Government
Systematic Biases in LLM Simulations of Debates
Taubenfeld, Amir, Dover, Yaniv, Reichart, Roi, Goldstein, Ariel
Recent advancements in natural language processing, especially the emergence of Large Language Models (LLMs), have opened exciting possibilities for constructing computational simulations designed to replicate human behavior accurately. However, LLMs are complex statistical learners without straightforward deductive rules, making them prone to unexpected behaviors. In this study, we highlight the limitations of LLMs in simulating human interactions, particularly focusing on LLMs' ability to simulate political debates. Our findings indicate a tendency for LLM agents to conform to the model's inherent social biases despite being directed to debate from certain political perspectives. This tendency results in behavioral patterns that seem to deviate from well-established social dynamics among humans. We reinforce these observations using an automatic self-fine-tuning method, which enables us to manipulate the biases within the LLM and demonstrate that agents subsequently align with the altered biases. These results underscore the need for further research to develop methods that help agents overcome these biases, a critical step toward creating more realistic simulations.
Elastic Feature Consolidation for Cold Start Exemplar-free Incremental Learning
Magistri, Simone, Trinci, Tomaso, Soutif-Cormerais, Albin, van de Weijer, Joost, Bagdanov, Andrew D.
Exemplar-Free Class Incremental Learning (EFCIL) aims to learn from a sequence of tasks without having access to previous task data. In this paper, we consider the challenging Cold Start scenario in which insufficient data is available in the first task to learn a high-quality backbone. This is especially challenging for EFCIL since it requires high plasticity, which results in feature drift which is difficult to compensate for in the exemplar-free setting. To address this problem, we propose a simple and effective approach that consolidates feature representations by regularizing drift in directions highly relevant to previous tasks and employs prototypes to reduce task-recency bias. Our method, called Elastic Feature Consolidation (EFC), exploits a tractable second-order approximation of feature drift based on an Empirical Feature Matrix (EFM). The EFM induces a pseudo-metric in feature space which we use to regularize feature drift in important directions and to update Gaussian prototypes used in a novel asymmetric cross entropy loss which effectively balances prototype rehearsal with data from new tasks. Experimental results on CIFAR-100, Tiny-ImageNet, ImageNet-Subset and ImageNet-1K demonstrate that Elastic Feature Consolidation is better able to learn new tasks by maintaining model plasticity and significantly outperform the state-of-the-art. Deep neural networks achieve state-of-the-art performance on a broad range of visual recognition problems. However, the traditional supervised learning paradigm is limited in that it presumes all training data for all tasks is available in a single training session. The goal of Class-Incremental Learning (CIL) is to enable incremental integration of new classification tasks into already-trained models as they become available (Masana et al., 2022). Class-incremental learning entails balancing model plasticity (to allow learning of new tasks) against model stability (to avoid catastrophic forgetting of previous tasks) (McCloskey & Cohen, 1989). Exemplar-based approaches retain a small set of samples from previous tasks which are replayed to avoid forgetting, while exemplar-free methods retain no samples from previous tasks.
Shifting social norms as a driving force for linguistic change: Struggles about language and gender in the German Bundestag
Müller-Spitzer, Carolin, Ochs, Samira
This paper focuses on language change based on shifting social norms, in particular with regard to the debate on language and gender. It is a recurring argument in this debate that language develops "naturally" and that "severe interventions" - such as gender-inclusive language is often claimed to be - in the allegedly "organic" language system are inappropriate and even "dangerous". Such interventions are, however, not unprecedented. Socially motivated processes of language change are neither unusual nor new. We focus in our contribution on one important political-social space in Germany, the German Bundestag. Taking other struggles about language and gender in the plenaries of the Bundestag as a starting point, our article illustrates that language and gender has been a recurring issue in the German Bundestag since the 1980s. We demonstrate how this is reflected in linguistic practices of the Bundestag, by the use of a) designations for gays and lesbians; b) pair forms such as B\"urgerinnen und B\"urger (female and male citizens); and c) female forms of addresses and personal nouns ('Pr\"asidentin' in addition to 'Pr\"asident'). Lastly, we will discuss implications of these earlier language battles for the currently very heated debate about gender-inclusive language, especially regarding new forms with gender symbols like the asterisk or the colon (Lehrer*innen, Lehrer:innen; male*female teachers) which are intended to encompass all gender identities.
SUB-PLAY: Adversarial Policies against Partially Observed Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Systems
Ma, Oubo, Pu, Yuwen, Du, Linkang, Dai, Yang, Wang, Ruo, Liu, Xiaolei, Wu, Yingcai, Ji, Shouling
Recent advances in multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) have opened up vast application prospects, including swarm control of drones, collaborative manipulation by robotic arms, and multi-target encirclement. However, potential security threats during the MARL deployment need more attention and thorough investigation. Recent researches reveal that an attacker can rapidly exploit the victim's vulnerabilities and generate adversarial policies, leading to the victim's failure in specific tasks. For example, reducing the winning rate of a superhuman-level Go AI to around 20%. They predominantly focus on two-player competitive environments, assuming attackers possess complete global state observation. In this study, we unveil, for the first time, the capability of attackers to generate adversarial policies even when restricted to partial observations of the victims in multi-agent competitive environments. Specifically, we propose a novel black-box attack (SUB-PLAY), which incorporates the concept of constructing multiple subgames to mitigate the impact of partial observability and suggests the sharing of transitions among subpolicies to improve the exploitative ability of attackers. Extensive evaluations demonstrate the effectiveness of SUB-PLAY under three typical partial observability limitations. Visualization results indicate that adversarial policies induce significantly different activations of the victims' policy networks. Furthermore, we evaluate three potential defenses aimed at exploring ways to mitigate security threats posed by adversarial policies, providing constructive recommendations for deploying MARL in competitive environments.
Bayes-Optimal Fair Classification with Linear Disparity Constraints via Pre-, In-, and Post-processing
Zeng, Xianli, Cheng, Guang, Dobriban, Edgar
Machine learning algorithms may have disparate impacts on protected groups. To address this, we develop methods for Bayes-optimal fair classification, aiming to minimize classification error subject to given group fairness constraints. We introduce the notion of \emph{linear disparity measures}, which are linear functions of a probabilistic classifier; and \emph{bilinear disparity measures}, which are also linear in the group-wise regression functions. We show that several popular disparity measures -- the deviations from demographic parity, equality of opportunity, and predictive equality -- are bilinear. We find the form of Bayes-optimal fair classifiers under a single linear disparity measure, by uncovering a connection with the Neyman-Pearson lemma. For bilinear disparity measures, Bayes-optimal fair classifiers become group-wise thresholding rules. Our approach can also handle multiple fairness constraints (such as equalized odds), and the common scenario when the protected attribute cannot be used at the prediction phase. Leveraging our theoretical results, we design methods that learn fair Bayes-optimal classifiers under bilinear disparity constraints. Our methods cover three popular approaches to fairness-aware classification, via pre-processing (Fair Up- and Down-Sampling), in-processing (Fair Cost-Sensitive Classification) and post-processing (a Fair Plug-In Rule). Our methods control disparity directly while achieving near-optimal fairness-accuracy tradeoffs. We show empirically that our methods compare favorably to existing algorithms.
Location Agnostic Source-Free Domain Adaptive Learning to Predict Solar Power Generation
Islam, Md Shazid, Hasan, A S M Jahid, Rahman, Md Saydur, Yusuf, Jubair, Sajol, Md Saiful Islam, Tumpa, Farhana Akter
The prediction of solar power generation is a challenging task due to its dependence on climatic characteristics that exhibit spatial and temporal variability. The performance of a prediction model may vary across different places due to changes in data distribution, resulting in a model that works well in one region but not in others. Furthermore, as a consequence of global warming, there is a notable acceleration in the alteration of weather patterns on an annual basis. This phenomenon introduces the potential for diminished efficacy of existing models, even within the same geographical region, as time progresses. In this paper, a domain adaptive deep learning-based framework is proposed to estimate solar power generation using weather features that can solve the aforementioned challenges. A feed-forward deep convolutional network model is trained for a known location dataset in a supervised manner and utilized to predict the solar power of an unknown location later. This adaptive data-driven approach exhibits notable advantages in terms of computing speed, storage efficiency, and its ability to improve outcomes in scenarios where state-of-the-art non-adaptive methods fail. Our method has shown an improvement of $10.47 \%$, $7.44 \%$, $5.11\%$ in solar power prediction accuracy compared to best performing non-adaptive method for California (CA), Florida (FL) and New York (NY), respectively.
Distilling Event Sequence Knowledge From Large Language Models
Wadhwa, Somin, Hassanzadeh, Oktie, Bhattacharjya, Debarun, Barker, Ken, Ni, Jian
Event sequence models have been found to be highly effective in the analysis and prediction of events. Building such models requires availability of abundant high-quality event sequence data. In certain applications, however, clean structured event sequences are not available, and automated sequence extraction results in data that is too noisy and incomplete. In this work, we explore the use of Large Language Models (LLMs) to generate event sequences that can effectively be used for probabilistic event model construction. This can be viewed as a mechanism of distilling event sequence knowledge from LLMs. Our approach relies on a Knowledge Graph (KG) of event concepts with partial causal relations to guide the generative language model for causal event sequence generation. We show that our approach can generate high-quality event sequences, filling a knowledge gap in the input KG. Furthermore, we explore how the generated sequences can be leveraged to discover useful and more complex structured knowledge from pattern mining and probabilistic event models. We release our sequence generation code and evaluation framework, as well as corpus of event sequence data.
DeepInception: Hypnotize Large Language Model to Be Jailbreaker
Li, Xuan, Zhou, Zhanke, Zhu, Jianing, Yao, Jiangchao, Liu, Tongliang, Han, Bo
Despite remarkable success in various applications, large language models (LLMs) are vulnerable to adversarial jailbreaks that make the safety guardrails void. However, previous studies for jailbreaks usually resort to brute-force optimization or extrapolations of a high computation cost, which might not be practical or effective. In this paper, inspired by the Milgram experiment w.r.t. the authority power for inciting harmfulness, we disclose a lightweight method, termed DeepInception, which can easily hypnotize LLM to be a jailbreaker. Specifically, DeepInception leverages the personification ability of LLM to construct a novel nested scene to behave, which realizes an adaptive way to escape the usage control in a normal scenario. Empirically, our DeepInception can achieve competitive jailbreak success rates with previous counterparts and realize a continuous jailbreak in subsequent interactions, which reveals the critical weakness of self-losing on both open and closed-source LLMs like Falcon, Vicuna-v1.5, Llama-2, and GPT-3.5-turbo/4. Our investigation appeals to people to pay more attention to the safety aspects of LLMs and develop a stronger defense against their misuse risks. The code is publicly available at: https://github.com/tmlr-group/DeepInception.
Using AI Uncertainty Quantification to Improve Human Decision-Making
Marusich, Laura R., Bakdash, Jonathan Z., Zhou, Yan, Kantarcioglu, Murat
AI Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has the potential to improve human decision-making beyond AI predictions alone by providing additional probabilistic information to users. The majority of past research on AI and human decision-making has concentrated on model explainability and interpretability, with little focus on understanding the potential impact of UQ on human decision-making. We evaluated the impact on human decision-making for instance-level UQ, calibrated using a strict scoring rule, in two online behavioral experiments. In the first experiment, our results showed that UQ was beneficial for decision-making performance compared to only AI predictions. In the second experiment, we found UQ had generalizable benefits for decision-making across a variety of representations for probabilistic information. These results indicate that implementing high quality, instance-level UQ for AI may improve decision-making with real systems compared to AI predictions alone.
Smooth, exact rotational symmetrization for deep learning on point clouds
Pozdnyakov, Sergey N., Ceriotti, Michele
Point clouds are versatile representations of 3D objects and have found widespread application in science and engineering. Many successful deep-learning models have been proposed that use them as input. The domain of chemical and materials modeling is especially challenging because exact compliance with physical constraints is highly desirable for a model to be usable in practice. These constraints include smoothness and invariance with respect to translations, rotations, and permutations of identical atoms. If these requirements are not rigorously fulfilled, atomistic simulations might lead to absurd outcomes even if the model has excellent accuracy. Consequently, dedicated architectures, which achieve invariance by restricting their design space, have been developed. General-purpose point-cloud models are more varied but often disregard rotational symmetry. We propose a general symmetrization method that adds rotational equivariance to any given model while preserving all the other requirements. Our approach simplifies the development of better atomic-scale machine-learning schemes by relaxing the constraints on the design space and making it possible to incorporate ideas that proved effective in other domains. We demonstrate this idea by introducing the Point Edge Transformer (PET) architecture, which is not intrinsically equivariant but achieves state-of-the-art performance on several benchmark datasets of molecules and solids. A-posteriori application of our general protocol makes PET exactly equivariant, with minimal changes to its accuracy.