Government
Towards Autonomous Cybersecurity: An Intelligent AutoML Framework for Autonomous Intrusion Detection
The rapid evolution of mobile networks from 5G to 6G has necessitated the development of autonomous network management systems, such as Zero-Touch Networks (ZTNs). However, the increased complexity and automation of these networks have also escalated cybersecurity risks. Existing Intrusion Detection Systems (IDSs) leveraging traditional Machine Learning (ML) techniques have shown effectiveness in mitigating these risks, but they often require extensive manual effort and expert knowledge. To address these challenges, this paper proposes an Automated Machine Learning (AutoML)-based autonomous IDS framework towards achieving autonomous cybersecurity for next-generation networks. To achieve autonomous intrusion detection, the proposed AutoML framework automates all critical procedures of the data analytics pipeline, including data pre-processing, feature engineering, model selection, hyperparameter tuning, and model ensemble. Specifically, it utilizes a Tabular Variational Auto-Encoder (TVAE) method for automated data balancing, tree-based ML models for automated feature selection and base model learning, Bayesian Optimization (BO) for hyperparameter optimization, and a novel Optimized Confidence-based Stacking Ensemble (OCSE) method for automated model ensemble. The proposed AutoML-based IDS was evaluated on two public benchmark network security datasets, CICIDS2017 and 5G-NIDD, and demonstrated improved performance compared to state-of-the-art cybersecurity methods. This research marks a significant step towards fully autonomous cybersecurity in next-generation networks, potentially revolutionizing network security applications.
Solving Stochastic Orienteering Problems with Chance Constraints Using Monte Carlo Tree Search
We present a new Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) algorithm to solve the stochastic orienteering problem with chance constraints, i.e., a version of the problem where travel costs are random, and one is assigned a bound on the tolerable probability of exceeding the budget. The algorithm we present is online and anytime, i.e., it alternates planning and execution, and the quality of the solution it produces increases as the allowed computational time increases. Differently from most former MCTS algorithms, for each action available in a state the algorithm maintains estimates of both its value and the probability that its execution will eventually result in a violation of the chance constraint. Then, at action selection time, our proposed solution prunes away trajectories that are estimated to violate the failure probability. Extensive simulation results show that this approach can quickly produce high-quality solutions and is competitive with the optimal but time-consuming solution.
A Comparative Analysis of Wealth Index Predictions in Africa between three Multi-Source Inference Models
Karsai, Márton, Kertész, János, Espín-Noboa, Lisette
Poverty map inference is a critical area of research, with growing interest in both traditional and modern techniques, ranging from regression models to convolutional neural networks applied to tabular data, images, and networks. Despite extensive focus on the validation of training phases, the scrutiny of final predictions remains limited. Here, we compare the Relative Wealth Index (RWI) inferred by Chi et al. (2022) with the International Wealth Index (IWI) inferred by Lee and Braithwaite (2022) and Esp\'in-Noboa et al. (2023) across six Sub-Saharan African countries. Our analysis focuses on identifying trends and discrepancies in wealth predictions over time. Our results show that the predictions by Chi et al. and Esp\'in-Noboa et al. align with general GDP trends, with differences expected due to the distinct time-frames of the training sets. However, predictions by Lee and Braithwaite diverge significantly, indicating potential issues with the validity of the model. These discrepancies highlight the need for policymakers and stakeholders in Africa to rigorously audit models that predict wealth, especially those used for decision-making on the ground. These and other techniques require continuous verification and refinement to enhance their reliability and ensure that poverty alleviation strategies are well-founded.
Bioinformatics Retrieval Augmentation Data (BRAD) Digital Assistant
Pickard, Joshua, Choi, Marc Andrew, Oliven, Natalie, Stansbury, Cooper, Cwycyshyn, Jillian, Galioto, Nicholas, Gorodetsky, Alex, Velasquez, Alvaro, Rajapakse, Indika
We present a prototype for a Bioinformatics Retrieval Augmentation Data (BRAD) digital assistant. BRAD integrates a suite of tools to handle a wide range of bioinformatics tasks, from code execution to online search. We demonstrate BRAD's capabilities through (1) improved question-and-answering with retrieval augmented generation (RAG), (2) BRAD's ability to run and write complex software pipelines, and (3) BRAD's ability to organize and distribute tasks across individual and teams of agents. We use BRAD for automation of bioinformatics workflows, performing tasks ranging from gene enrichment and searching the archive to automatic code generation and running biomarker identification pipelines. BRAD is a step toward the ultimate goal to develop a digital twin of laboratories driven by self-contained loops for hypothesis generation and testing of digital biology experiments.
Detecting Calls to Action in Multimodal Content: Analysis of the 2021 German Federal Election Campaign on Instagram
Achmann-Denkler, Michael, Fehle, Jakob, Haim, Mario, Wolff, Christian
This study investigates the automated classification of Calls to Action (CTAs) within the 2021 German Instagram election campaign to advance the understanding of mobilization in social media contexts. We analyzed over 2,208 Instagram stories and 712 posts using fine-tuned BERT models and OpenAI's GPT-4 models. The fine-tuned BERT model incorporating synthetic training data achieved a macro F1 score of 0.93, demonstrating a robust classification performance. Our analysis revealed that 49.58% of Instagram posts and 10.64% of stories contained CTAs, highlighting significant differences in mobilization strategies between these content types. Additionally, we found that FDP and the Greens had the highest prevalence of CTAs in posts, whereas CDU and CSU led in story CTAs.
Adversarial Attacks on Machine Learning-Aided Visualizations
Fujiwara, Takanori, Kucher, Kostiantyn, Wang, Junpeng, Martins, Rafael M., Kerren, Andreas, Ynnerman, Anders
Research in ML4VIS investigates how to use machine learning (ML) techniques to generate visualizations, and the field is rapidly growing with high societal impact. However, as with any computational pipeline that employs ML processes, ML4VIS approaches are susceptible to a range of ML-specific adversarial attacks. These attacks can manipulate visualization generations, causing analysts to be tricked and their judgments to be impaired. Due to a lack of synthesis from both visualization and ML perspectives, this security aspect is largely overlooked by the current ML4VIS literature. To bridge this gap, we investigate the potential vulnerabilities of ML-aided visualizations from adversarial attacks using a holistic lens of both visualization and ML perspectives. We first identify the attack surface (i.e., attack entry points) that is unique in ML-aided visualizations. We then exemplify five different adversarial attacks. These examples highlight the range of possible attacks when considering the attack surface and multiple different adversary capabilities. Our results show that adversaries can induce various attacks, such as creating arbitrary and deceptive visualizations, by systematically identifying input attributes that are influential in ML inferences. Based on our observations of the attack surface characteristics and the attack examples, we underline the importance of comprehensive studies of security issues and defense mechanisms as a call of urgency for the ML4VIS community.
InfraLib: Enabling Reinforcement Learning and Decision Making for Large Scale Infrastructure Management
Thangeda, Pranay, Betz, Trevor S., Grussing, Michael N., Ornik, Melkior
Efficient management of infrastructure systems is crucial for economic stability, sustainability, and public safety. However, infrastructure management is challenging due to the vast scale of systems, stochastic deterioration of components, partial observability, and resource constraints. While data-driven approaches like reinforcement learning (RL) offer a promising avenue for optimizing management policies, their application to infrastructure has been limited by the lack of suitable simulation environments. We introduce InfraLib, a comprehensive framework for modeling and analyzing infrastructure management problems. InfraLib employs a hierarchical, stochastic approach to realistically model infrastructure systems and their deterioration. It supports practical functionality such as modeling component unavailability, cyclical budgets, and catastrophic failures. To facilitate research, InfraLib provides tools for expert data collection, simulation-driven analysis, and visualization. We demonstrate InfraLib's capabilities through case studies on a real-world road network and a synthetic benchmark with 100,000 components.
Governing dual-use technologies: Case studies of international security agreements and lessons for AI governance
Wasil, Akash R., Barnett, Peter, Gerovitch, Michael, Hauksson, Roman, Reed, Tom, Miller, Jack William
International AI governance agreements and institutions may play an important role in reducing global security risks from advanced AI. To inform the design of such agreements and institutions, we conducted case studies of historical and contemporary international security agreements. We focused specifically on those arrangements around dual-use technologies, examining agreements in nuclear security, chemical weapons, biosecurity, and export controls. For each agreement, we examined four key areas: (a) purpose, (b) core powers, (c) governance structure, and (d) instances of non-compliance. From these case studies, we extracted lessons for the design of international AI agreements and governance institutions. We discuss the importance of robust verification methods, strategies for balancing power between nations, mechanisms for adapting to rapid technological change, approaches to managing trade-offs between transparency and security, incentives for participation, and effective enforcement mechanisms.
The Future of Open Human Feedback
Don-Yehiya, Shachar, Burtenshaw, Ben, Astudillo, Ramon Fernandez, Osborne, Cailean, Jaiswal, Mimansa, Kuo, Tzu-Sheng, Zhao, Wenting, Shenfeld, Idan, Peng, Andi, Yurochkin, Mikhail, Kasirzadeh, Atoosa, Huang, Yangsibo, Hashimoto, Tatsunori, Jernite, Yacine, Vila-Suero, Daniel, Abend, Omri, Ding, Jennifer, Hooker, Sara, Kirk, Hannah Rose, Choshen, Leshem
Human feedback on conversations with language language models (LLMs) is central to how these systems learn about the world, improve their capabilities, and are steered toward desirable and safe behaviors. However, this feedback is mostly collected by frontier AI labs and kept behind closed doors. In this work, we bring together interdisciplinary experts to assess the opportunities and challenges to realizing an open ecosystem of human feedback for AI. We first look for successful practices in peer production, open source, and citizen science communities. We then characterize the main challenges for open human feedback. For each, we survey current approaches and offer recommendations. We end by envisioning the components needed to underpin a sustainable and open human feedback ecosystem. In the center of this ecosystem are mutually beneficial feedback loops, between users and specialized models, incentivizing a diverse stakeholders community of model trainers and feedback providers to support a general open feedback pool.
How DREAMS are made: Emulating Satellite Galaxy and Subhalo Populations with Diffusion Models and Point Clouds
Nguyen, Tri, Villaescusa-Navarro, Francisco, Mishra-Sharma, Siddharth, Cuesta-Lazaro, Carolina, Torrey, Paul, Farahi, Arya, Garcia, Alex M., Rose, Jonah C., O'Neil, Stephanie, Vogelsberger, Mark, Shen, Xuejian, Roche, Cian, Anglés-Alcázar, Daniel, Kallivayalil, Nitya, Muñoz, Julian B., Cyr-Racine, Francis-Yan, Roy, Sandip, Necib, Lina, Kollmann, Kassidy E.
The connection between galaxies and their host dark matter (DM) halos is critical to our understanding of cosmology, galaxy formation, and DM physics. To maximize the return of upcoming cosmological surveys, we need an accurate way to model this complex relationship. Many techniques have been developed to model this connection, from Halo Occupation Distribution (HOD) to empirical and semi-analytic models to hydrodynamic. Hydrodynamic simulations can incorporate more detailed astrophysical processes but are computationally expensive; HODs, on the other hand, are computationally cheap but have limited accuracy. In this work, we present NeHOD, a generative framework based on variational diffusion model and Transformer, for painting galaxies/subhalos on top of DM with an accuracy of hydrodynamic simulations but at a computational cost similar to HOD. By modeling galaxies/subhalos as point clouds, instead of binning or voxelization, we can resolve small spatial scales down to the resolution of the simulations. For each halo, NeHOD predicts the positions, velocities, masses, and concentrations of its central and satellite galaxies. We train NeHOD on the TNG-Warm DM suite of the DREAMS project, which consists of 1024 high-resolution zoom-in hydrodynamic simulations of Milky Way-mass halos with varying warm DM mass and astrophysical parameters. We show that our model captures the complex relationships between subhalo properties as a function of the simulation parameters, including the mass functions, stellar-halo mass relations, concentration-mass relations, and spatial clustering. Our method can be used for a large variety of downstream applications, from galaxy clustering to strong lensing studies.