The most adopted definition of landslide hazard combines spatial information about landslide location (susceptibility), threat (intensity), and frequency (return period). Only the first two elements are usually considered and estimated when working over vast areas. Even then, separate models constitute the standard, with frequency being rarely investigated. Frequency and intensity are intertwined and depend on each other because larger events occur less frequently and vice versa. However, due to the lack of multi-temporal inventories and joint statistical models, modelling such properties via a unified hazard model has always been challenging and has yet to be attempted. Here, we develop a unified model to estimate landslide hazard at the slope unit level to address such gaps. We employed deep learning, combined with a model motivated by extreme-value theory to analyse an inventory of 30 years of observed rainfall-triggered landslides in Nepal and assess landslide hazard for multiple return periods. We also use our model to further explore landslide hazard for the same return periods under different climate change scenarios up to the end of the century. Our results show that the proposed model performs excellently and can be used to model landslide hazard in a unified manner. Geomorphologically, we find that under both climate change scenarios (SSP245 and SSP885), landslide hazard is likely to increase up to two times on average in the lower Himalayan regions while remaining the same in the middle Himalayan region whilst decreasing slightly in the upper Himalayan region areas.

The attribution of question answering is to provide citations for supporting generated statements, and has attracted wide research attention. The current methods for automatically evaluating the attribution, which are often based on Large Language Models (LLMs), are still inadequate, particularly in recognizing subtle differences between attributions, and complex relationships between citations and statements. To compare these attribution evaluation methods and develop new ones, we introduce a set of fine-grained categories (i.e., supportive, insufficient, contradictory and irrelevant) for measuring the attribution, and develop a Complex Attributed Question Answering (CAQA) benchmark by leveraging knowledge graphs (KGs) for automatically generating attributions of different categories to question-answer pairs. Our analysis reveals that existing evaluators perform poorly under fine-grained attribution settings and exhibit weaknesses in complex citation-statement reasoning. Our CAQA benchmark, validated with human annotations, emerges as a promising tool for selecting and developing LLM attribution evaluators.

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly exacerbated existing educational disparities in Georgia's K-12 system, particularly in terms of racial and ethnic achievement gaps. Utilizing machine learning methods, the study conducts a comprehensive analysis of student achievement rates across different demographics, regions, and subjects. The findings highlight a significant decline in proficiency in English and Math during the pandemic, with a noticeable contraction in score distribution and a greater impact on economically disadvantaged and Black students. Socio-economic status, as represented by the Directly Certified Percentage -- the percentage of students eligible for free lunch, emerges as the most crucial factor, with additional insights drawn from faculty resources such as teacher salaries and expenditure on instruction. The study also identifies disparities in achievement rates between urban and rural settings, as well as variations across counties, underscoring the influence of geographical and socio-economic factors. The data suggests that targeted interventions and resource allocation, particularly in schools with higher percentages of economically disadvantaged students, are essential for mitigating educational disparities.

The rapid and wide-scale adoption of AI to generate human speech poses a range of significant ethical and safety risks to society that need to be addressed. For example, a growing number of speech generation incidents are associated with swatting attacks in the United States, where anonymous perpetrators create synthetic voices that call police officers to close down schools and hospitals, or to violently gain access to innocent citizens' homes. Incidents like this demonstrate that multimodal generative AI risks and harms do not exist in isolation, but arise from the interactions of multiple stakeholders and technical AI systems. In this paper we analyse speech generation incidents to study how patterns of specific harms arise. We find that specific harms can be categorised according to the exposure of affected individuals, that is to say whether they are a subject of, interact with, suffer due to, or are excluded from speech generation systems. Similarly, specific harms are also a consequence of the motives of the creators and deployers of the systems. Based on these insights we propose a conceptual framework for modelling pathways to ethical and safety harms of AI, which we use to develop a taxonomy of harms of speech generators. Our relational approach captures the complexity of risks and harms in sociotechnical AI systems, and yields an extensible taxonomy that can support appropriate policy interventions and decision making for responsible multimodal model development and release of speech generators.

Interpreting deep learning time series models is crucial in understanding the model's behavior and learning patterns from raw data for real-time decision-making. However, the complexity inherent in transformer-based time series models poses challenges in explaining the impact of individual features on predictions. In this study, we leverage recent local interpretation methods to interpret state-of-the-art time series models. To use real-world datasets, we collected three years of daily case data for 3,142 US counties. Firstly, we compare six transformer-based models and choose the best prediction model for COVID-19 infection. Using 13 input features from the last two weeks, we can predict the cases for the next two weeks. Secondly, we present an innovative way to evaluate the prediction sensitivity to 8 population age groups over highly dynamic multivariate infection data. Thirdly, we compare our proposed perturbation-based interpretation method with related work, including a total of eight local interpretation methods. Finally, we apply our framework to traffic and electricity datasets, demonstrating that our approach is generic and can be applied to other time-series domains.

Accurate global glacier mapping is critical for understanding climate change impacts. It is challenged by glacier diversity, difficult-to-classify debris and big data processing. Here we propose Glacier-VisionTransformer-U-Net (GlaViTU), a convolutional-transformer deep learning model, and five strategies for multitemporal global-scale glacier mapping using open satellite imagery. Assessing the spatial, temporal and cross-sensor generalisation shows that our best strategy achieves intersection over union >0.85 on previously unobserved images in most cases, which drops to >0.75 for debris-rich areas such as High-Mountain Asia and increases to >0.90 for regions dominated by clean ice. Additionally, adding synthetic aperture radar data, namely, backscatter and interferometric coherence, increases the accuracy in all regions where available. The calibrated confidence for glacier extents is reported making the predictions more reliable and interpretable. We also release a benchmark dataset that covers 9% of glaciers worldwide. Our results support efforts towards automated multitemporal and global glacier mapping.

This work presents a novel approach for the optimization of dynamic systems on finite-dimensional Lie groups. We rephrase dynamic systems as so-called neural ordinary differential equations (neural ODEs), and formulate the optimization problem on Lie groups. A gradient descent optimization algorithm is presented to tackle the optimization numerically. Our algorithm is scalable, and applicable to any finite dimensional Lie group, including matrix Lie groups. By representing the system at the Lie algebra level, we reduce the computational cost of the gradient computation. In an extensive example, optimal potential energy shaping for control of a rigid body is treated. The optimal control problem is phrased as an optimization of a neural ODE on the Lie group SE(3), and the controller is iteratively optimized. The final controller is validated on a state-regulation task.

Decision-making with information displays is a key focus of research in areas like explainable AI, human-AI teaming, and data visualization. However, what constitutes a decision problem, and what is required for an experiment to be capable of concluding that human decisions are flawed in some way, remain open to speculation. We present a widely applicable definition of a decision problem synthesized from statistical decision theory and information economics. We argue that to attribute loss in human performance to forms of bias, an experiment must provide participants with the information that a rational agent would need to identify the normative decision. We evaluate the extent to which recent evaluations of decision-making from the literature on AI-assisted decisions achieve this criteria. We find that only 6 (17\%) of 35 studies that claim to identify biased behavior present participants with sufficient information to characterize their behavior as deviating from good decision-making. We motivate the value of studying well-defined decision problems by describing a characterization of performance losses they allow us to conceive. In contrast, the ambiguities of a poorly communicated decision problem preclude normative interpretation. We conclude with recommendations for practice.

This paper presents a comprehensive literature review of the current state of in-vehicle human-computer interaction (HCI) in the context of self-driving vehicles, with a specific focus on inclusion and accessibility. This study's aim is to examine the user-centered design principles for inclusive HCI in self-driving vehicles, evaluate existing HCI systems, and identify emerging technologies that have the potential to enhance the passenger experience. The paper begins by providing an overview of the current state of self-driving vehicle technology, followed by an examination of the importance of HCI in this context. Next, the paper reviews the existing literature on inclusive HCI design principles and evaluates the effectiveness of current HCI systems in self-driving vehicles. The paper also identifies emerging technologies that have the potential to enhance the passenger experience, such as voice-activated interfaces, haptic feedback systems, and augmented reality displays. Finally, the paper proposes an end-to-end design framework for the development of an inclusive in-vehicle experience, which takes into consideration the needs of all passengers, including those with disabilities, or other accessibility requirements. This literature review highlights the importance of user-centered design principles in the development of HCI systems for self-driving vehicles and emphasizes the need for inclusive design to ensure that all passengers can safely and comfortably use these vehicles. The proposed end-to-end design framework provides a practical approach to achieving this goal and can serve as a valuable resource for designers, researchers, and policymakers in this field.

Constitutions are foundational legal documents that underpin the governmental and societal structures. As such, they are a reflection of a nation's cultural and social uniqueness, but also contribute to establish topics of universal importance, like citizens' rights and duties (RD). In this work, using the renowned GPT-3.5, we leverage generative large language models to understand constitutional passages that transcend national boundaries. A key contribution of our study is the introduction of a novel application of abstractive summarization on a multi-source collection of constitutional texts, with a focus on European countries' constitution passages related to RD topics. Our results show the meaningfulness of GPT-3.5 to produce informative, coherent and faithful summaries capturing RD topics across European countries.