Government
RE-Bench: Evaluating frontier AI R&D capabilities of language model agents against human experts
Wijk, Hjalmar, Lin, Tao, Becker, Joel, Jawhar, Sami, Parikh, Neev, Broadley, Thomas, Chan, Lawrence, Chen, Michael, Clymer, Josh, Dhyani, Jai, Ericheva, Elena, Garcia, Katharyn, Goodrich, Brian, Jurkovic, Nikola, Kinniment, Megan, Lajko, Aron, Nix, Seraphina, Sato, Lucas, Saunders, William, Taran, Maksym, West, Ben, Barnes, Elizabeth
Frontier AI safety policies highlight automation of AI research and development (R&D) by AI agents as an important capability to anticipate. However, there exist few evaluations for AI R&D capabilities, and none that are highly realistic and have a direct comparison to human performance. We introduce RE-Bench (Research Engineering Benchmark, v1), which consists of 7 challenging, open-ended ML research engineering environments and data from 71 8-hour attempts by 61 distinct human experts. We confirm that our experts make progress in the environments given 8 hours, with 82% of expert attempts achieving a non-zero score and 24% matching or exceeding our strong reference solutions. We compare humans to several public frontier models through best-of-k with varying time budgets and agent designs, and find that the best AI agents achieve a score 4x higher than human experts when both are given a total time budget of 2 hours per environment. However, humans currently display better returns to increasing time budgets, narrowly exceeding the top AI agent scores given an 8-hour budget, and achieving 2x the score of the top AI agent when both are given 32 total hours (across different attempts). Qualitatively, we find that modern AI agents possess significant expertise in many ML topics -- e.g. an agent wrote a faster custom Triton kernel than any of our human experts' -- and can generate and test solutions over ten times faster than humans, at much lower cost. We open-source the evaluation environments, human expert data, analysis code and agent trajectories to facilitate future research.
Causal Representation Learning with Generative Artificial Intelligence: Application to Texts as Treatments
Imai, Kosuke, Nakamura, Kentaro
In this paper, we demonstrate how to enhance the validity of causal inference with unstructured high-dimensional treatments like texts, by leveraging the power of generative Artificial Intelligence. Specifically, we propose to use a deep generative model such as large language models (LLMs) to efficiently generate treatments and use their internal representation for subsequent causal effect estimation. We show that the knowledge of this true internal representation helps disentangle the treatment features of interest, such as specific sentiments and certain topics, from other possibly unknown confounding features. Unlike the existing methods, our proposed approach eliminates the need to learn causal representation from the data and hence produces more accurate and efficient estimates. We formally establish the conditions required for the nonparametric identification of the average treatment effect, propose an estimation strategy that avoids the violation of the overlap assumption, and derive the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator through the application of double machine learning. Finally, using an instrumental variables approach, we extend the proposed methodology to the settings, in which the treatment feature is based on human perception rather than is assumed to be fixed given the treatment object. The proposed methodology is also applicable to text reuse where an LLM is used to regenerate the existing texts. We conduct simulation and empirical studies, using the generated text data from an open-source LLM, Llama 3, to illustrate the advantages of our estimator over the state-of-the-art causal representation learning algorithms.
Gen-AI for User Safety: A Survey
Desai, Akshar Prabhu, Ravi, Tejasvi, Luqman, Mohammad, Sharma, Mohit, Kota, Nithya, Yadav, Pranjul
Machine Learning and data mining techniques (i.e. supervised and unsupervised techniques) are used across domains to detect user safety violations. Examples include classifiers used to detect whether an email is spam or a web-page is requesting bank login information. However, existing ML/DM classifiers are limited in their ability to understand natural languages w.r.t the context and nuances. The aforementioned challenges are overcome with the arrival of Gen-AI techniques, along with their inherent ability w.r.t translation between languages, fine-tuning between various tasks and domains. In this manuscript, we provide a comprehensive overview of the various work done while using Gen-AI techniques w.r.t user safety. In particular, we first provide the various domains (e.g. phishing, malware, content moderation, counterfeit, physical safety) across which Gen-AI techniques have been applied. Next, we provide how Gen-AI techniques can be used in conjunction with various data modalities i.e. text, images, videos, audio, executable binaries to detect violations of user-safety. Further, also provide an overview of how Gen-AI techniques can be used in an adversarial setting. We believe that this work represents the first summarization of Gen-AI techniques for user-safety.
Dynamic Intelligence Assessment: Benchmarking LLMs on the Road to AGI with a Focus on Model Confidence
Tihanyi, Norbert, Bisztray, Tamas, Dubniczky, Richard A., Toth, Rebeka, Borsos, Bertalan, Cherif, Bilel, Ferrag, Mohamed Amine, Muzsai, Lajos, Jain, Ridhi, Marinelli, Ryan, Cordeiro, Lucas C., Debbah, Merouane, Mavroeidis, Vasileios, Josang, Audun
As machine intelligence evolves, the need to test and compare the problem-solving abilities of different AI models grows. However, current benchmarks are often simplistic, allowing models to perform uniformly well and making it difficult to distinguish their capabilities. Additionally, benchmarks typically rely on static question-answer pairs that the models might memorize or guess. To address these limitations, we introduce Dynamic Intelligence Assessment (DIA), a novel methodology for testing AI models using dynamic question templates and improved metrics across multiple disciplines such as mathematics, cryptography, cybersecurity, and computer science. The accompanying dataset, DIA-Bench, contains a diverse collection of challenge templates with mutable parameters presented in various formats, including text, PDFs, compiled binaries, visual puzzles, and CTF-style cybersecurity challenges. Our framework introduces four new metrics to assess a model's reliability and confidence across multiple attempts. These metrics revealed that even simple questions are frequently answered incorrectly when posed in varying forms, highlighting significant gaps in models' reliability. Notably, API models like GPT-4o often overestimated their mathematical capabilities, while ChatGPT-4o demonstrated better performance due to effective tool usage. In self-assessment, OpenAI's o1-mini proved to have the best judgement on what tasks it should attempt to solve. We evaluated 25 state-of-the-art LLMs using DIA-Bench, showing that current models struggle with complex tasks and often display unexpectedly low confidence, even with simpler questions. The DIA framework sets a new standard for assessing not only problem-solving but also a model's adaptive intelligence and ability to assess its limitations. The dataset is publicly available on the project's page: https://github.com/DIA-Bench.
How OpenAI stress-tests its large language models
The first paper describes how OpenAI directs an extensive network of human testers outside the company to vet the behavior of its models before they are released. The second paper presents a new way to automate parts of the testing process, using a large language model like GPT-4 to come up with novel ways to bypass its own guardrails. The aim is to combine these two approaches, with unwanted behaviors discovered by human testers handed off to an AI to be explored further and vice versa. Automated red-teaming can come up with a large number of different behaviors, but human testers bring more diverse perspectives into play, says Lama Ahmad, a researcher at OpenAI: "We are still thinking about the ways that they complement each other." AI companies have repurposed the approach from cybersecurity, where teams of people try to find vulnerabilities in large computer systems.
Has AI Progress Really Slowed Down?
For over a decade, companies have bet on a tantalizing rule of thumb: that artificial intelligence systems would keep getting smarter if only they found ways to continue making them bigger. In 2017, researchers at Chinese technology firm Baidu demonstrated that pouring more data and computing power into machine learning algorithms yielded mathematically predictable improvements--regardless of whether the system was designed to recognize images, speech, or generate language. Noticing the same trend, in 2020, OpenAI coined the term "scaling laws," which has since become a touchstone of the industry. This thesis prompted AI firms to bet hundreds of millions on ever-larger computing clusters and datasets. The gamble paid off handsomely, transforming crude text machines into today's articulate chatbots.
'Efficient and accountable': GOP-led DOGE bill aims to slash outflow of federal dollars
Rep. Aaron Bean, R-Fla., discusses the DOGE Caucus to aid Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy in cutting government waste on'The Story.' FIRST ON FOX: House Republicans are eyeing ways to slash the outpouring of federal dollars after President-elect Donald Trump signaled that cutting government red tape would be a major part of his agenda. Rep. Stephanie Bice, R-Okla., introduced a new bill on Thursday, titled the "Decreasing Overlapping Grants Efficiently (DOGE) Act," which would establish a system for cutting down on redundant government grants from across multiple departments. It comes after Trump announced the creation of an advisory panel called the Department of Government Efficiency, which he tapped Vivek Ramaswamy and Elon Musk to lead. Congress is racing to be ready to execute the recommendations of President-elect Donald Trump's new DOGE commission. "Like Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, I'm looking at ways to make the government more efficient and accountable," Bice told Fox News Digital.
The Download: AI replicas, and China's climate role
Imagine sitting down with an AI model for a spoken two-hour interview. Not long after, a virtual replica of you is able to embody your values and preferences with stunning accuracy. They recruited 1,000 people and, from interviews with them, created agent replicas of them all. To test how well the agents mimicked their human counterparts, participants did a series of tests, games and surveys, then the agents completed the same exercises. The results were 85% similar.
Google must sell Chrome to end search monopoly, justice department argues in court filing
Alphabet's Google must sell its Chrome browser, share data and search results with competitors and take a range of other measures to end its monopoly on searching the internet, US prosecutors have argued to a judge. Such changes would essentially result in Google being highly regulated for 10 years, subjecting it to oversight by the same Washington federal court that ruled the company maintained an illegal monopoly in online search and related advertising. "Google's unlawful behaviour has deprived rivals not only of critical distribution channels but also distribution partners who could otherwise enable entry into these markets by competitors in new and innovative ways," the US Department of Justice (DoJ) said in a court filing. The court papers filed on Wednesday night expand on an earlier outline on how the US wants to end Google's monopoly. Google called the proposals radical at the time, saying they would harm US consumers and businesses and shake American competitiveness in artificial intelligence.