Government
A linguistically-motivated evaluation methodology for unraveling model's abilities in reading comprehension tasks
Antoine, Elie, Béchet, Frédéric, Damnati, Géraldine, Langlais, Philippe
We introduce an evaluation methodology for reading comprehension tasks based on the intuition that certain examples, by the virtue of their linguistic complexity, consistently yield lower scores regardless of model size or architecture. We capitalize on semantic frame annotation for characterizing this complexity, and study seven complexity factors that may account for model's difficulty. We first deploy this methodology on a carefully annotated French reading comprehension benchmark showing that two of those complexity factors are indeed good predictors of models' failure, while others are less so. We further deploy our methodology on a well studied English benchmark by using Chat-GPT as a proxy for semantic annotation. Our study reveals that fine-grained linguisticallymotivated automatic evaluation of a reading comprehension task is not only possible, but helps understand models' abilities to handle specific linguistic characteristics of input examples. It also shows that current state-of-the-art models fail with some for those characteristics which suggests that adequately handling them requires more than merely increasing model size.
Improving Your Model Ranking on Chatbot Arena by Vote Rigging
Min, Rui, Pang, Tianyu, Du, Chao, Liu, Qian, Cheng, Minhao, Lin, Min
Chatbot Arena is a popular platform for evaluating LLMs by pairwise battles, where users vote for their preferred response from two randomly sampled anonymous models. While Chatbot Arena is widely regarded as a reliable LLM ranking leaderboard, we show that crowdsourced voting can be rigged to improve (or decrease) the ranking of a target model $m_{t}$. We first introduce a straightforward target-only rigging strategy that focuses on new battles involving $m_{t}$, identifying it via watermarking or a binary classifier, and exclusively voting for $m_{t}$ wins. However, this strategy is practically inefficient because there are over $190$ models on Chatbot Arena and on average only about $1\%$ of new battles will involve $m_{t}$. To overcome this, we propose omnipresent rigging strategies, exploiting the Elo rating mechanism of Chatbot Arena that any new vote on a battle can influence the ranking of the target model $m_{t}$, even if $m_{t}$ is not directly involved in the battle. We conduct experiments on around $1.7$ million historical votes from the Chatbot Arena Notebook, showing that omnipresent rigging strategies can improve model rankings by rigging only hundreds of new votes. While we have evaluated several defense mechanisms, our findings highlight the importance of continued efforts to prevent vote rigging. Our code is available at https://github.com/sail-sg/Rigging-ChatbotArena.
RegionGCN: Spatial-Heterogeneity-Aware Graph Convolutional Networks
Guo, Hao, Wang, Han, Zhu, Di, Wu, Lun, Fotheringham, A. Stewart, Liu, Yu
Modeling spatial heterogeneity in the data generation process is essential for understanding and predicting geographical phenomena. Despite their prevalence in geospatial tasks, neural network models usually assume spatial stationarity, which could limit their performance in the presence of spatial process heterogeneity. By allowing model parameters to vary over space, several approaches have been proposed to incorporate spatial heterogeneity into neural networks. However, current geographically weighting approaches are ineffective on graph neural networks, yielding no significant improvement in prediction accuracy. We assume the crux lies in the over-fitting risk brought by a large number of local parameters. Accordingly, we propose to model spatial process heterogeneity at the regional level rather than at the individual level, which largely reduces the number of spatially varying parameters. We further develop a heuristic optimization procedure to learn the region partition adaptively in the process of model training. Our proposed spatial-heterogeneity-aware graph convolutional network, named RegionGCN, is applied to the spatial prediction of county-level vote share in the 2016 US presidential election based on socioeconomic attributes. Results show that RegionGCN achieves significant improvement over the basic and geographically weighted GCNs. We also offer an exploratory analysis tool for the spatial variation of non-linear relationships through ensemble learning of regional partitions from RegionGCN. Our work contributes to the practice of Geospatial Artificial Intelligence (GeoAI) in tackling spatial heterogeneity.
From tools to thieves: Measuring and understanding public perceptions of AI through crowdsourced metaphors
Cheng, Myra, Lee, Angela Y., Rapuano, Kristina, Niederhoffer, Kate, Liebscher, Alex, Hancock, Jeffrey
How has the public responded to the increasing prevalence of artificial intelligence (AI)-based technologies? We investigate public perceptions of AI by collecting over 12,000 responses over 12 months from a nationally representative U.S. sample. Participants provided open-ended metaphors reflecting their mental models of AI, a methodology that overcomes the limitations of traditional self-reported measures. Using a mixed-methods approach combining quantitative clustering and qualitative coding, we identify 20 dominant metaphors shaping public understanding of AI. To analyze these metaphors systematically, we present a scalable framework integrating language modeling (LM)-based techniques to measure key dimensions of public perception: anthropomorphism (attribution of human-like qualities), warmth, and competence. We find that Americans generally view AI as warm and competent, and that over the past year, perceptions of AI's human-likeness and warmth have significantly increased ($+34\%, r = 0.80, p < 0.01; +41\%, r = 0.62, p < 0.05$). Furthermore, these implicit perceptions, along with the identified dominant metaphors, strongly predict trust in and willingness to adopt AI ($r^2 = 0.21, 0.18, p < 0.001$). We further explore how differences in metaphors and implicit perceptions--such as the higher propensity of women, older individuals, and people of color to anthropomorphize AI--shed light on demographic disparities in trust and adoption. In addition to our dataset and framework for tracking evolving public attitudes, we provide actionable insights on using metaphors for inclusive and responsible AI development.
Exploring Vision Language Models for Multimodal and Multilingual Stance Detection
Vasilakes, Jake, Scarton, Carolina, Zhao, Zhixue
Social media's global reach amplifies the spread of information, highlighting the need for robust Natural Language Processing tasks like stance detection across languages and modalities. Prior research predominantly focuses on text-only inputs, leaving multimodal scenarios, such as those involving both images and text, relatively underexplored. Meanwhile, the prevalence of multimodal posts has increased significantly in recent years. Although state-of-the-art Vision-Language Models (VLMs) show promise, their performance on multimodal and multilingual stance detection tasks remains largely unexamined. This paper evaluates state-of-the-art VLMs on a newly extended dataset covering seven languages and multimodal inputs, investigating their use of visual cues, language-specific performance, and cross-modality interactions. Our results show that VLMs generally rely more on text than images for stance detection and this trend persists across languages. Additionally, VLMs rely significantly more on text contained within the images than other visual content. Regarding multilinguality, the models studied tend to generate consistent predictions across languages whether they are explicitly multilingual or not, although there are outliers that are incongruous with macro F1, language support, and model size.
Actions Speak Louder than Words: Agent Decisions Reveal Implicit Biases in Language Models
Li, Yuxuan, Shirado, Hirokazu, Das, Sauvik
While advances in fairness and alignment have helped mitigate overt biases exhibited by large language models (LLMs) when explicitly prompted, we hypothesize that these models may still exhibit implicit biases when simulating human behavior. To test this hypothesis, we propose a technique to systematically uncover such biases across a broad range of sociodemographic categories by assessing decision-making disparities among agents with LLM-generated, sociodemographically-informed personas. Using our technique, we tested six LLMs across three sociodemographic groups and four decision-making scenarios. Our results show that state-of-the-art LLMs exhibit significant sociodemographic disparities in nearly all simulations, with more advanced models exhibiting greater implicit biases despite reducing explicit biases. Furthermore, when comparing our findings to real-world disparities reported in empirical studies, we find that the biases we uncovered are directionally aligned but markedly amplified. This directional alignment highlights the utility of our technique in uncovering systematic biases in LLMs rather than random variations; moreover, the presence and amplification of implicit biases emphasizes the need for novel strategies to address these biases.
Early External Safety Testing of OpenAI's o3-mini: Insights from the Pre-Deployment Evaluation
Arrieta, Aitor, Ugarte, Miriam, Valle, Pablo, Parejo, José Antonio, Segura, Sergio
Large Language Models (LLMs) have become an integral part of our daily lives. However, they impose certain risks, including those that can harm individuals' privacy, perpetuate biases and spread misinformation. These risks highlight the need for robust safety mechanisms, ethical guidelines, and thorough testing to ensure their responsible deployment. Safety of LLMs is a key property that needs to be thoroughly tested prior the model to be deployed and accessible to the general users. This paper reports the external safety testing experience conducted by researchers from Mondragon University and University of Seville on OpenAI's new o3-mini LLM as part of OpenAI's early access for safety testing program. In particular, we apply our tool, ASTRAL, to automatically and systematically generate up to date unsafe test inputs (i.e., prompts) that helps us test and assess different safety categories of LLMs. We automatically generate and execute a total of 10,080 unsafe test input on a early o3-mini beta version. After manually verifying the test cases classified as unsafe by ASTRAL, we identify a total of 87 actual instances of unsafe LLM behavior. We highlight key insights and findings uncovered during the pre-deployment external testing phase of OpenAI's latest LLM.
Revisiting gender bias research in bibliometrics: Standardizing methodological variability using Scholarly Data Analysis (SoDA) Cards
Lee, HaeJin, Mishra, Shubhanshu, Mishra, Apratim, You, Zhiwen, Kim, Jinseok, Diesner, Jana
Gender biases in scholarly metrics remain a persistent concern, despite numerous bibliometric studies exploring their presence and absence across productivity, impact, acknowledgment, and self-citations. However, methodological inconsistencies, particularly in author name disambiguation and gender identification, limit the reliability and comparability of these studies, potentially perpetuating misperceptions and hindering effective interventions. A review of 70 relevant publications over the past 12 years reveals a wide range of approaches, from name-based and manual searches to more algorithmic and gold-standard methods, with no clear consensus on best practices. This variability, compounded by challenges such as accurately disambiguating Asian names and managing unassigned gender labels, underscores the urgent need for standardized and robust methodologies. To address this critical gap, we propose the development and implementation of ``Scholarly Data Analysis (SoDA) Cards." These cards will provide a structured framework for documenting and reporting key methodological choices in scholarly data analysis, including author name disambiguation and gender identification procedures. By promoting transparency and reproducibility, SoDA Cards will facilitate more accurate comparisons and aggregations of research findings, ultimately supporting evidence-informed policymaking and enabling the longitudinal tracking of analytical approaches in the study of gender and other social biases in academia.
U-aggregation: Unsupervised Aggregation of Multiple Learning Algorithms
Across various domains, the growing advocacy for open science and open-source machine learning has made an increasing number of models publicly available. These models allow practitioners to integrate them into their own contexts, reducing the need for extensive data labeling, training, and calibration. However, selecting the best model for a specific target population remains challenging due to issues like limited transferability, data heterogeneity, and the difficulty of obtaining true labels or outcomes in real-world settings. In this paper, we propose an unsupervised model aggregation method, U-aggregation, designed to integrate multiple pre-trained models for enhanced and robust performance in new populations. Unlike existing supervised model aggregation or super learner approaches, U-aggregation assumes no observed labels or outcomes in the target population. Our method addresses limitations in existing unsupervised model aggregation techniques by accommodating more realistic settings, including heteroskedasticity at both the model and individual levels, and the presence of adversarial models. Drawing on insights from random matrix theory, U-aggregation incorporates a variance stabilization step and an iterative sparse signal recovery process. These steps improve the estimation of individuals' true underlying risks in the target population and evaluate the relative performance of candidate models. We provide a theoretical investigation and systematic numerical experiments to elucidate the properties of U-aggregation. We demonstrate its potential real-world application by using U-aggregation to enhance genetic risk prediction of complex traits, leveraging publicly available models from the PGS Catalog.
Principled model selection for stochastic dynamics
Gerardos, Andonis, Ronceray, Pierre
Complex dynamical systems, from macromolecules to ecosystems, are often modeled by stochastic differential equations. To learn such models from data, a common approach involves sparse selection among a large function library. However, we show that overfitting arises - not just from individual model complexity, but also from the combinatorial growth of possible models. To address this, we introduce Parsimonious Stochastic Inference (PASTIS), a principled method combining likelihood-estimation statistics with extreme value theory to suppress superfluous parameters. PASTIS outperforms existing methods and reliably identifies minimal models, even with low sampling rates or measurement error. It extends to stochastic partial differential equations, and applies to ecological networks and reaction-diffusion dynamics.