Regional Government
Simulation-Based Inference for Adaptive Experiments
Multi-arm bandit experimental designs are increasingly being adopted over standard randomized trials due to their potential to improve outcomes for study participants, enable faster identification of the best-performing options, and/or enhance the precision of estimating key parameters. Current approaches for inference after adaptive sampling either rely on asymptotic normality under restricted experiment designs or underpowered martingale concentration inequalities that lead to weak power in practice. To bypass these limitations, we propose a simulation-based approach for conducting hypothesis tests and constructing confidence intervals for arm specific means and their differences. Our simulation-based approach uses positively biased nuisances to generate additional trajectories of the experiment, which we call simulation with optimism. Using these simulations, we characterize the distribution potentially non-normal sample mean test statistic to conduct inference. We provide guarantees for (i) asymptotic type I error control, (ii) convergence of our confidence intervals, and (iii) asymptotic strong consistency of our estimator over a wide variety of common bandit designs. Our empirical results show that our approach achieves the desired coverage while reducing confidence interval widths by up to 50%, with drastic improvements for arms not targeted by the design.
SPARTAALIGNMENT: Collectively Aligning Multiple Language Models through Combat
We propose SPARTAALIGNMENT, an algorithm to collectively align multiple LLMs through competition and combat. To complement a single model's lack of diversity in generation and biases in evaluation, multiple LLMs form a "sparta tribe" to compete against each other in fulfilling instructions while serving as judges for the competition of others. For each iteration, one instruction and two models are selected for a duel, the other models evaluate the two responses, and their evaluation scores are aggregated through a adapted elo-ranking based reputation system, where winners/losers of combat gain/lose weight in evaluating others.
Scientists predict how the world will end - and say Earth may NOT be swallowed by the sun after all
Trump declares that Keir Starmer'failed badly' as UK's Prime Minister as he CRIES while resigning Boston's Scotland-loving residents claim England fans are'ruining the vibe' compared to the Tartan Army'Al Roker is an absolute ****': KENNEDY's Today show insider gives brutal behind-the-scenes verdict on beloved weatherman and names other two-faced NBC hosts Call me cynical, but the real reason Gruesome Twosome Harry and Meghan are returning to the UK is just so obvious... and highly humiliating: MAUREEN CALLAHAN Putin'prepares mass call-up' for the Ukraine meat-grinder - as video shows Russian veteran with no legs threatening recruiter with a knife in sign of growing resistance facing desperate Kremlin Secret life of John Travolta's daughter Ella Bleu: New details about'unusual' relationship with her dad revealed by insiders amid fears that aspiring actress is'stuck' Johnny Depp's ex Amber Heard gives rare glimpse of daughter Oonagh, five, after finishing 10k race in Spain Rock band playing at Madison Square Garden when fan, 51, plunged to his death break silence... as investigators probe his final moments Colorado siblings VANISH from home in middle of the night... and police still can't find them a week later Revealed: Emotional handwritten letter Iran's'oppressed' World Cup stars left in SoFi Stadium locker room No one can see the real reason Jelly Roll divorced Bunnie XO. New footage shows tourists fleeing with their bags as fire destroys Dominican Republic resort - and it's revealed Italian celebrity died from carbon monoxide fumes Unseen trove of intimate letters from Nicole Brown Simpson's passionate affair: Her lover reveals jealous OJ's peeping tom compulsion and relentless stalking Map reveals every state's favorite fast food cheeseburger Family-man facade of award-winning children's swim coach is shattered by disturbing teen babysitter claims: Read all the vile texts Fidel Castro's'secret' daughter speaks out to reveal truth about those Justin Trudeau'sibling' rumors: 'Sensitive subject' Kyle Busch's widow posts heartbreaking Father's Day tribute a month on from his shock death at 41: 'Cards were already made' US marks'encouraging progress' in peace talks with Iran after summit was nearly derailed by Trump's fiery threat I'm 52, and after ending my sexless marriage I slept with men in every decade from 30s to 60s. Here's EXACTLY what happened with each of them and the surprising truth about who was best - and worst! For years, it's been believed that the sun will start to expand in around five billion years, swallowing our planet in the process. However, a new study suggests that this might not be the case after all.
How to stop scam texts from targeting aging parents
This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Market data provided by Factset . Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions . Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by LSEG . Artemis crew says they wanted to'connect with humanity,' show what can be done when they put their mind to it Scientists revive ancient 24,000-year-old'zombie worm' from Arctic ice -- then it reproduced'Gigantic' ancient octopus used jaws to crush prey and hunted alongside the dinosaurs 100M years ago: study Scientists uncover identity of mysterious'golden orb' discovered miles underwater in 2023 Artemis astronauts enter eerie 40-minute communication blackout on Moon's far side NASA chief Jared Isaacman says Artemis II would not be possible'if it wasn't for President Trump' Researchers pinpoint source of black hole's 3,000-light-year-long jet stream using enhanced telescope network Is Spielberg's new UFO film more fact than fiction? Auburn University's bald eagle tradition celebrates its 25th anniversary American public'can handle' truth about UAPs, whistleblower says Google's AI unleashes new powerful scam-busting features for Android The CyberGuy explains steps you can take to protect yourself from scams. Scam texts are annoying for everyone.
See Stonehenge's construction like NEVER before: Incredible visual reveals the vast manpower needed to haul the 25-tonne stones into position 5,000 years ago
Keir Starmer cries as he quits No 10 claiming a deluded list of'achievements' - now Britain awaits its seventh PM in ten years Putin'prepares mass call-up' for the Ukraine meat-grinder - as video shows Russian veteran with no legs threatening recruiter with a knife in sign of growing resistance facing desperate Kremlin'Al Roker is an absolute ****': KENNEDY's Today show insider gives brutal behind-the-scenes verdict on beloved weatherman and names other two-faced NBC hosts No one can see the real reason Jelly Roll divorced Bunnie XO. Boston's Scotland-loving residents claim England fans are'ruining the vibe' compared to the Tartan Army Secret life of John Travolta's daughter Ella Bleu: New details about'unusual' relationship with her dad revealed by insiders amid fears that aspiring actress is'stuck' Johnny Depp's ex Amber Heard gives rare glimpse of daughter Oonagh, five, after finishing 10k race in Spain Colorado siblings VANISH from home in middle of the night... and police ...
The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI by Cory Doctorow review – the real price of artificial intelligence
Cory Doctorow speaks at a digital society conference. Cory Doctorow speaks at a digital society conference. The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI by Cory Doctorow review - the real price of artificial intelligence A s former Google CEO Eric Schmidt could tell you, AI is a hard sell these days. Last month, he tried talking up the AI revolution during a commencement address at the University of Arizona and was loudly booed by students about to enter an AI-ravaged job market. Schmidt is not the only AI booster to crash out with students recently as the popular backlash grows.
Carvalho resigns as LAUSD superintendent amid federal investigation
Things to Do in L.A. Tap to enable a layout that focuses on the article. Alberto Carvalho, who resigned Sunday as LAUSD superintendent, addresses students at an elementary school in 2023. This is read by an automated voice. Please report any issues or inconsistencies here . Alberto Carvalho resigned Sunday night.