Government
The Physics-Informed Neural Network Gravity Model: Generation III
Martin, John, Schaub, Hanspeter
Scientific machine learning and the advent of the Physics-Informed Neural Network (PINN) show considerable potential in their capacity to identify solutions to complex differential equations. Over the past two years, much work has gone into the development of PINNs capable of solving the gravity field modeling problem -- i.e.\ learning a differentiable form of the gravitational potential from position and acceleration estimates. While the past PINN gravity models (PINN-GMs) have demonstrated advantages in model compactness, robustness to noise, and sample efficiency; there remain key modeling challenges which this paper aims to address. Specifically, this paper introduces the third generation of the Physics-Informed Neural Network Gravity Model (PINN-GM-III) which solves the problems of extrapolation error, bias towards low-altitude samples, numerical instability at high-altitudes, and compliant boundary conditions through numerous modifications to the model's design. The PINN-GM-III is tested by modeling a known heterogeneous density asteroid, and its performance is evaluated using seven core metrics which showcases its strengths against its predecessors and other analytic and numerical gravity models.
WordScape: a Pipeline to extract multilingual, visually rich Documents with Layout Annotations from Web Crawl Data
Weber, Maurice, Siebenschuh, Carlo, Butler, Rory, Alexandrov, Anton, Thanner, Valdemar, Tsolakis, Georgios, Jabbar, Haris, Foster, Ian, Li, Bo, Stevens, Rick, Zhang, Ce
We introduce WordScape, a novel pipeline for the creation of cross-disciplinary, multilingual corpora comprising millions of pages with annotations for document layout detection. Relating visual and textual items on document pages has gained further significance with the advent of multimodal models. Various approaches proved effective for visual question answering or layout segmentation. However, the interplay of text, tables, and visuals remains challenging for a variety of document understanding tasks. In particular, many models fail to generalize well to diverse domains and new languages due to insufficient availability of training data. WordScape addresses these limitations. Our automatic annotation pipeline parses the Open XML structure of Word documents obtained from the web, jointly providing layout-annotated document images and their textual representations. In turn, WordScape offers unique properties as it (1) leverages the ubiquity of the Word file format on the internet, (2) is readily accessible through the Common Crawl web corpus, (3) is adaptive to domain-specific documents, and (4) offers culturally and linguistically diverse document pages with natural semantic structure and high-quality text. Together with the pipeline, we will additionally release 9.5M urls to word documents which can be processed using WordScape to create a dataset of over 40M pages. Finally, we investigate the quality of text and layout annotations extracted by WordScape, assess the impact on document understanding benchmarks, and demonstrate that manual labeling costs can be substantially reduced.
Pipeline and Dataset Generation for Automated Fact-checking in Almost Any Language
Drchal, Jan, Ullrich, Herbert, Mlynรกล, Tomรกลก, Moravec, Vรกclav
This article presents a pipeline for automated fact-checking leveraging publicly available Language Models and data. The objective is to assess the accuracy of textual claims using evidence from a ground-truth evidence corpus. The pipeline consists of two main modules -- the evidence retrieval and the claim veracity evaluation. Our primary focus is on the ease of deployment in various languages that remain unexplored in the field of automated fact-checking. Unlike most similar pipelines, which work with evidence sentences, our pipeline processes data on a paragraph level, simplifying the overall architecture and data requirements. Given the high cost of annotating language-specific fact-checking training data, our solution builds on the Question Answering for Claim Generation (QACG) method, which we adapt and use to generate the data for all models of the pipeline. Our strategy enables the introduction of new languages through machine translation of only two fixed datasets of moderate size. Subsequently, any number of training samples can be generated based on an evidence corpus in the target language. We provide open access to all data and fine-tuned models for Czech, English, Polish, and Slovak pipelines, as well as to our codebase that may be used to reproduce the results.We comprehensively evaluate the pipelines for all four languages, including human annotations and per-sample difficulty assessment using Pointwise V-information. The presented experiments are based on full Wikipedia snapshots to promote reproducibility. To facilitate implementation and user interaction, we develop the FactSearch application featuring the proposed pipeline and the preliminary feedback on its performance.
Closing the Gap: Achieving Better Accuracy-Robustness Tradeoffs Against Query-Based Attacks
Zimmer, Pascal, Andreina, Sรฉbastien, Marson, Giorgia Azzurra, Karame, Ghassan
Although promising, existing defenses against query-based attacks share a common limitation: they offer increased robustness against attacks at the price of a considerable accuracy drop on clean samples. In this work, we show how to efficiently establish, at test-time, a solid tradeoff between robustness and accuracy when mitigating query-based attacks. Given that these attacks necessarily explore low-confidence regions, our insight is that activating dedicated defenses, such as RND (Qin et al., NeuRIPS 2021) and Random Image Transformations (Xie et al., ICLR 2018), only for low-confidence inputs is sufficient to prevent them. Our approach is independent of training and supported by theory. We verify the effectiveness of our approach for various existing defenses by conducting extensive experiments on CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100, and ImageNet. Our results confirm that our proposal can indeed enhance these defenses by providing better tradeoffs between robustness and accuracy when compared to state-of-the-art approaches while being completely training-free.
ReST meets ReAct: Self-Improvement for Multi-Step Reasoning LLM Agent
Aksitov, Renat, Miryoosefi, Sobhan, Li, Zonglin, Li, Daliang, Babayan, Sheila, Kopparapu, Kavya, Fisher, Zachary, Guo, Ruiqi, Prakash, Sushant, Srinivasan, Pranesh, Zaheer, Manzil, Yu, Felix, Kumar, Sanjiv
Answering complex natural language questions often necessitates multi-step reasoning and integrating external information. Several systems have combined knowledge retrieval with a large language model (LLM) to answer such questions. These systems, however, suffer from various failure cases, and we cannot directly train them end-to-end to fix such failures, as interaction with external knowledge is non-differentiable. To address these deficiencies, we define a ReAct-style LLM agent with the ability to reason and act upon external knowledge. We further refine the agent through a ReST-like method that iteratively trains on previous trajectories, employing growing-batch reinforcement learning with AI feedback for continuous self-improvement and self-distillation. Starting from a prompted large model and after just two iterations of the algorithm, we can produce a fine-tuned small model that achieves comparable performance on challenging compositional question-answering benchmarks with two orders of magnitude fewer parameters.
Small jet engine reservoir computing digital twin
Wright, C. J., Biederman, N., Gyovai, B., Gauthier, D. J., Wilhelm, J. P.
Machine learning was applied to create a digital twin of a numerical simulation of a single-scroll jet engine. A similar model based on the insights gained from this numerical study was used to create a digital twin of a JetCat P100-RX jet engine using only experimental data. Engine data was collected from a custom sensor system measuring parameters such as thrust, exhaust gas temperature, shaft speed, weather conditions, etc. Data was gathered while the engine was placed under different test conditions by controlling shaft speed. The machine learning model was generated (trained) using a next-generation reservoir computer, a best-in-class machine learning algorithm for dynamical systems. Once the model was trained, it was used to predict behavior it had never seen with an accuracy of better than 1.8% when compared to the testing data.
FuXi-S2S: An accurate machine learning model for global subseasonal forecasts
Chen, Lei, Zhong, Xiaohui, Wu, Jie, Chen, Deliang, Xie, Shangping, Chao, Qingchen, Lin, Chensen, Hu, Zixin, Lu, Bo, Li, Hao, Qi, Yuan
Skillful subseasonal forecasts beyond 2 weeks are crucial for a wide range of applications across various sectors of society. Recently, state-of-the-art machine learning based weather forecasting models have made significant advancements, outperforming the high-resolution forecast (HRES) from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). However, the full potential of machine learning models in subseasonal forecasts has yet to be fully explored. In this study, we introduce FuXi Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (FuXi-S2S), a machine learning based subseasonal forecasting model that provides global daily mean forecasts up to 42 days, covering 5 upper-air atmospheric variables at 13 pressure levels and 11 surface variables. FuXi-S2S integrates an enhanced FuXi base model with a perturbation module for flow-dependent perturbations in hidden features, and incorporates Perlin noise to perturb initial conditions. The model is developed using 72 years of daily statistics from ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis data. When compared to the ECMWF Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) reforecasts, the FuXi-S2S forecasts demonstrate superior deterministic and ensemble forecasts for total precipitation (TP), outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), and geopotential at 500 hPa (Z500). Although it shows slightly inferior performance in predicting 2-meter temperature (T2M), it has clear advantages over land area. Regarding the extreme forecasts, FuXi-S2S outperforms ECMWF S2S globally for TP. Furthermore, FuXi-S2S forecasts surpass the ECMWF S2S reforecasts in predicting the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), a key source of subseasonal predictability. They extend the skillful prediction of MJO from 30 days to 36 days.
Red AI? Inconsistent Responses from GPT3.5 Models on Political Issues in the US and China
The rising popularity of ChatGPT and other AI-powered large language models (LLMs) has led to increasing studies highlighting their susceptibility to mistakes and biases. However, most of these studies focus on models trained on English texts. Taking an innovative approach, this study investigates political biases in GPT's multilingual models. We posed the same question about high-profile political issues in the United States and China to GPT in both English and simplified Chinese, and our analysis of the bilingual responses revealed that GPT's bilingual models' political "knowledge" (content) and the political "attitude" (sentiment) are significantly more inconsistent on political issues in China. The simplified Chinese GPT models not only tended to provide pro-China information but also presented the least negative sentiment towards China's problems, whereas the English GPT was significantly more negative towards China. This disparity may stem from Chinese state censorship and US-China geopolitical tensions, which influence the training corpora of GPT bilingual models. Moreover, both Chinese and English models tended to be less critical towards the issues of "their own" represented by the language used, than the issues of "the other." This suggests that GPT multilingual models could potentially develop a "political identity" and an associated sentiment bias based on their training language. We discussed the implications of our findings for information transmission and communication in an increasingly divided world.
ChemTime: Rapid and Early Classification for Multivariate Time Series Classification of Chemical Sensors
Moore, Alexander M., Paffenroth, Randy C., Ngo, Kenneth T., Uzarski, Joshua R.
Multivariate time series data are ubiquitous in the application of machine learning to problems in the physical sciences. Chemiresistive sensor arrays are highly promising in chemical detection tasks relevant to industrial, safety, and military applications. Sensor arrays are an inherently multivariate time series data collection tool which demand rapid and accurate classification of arbitrary chemical analytes. Previous research has benchmarked data-agnostic multivariate time series classifiers across diverse multivariate time series supervised tasks in order to find general-purpose classification algorithms. To our knowledge, there has yet to be an effort to survey machine learning and time series classification approaches to chemiresistive hardware sensor arrays for the detection of chemical analytes. In addition to benchmarking existing approaches to multivariate time series classifiers, we incorporate findings from a model survey to propose the novel \textit{ChemTime} approach to sensor array classification for chemical sensing. We design experiments addressing the unique challenges of hardware sensor arrays classification including the rapid classification ability of classifiers and minimization of inference time while maintaining performance for deployed lightweight hardware sensing devices. We find that \textit{ChemTime} is uniquely positioned for the chemical sensing task by combining rapid and early classification of time series with beneficial inference and high accuracy.
Socio-Economic Deprivation Analysis: Diffusion Maps
This report proposes a model to predict the location of the most deprived areas in a city using data from the census. A census data is very high dimensional and needs to be simplified. We use a novel algorithm to reduce dimensionality and find patterns: The diffusion map. Features are defined by eigenvectors of the Laplacian matrix that defines the diffusion map. Eigenvectors corresponding to the smallest eigenvalues indicate specific population features. Previous work has found qualitatively that the second most important dimension for describing the census data in Bristol is linked to deprivation. In this report, we analyse how good this dimension is as a model for predicting deprivation by comparing with the recognised measures. The Pearson correlation coefficient was found to be over 0.7. The top 10 per cent of deprived areas in the UK which also locate in Bristol are extracted to test the accuracy of the model. There are 52 most deprived areas, and 38 areas are correctly identified by comparing to the model. The influence of scores of IMD domains that do not correlate with the models, Eigenvector 2 entries of non-deprived OAs and orthogonality of Eigenvectors cause the model to fail the prediction of 14 deprived areas. However, overall, the model shows a high performance to predict the future deprivation of overall areas where the project considers. This project is expected to support the government to allocate resources and funding.