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Do LLMs exhibit human-like response biases? A case study in survey design

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As large language models (LLMs) become more capable, there is growing excitement about the possibility of using LLMs as proxies for humans in real-world tasks where subjective labels are desired, such as in surveys and opinion polling. One widely-cited barrier to the adoption of LLMs as proxies for humans in subjective tasks is their sensitivity to prompt wording - but interestingly, humans also display sensitivities to instruction changes in the form of response biases. We investigate the extent to which LLMs reflect human response biases, if at all. We look to survey design, where human response biases caused by changes in the wordings of "prompts" have been extensively explored in social psychology literature. Drawing from these works, we design a dataset and framework to evaluate whether LLMs exhibit human-like response biases in survey questionnaires. Our comprehensive evaluation of nine models shows that popular open and commercial LLMs generally fail to reflect human-like behavior, particularly in models that have undergone RLHF. Furthermore, even if a model shows a significant change in the same direction as humans, we find that they are sensitive to perturbations that do not elicit significant changes in humans. These results highlight the pitfalls of using LLMs as human proxies, and underscore the need for finer-grained characterizations of model behavior. Our code, dataset, and collected samples are available at https://github.com/lindiatjuatja/BiasMonkey


An energy-based comparative analysis of common approaches to text classification in the Legal domain

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Most Machine Learning research evaluates the best solutions in terms of performance. However, in the race for the best performing model, many important aspects are often overlooked when, on the contrary, they should be carefully considered. In fact, sometimes the gaps in performance between different approaches are neglectable, whereas factors such as production costs, energy consumption, and carbon footprint must take into consideration. Large Language Models (LLMs) are extensively adopted to address NLP problems in academia and industry. In this work, we present a detailed quantitative comparison of LLM and traditional approaches (e.g. SVM) on the LexGLUE benchmark, which takes into account both performance (standard indices) and alternative metrics such as timing, power consumption and cost, in a word: the carbon-footprint. In our analysis, we considered the prototyping phase (model selection by training-validation-test iterations) and in-production phases separately, since they follow different implementation procedures and also require different resources. The results indicate that very often, the simplest algorithms achieve performance very close to that of large LLMs but with very low power consumption and lower resource demands. The results obtained could suggest companies to include additional evaluations in the choice of Machine Learning (ML) solutions.


DiffusionWorldViewer: Exposing and Broadening the Worldview Reflected by Generative Text-to-Image Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Generative text-to-image (TTI) models produce high-quality images from short textual descriptions and are widely used in academic and creative domains. Like humans, TTI models have a worldview, a conception of the world learned from their training data and task that influences the images they generate for a given prompt. However, the worldviews of TTI models are often hidden from users, making it challenging for users to build intuition about TTI outputs, and they are often misaligned with users' worldviews, resulting in output images that do not match user expectations. In response, we introduce DiffusionWorldViewer, an interactive interface that exposes a TTI model's worldview across output demographics and provides editing tools for aligning output images with user perspectives. In a user study with 18 diverse TTI users, we find that DiffusionWorldViewer helps users represent their varied viewpoints in generated images and challenge the limited worldview reflected in current TTI models.


Assessing the nature of large language models: A caution against anthropocentrism

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Generative AI models garnered a large amount of public attention and speculation with the release of OpenAIs chatbot, ChatGPT. At least two opinion camps exist: one excited about possibilities these models offer for fundamental changes to human tasks, and another highly concerned about power these models seem to have. To address these concerns, we assessed several LLMs, primarily GPT 3.5, using standard, normed, and validated cognitive and personality measures. For this seedling project, we developed a battery of tests that allowed us to estimate the boundaries of some of these models capabilities, how stable those capabilities are over a short period of time, and how they compare to humans. Our results indicate that LLMs are unlikely to have developed sentience, although its ability to respond to personality inventories is interesting. GPT3.5 did display large variability in both cognitive and personality measures over repeated observations, which is not expected if it had a human-like personality. Variability notwithstanding, LLMs display what in a human would be considered poor mental health, including low self-esteem, marked dissociation from reality, and in some cases narcissism and psychopathy, despite upbeat and helpful responses.


The Anatomy of Conspirators: Unveiling Traits using a Comprehensive Twitter Dataset

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The discourse around conspiracy theories is currently thriving amidst the rampant misinformation in online environments. Research in this field has been focused on detecting conspiracy theories on social media, often relying on limited datasets. In this study, we present a novel methodology for constructing a Twitter dataset that encompasses accounts engaged in conspiracy-related activities throughout the year 2022. Our approach centers on data collection that is independent of specific conspiracy theories and information operations. Additionally, our dataset includes a control group comprising randomly selected users who can be fairly compared to the individuals involved in conspiracy activities. This comprehensive collection effort yielded a total of 15K accounts and 37M tweets extracted from their timelines. We conduct a comparative analysis of the two groups across three dimensions: topics, profiles, and behavioral characteristics. The results indicate that conspiracy and control users exhibit similarity in terms of their profile metadata characteristics. However, they diverge significantly in terms of behavior and activity, particularly regarding the discussed topics, the terminology used, and their stance on trending subjects. In addition, we find no significant disparity in the presence of bot users between the two groups. Finally, we develop a classifier to identify conspiracy users using features borrowed from bot, troll and linguistic literature. The results demonstrate a high accuracy level (with an F1 score of 0.94), enabling us to uncover the most discriminating features associated with conspiracy-related accounts.


ARIEL: Adversarial Graph Contrastive Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Contrastive learning is an effective unsupervised method in graph representation learning, and the key component of contrastive learning lies in the construction of positive and negative samples. Previous methods usually utilize the proximity of nodes in the graph as the principle. Recently, the data-augmentation-based contrastive learning method has advanced to show great power in the visual domain, and some works extended this method from images to graphs. However, unlike the data augmentation on images, the data augmentation on graphs is far less intuitive and much harder to provide high-quality contrastive samples, which leaves much space for improvement. In this work, by introducing an adversarial graph view for data augmentation, we propose a simple but effective method, Adversarial Graph Contrastive Learning (ARIEL), to extract informative contrastive samples within reasonable constraints. We develop a new technique called information regularization for stable training and use subgraph sampling for scalability. We generalize our method from node-level contrastive learning to the graph level by treating each graph instance as a super-node. ARIEL consistently outperforms the current graph contrastive learning methods for both node-level and graph-level classification tasks on real-world datasets. We further demonstrate that ARIEL is more robust in the face of adversarial attacks.


Powerful winter storm moves into Southern California with heavy rain, high winds, flooding

Los Angeles Times

Chilling rain, swirling gray clouds and blustery winds rolled into Southern California on Sunday as the strongest winter storm of the season geared up to deliver near-record rainfall and life-threatening flash flooding in the region through Tuesday. The slow-moving atmospheric river was gathering strength Sunday afternoon, with the National Weather Service in Oxnard warning that "all systems are go for one of the most dramatic weather days in recent memory." Forecasters said the brunt of the storm appeared focused on the Los Angeles area, where the system could park itself for an extended time over the next few days. The storm could drop up to 8 inches of rainfall on the coast and valleys, and up to 14 inches in the foothills and mountains. Snowfall totals of 2 to 5 feet are likely at elevations above 7,000 feet.


Labour would force AI firms to share their technology's test data

The Guardian

Labour plans to force artificial intelligence firms to share the results of road tests of their technology after warning that regulators and politicians had failed to rein in social media platforms. The party would replace a voluntary testing agreement between tech companies and the government with a statutory regime, under which AI businesses would be compelled to share test data with officials. Peter Kyle, the shadow technology secretary, said legislators and regulators had been "behind the curve" on social media and that Labour would ensure the same mistake was not made with AI. Calling for greater transparency from tech firms after the murder of Brianna Ghey, he said companies working on AI technology – the term for computer systems that carry out tasks normally associated with human levels of intelligence – would be required to be more open under a Labour government. "We will move from a voluntary code to a statutory code," said Kyle, speaking on BBC One's Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg, "so that those companies engaging in that kind of research and development have to release all of the test data and tell us what they are testing for, so we can see exactly what is happening and where this technology is taking us."


Essex dog attack: Man arrested after woman dies in Jaywick

BBC News

A woman has died after being attacked by two dogs in Essex. She was found seriously injured in the village of Jaywick, near Clacton-on-Sea, at about 16:00 GMT on Saturday and a 39-year-old man has been arrested. Officers said the woman died at the scene and the man was being held on suspicion of dangerous dog offences. Two dogs have been destroyed and the investigation into the circumstances of the woman's death is continuing, Essex Police said. It added the breed of the dogs involved had not yet been confirmed and urged people not to speculate.Image source, Ed SchoolingImage caption, Crowds watched as a helicopter took off from the Jaywick Sands beach Ch Supt Glen Pavelin said: "My thoughts, and those of our officers and staff, are with the family of the woman who died yesterday. "This incident will be a huge shock to the community and I understand their concerns.


Matbench Discovery -- A framework to evaluate machine learning crystal stability predictions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Matbench Discovery simulates the deployment of machine learning (ML) energy models in a high-throughput search for stable inorganic crystals. We address the disconnect between (i) thermodynamic stability and formation energy and (ii) in-domain vs out-of-distribution performance. Alongside this paper, we publish a Python package to aid with future model submissions and a growing online leaderboard with further insights into trade-offs between various performance metrics. To answer the question which ML methodology performs best at materials discovery, our initial release explores a variety of models including random forests, graph neural networks (GNN), one-shot predictors, iterative Bayesian optimizers and universal interatomic potentials (UIP). Ranked best-to-worst by their test set F1 score on thermodynamic stability prediction, we find CHGNet > M3GNet > MACE > ALIGNN > MEGNet > CGCNN > CGCNN+P > Wrenformer > BOWSR > Voronoi tessellation fingerprints with random forest. The top 3 models are UIPs, the winning methodology for ML-guided materials discovery, achieving F1 scores of ~0.6 for crystal stability classification and discovery acceleration factors (DAF) of up to 5x on the first 10k most stable predictions compared to dummy selection from our test set. We also highlight a sharp disconnect between commonly used global regression metrics and more task-relevant classification metrics. Accurate regressors are susceptible to unexpectedly high false-positive rates if those accurate predictions lie close to the decision boundary at 0 eV/atom above the convex hull where most materials are. Our results highlight the need to focus on classification metrics that actually correlate with improved stability hit rate.