Energy
Spatial-variant causal Bayesian inference for rapid seismic ground failures and impacts estimation
Rapid and accurate estimation of post-earthquake ground failures and building damage is critical for effective post-disaster responses. Progression in remote sensing technologies has paved the way for rapid acquisition of detailed, localized data, enabling swift hazard estimation through analysis of correlation deviations between pre- and post-quake satellite imagery. However, discerning seismic hazards and their impacts is challenged by overlapping satellite signals from ground failures, building damage, and environmental noise. Previous advancements introduced a novel causal graph-based Bayesian network that continually refines seismic ground failure and building damage estimates derived from satellite imagery, accounting for the intricate interplay among geospatial elements, seismic activity, ground failures, building structures, damages, and satellite data. However, this model's neglect of spatial heterogeneity across different locations in a seismic region limits its precision in capturing the spatial diversity of seismic effects. In this study, we pioneer an approach that accounts for spatial intricacies by introducing a spatial variable influenced by the bilateral filter to capture relationships from surrounding hazards. The bilateral filter considers both spatial proximity of neighboring hazards and their ground shaking intensity values, ensuring refined modeling of spatial relationships. This integration achieves a balance between site-specific characteristics and spatial tendencies, offering a comprehensive representation of the post-disaster landscape. Our model, tested across multiple earthquake events, demonstrates significant improvements in capturing spatial heterogeneity in seismic hazard estimation. The results highlight enhanced accuracy and efficiency in post-earthquake large-scale multi-impact estimation, effectively informing rapid disaster responses.
Transmission Line Outage Probability Prediction Under Extreme Events Using Peter-Clark Bayesian Structural Learning
Chen, Xiaolin, Huang, Qiuhua, Zhou, Yuqi
Recent years have seen a notable increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. With a rising number of power outages caused by these events, accurate prediction of power line outages is essential for safe and reliable operation of power grids. The Bayesian network is a probabilistic model that is very effective for predicting line outages under weather-related uncertainties. However, most existing studies in this area offer general risk assessments, but fall short of providing specific outage probabilities. In this work, we introduce a novel approach for predicting transmission line outage probabilities using a Bayesian network combined with Peter-Clark (PC) structural learning. Our approach not only enables precise outage probability calculations, but also demonstrates better scalability and robust performance, even with limited data. Case studies using data from BPA and NOAA show the effectiveness of this approach, while comparisons with several existing methods further highlight its advantages.
Analysis of Hardware Synthesis Strategies for Machine Learning in Collider Trigger and Data Acquisition
Jia, Haoyi, Dave, Abhilasha, Gonski, Julia, Herbst, Ryan
To fully exploit the physics potential of current and future high energy particle colliders, machine learning (ML) can be implemented in detector electronics for intelligent data processing and acquisition. The implementation of ML in real-time at colliders requires very low latencies that are unachievable with a software-based approach, requiring optimization and synthesis of ML algorithms for deployment on hardware. An analysis of neural network inference efficiency is presented, focusing on the application of collider trigger algorithms in field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs). Trade-offs are evaluated between two frameworks, the SLAC Neural Network Library (SNL) and hls4ml, in terms of resources and latency for different model sizes. Results highlight the strengths and limitations of each approach, offering valuable insights for optimizing real-time neural network deployments at colliders. This work aims to guide researchers and engineers in selecting the most suitable hardware and software configurations for real-time, resource-constrained environments.
Deep learning waterways for rural infrastructure development
Pierson, Matthew, Mehrabi, Zia
Surprisingly a number of Earth's waterways remain unmapped, with a significant number in low and middle income countries. Here we build a computer vision model (WaterNet) to learn the location of waterways in the United States, based on high resolution satellite imagery and digital elevation models, and then deploy this in novel environments in the African continent. Our outputs provide detail of waterways structures hereto unmapped. When assessed against community needs requests for rural bridge building related to access to schools, health care facilities and agricultural markets, we find these newly generated waterways capture on average 93% (country range: 88-96%) of these requests whereas Open Street Map, and the state of the art data from TDX-Hydro, capture only 36% (5-72%) and 62% (37% - 85%), respectively. Because these new machine learning enabled maps are built on public and operational data acquisition this approach offers promise for capturing humanitarian needs and planning for social development in places where cartographic efforts have so far failed to deliver. The improved performance in identifying community needs missed by existing data suggests significant value for rural infrastructure development and better targeting of development interventions.
Scaling Deep Learning Research with Kubernetes on the NRP Nautilus HyperCluster
Hurt, J. Alex, Ouadou, Anes, Alshehri, Mariam, Scott, Grant J.
Throughout the scientific computing space, deep learning algorithms have shown excellent performance in a wide range of applications. As these deep neural networks (DNNs) continue to mature, the necessary compute required to train them has continued to grow. Today, modern DNNs require millions of FLOPs and days to weeks of training to generate a well-trained model. The training times required for DNNs are oftentimes a bottleneck in DNN research for a variety of deep learning applications, and as such, accelerating and scaling DNN training enables more robust and accelerated research. To that end, in this work, we explore utilizing the NRP Nautilus HyperCluster to automate and scale deep learning model training for three separate applications of DNNs, including overhead object detection, burned area segmentation, and deforestation detection. In total, 234 deep neural models are trained on Nautilus, for a total time of 4,040 hours. Deep convolutional neural networks (DCNNs) have been established as the state of the art in computer vision (CV) and have shown superior performance in visual tasks for many domains, including remote sensing. With billions of pixels being collected by overhead sources like satellites, remote sensing (RS) is becoming evermore a big-data problem domain, with endless amounts of data available to enable CV applications. Due in part to this data availability, the training and optimization of deep networks for RS applications has been explored to great lengths in recent years. In 2017, researchers investigated utilizing DCNNs for land-cover classification in overhead imagery along with techniques such as transfer learning and data augmentation[1]. This work was then extended into multi-network fusion research, where multiple DCNNs trained on overhead satellite imagery were fused using simple fusion techniques such as voting and arrogance [2] and then compared to more complex fusion algorithms such as the Choquet and Sugeno Fuzzy Integral [3], [4]. While these studies explored utilizing DCNNs to perform classification on overhead RS imagery, further exploration was required in broad area search, in which DCNNs are trained and used not on clean pre-processed datasets, but instead applied to large swaths of overhead imagery with the goal of finding all instances of a given object or terrain.
Closed-loop multi-step planning with innate physics knowledge
Lafratta, Giulia, Porr, Bernd, Chandler, Christopher, Miller, Alice
We present a hierarchical framework to solve robot planning as an input control problem. At the lowest level are temporary closed control loops, ("tasks"), each representing a behaviour, contingent on a specific sensory input and therefore temporary. At the highest level, a supervising "Configurator" directs task creation and termination. Here resides "core" knowledge as a physics engine, where sequences of tasks can be simulated. The Configurator encodes and interprets simulation results, based on which it can choose a sequence of tasks as a plan. We implement this framework on a real robot and test it in an overtaking scenario as proof-of-concept.
Variable Rate Neural Compression for Sparse Detector Data
Huang, Yi, Go, Yeonju, Huang, Jin, Li, Shuhang, Luo, Xihaier, Marshall, Thomas, Osborn, Joseph, Pinkenburg, Christopher, Ren, Yihui, Shulga, Evgeny, Yoo, Shinjae, Yoon, Byung-Jun
High-energy large-scale particle colliders generate data at extraordinary rates. Developing real-time high-throughput data compression algorithms to reduce data volume and meet the bandwidth requirement for storage has become increasingly critical. Deep learning is a promising technology that can address this challenging topic. At the newly constructed sPHENIX experiment at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider, a Time Projection Chamber (TPC) serves as the main tracking detector, which records three-dimensional particle trajectories in a volume of a gas-filled cylinder. In terms of occupancy, the resulting data flow can be very sparse reaching $10^{-3}$ for proton-proton collisions. Such sparsity presents a challenge to conventional learning-free lossy compression algorithms, such as SZ, ZFP, and MGARD. In contrast, emerging deep learning-based models, particularly those utilizing convolutional neural networks for compression, have outperformed these conventional methods in terms of compression ratios and reconstruction accuracy. However, research on the efficacy of these deep learning models in handling sparse datasets, like those produced in particle colliders, remains limited. Furthermore, most deep learning models do not adapt their processing speeds to data sparsity, which affects efficiency. To address this issue, we propose a novel approach for TPC data compression via key-point identification facilitated by sparse convolution. Our proposed algorithm, BCAE-VS, achieves a $75\%$ improvement in reconstruction accuracy with a $10\%$ increase in compression ratio over the previous state-of-the-art model. Additionally, BCAE-VS manages to achieve these results with a model size over two orders of magnitude smaller. Lastly, we have experimentally verified that as sparsity increases, so does the model's throughput.
RoboGSim: A Real2Sim2Real Robotic Gaussian Splatting Simulator
Li, Xinhai, Li, Jialin, Zhang, Ziheng, Zhang, Rui, Jia, Fan, Wang, Tiancai, Fan, Haoqiang, Tseng, Kuo-Kun, Wang, Ruiping
Efficient acquisition of real-world embodied data has been increasingly critical. However, large-scale demonstrations captured by remote operation tend to take extremely high costs and fail to scale up the data size in an efficient manner. Sampling the episodes under a simulated environment is a promising way for large-scale collection while existing simulators fail to high-fidelity modeling on texture and physics. To address these limitations, we introduce the RoboGSim, a real2sim2real robotic simulator, powered by 3D Gaussian Splatting and the physics engine. RoboGSim mainly includes four parts: Gaussian Reconstructor, Digital Twins Builder, Scene Composer, and Interactive Engine. It can synthesize the simulated data with novel views, objects, trajectories, and scenes. RoboGSim also provides an online, reproducible, and safe evaluation for different manipulation policies. The real2sim and sim2real transfer experiments show a high consistency in the texture and physics. Moreover, the effectiveness of synthetic data is validated under the real-world manipulated tasks. We hope RoboGSim serves as a closed-loop simulator for fair comparison on policy learning. More information can be found on our project page https://robogsim.github.io/ .
Scalable spectral representations for multi-agent reinforcement learning in network MDPs
Ren, Zhaolin, Zhang, Runyu, Dai, Bo, Li, Na
Multi-agent network systems have found applications in various societal infrastructures, such as power systems, traffic networks, and smart cities [McArthur et al., 2007, Burmeister et al., 1997, Roscia et al., 2013]. One particularly important class of such problems is the cooperative multi-agent network MDP setting, where agents are embedded in a graph, and each agent has its own local state [Qu et al., 2020b]. In network MDPs, the local state transition probabilities and rewards only depend on the states and actions of the agent's direct neighbors in the graph. Such a property has been observed in a great variety of cooperative network control problems, ranging from thermal control of multizone buildings [Zhang et al., 2016], wireless access control [Zocca, 2019] to phase synchronization in electrical grids [Blaabjerg et al., 2006], where agents typically only need to act and learn based on information within a local neighborhood due to constraints on the information and communication infrastructure.
Hierarchical Spatio-Temporal Uncertainty Quantification for Distributed Energy Adoption
Zhou, Wenbin, Zhu, Shixiang, Qiu, Feng, Wu, Xuan
The rapid deployment of distributed energy resources (DER) has introduced significant spatio-temporal uncertainties in power grid management, necessitating accurate multilevel forecasting methods. However, existing approaches often produce overly conservative uncertainty intervals at individual spatial units and fail to properly capture uncertainties when aggregating predictions across different spatial scales. This paper presents a novel hierarchical spatio-temporal model based on the conformal prediction framework to address these challenges. Our approach generates circuit-level DER growth predictions and efficiently aggregates them to the substation level while maintaining statistical validity through a tailored non-conformity score. Applied to a decade of DER installation data from a local utility network, our method demonstrates superior performance over existing approaches, particularly in reducing prediction interval widths while maintaining coverage.