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A Survey of Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) in Financial Time Series Forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence (AI) models have reached a very significant level of accuracy. While their superior performance offers considerable benefits, their inherent complexity often decreases human trust, which slows their application in high-risk decision-making domains, such as finance. The field of eXplainable AI (XAI) seeks to bridge this gap, aiming to make AI models more understandable. This survey, focusing on published work from the past five years, categorizes XAI approaches that predict financial time series. In this paper, explainability and interpretability are distinguished, emphasizing the need to treat these concepts separately as they are not applied the same way in practice. Through clear definitions, a rigorous taxonomy of XAI approaches, a complementary characterization, and examples of XAI's application in the finance industry, this paper provides a comprehensive view of XAI's current role in finance. It can also serve as a guide for selecting the most appropriate XAI approach for future applications.


OMoS-QA: A Dataset for Cross-Lingual Extractive Question Answering in a German Migration Context

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

When immigrating to a new country, it is easy to feel overwhelmed by the need to obtain information on financial support, housing, schooling, language courses, and other issues. If relocation is rushed or even forced, the necessity for high-quality answers to such questions is all the more urgent. Official immigration counselors are usually overbooked, and online systems could guide newcomers to the requested information or a suitable counseling service. To this end, we present OMoS-QA, a dataset of German and English questions paired with relevant trustworthy documents and manually annotated answers, specifically tailored to this scenario. Questions are automatically generated with an open-source large language model (LLM) and answer sentences are selected by crowd workers with high agreement. With our data, we conduct a comparison of 5 pretrained LLMs on the task of extractive question answering (QA) in German and English. Across all models and both languages, we find high precision and low-to-mid recall in selecting answer sentences, which is a favorable trade-off to avoid misleading users. This performance even holds up when the question language does not match the document language. When it comes to identifying unanswerable questions given a context, there are larger differences between the two languages.


MoRSE: Bridging the Gap in Cybersecurity Expertise with Retrieval Augmented Generation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we introduce MoRSE (Mixture of RAGs Security Experts), the first specialised AI chatbot for cybersecurity. MoRSE aims to provide comprehensive and complete knowledge about cybersecurity. MoRSE uses two RAG (Retrieval Augmented Generation) systems designed to retrieve and organize information from multidimensional cybersecurity contexts. MoRSE differs from traditional RAGs by using parallel retrievers that work together to retrieve semantically related information in different formats and structures. Unlike traditional Large Language Models (LLMs) that rely on Parametric Knowledge Bases, MoRSE retrieves relevant documents from Non-Parametric Knowledge Bases in response to user queries. Subsequently, MoRSE uses this information to generate accurate answers. In addition, MoRSE benefits from real-time updates to its knowledge bases, enabling continuous knowledge enrichment without retraining. We have evaluated the effectiveness of MoRSE against other state-of-the-art LLMs, evaluating the system on 600 cybersecurity specific questions. The experimental evaluation has shown that the improvement in terms of relevance and correctness of the answer is more than 10\% compared to known solutions such as GPT-4 and Mixtral 7x8.


A Life-long Learning Intrusion Detection System for 6G-Enabled IoV

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The introduction of 6G technology into the Internet of Vehicles (IoV) promises to revolutionize connectivity with ultra-high data rates and seamless network coverage. However, this technological leap also brings significant challenges, particularly for the dynamic and diverse IoV landscape, which must meet the rigorous reliability and security requirements of 6G networks. Furthermore, integrating 6G will likely increase the IoV's susceptibility to a spectrum of emerging cyber threats. Therefore, it is crucial for security mechanisms to dynamically adapt and learn new attack patterns, keeping pace with the rapid evolution and diversification of these threats - a capability currently lacking in existing systems. This paper presents a novel intrusion detection system leveraging the paradigm of life-long (or continual) learning. Our methodology combines class-incremental learning with federated learning, an approach ideally suited to the distributed nature of the IoV. This strategy effectively harnesses the collective intelligence of Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAVs) and edge computing capabilities to train the detection system. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to synergize class-incremental learning with federated learning specifically for cyber attack detection. Through comprehensive experiments on a recent network traffic dataset, our system has exhibited a robust adaptability in learning new cyber attack patterns, while effectively retaining knowledge of previously encountered ones. Additionally, it has proven to maintain high accuracy and a low false positive rate.


Conditioned Language Policy: A General Framework for Steerable Multi-Objective Finetuning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Reward-based finetuning is crucial for aligning language policies with intended behaviors (e.g., creativity and safety). A key challenge here is to develop steerable language models that trade-off multiple (conflicting) objectives in a flexible and efficient manner. This paper presents Conditioned Language Policy (CLP), a general framework for finetuning language models on multiple objectives. Building on techniques from multi-task training and parameter-efficient finetuning, CLP can learn steerable models that effectively trade-off conflicting objectives at inference time. Notably, this does not require training or maintaining multiple models to achieve different trade-offs between the objectives. Through an extensive set of experiments and ablations, we show that the CLP framework learns steerable models that outperform and Pareto-dominate the current state-of-the-art approaches for multi-objective finetuning.


NASA's Curiosity rover makes 'mind-blowing' discovery on Mars

Daily Mail - Science & tech

NASA's Curiosity rover has made a'mind-blowing' discovery on Mars that scientists said'should not be there.' The one-ton rover uncovered yellowish-green crystals of pure sulfur during its search for chemical evidence that the Red Planet was once habitable. While minerals containing sulfur have been observed in the Martian world, elemental sulfur on its own has never been seen before. Curiosity accidently cracked opening white stones as it traveled through the Gediz Vallis channel, revealing the'strange' structures that add to the growing evidence that Mars was once a habitable world. Previous research has suggested that sulfur may have played a key role in the origin of life on Earth more than four billion years ago when the atmosphere was rich in sulfur and carbon, which was emitted through volcanic activity.


Trump's 'miraculous' survival, the public health impact and cognitive testing top this week's health news

FOX News

Fox News Digital publishes an array of health pieces all week long on medical research, disease prevention, healthy eating, cutting-edge surgeries and more. Also featured are personal stories of families overcoming great medical obstacles. Check out some of the top stories from this past week that you may have missed or have been meaning to check out. Also, see a full selection of health stories at http://www.foxnews/health. After former President Donald Trump survived an assassination attempt during a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, Dr. Marc Siegel emphasized how rare it is for someone to be grazed by a bullet from a high-powered rifle.


Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 877

Al Jazeera

Russia launched its fifth drone attack on Kyiv in two weeks, with Ukraine's air defence systems destroying all the air weapons before they could reach the capital, Ukraine's military said. No casualties or damage was reported, Serhiy Popko, head of Kyiv's military administration, said on Telegram. Russia's air defence systems destroyed eight Ukrainian drones overnight, the Russian Ministry of Defence said. Three of the drones were destroyed over the Belgorod region, which borders Ukraine, and three were intercepted in the Black Sea, the ministry said on Telegram.


Explainable AI-based Intrusion Detection System for Industry 5.0: An Overview of the Literature, associated Challenges, the existing Solutions, and Potential Research Directions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Industry 5.0, which focuses on human and Artificial Intelligence (AI) collaboration for performing different tasks in manufacturing, involves a higher number of robots, Internet of Things (IoTs) devices and interconnections, Augmented/Virtual Reality (AR), and other smart devices. The huge involvement of these devices and interconnection in various critical areas, such as economy, health, education and defense systems, poses several types of potential security flaws. AI itself has been proven a very effective and powerful tool in different areas of cybersecurity, such as intrusion detection, malware detection, and phishing detection, among others. Just as in many application areas, cybersecurity professionals were reluctant to accept black-box ML solutions for cybersecurity applications. This reluctance pushed forward the adoption of eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) as a tool that helps explain how decisions are made in ML-based systems. In this survey, we present a comprehensive study of different XAI-based intrusion detection systems for industry 5.0, and we also examine the impact of explainability and interpretability on Cybersecurity practices through the lens of Adversarial XIDS (Adv-XIDS) approaches. Furthermore, we analyze the possible opportunities and challenges in XAI cybersecurity systems for industry 5.0 that elicit future research toward XAI-based solutions to be adopted by high-stakes industry 5.0 applications. We believe this rigorous analysis will establish a foundational framework for subsequent research endeavors within the specified domain.


PUFFLE: Balancing Privacy, Utility, and Fairness in Federated Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Training and deploying Machine Learning models that simultaneously adhere to principles of fairness and privacy while ensuring good utility poses a significant challenge. The interplay between these three factors of trustworthiness is frequently underestimated and remains insufficiently explored. Consequently, many efforts focus on ensuring only two of these factors, neglecting one in the process. The decentralization of the datasets and the variations in distributions among the clients exacerbate the complexity of achieving this ethical trade-off in the context of Federated Learning (FL). For the first time in FL literature, we address these three factors of trustworthiness. We introduce PUFFLE, a high-level parameterised approach that can help in the exploration of the balance between utility, privacy, and fairness in FL scenarios. We prove that PUFFLE can be effective across diverse datasets, models, and data distributions, reducing the model unfairness up to 75%, with a maximum reduction in the utility of 17% in the worst-case scenario, while maintaining strict privacy guarantees during the FL training.