Microsimulation models used by ministries of finance and central banks rely on parametric processes for lifetime earnings that capture only first and second moments of the conditional distribution and miss long-range nonlinear structure. We propose SAGA, a decoder-only transformer for irregular tabular panel sequences, paired with a split conformal calibration wrapper that delivers individual-level prediction intervals with finite-sample marginal coverage guarantees. Trained on the longitudinal Swedish LISA register over 1990 to 2022, comprising 2,143,817 individuals and 61,284,903 person-years, the model forecasts annual labor earnings at horizons of one to thirty years and aggregates them by Monte Carlo into present-discounted lifetime earnings distributions. Against the canonical Guvenen, Karahan, Ozkan, and Song parametric process and tabular and recurrent baselines, SAGA reduces continuous ranked probability score by 31.9 percent at the ten-year horizon and mean absolute error by 37.7 percent at the twenty-year horizon. Conformal intervals achieve nominal coverage to within 0.4 percentage points marginally and within 2.4 percentage points on the worst-case demographic subgroup. The reconstructed lifetime earnings Gini coefficient is 0.327 against the partially observed truth of 0.341 and the GKOS estimate of 0.378. Model weights, calibration tables, and a synthetic equivalent dataset are released for replication outside the protected SCB MONA environment.

Israeli air strikes have killed at least 19 people in southern Lebanon, the country's health ministry has said. Ten of them, including three children and three women, were killed in a single attack that hit a house in the town of Deir Qanoun, the ministry said. Lebanon was drawn into the war on 2 March, when the Iran-backed armed Shia Islamist group Hezbollah fired rockets at Israel in retaliation for US-Israeli strikes that killed Iran's supreme leader. The latest deaths less than a week after the US said that Lebanon and Israel had agreed to extend a ceasefire by 45 days, with the two sides set to resume talks at the beginning of June. Despite the extension, both Israel and Hezbollah have continued to exchange fire, especially in southern Lebanon.

What are Russia's gains from the Iran war? 'We are not losers; we are winners' More than 15,800 people killed in Russia's all-out war on Ukraine: UN The United Nations has said 15,850 people, including 791 children, have been killed in Ukraine since Russia's full-scale invasion of the neighbouring country in February 2022. The "actual figures are likely significantly higher", Kayoko Gotoh, Europe and Central Asia director of the UN's Department of Political and Peacebuilding Affairs (DPPA), told the UN Security Council on Tuesday. US President Donald Trump has attempted to mediate and announced the most recent three-day ceasefire earlier this month, but fighting has resumed. Tuesday's Russian attacks on Ukraine killed at least six people. A 15-year-old boy was among three people killed in a Russian ballistic missile attack on the city of Pryluky in north-central Ukraine's Chernihiv region on Tuesday morning, according to the State Emergency Service of Ukraine.

Estonia has said a Nato fighter jet shot down a drone, which it suspects was a Ukrainian projectile knocked off course by Russian electronic jamming, over its territory. Defence Minister Hanno Pevkur said a Romanian F-16 fired a missile and drone debris fell in a marshy area in central Estonia on Tuesday. Ukraine reacted by accusing Russia of deliberately redirecting Ukrainian drones launched at legitimate military targets in Russia, apologising to Estonia and all of our Baltic friends for such unintended incidents. Russia has not commented on the latest in a series of recent drone incursions over Nato members Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. Last week, Latvian Prime Minister Evika Silina resigned following a political crisis over Russia-bound Ukrainian drones straying into Latvian territory.

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A long and bitter legal battle between tech billionaires Elon Musk and Sam Altman has culminated in victory for the OpenAI boss. Musk has vowed to appeal the verdict. But what did the trial reveal about big tech and the global AI race?

Victor Wembanyama's historic game one performance was personal, Spurs star reveals in postgame interview Dana White says gnats at Trump's White House Rose Garden dinner raised concerns for outdoor UFC events High school athlete slams CIF's shared podium rule as humiliating response that fails female competitors Kuwaiti Muslim jiu-jitsu champion refuses Israeli athlete's handshake: 'We do not respect them at all' Caitlin Clark's fiery Fever teammate tells WNBA haters to relax with perfect three-word response Red Sox legend Jason Varitek's wife appears to take massive swipe at team after ugly ouster Reds vs. Phillies betting preview: Why Cincinnati is the play despite their 4-12 skid over 16 games Bubba Wallace'seeing red' after being wrecked, female driver rage-quits and cries & NASCAR missed the mark Taiwan warns US about China's regional ambitions as Trump weighs arms deal Nate Bargatze takes clean comedy to big screen with'The Breadwinner' Retired vice admiral on Iran standoff: Trump has'time on his hands' Jury dismisses Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI and Sam Altman Strikes must resume if Iran fails to negotiate'in good faith': Brig Gen John Teichert Trace Gallagher: What does liberal America want? 'Rededicate 250' faith event draws thousands to DC OutKick contributor Riley Gaines discusses female high school athletes speaking out after a transgender participant won multiple events at a California track meet on'Fox & Friends.' MOORPARK, Calif. - On the morning of a day that would live in girls' sports infamy, a letter was handed out to coaches who entered a championship track and field meet at Moorpark High School. The letter announced that any girl who finished behind a biological male trans athlete would be bumped up by one spot on the podium, if that girl finished behind the trans athlete. The letter was dated May 16 -- the day of the event. The California Interscholastic Federation (CIF) will implement the pilot entry process introduced last season at the 2025 CIF Track and Field State Championships.

The ex-employees, who cofounded a new AI watchdog group, say investors deserve more information about xAI's safety practices before SpaceX goes public. Two former OpenAI employees and a group of AI safety nonprofits are warning that Elon Musk's AI lab, xAI, could become a liability for prospective investors in SpaceX, which is preparing to file what's expected to be the largest initial public offering in Wall Street History. In a letter directed to investors published on Tuesday, the ex-staffers highlighted what they describe as "unpriced risks" related to xAI that could complicate SpaceX's reported plans to raise up to $75 billion as part of its IPO. The rocket company's private valuation shot up to over $1 trillion after it acquired xAI last year . Musk claimed his rocket company could launch data centers into space for his AI lab, but the letter's authors argue that xAI's poor record on safety issues could complicate how investors view the combined company as it gets ready to submit its IPO prospectus filing .

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Paige Spiranac's swing is so hot it gets flagged as she hits the course in country club approved attire Hannah Jeter makes rare public appearance and still fires heat, Shania Twain's new look stuns & HOA Karen! 'Yellowstone' fans go absolutely wild for Taylor Sheridan's new spinoff, ratings soar Chiefs heiress Gracie Hunt might have set a bridesmaids record, fighting in the Dover parking lot & wings! Nothing to see here: Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott and his ex's bridesmaid are just friends Can't sleep, Japanese bear-fighting robo-wolves will eat me and a gorilla trade captivates the nation A replica of KITT from'Knight Rider' got a traffic ticket in another state despite being in a museum Jena Sims covers her butt with a bow at the SI Swimsuit party, the NFL saves us from Romo & is Star Wars dead? Taylor Sheridan shocks'Yellowstone' fans with new spinoff series, provides viewers with dark ride Early reviews for new'Star Wars' movie are generally horrific, but does anyone even care at this point? Jury dismisses Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI and Sam Altman Strikes must resume if Iran fails to negotiate'in good faith': Brig Gen John Teichert Trace Gallagher: What does liberal America want? 'Rededicate 250' faith event draws thousands to DC Bill Belichick says he learned'so much' from Tom Brady'HANDS ON THE TRIGGER': Iran issues MAJOR warning as Trump announces change to attack plan Gen Z faith influencer celebrates spiritual'awakening' at'Rededicate 250' Spencer Pratt is not an'ideological zealot,' says Dana Loesch Jesse Watters: It's not just the Iranians who are feeling the pressure of the Hormuz blockade Brent Tucker, a former Unit operator, says the tactics on these missions are entirely for the hostage.