House Armed Services Committee holds hearing on the Department of Defense using AI. China and the U.S. are locked in a race to develop new weapons controlled by artificial intelligence, a battle that could determine the world's balance of power. "The race with China to build autonomous weapons systems is the defining defense challenge of the next 100 years," Christopher Alexander, chief analytics officer at Pioneer Development Group, told Fox News Digital. The comments come as a Reuters report last month detailed the ongoing struggle between the U.S. and its allies and China over the development of AI weapons, a competition that has only become increasingly heated as the world observed the successful use of technologies to resist an invasion of seemingly superior Russian forces for over a year. US MILITARY NEEDS AI VEHICLES, WEAPON SYSTEMS TO BE'SUPERIOR' GLOBAL FORCE: EXPERTS George Bustilloz prepares for a presentation of the iRobot Warrior X700 during a demonstration of "life-saving military robots."

A digital twin contains up-to-date data-driven models of the physical world being studied and can use simulation to optimise the physical world. However, the analysis made by the digital twin is valid and reliable only when the model is equivalent to the physical world. Maintaining such an equivalent model is challenging, especially when the physical systems being modelled are intelligent and autonomous. The paper focuses in particular on digital twin models of intelligent systems where the systems are knowledge-aware but with limited capability. The digital twin improves the acting of the physical system at a meta-level by accumulating more knowledge in the simulated environment. The modelling of such an intelligent physical system requires replicating the knowledge-awareness capability in the virtual space. Novel equivalence maintaining techniques are needed, especially in synchronising the knowledge between the model and the physical system. This paper proposes the notion of knowledge equivalence and an equivalence maintaining approach by knowledge comparison and updates. A quantitative analysis of the proposed approach confirms that compared to state equivalence, knowledge equivalence maintenance can tolerate deviation thus reducing unnecessary updates and achieve more Pareto efficient solutions for the trade-off between update overhead and simulation reliability.

Previous research on behaviour-based attack detection on networks of IoT devices has resulted in machine learning models whose ability to adapt to unseen data is limited, and often not demonstrated. In this paper we present an approach for modelling IoT network attacks that focuses on generalizability, yet also leads to better detection and performance. First, we present an improved rolling window approach for feature extraction, and introduce a multi-step feature selection process that reduces overfitting. Second, we build and test models using isolated train and test datasets, thereby avoiding common data leaks that have limited the generalizability of previous models. Third, we rigorously evaluate our methodology using a diverse portfolio of machine learning models, evaluation metrics and datasets. Finally, we build confidence in the models by using explainable AI techniques, allowing us to identify the features that underlie accurate detection of attacks.

This paper is devoted to the development of a localized Large Language Model (LLM) specifically for Arabic, a language imbued with unique cultural characteristics inadequately addressed by current mainstream models. Significant concerns emerge when addressing cultural sensitivity and local values. To address this, the paper proposes a comprehensive solution that includes further pre-training with Arabic texts, Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) utilizing native Arabic instructions, and GPT-4 responses in Arabic, alongside Reinforcement Learning with AI Feedback (RLAIF) employing a reward model attuned to local culture and values. The goal is to cultivate culturally cognizant and value-aligned Arabic LLMs capable of accommodating the diverse, application-specific needs of Arabic-speaking communities. Comprehensive evaluations reveal that the resulting model, dubbed 'AceGPT', sets the state-of-the-art standard for open Arabic LLMs across various benchmarks, including the instruction-following benchmark (i.e., Arabic Vicuna-80 and Arabic AlpacaEval), knowledge benchmark (i.e., Arabic MMLU and EXAMs), and the newly introduced Arabic Cultural and Value Alignment benchmark. Notably, AceGPT outperforms Turbo in the popular Vicuna-80 benchmark when evaluated with GPT-4, despite the benchmark's limited scale. Codes, data, and models are in https://github.com/FreedomIntelligence/AceGPT.

Accurately predicting the future would be an important milestone in the capabilities of artificial intelligence. However, research on the ability of large language models to provide probabilistic predictions about future events remains nascent. To empirically test this ability, we enrolled OpenAI's state-of-the-art large language model, GPT-4, in a three-month forecasting tournament hosted on the Metaculus platform. The tournament, running from July to October 2023, attracted 843 participants and covered diverse topics including Big Tech, U.S. politics, viral outbreaks, and the Ukraine conflict. Focusing on binary forecasts, we show that GPT-4's probabilistic forecasts are significantly less accurate than the median human-crowd forecasts. We find that GPT-4's forecasts did not significantly differ from the no-information forecasting strategy of assigning a 50% probability to every question. We explore a potential explanation, that GPT-4 might be predisposed to predict probabilities close to the midpoint of the scale, but our data do not support this hypothesis. Overall, we find that GPT-4 significantly underperforms in real-world predictive tasks compared to median human-crowd forecasts. A potential explanation for this underperformance is that in real-world forecasting tournaments, the true answers are genuinely unknown at the time of prediction; unlike in other benchmark tasks like professional exams or time series forecasting, where strong performance may at least partly be due to the answers being memorized from the training data. This makes real-world forecasting tournaments an ideal environment for testing the generalized reasoning and prediction capabilities of artificial intelligence going forward.

As large language models (LLMs) are adopted as a fundamental component of language technologies, it is crucial to accurately characterize their performance. Because choices in prompt design can strongly influence model behavior, this design process is critical in effectively using any modern pre-trained generative language model. In this work, we focus on LLM sensitivity to a quintessential class of meaning-preserving design choices: prompt formatting. We find that several widely used open-source LLMs are extremely sensitive to subtle changes in prompt formatting in few-shot settings, with performance differences of up to 76 accuracy points when evaluated using LLaMA-2-13B. Sensitivity remains even when increasing model size, the number of few-shot examples, or performing instruction tuning. Our analysis suggests that work evaluating LLMs with prompting-based methods would benefit from reporting a range of performance across plausible prompt formats, instead of the currently-standard practice of reporting performance on a single format. We also show that format performance only weakly correlates between models, which puts into question the methodological validity of comparing models with an arbitrarily chosen, fixed prompt format. To facilitate systematic analysis we propose FormatSpread, an algorithm that rapidly evaluates a sampled set of plausible prompt formats for a given task, and reports the interval of expected performance without accessing model weights. Furthermore, we present a suite of analyses that characterize the nature of this sensitivity, including exploring the influence of particular atomic perturbations and the internal representation of particular formats.

In support of open and reproducible research, there has been a rapidly increasing number of datasets made available for research. As the availability of datasets increases, it becomes more important to have quality metadata for discovering and reusing them. Yet, it is a common issue that datasets often lack quality metadata due to limited resources for data curation. Meanwhile, technologies such as artificial intelligence and large language models (LLMs) are progressing rapidly. Recently, systems based on these technologies, such as ChatGPT, have demonstrated promising capabilities for certain data curation tasks. This paper proposes to leverage LLMs for cost-effective annotation of subject metadata through the LLM-based in-context learning. Our method employs GPT-3.5 with prompts designed for annotating subject metadata, demonstrating promising performance in automatic metadata annotation. However, models based on in-context learning cannot acquire discipline-specific rules, resulting in lower performance in several categories. This limitation arises from the limited contextual information available for subject inference. To the best of our knowledge, we are introducing, for the first time, an in-context learning method that harnesses large language models for automated subject metadata annotation.

While large language models (LLMs) have made considerable advancements in understanding and generating unstructured text, their application in structured data remains underexplored. Particularly, using LLMs for complex reasoning tasks on knowledge graphs (KGs) remains largely untouched. To address this, we propose KG-GPT, a multi-purpose framework leveraging LLMs for tasks employing KGs. KG-GPT comprises three steps: Sentence Segmentation, Graph Retrieval, and Inference, each aimed at partitioning sentences, retrieving relevant graph components, and deriving logical conclusions, respectively. We evaluate KG-GPT using KG-based fact verification and KGQA benchmarks, with the model showing competitive and robust performance, even outperforming several fully-supervised models. Our work, therefore, marks a significant step in unifying structured and unstructured data processing within the realm of LLMs.

As a result, KR is critical to offering a simple strategy for defining relevant and contextual information within a finite number of facts from a specific domain of interest; these facts are referred to as a knowledge base (KB). In the past years, Knowledge Graph (KG), as a form of KR, has gained attention because it provides a contextual, natural, and human-like form of representing knowledge in specific domains and common sense. KG is formed in statements called triples on the T = (h, r, t) form, where h (head) and t (tail) represent objects in real life, and r, the relation is the connection between those entities. Internet companies like Google, Wikipedia, and Facebook have found a simple but powerful unified tool in the KG field to describe their multi-structured and multi-dimensional knowledge base, capturing user data to transform it into vast KBs [3]. The KG approach is particularly relevant to studying international trade, a significant cornerstone of economic and social development in the globalized economy [4, 5]. International trade is complex and interconnected, with multiple entities (commodities, companies, and countries) interacting in multiple ways [6]. This method helps to understand those complex interactions in a structured and intuitive way. In international economics, the gravity model, a fundamental part of the current method, is widely used to predict trade relations between entities based on factors like size (GDP, population) and distance or other factors [7, 8, 9].

Online Social Networks serve as fertile ground for harmful behavior, ranging from hate speech to the dissemination of disinformation. Malicious actors now have unprecedented freedom to misbehave, leading to severe societal unrest and dire consequences, as exemplified by events such as the Capitol assault during the US presidential election and the Antivaxx movement during the COVID-19 pandemic. Understanding online language has become more pressing than ever. While existing works predominantly focus on content analysis, we aim to shift the focus towards understanding harmful behaviors by relating content to their respective authors. Numerous novel approaches attempt to learn the stylistic features of authors in texts, but many of these approaches are constrained by small datasets or sub-optimal training losses. To overcome these limitations, we introduce the Style Transformer for Authorship Representations (STAR), trained on a large corpus derived from public sources of 4.5 x 10^6 authored texts involving 70k heterogeneous authors. Our model leverages Supervised Contrastive Loss to teach the model to minimize the distance between texts authored by the same individual. This author pretext pre-training task yields competitive performance at zero-shot with PAN challenges on attribution and clustering. Additionally, we attain promising results on PAN verification challenges using a single dense layer, with our model serving as an embedding encoder. Finally, we present results from our test partition on Reddit. Using a support base of 8 documents of 512 tokens, we can discern authors from sets of up to 1616 authors with at least 80\% accuracy. We share our pre-trained model at huggingface (https://huggingface.co/AIDA-UPM/star) and our code is available at (https://github.com/jahuerta92/star)