndez-Llorca, David, Baldassarri, Sandra, Gรณmez, Emilia
Despite recent efforts by the Artificial Intelligence (AI) community to move towards standardised procedures for documenting models, methods, systems or datasets, there is currently no methodology focused on use cases aligned with the risk-based approach of the European AI Act (AI Act). In this paper, we propose a new framework for the documentation of use cases, that we call "use case cards", based on the use case modelling included in the Unified Markup Language (UML) standard. Unlike other documentation methodologies, we focus on the intended purpose and operational use of an AI system. It consists of two main parts. Firstly, a UML-based template, tailored to allow implicitly assessing the risk level of the AI system and defining relevant requirements. Secondly, a supporting UML diagram designed to provide information about the system-user interactions and relationships. The proposed framework is the result of a co-design process involving a relevant team of EU policy experts and scientists. We have validated our proposal with 11 experts with different backgrounds and a reasonable knowledge of the AI Act as a prerequisite. We provide the 5 "use case cards" used in the co-design and validation process. "Use case cards" allows framing and contextualising use cases in an effective way, and we hope this methodology can be a useful tool for policy makers and providers for documenting use cases, assessing the risk level, adapting the different requirements and building a catalogue of existing usages of AI.
Adversarial Robustness Certification for Bayesian Neural Networks
Wicker, Matthew, Patane, Andrea, Laurenti, Luca, Kwiatkowska, Marta
We study the problem of certifying the robustness of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) to adversarial input perturbations. Given a compact set of input points $T \subseteq \mathbb{R}^m$ and a set of output points $S \subseteq \mathbb{R}^n$, we define two notions of robustness for BNNs in an adversarial setting: probabilistic robustness and decision robustness. Probabilistic robustness is the probability that for all points in $T$ the output of a BNN sampled from the posterior is in $S$. On the other hand, decision robustness considers the optimal decision of a BNN and checks if for all points in $T$ the optimal decision of the BNN for a given loss function lies within the output set $S$. Although exact computation of these robustness properties is challenging due to the probabilistic and non-convex nature of BNNs, we present a unified computational framework for efficiently and formally bounding them. Our approach is based on weight interval sampling, integration, and bound propagation techniques, and can be applied to BNNs with a large number of parameters, and independently of the (approximate) inference method employed to train the BNN. We evaluate the effectiveness of our methods on various regression and classification tasks, including an industrial regression benchmark, MNIST, traffic sign recognition, and airborne collision avoidance, and demonstrate that our approach enables certification of robustness and uncertainty of BNN predictions.
Decoding Urban-health Nexus: Interpretable Machine Learning Illuminates Cancer Prevalence based on Intertwined City Features
This study investigates the interplay among social demographics, built environment characteristics, and environmental hazard exposure features in determining community level cancer prevalence. Utilizing data from five Metropolitan Statistical Areas in the United States: Chicago, Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, and New York, the study implemented an XGBoost machine learning model to predict the extent of cancer prevalence and evaluate the importance of different features. Our model demonstrates reliable performance, with results indicating that age, minority status, and population density are among the most influential factors in cancer prevalence. We further explore urban development and design strategies that could mitigate cancer prevalence, focusing on green space, developed areas, and total emissions. Through a series of experimental evaluations based on causal inference, the results show that increasing green space and reducing developed areas and total emissions could alleviate cancer prevalence. The study and findings contribute to a better understanding of the interplay among urban features and community health and also show the value of interpretable machine learning models for integrated urban design to promote public health. The findings also provide actionable insights for urban planning and design, emphasizing the need for a multifaceted approach to addressing urban health disparities through integrated urban design strategies.
Learning under Selective Labels with Data from Heterogeneous Decision-makers: An Instrumental Variable Approach
Chen, Jian, Li, Zhehao, Mao, Xiaojie
We study the problem of learning with selectively labeled data, which arises when outcomes are only partially labeled due to historical decision-making. The labeled data distribution may substantially differ from the full population, especially when the historical decisions and the target outcome can be simultaneously affected by some unobserved factors. Consequently, learning with only the labeled data may lead to severely biased results when deployed to the full population. Our paper tackles this challenge by exploiting the fact that in many applications the historical decisions were made by a set of heterogeneous decision-makers. In particular, we analyze this setup in a principled instrumental variable (IV) framework. We establish conditions for the full-population risk of any given prediction rule to be point-identified from the observed data and provide sharp risk bounds when the point identification fails. We further propose a weighted learning approach that learns prediction rules robust to the label selection bias in both identification settings. Finally, we apply our proposed approach to a semi-synthetic financial dataset and demonstrate its superior performance in the presence of selection bias.
BogieCopter: A Multi-Modal Aerial-Ground Vehicle for Long-Endurance Inspection Applications
Abstract-- The use of Micro Aerial Vehicles (MAVs) for inspection and surveillance missions has proved to be extremely useful, however, their usability is negatively impacted by the large power requirements and the limited operating time. This work describes the design and development of a novel hybrid aerial-ground vehicle, enabling multi-modal mobility and long operating time, suitable for long-endurance inspection and monitoring applications. The vehicle's performance is evaluated To the best of our knowledge, this is the most complete review of research available for multimodal During the last decade, Micro Aerial Vehicles (MAVs) aerial-ground vehicles. This work aims at addressing have received a great deal of attention, both academically and some of the limitations in prior designs, by exploiting the commercially, due to their ability to quickly reach areas of strengths of both active and passive solutions offered for the interest, overcome obstacles, and provide an elevated view of ground actuation mechanism, while taking into consideration the environment. The applications in which MAVs are used a generous payload required for most industrial applications.