If you were looking for an inkblot test for your view of big tech's investment in artificial intelligence, you could hardly do better than the news that Google is ordering the construction of at least six small nuclear reactors to power the growth of the technology. Here, in one view, is an enlightened business leveraging its size to invest in infrastructure that could change the world for the better. Here, in another, is a poorly regulated corporation ignoring democratic objections in the brutal race for control of an innovation with great potential to do harm – and leaving the rest of us with little say in its development. Google is making this eye-catching move because the datacentres that power the explosive growth of generative AI consume huge amounts of electricity – more than the existing grid in the US or other western nations can readily supply. For today's newsletter, I spoke to technology journalist Chris Stokel-Walker, author of How AI Ate the World, about why the demand for power is growing so quickly – and whether we can trust big tech to handle the consequences.

Pre-training foundation models has become the de-facto procedure for deep learning approaches, yet its application remains limited in the geological studies, where in needs of the model transferability to break the shackle of data scarcity. Here we target on the X-ray fluorescence (XRF) scanning data, a standard high-resolution measurement in extensive scientific drilling projects. We propose a scalable self-supervised learner, masked autoencoders on XRF spectra (MAX), to pre-train a foundation model covering geological records from multiple regions of the Pacific and Southern Ocean. In pre-training, we find that masking a high proportion of the input spectrum (50\%) yields a nontrivial and meaningful self-supervisory task. For downstream tasks, we select the quantification of XRF spectra into two costly geochemical measurements, CaCO$_3$ and total organic carbon, due to their importance in understanding the paleo-oceanic carbon system. Our results show that MAX, requiring only one-third of the data, outperforms models without pre-training in terms of quantification accuracy. Additionally, the model's generalizability improves by more than 60\% in zero-shot tests on new materials, with explainability further ensuring its robustness. Thus, our approach offers a promising pathway to overcome data scarcity in geological discovery by leveraging the self-supervised foundation model and fast-acquired XRF scanning data.

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities across various tasks, but their performance is highly sensitive to the prompts utilized. This variability poses challenges for accurate assessment and user satisfaction. Current research frequently overlooks instance-level prompt variations and their implications on subjective evaluations. To address these shortcomings, we introduce ProSA, a framework designed to evaluate and comprehend prompt sensitivity in LLMs. ProSA incorporates a novel sensitivity metric, PromptSensiScore, and leverages decoding confidence to elucidate underlying mechanisms. Our extensive study, spanning multiple tasks, uncovers that prompt sensitivity fluctuates across datasets and models, with larger models exhibiting enhanced robustness. We observe that few-shot examples can alleviate this sensitivity issue, and subjective evaluations are also susceptible to prompt sensitivities, particularly in complex, reasoning-oriented tasks. Furthermore, our findings indicate that higher model confidence correlates with increased prompt robustness. We believe this work will serve as a helpful tool in studying prompt sensitivity of LLMs. The project is released at: https://github.com/open-compass/ProSA .

Crude oil, a critical component of the global economy, has its prices influenced by various factors such as economic trends, political events, and natural disasters. Traditional prediction methods based on historical data have their limits in forecasting, but recent advancements in natural language processing bring new possibilities for event-based analysis. In particular, Language Models (LM) and their advancement, the Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT), have shown potential in classifying vast amounts of natural language. However, these LMs often have difficulty with domain-specific terminology, limiting their effectiveness in the crude oil sector. Addressing this gap, we introduce CrudeBERT, a fine-tuned LM specifically for the crude oil market. The results indicate that CrudeBERT's sentiment scores align more closely with the WTI Futures curve and significantly enhance price predictions, underscoring the crucial role of integrating economic principles into LMs.

This paper presents a framework for multi-agent navigation in structured but dynamic environments, integrating three key components: a shared semantic map encoding metric and semantic environmental knowledge, a claim policy for coordinating access to areas within the environment, and a Model Predictive Controller for generating motion trajectories that respect environmental and coordination constraints. The main advantages of this approach include: (i) enforcing area occupancy constraints derived from specific task requirements; (ii) enhancing computational scalability by eliminating the need for collision avoidance constraints between robotic agents; and (iii) the ability to anticipate and avoid deadlocks between agents. The paper includes both simulations and physical experiments demonstrating the framework's effectiveness in various representative scenarios.

This paper introduces a novel approach that integrates future closest point predictions into the distance constraints of a collision avoidance controller, leveraging convex hulls with closest point distance calculations. By addressing abrupt shifts in closest points, this method effectively reduces collision risks and enhances controller performance. Applied to an Image Guided Therapy robot and validated through simulations and user experiments, the framework demonstrates improved distance prediction accuracy, smoother trajectories, and safer navigation near obstacles.

Patterns arise spontaneously in a range of systems spanning the sciences, and their study typically focuses on mechanisms to understand their evolution in space-time. Increasingly, there has been a transition towards controlling these patterns in various functional settings, with implications for engineering. Here, we combine our knowledge of a general class of dynamical laws for pattern formation in non-equilibrium systems, and the power of stochastic optimal control approaches to present a framework that allows us to control patterns at multiple scales, which we dub the "Hamiltonian bridge". We use a mapping between stochastic many-body Lagrangian physics and deterministic Eulerian pattern forming PDEs to leverage our recent approach utilizing the Feynman-Kac-based adjoint path integral formulation for the control of interacting particles and generalize this to the active control of patterning fields. We demonstrate the applicability of our computational framework via numerical experiments on the control of phase separation with and without a conserved order parameter, self-assembly of fluid droplets, coupled reaction-diffusion equations and finally a phenomenological model for spatio-temporal tissue differentiation. We interpret our numerical experiments in terms of a theoretical understanding of how the underlying physics shapes the geometry of the pattern manifold, altering the transport paths of patterns and the nature of pattern interpolation. We finally conclude by showing how optimal control can be utilized to generate complex patterns via an iterative control protocol over pattern forming pdes which can be casted as gradient flows. All together, our study shows how we can systematically build in physical priors into a generative framework for pattern control in non-equilibrium systems across multiple length and time scales.

To alleviate hardware scarcity in training large deep neural networks (DNNs), particularly large language models (LLMs), we present FusionLLM, a decentralized training system designed and implemented for training DNNs using geo-distributed GPUs across different computing clusters or individual devices. Decentralized training faces significant challenges regarding system design and efficiency, including: 1) the need for remote automatic differentiation (RAD), 2) support for flexible model definitions and heterogeneous software, 3) heterogeneous hardware leading to low resource utilization or the straggler problem, and 4) slow network communication. To address these challenges, in the system design, we represent the model as a directed acyclic graph of operators (OP-DAG). Each node in the DAG represents the operator in the DNNs, while the edge represents the data dependency between operators. Based on this design, 1) users are allowed to customize any DNN without caring low-level operator implementation; 2) we enable the task scheduling with the more fine-grained sub-tasks, offering more optimization space; 3) a DAG runtime executor can implement RAD withour requiring the consistent low-level ML framework versions. To enhance system efficiency, we implement a workload estimator and design an OP-Fence scheduler to cluster devices with similar bandwidths together and partition the DAG to increase throughput. Additionally, we propose an AdaTopK compressor to adaptively compress intermediate activations and gradients at the slowest communication links. To evaluate the convergence and efficiency of our system and algorithms, we train ResNet-101 and GPT-2 on three real-world testbeds using 48 GPUs connected with 8 Mbps~10 Gbps networks. Experimental results demonstrate that our system and method can achieve 1.45 - 9.39x speedup compared to baseline methods while ensuring convergence.

Underwater mine detection with deep learning suffers from limitations due to the scarcity of real-world data. This scarcity leads to overfitting, where models perform well on training data but poorly on unseen data. This paper proposes a Syn2Real (Synthetic to Real) domain generalization approach using diffusion models to address this challenge. We demonstrate that synthetic data generated with noise by DDPM and DDIM models, even if not perfectly realistic, can effectively augment real-world samples for training. The residual noise in the final sampled images improves the model's ability to generalize to real-world data with inherent noise and high variation. The baseline Mask-RCNN model when trained on a combination of synthetic and original training datasets, exhibited approximately a 60% increase in Average Precision (AP) compared to being trained solely on the original training data. This significant improvement highlights the potential of Syn2Real domain generalization for underwater mine detection tasks.

By leveraging neural networks, the emerging field of scientific machine learning (SciML) offers novel approaches to address complex problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). In practical applications, challenges arise due to the distributed essence of data, concerns about data privacy, or the impracticality of transferring large volumes of data. Federated learning (FL), a decentralized framework that enables the collaborative training of a global model while preserving data privacy, offers a solution to the challenges posed by isolated data pools and sensitive data issues. Here, this paper explores the integration of FL and SciML to approximate complex functions and solve differential equations. We propose two novel models: federated physics-informed neural networks (FedPINN) and federated deep operator networks (FedDeepONet). We further introduce various data generation methods to control the degree of non-independent and identically distributed (non-iid) data and utilize the 1-Wasserstein distance to quantify data heterogeneity in function approximation and PDE learning. We systematically investigate the relationship between data heterogeneity and federated model performance. Additionally, we propose a measure of weight divergence and develop a theoretical framework to establish growth bounds for weight divergence in federated learning compared to traditional centralized learning. To demonstrate the effectiveness of our methods, we conducted 10 experiments, including 2 on function approximation, 5 PDE problems on FedPINN, and 3 PDE problems on FedDeepONet. These experiments demonstrate that proposed federated methods surpass the models trained only using local data and achieve competitive accuracy of centralized models trained using all data.