Energy
PICZL: Image-based Photometric Redshifts for AGN
Roster, William, Salvato, Mara, Krippendorf, Sven, Saxena, Aman, Shirley, Raphael, Buchner, Johannes, Wolf, Julien, Dwelly, Tom, Bauer, Franz E., Aird, James, Ricci, Claudio, Assef, Roberto J., Anderson, Scott F., Liu, Xin, Merloni, Andrea, Weller, Jochen, Nandra, Kirpal
Computing photo-z for AGN is challenging, primarily due to the interplay of relative emissions associated with the SMBH and its host galaxy. SED fitting methods, effective in pencil-beam surveys, face limitations in all-sky surveys with fewer bands available, lacking the ability to capture the AGN contribution to the SED accurately. This limitation affects the many 10s of millions of AGN clearly singled out and identified by SRG/eROSITA. Our goal is to significantly enhance photometric redshift performance for AGN in all-sky surveys while avoiding the need to merge multiple data sets. Instead, we employ readily available data products from the 10th Data Release of the Imaging Legacy Survey for DESI, covering > 20,000 deg$^{2}$ with deep images and catalog-based photometry in the grizW1-W4 bands. We introduce PICZL, a machine-learning algorithm leveraging an ensemble of CNNs. Utilizing a cross-channel approach, the algorithm integrates distinct SED features from images with those obtained from catalog-level data. Full probability distributions are achieved via the integration of Gaussian mixture models. On a validation sample of 8098 AGN, PICZL achieves a variance $\sigma_{\textrm{NMAD}}$ of 4.5% with an outlier fraction $\eta$ of 5.6%, outperforming previous attempts to compute accurate photo-z for AGN using ML. We highlight that the model's performance depends on many variables, predominantly the depth of the data. A thorough evaluation of these dependencies is presented in the paper. Our streamlined methodology maintains consistent performance across the entire survey area when accounting for differing data quality. The same approach can be adopted for future deep photometric surveys such as LSST and Euclid, showcasing its potential for wide-scale realisation. With this paper, we release updated photo-z (including errors) for the XMM-SERVS W-CDF-S, ELAIS-S1 and LSS fields.
Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Electrical Circuit Analysis: Applications in Dielectric Material Modeling
Scientific machine learning (SciML) represents a significant advancement in integrating machine learning (ML) with scientific methodologies. At the forefront of this development are Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs), which offer a promising approach by incorporating physical laws directly into the learning process, thereby reducing the need for extensive datasets. However, when data is limited or the system becomes more complex, PINNs can face challenges, such as instability and difficulty in accurately fitting the training data. In this article, we explore the capabilities and limitations of the DeepXDE framework, a tool specifically designed for implementing PINNs, in addressing both forward and inverse problems related to dielectric properties. Using RC circuit models to represent dielectric materials in HVDC systems, we demonstrate the effectiveness of PINNs in analyzing and improving system performance. Additionally, we show that applying a logarithmic transformation to the current (ln(I)) significantly enhances the stability and accuracy of PINN predictions, especially in challenging scenarios with sparse data or complex models. In inverse mode, however, we faced challenges in estimating key system parameters, such as resistance and capacitance, in more complex scenarios with longer time domains. This highlights the potential for future work in improving PINNs through transformations or other methods to enhance performance in inverse problems. This article provides pedagogical insights for those looking to use PINNs in both forward and inverse modes, particularly within the DeepXDE framework.
Dynamic technology impact analysis: A multi-task learning approach to patent citation prediction
Seol, Youngjin, Choi, Jaewoong, Lee, Seunghyun, Yoon, Janghyeok
Machine learning (ML) models are valuable tools for analyzing the impact of technology using patent citation information. However, existing ML-based methods often struggle to account for the dynamic nature of the technology impact over time and the interdependencies of these impacts across different periods. This study proposes a multi-task learning (MTL) approach to enhance the prediction of technology impact across various time frames by leveraging knowledge sharing and simultaneously monitoring the evolution of technology impact. First, we quantify the technology impacts and identify patterns through citation analysis over distinct time periods. Next, we develop MTL models to predict citation counts using multiple patent indicators over time. Finally, we examine the changes in key input indicators and their patterns over different periods using the SHapley Additive exPlanation method. We also offer guidelines for validating and interpreting the results by employing statistical methods and natural language processing techniques. A case study on battery technologies demonstrates that our approach not only deepens the understanding of 1 technology impact, but also improves prediction accuracy, yielding valuable insights for both academia and industry.
Heuristical Comparison of Vision Transformers Against Convolutional Neural Networks for Semantic Segmentation on Remote Sensing Imagery
Dahal, Ashim, Murad, Saydul Akbar, Rahimi, Nick
Vision Transformers (ViT) have recently brought a new wave of research in the field of computer vision. These models have done particularly well in the field of image classification and segmentation. Research on semantic and instance segmentation has emerged to accelerate with the inception of the new architecture, with over 80\% of the top 20 benchmarks for the iSAID dataset being either based on the ViT architecture or the attention mechanism behind its success. This paper focuses on the heuristic comparison of three key factors of using (or not using) ViT for semantic segmentation of remote sensing aerial images on the iSAID. The experimental results observed during the course of the research were under the scrutinization of the following objectives: 1. Use of weighted fused loss function for the maximum mean Intersection over Union (mIoU) score, Dice score, and minimization or conservation of entropy or class representation, 2. Comparison of transfer learning on Meta's MaskFormer, a ViT-based semantic segmentation model, against generic UNet Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) judged over mIoU, Dice scores, training efficiency, and inference time, and 3. What do we lose for what we gain? i.e., the comparison of the two models against current state-of-art segmentation models. We show the use of the novel combined weighted loss function significantly boosts the CNN model's performance capacities as compared to transfer learning the ViT. The code for this implementation can be found on \url{https://github.com/ashimdahal/ViT-vs-CNN-ImageSegmentation}.
Data-driven Surface Solar Irradiance Estimation using Neural Operators at Global Scale
Carpentieri, Alberto, Leinonen, Jussi, Adie, Jeff, Bonev, Boris, Folini, Doris, Hariri, Farah
Accurate surface solar irradiance (SSI) forecasting is essential for optimizing renewable energy systems, particularly in the context of long-term energy planning on a global scale. This paper presents a pioneering approach to solar radiation forecasting that leverages recent advancements in numerical weather prediction (NWP) and data-driven machine learning weather models. These advances facilitate long, stable rollouts and enable large ensemble forecasts, enhancing the reliability of predictions. Our flexible model utilizes variables forecast by these NWP and AI weather models to estimate 6-hourly SSI at global scale. Developed using NVIDIA Modulus, our model represents the first adaptive global framework capable of providing long-term SSI forecasts. Furthermore, it can be fine-tuned using satellite data, which significantly enhances its performance in the fine-tuned regions, while maintaining accuracy elsewhere. The improved accuracy of these forecasts has substantial implications for the integration of solar energy into power grids, enabling more efficient energy management and contributing to the global transition to renewable energy sources. Figure 1: 6-hourly averaged SSI forecasts over a 48-hour period.
Evaluating World Models with LLM for Decision Making
Yang, Chang, Wang, Xinrun, Jiang, Junzhe, Zhang, Qinggang, Huang, Xiao
World model emerges as a key module in decision making, where MuZero and Dreamer achieve remarkable successes in complex tasks. Recent work leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) as general world simulators to simulate the dynamics of the world due to their generalizability. LLMs also serve as the world model for deliberative reasoning in Reasoning via Planning (RAP) and Tree of Thought (ToT). However, the world models are either evaluated as a general world simulator, or as a functional module of the agent, i.e., predicting the transitions to assist the planning. In this work, we propose a comprehensive evaluation of the world models with LLMs from the decision making perspective. Specifically, we leverage the 31 diverse environments from (Wang et al., 2023;2024) and curate the rule-based policy of each environment for the diverse evaluation. Then, we design three main tasks, i.e., policy verification, action proposal, and policy planning, where the world models can be used for decision making solely. Finally, we conduct the comprehensive evaluation of the advanced LLMs, i.e., GPT-4o and GPT-4o-mini, on the environments for the three main tasks under various settings. The key observations include: i) GPT-4o significantly outperforms GPT-4o-mini on the three main tasks, especially for the tasks which require the domain knowledge, ii) the performance of the world model with LLM will be decreased for long-term decision-making tasks, and iii) the combination of different functionalities of the world model will brings additional unstabilities of the performance.
Accelerating Quasi-Static Time Series Simulations with Foundation Models
Puech, Alban, Mirallรจs, Franรงois, Weiss, Jonas, Mai, Vincent, Massรฉ, Alexandre Blondin, de Montigny, Martin, Brunschwiler, Thomas, Hamann, Hendrik F.
Quasi-static time series (QSTS) simulations have great potential for evaluating the grid's ability to accommodate the large-scale integration of distributed energy resources. However, as grids expand and operate closer to their limits, iterative power flow solvers, central to QSTS simulations, become computationally prohibitive and face increasing convergence issues. Neural power flow solvers provide a promising alternative, speeding up power flow computations by 3 to 4 orders of magnitude, though they are costly to train. In this paper, we envision how recently introduced grid foundation models could improve the economic viability of neural power flow solvers. Conceptually, these models amortize training costs by serving as a foundation for a range of grid operation and planning tasks beyond power flow solving, with only minimal fine-tuning required. We call for collaboration between the AI and power grid communities to develop and open-source these models, enabling all operators, even those with limited resources, to benefit from AI without building solutions from scratch.
A System Level Performance Evaluation for Superconducting Digital Systems
Kundu, Joyjit, Bhattacharjee, Debjyoti, Josephsen, Nathan, Pokhrel, Ankit, De Silva, Udara, Guo, Wenzhe, Van Winckel, Steven, Brebels, Steven, Perumkunnil, Manu, Herr, Quentin, Herr, Anna
Superconducting Digital (SCD) technology offers significant potential for enhancing the performance of next generation large scale compute workloads. By leveraging advanced lithography and a 300 mm platform, SCD devices can reduce energy consumption and boost computational power. This paper presents a cross-layer modeling approach to evaluate the system-level performance benefits of SCD architectures for Large Language Model (LLM) training and inference. Our findings, based on experimental data and Pulse Conserving Logic (PCL) design principles, demonstrate substantial performance gain in both training and inference. We are, thus, able to convincingly show that the SCD technology can address memory and interconnect limitations of present day solutions for next-generation compute systems.
DipMe: Haptic Recognition of Granular Media for Tangible Interactive Applications
Wang, Xinkai, Zhang, Shuo, Zhao, Ziyi, Zhu, Lifeng, Song, Aiguo
While tangible user interface has shown its power in naturally interacting with rigid or soft objects, users cannot conveniently use different types of granular materials as the interaction media. We introduce DipMe as a smart device to recognize the types of granular media in real time, which can be used to connect the granular materials in the physical world with various virtual content. Other than vision-based solutions, we propose a dip operation of our device and exploit the haptic signals to recognize different types of granular materials. With modern machine learning tools, we find the haptic signals from different granular media are distinguishable by DipMe. With the online granular object recognition, we build several tangible interactive applications, demonstrating the effects of DipMe in perceiving granular materials and its potential in developing a tangible user interface with granular objects as the new media.
Intelligent Algorithms For Signature Diagnostics Of Three-Phase Motors
Svirin, Stepan, Ryzhikov, Artem, Ali, Saraa, Derkach, Denis
Traditional diagnostic methods for these engines predominantly rely on signature analysis, a technique that examines the engine's operational patterns to detect anomalies [1]. While signature analysis has become a de-facto standard due to its effectiveness, it has some substantial limitations, and the growing complexity of modern engines and the vast amounts of data they generate require more advanced and precise diagnostic frameworks [2]. At the same time, machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) have emerged as essential tools integrated into various aspects of modern life, from recommendation algorithms [3] to healthcare [4] applications. The potential for advancement and innovation in these fields is immense. Despite this, the application of ML in industrial settings remains underexplored, primarily due to the scarcity of publicly available labeled datasets, especially with malfunctioning engines This lack of data poses significant challenges when transitioning ML solutions from experimental phases to full-scale production, especially given the complexities and variability of real-world conditions [5].