Macroscopic data aggregated from microscopic events are pervasive in machine learning, such as country-level COVID-19 infection statistics based on city-level data. In this paper, we propose a principled optimization framework for macroscopic prediction by fitting microscopic models based on conditional stochastic optimization. The framework leverages both macroscopic and microscopic information, and adapts to individual microscopic models involved in the aggregation. In addition, we propose efficient learning algorithms with convergence guarantees. In our experiments, we show that the proposed learning framework clearly outperforms other plug-in supervised learning approaches in real-world applications, including the prediction of daily infections of COVID-19 and medicare claims.

We propose functional adversarial attacks, a novel class of threat models for crafting adversarial examples to fool machine learning models. Unlike a standard lp-ball threat model, a functional adversarial threat model allows only a single function to be used to perturb input features to produce an adversarial example. For example, a functional adversarial attack applied on colors of an image can change all red pixels simultaneously to light red. Such global uniform changes in images can be less perceptible than perturbing pixels of the image individually. For simplicity, we refer to functional adversarial attacks on image colors as ReColorAdv, which is the main focus of our experiments.

The claims could have been taken word-for-word from any one of numerous US far-right websites in recent months. "Reports are surfacing suggesting that [lawmakers] may have been involved in transporting large numbers of refugees and immigration applicants to polling stations to secure votes for individual candidates," the author of the article claimed. This wasn't a conspiracist asserting that Honduran migrants are being imported into the US to replace swing-state Republican voters, though; the claim came from a website called The Irish Channel. A new report published on Tuesday by researchers at the Institute for Strategic Dialogue outlines how the website has used generative AI to create articles that have been "heavily influenced by similar election denial efforts in the US." The anti-immigrant narrative, based on made-up quotes and fabricated academics, is just one of the conspiracies imported wholesale into Ireland from the US in recent months.

We investigate the optimal design of experimental studies that have pre-treatment outcome data available. The average treatment effect is estimated as the difference between the weighted average outcomes of the treated and control units. A number of commonly used approaches fit this formulation, including the difference-in-means estimator and a variety of synthetic-control techniques. We propose several methods for choosing the set of treated units in conjunction with the weights. Observing the NP-hardness of the problem, we introduce a mixed-integer programming formulation which selects both the treatment and control sets and unit weightings.

Graph neural networks, a popular class of models effective in a wide range of graph-based learning tasks, have been shown to be vulnerable to adversarial attacks. While the majority of the literature focuses on such vulnerability in node-level classification tasks, little effort has been dedicated to analysing adversarial attacks on graph-level classification, an important problem with numerous real-life applications such as biochemistry and social network analysis. The few existing methods often require unrealistic setups, such as access to internal information of the victim models, or an impractically-large number of queries. We present a novel Bayesian optimisation-based attack method for graph classification models. Our method is black-box, query-efficient and parsimonious with respect to the perturbation applied.

Computational wave imaging (CWI) extracts hidden structure and physical properties of a volume of material by analyzing wave signals that traverse that volume. Applications include seismic exploration of the Earth's subsurface, acoustic imaging and non-destructive testing in material science, and ultrasound computed tomography in medicine. Current approaches for solving CWI problems can be divided into two categories: those rooted in traditional physics, and those based on deep learning. Physics-based methods stand out for their ability to provide high-resolution and quantitatively accurate estimates of acoustic properties within the medium. However, they can be computationally intensive and are susceptible to ill-posedness and nonconvexity typical of CWI problems. Machine learning-based computational methods have recently emerged, offering a different perspective to address these challenges. Diverse scientific communities have independently pursued the integration of deep learning in CWI. This review delves into how contemporary scientific machine-learning (ML) techniques, and deep neural networks in particular, have been harnessed to tackle CWI problems. We present a structured framework that consolidates existing research spanning multiple domains, including computational imaging, wave physics, and data science. This study concludes with important lessons learned from existing ML-based methods and identifies technical hurdles and emerging trends through a systematic analysis of the extensive literature on this topic.

As Face Recognition (FR) technology becomes increasingly prevalent in finance, the military, public safety, and everyday life, security concerns have grown substantially. Physical adversarial attacks targeting FR systems in real-world settings have attracted considerable research interest due to their practicality and the severe threats they pose. However, a systematic overview focused on physical adversarial attacks against FR systems is still lacking, hindering an in-depth exploration of the challenges and future directions in this field. In this paper, we bridge this gap by comprehensively collecting and analyzing physical adversarial attack methods targeting FR systems. Specifically, we first investigate the key challenges of physical attacks on FR systems. We then categorize existing physical attacks into three categories based on the physical medium used and summarize how the research in each category has evolved to address these challenges. Furthermore, we review current defense strategies and discuss potential future research directions. Our goal is to provide a fresh, comprehensive, and deep understanding of physical adversarial attacks against FR systems, thereby inspiring relevant research in this area.

The research was partially supported by the Paul and Marcia Wythes Center on Contemporary China and Office of Population Research at Princeton University. We are grateful to Wen Liu, Gou Wu, and Dean Minello for their excellent research assistance. The ideas expressed herein are those of the authors. Abstract Liking it or not, ready or not, we are likely to enter a new phase of human history in which Artificial Intelligence (AI) will dominate economic production and social life - the AI Revolution. Before the actual arrival of the AI Revolution, it is time for us to speculate on how AI will impact the social world. In this article, we focus on the social impact of generative LLMbased AI (GELLMAI), discussing societal factors that contribute to its technological development and its potential roles in enhancing both between-country and within-country social inequality. There are good indications that the US and China will lead the field and will be the main competitors for domination of AI in the world. We conjecture the AI Revolution will likely give rise to a post-knowledge society in which knowledge per se will become less important than in today's world. Instead, individual relationships and social identity will become more important. With the advent of Generative Large Language Model (LLM)-based Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools such as ChatGPT from OpenAI and Bard from Google, it is natural to wonder about the social impact of this technology. In the remainder of this paper, we will refer to generative LLMbased AI simply as GELLMAI. The main objective of this paper is to explore, tentatively, the social impact of GELLMAI. While the question about the social impact of GELLMAI is undoubtedly important, any answers must be tentative and speculative at this point. We are still in the early stages of GELLMAI and may need to wait years, perhaps even decades, to fully understand its social implications. However, drawing from our experiences with past technologies in history, our current understanding of GELLMAI, empirical knowledge about the social world, and sociological reasoning, we can engage in preliminary and speculative discussions. We offer our account below. We believe that the social impact of GELLMAI is enormous, with the potential to revolutionize not only the production of goods and services but also to fundamentally alter the organization of human societies and the nature of daily life.

This paper presents a systematic review of the literature on evaluation criteria for Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence (TAI), with a focus on the seven EU principles of TAI. This systematic literature review identifies and analyses current evaluation criteria, maps them to the EU TAI principles and proposes a new classification system for each principle. The findings reveal both a need for and significant barriers to standardising criteria for TAI evaluation. The proposed classification contributes to the development, selection and standardization of evaluation criteria for TAI governance.

We introduce a novel hybrid approach that augments Agent-Based Models (ABMs) with behaviors generated by Large Language Models (LLMs) to simulate human trading interactions. We call our model TraderTalk. Leveraging LLMs trained on extensive human-authored text, we capture detailed and nuanced representations of bilateral conversations in financial trading. Applying this Generative Agent-Based Model (GABM) to government bond markets, we replicate trading decisions between two stylised virtual humans. Our method addresses both structural challenges, such as coordinating turn-taking between realistic LLM-based agents, and design challenges, including the interpretation of LLM outputs by the agent model. By exploring prompt design opportunistically rather than systematically, we enhance the realism of agent interactions without exhaustive overfitting or model reliance. Our approach successfully replicates trade-to-order volume ratios observed in related asset markets, demonstrating the potential of LLM-augmented ABMs in financial simulations